The One You Feed - How to Create a Life Strategy for Meaningful Change with Seth Godin
Episode Date: October 22, 2024In this episode, Seth Godin shares insights from his new book on how to create a life strategy for meaningful change. He explains how strategy isn’t just for business, it’s a crucial tool for shap...ing our personal lives and relationships. Seth also delves into the importance of understanding the systems we operate within and how we can learn to create change within them Key Takeaways: The power of consistently feeding our “good wolf” through conscious effort How to apply strategic thinking to personal and family life Understanding and navigating the systems that influence our choices The difference between a good decision and a good outcome The danger of false proxies and the importance of measuring what truly matters For full show notes, click here! Connect with the show: Follow us on YouTube: @TheOneYouFeedPod Subscribe on Apple Podcasts or Spotify Follow us on Instagram See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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The problem with holding a grudge is your hands are too full to hug somebody. And what I found
is that carrying around a narrative of insufficiency or anger or revenge doesn't
hurt the other person, it hurts us. Welcome to The One You Feed. Throughout time,
great thinkers have recognized the importance of the thoughts we have.
Quotes like, garbage in, garbage out, or you are what you think, ring true.
And yet, for many of us, our thoughts don't strengthen or empower us.
We tend toward negativity, self-pity, jealousy, or fear.
We see what we don't have instead of what we do. We think things that
hold us back and dampen our spirit. But it's not just about thinking. Our actions matter.
It takes conscious, consistent, and creative effort to make a life worth living.
This podcast is about how other people keep themselves moving in the right direction,
how they feed their good wolf.
I'm Jason Alexander.
And I'm Peter Tilden.
And together, our mission on the Really Know Really podcast is to get the true answers to life's baffling questions like
why the bathroom door doesn't go all the way to the floor,
what's in the museum of failure, and does your dog truly love you?
We have the answer.
Go to reallyknowreally.com
and register to win $500, a guest spot on our podcast,
or a limited edition signed Jason bobblehead.
The Really Know Really podcast.
Follow us on the iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcasts,
or wherever you get your podcasts. Thanks for joining us. Our guest on this episode is Seth
Godin, the author of 21 international bestsellers that have changed the way people think about work
and art. They've been translated into 38 languages. His breakthrough books include Unleashing the Idea Virus, Permission Marketing,
Purple Cow, Tribes, The Dip, Linchpin, The Practice, and This Is Marketing. He writes one
of the most popular daily blogs in the world and has given five TED Talks. Seth is also the founder
of the pioneering online startup, YoYoDine. Today, Eric and Seth discuss his new book, This Is Strategy,
Make Better Plans. And don't forget, The One You Feed podcast is now on YouTube,
so you can also watch interviews at The One You Feed pod on YouTube.
Hi, Seth. Welcome to the show.
Well, thank you for having me. It's really a pleasure.
We are going to be discussing your latest book, which is called This Is Strategy, Make Better Plans.
But before we do that, we'll start like we always do, with the parable.
In the parable, there's a grandparent who's talking to their grandchild, and they say,
in life, there are two wolves inside of us that are always at battle.
One is a good wolf, which represents kindness, bravery, and love.
And the other is a bad wolf, which represents things
like greed and hatred and fear. And the grandchild stops. They think about it for a second. They look
up at their grandparent and they say, well, which one wins? And the grandparent says, the one you
feed. So I'd like to start off by asking you what that parable means to you in your life and in the
work that you do. Well, of course, it reminds me of Zig Ziglar. And Zig showed up in my life with that story
just in time to change it when I was in my early 20s. And he expanded it by talking about the bank.
And if you're constantly making deposits into your savings account, it's going to grow.
And we don't think it's odd that someone takes a shower
every day or eats lunch every day. Why don't we feed our good wolf every day? And I have found
through the years that every time I focus my attention and offer sustenance to the good wolf,
it makes my life better. It's not something I have to do.
It's something I want to do, and I'm glad to do it. Yeah. It really is this sense oftentimes with
things like this, we think we're going to do something that's going to be the last thing we
have to do towards our well-being. And again, we recognize it with things like showers or exercise,
like that's preposterous. Like you're not going to take one shower that's going to last forever. But when it comes to our inner lives, we often
believe in some end state that we arrive at. Yeah. And the Buddhists haven't done us any
favors by talking about achieving nirvana. The problem with holding a grudge is your hands are
too full to hug somebody. And what I found is that carrying around a narrative of insufficiency or anger or
revenge doesn't hurt the other person, it hurts us. And so, you know, Zig took it really far.
He refused to call that thing at the traffic intersection a stoplight. He said its only
purpose is to help the traffic go. So it's a go light. But the absurdity of that is part of it, is that if we find ourselves
constantly adopting hygiene about who we want to become, it happens.
So let's talk about your new book. This is Strategy Make Better Plans. I said to you before
we started, we're not generally a business podcast, but your book makes pretty clear that strategies aren't just for business.
They are for us. They are for our families. Talk a little bit about the role strategy plays
in our personal lives or our family lives. Well, isn't that where it begins? I mean,
most of us don't spend all of our days thinking about business. We spend thinking about the change we seek to make,
who we seek to become, the influence we want to have on other people. And so you need a strategy
to talk your way out of a parking ticket. You need a strategy to figure out how to have a family life
that sustains you. You need a strategy for how you're going to use your limited resources to build the life that you want to have.
All of these things are simply what choices do we make today to build the assets that
lead to tomorrow being what we hope for.
And they should not be reserved for Microsoft or some other giant corporation.
They're for anyone who has to deal with anybody else or anything else in the
world. If you're stranded on a desert island, you're still going to need a strategy to survive.
So how do we start to go about thinking about strategy on these smaller levels? What are the
main components of a strategy? So for something that we talk about all the time, we hardly ever
talk about it. And what I found is there are almost no good books about strategy, which attracted me to writing one. And I am arguing that there are four components, systems, games, empathy, and time.
to have a full-grown apple tree in my backyard today. What they do is they plant seeds, they water them, they fertilize them. It's understood that trees grow over time. Well, we have a strategy
of going through the educational system. We have a strategy for developing a lifestyle over time.
So the first question I ask is, why will this be better tomorrow if you do something today?
So the first question I ask is, why will this be better tomorrow if you do something today?
That's the first part. The second one is empathy, which is when we deal with anything in the outside world, that thing, that person has power. They can make choices. Why will they choose to do what we
need them to do? Why will they choose to hire us as a freelancer instead of going on Fiverr and
paying half as much? Why will they choose to come to our dinner party instead of... You get the idea.
When we have the empathy to grant people power, we don't get disappointed and surprised when they
make a choice. Third one is games. Not board games, because most board games aren't very good, but the concept of
games, which have rules, boundaries, and outcomes. And if you view what you're doing as a game, it's
much easier to not take yourself so seriously and to realize it's not personal. They're making
moves. You're making moves. Where does that get us? And the last one, which we could talk about
for 17 hours, is systems. There are lakes and there are rivers. And I live near the Hudson. The Hudson River looks
a little bit like a lake, but it's not because it has a current. And currents are the invisible or
non-invisible forces that push us in a given direction. Fighting a current, fighting a system
might be worthwhile, but you better do it on purpose. So a lot of the things we're going to talk about today are, yeah, but what system are you in?
And how is the system pushing you to act in a way you don't want to act?
So let's talk about, you said we could use strategy for improving our family.
Using that as the example, let's talk through those four components.
So time.
Okay.
So, if we're going to focus on family, let's say you have a seven-year-old kid.
Your seven-year-old kid is going to be eight next year.
The effort that you're putting into developing your relationship and this person is not so
that they will be the perfect seven-year-old.
It's so that they will go on a path to become an
adult who is self-sustained, satisfied, confident, etc. When we think about the seven-year-old,
what do they want? Well, empathy teaches us that what they want is status, affiliation,
and the freedom from fear. Those are the three things everybody wants. So what do they mean?
Well, if a seven-year-old
is being oppositional and you say, time to go to bed, and they say no, they might be tired,
but they're saying no because their status goes up if they defeat you, right? And affiliation
is people's desire to be connected, to fit in, to be part of something. So when we alienate someone in our
family because we want to get something right now, we have sacrificed our connection, our affiliation.
And the last one is freedom from fear. So if a kid's at summer camp, and I helped run a summer
camp for 43 years, is homesick. Homesickness isn't a real thing. It is fear of a real thing,
homesickness isn't a real thing. It is fear of a real thing, right? That a kid is safe,
surrounded by friendly kids, but they're homesick because they're afraid of what might happen.
We don't deny the fear. We acknowledge the fear. We name the fear. We talk through the fear and then offer affiliation. And then over time, that person can get to where they hope to go. So all of these
things, they're not manipulations. They're the empathy of having strategy to intentionally
make relationships and people better. And as soon as you do that and depersonalize it and realize
it's a game, when your seven-year-old swears at you, you don't take it personally and you don't yell back because you see what they're doing and you understand it with empathy.
What are the systems at play in a family?
So there are therapists who are trained in this and I am not.
But let me tell you some of the systems that are going on.
First of all, that seven-year-old wants a smartphone.
Why?
Because their peers have a smartphone. Because the smartphone has a network effect. Because if they don't have one, their
status is going to go down, their affiliation will be broken, and the system just keeps reinforcing
that. We have to push against that if we're going to have a different outcome. There is the system
within families of people wanting to fit in all the way but stand up, wanting to be part of
something but separate from something. There is the college industrial complex, which is a huge,
powerful system that pushes people from a very early age to think that they have to go to a
famous college and that has created the conditions for parents to think they are failures if their
kids don't get into a famous college. And to go into quarter million dollars into debt, these are systems. So, you know,
I coached a kid down the street who just went to college. And the application process feels like
you're being judged. You're not being judged. Your application is being judged. You're playing a game.
Once you see the system, once you realize
that 50% of the people who get into Harvard get in because of sports, et cetera, et cetera, et
cetera, you can play a different game and not take it so personally and end up achieving what you
want to achieve by helping them achieve what they want to achieve. So there are games within games,
systems within systems. None of us are doing this all by ourselves. You talk about there being a couple of myths with systems. One is that we have unlimited power,
which is basically to ignore that systems are at work, right? More or less. Like,
I could just do whatever I want. It's all up to me. And then the other myth is that we have
no power. And you say that the power lies somewhere between infinity and zero. And I
think that question of understanding what things we can change and what things we cannot change
is a really difficult one. We often set up straw men to make it seem easy. You can't change the
weather, but you can't change your clothes, you clothes, something dumb like that. But this is really hard. And when you start talking about complex systems, it gets even harder.
Yeah. Yeah. This is brilliant. It gets right back to which wolf are you feeding?
Because left to our own devices, none of us would feed the bad wolf. It's systems and pressure and
fear that causes us to do that. And the easiest thing to do is become a victim. I'm just doing my job.
I just got to feed the family. I just got to pay the bills. And the next thing we know,
we've been working for a cigarette company for 10 years and we have a drinking problem because
we let the system win. But the alternative is to believe that the system doesn't affect us
whatsoever and that we can just do exactly what we want to do. So the dance in between them, acknowledging our privilege, but also acknowledging that we don't
have complete control, forces us to do the adult thing, which is to see the system, name the system,
and pick our shots. As a parent, you got to think really hard about, are you going to tell the school system,
I'm not participating? Are you going to tell the school system, I'm participating, but
my kid's going to say whatever they feel like saying, and we don't care about grades? Are you
going to tell the school system, I will do exactly what you say all the time, right? Clearly, there's
something in between those that makes you a great parent. And there's no map. There's no easy
checklist. There's just a compass. And the compass is, can I define, describe what this kid is going
to be like when they're 22? Can I tell you the stories that they're going to tell about their
childhood? Now, how do I create the conditions for that to happen?
And so, you know, I think on one level, it's easy to distinguish strategy from tactics, strategy being the overall plan, the tactics being what do I do next? I think you say somewhere that a strategy is just like all the tactics after each other. And yet you can't define all that completely in advance. So how do we think about strategy changing over time?
I guess these are generalized questions and I'm trying to maybe anchor us on something
a little bit more specific.
But how do we think about when our strategy is either we had the wrong goal or we've got the wrong plan to get there.
Right. So strategies are hard to come up with and worth sticking with. Tactics change all the time.
You can have secret tactics, but you shouldn't have a secret strategy. So if we can keep talking
about this child rearing thing, if your vision of the 22-year-old is that they're going
to be self-assured and independent, that's a strategy you can stick with for a very long time.
What might be a tactic? A tactic might be that when they're seven, they build a website to post
their poetry on. Not because it's a sign, but because they can. When they're eight,
Not because it's a sign, but because they can.
When they're eight, you encourage them to run a lemonade stand to raise money for charity.
You have them do projects, not just get an A. You create the conditions for them to be able to point to things they did that weren't just
complying.
Now, some of them you're going to discover, my kid's terrible at that.
They hate that.
There's too much fear. So your tactics change. But your compass is still the same.
I want to raise an independent, confident kid. That's a strategy. And you can ask for help on
which tactics. But if someone says, no, don't do that. Raise a kid who is compliant, obedient,
and afraid, you're going to say, no, I'm not going to do that. Not allowed. I'm not changing my strategy.
I'm Jason Alexander.
And I'm Peter Tilden.
And together on the Really No Really podcast,
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I want to pause for a quick Good Wolf reminder. This one's about a habit change and a mistake I
see people making. And that's really that we don't think about these new habits that we want to add
in the context of our entire life, right? Habits don't happen in a vacuum. They have to fit in the
life that we have. So when we just keep adding, I should do this, I should do that, I should do this,
we get discouraged because we haven't really thought about what we're not going to do
in order to make that happen. So it's really helpful for you to think about
where is this going to fit and what in my life might I need to remove. If you want a step-by-step
guide for how you can easily build new habits that feed your good wolf, go to goodwolf.me
slash change and join the free masterclass. I want to raise a confident, self-assured child
is a strategy, but it's sort of a goal, right?
The strategy is going to be more than that.
Yes.
So there's something between stating a goal and stating a tactic that you're pointing at here,
right?
The strategy in that case would be, I will create the conditions for them to encounter apparent
risk. And when they survive things that have apparent risk, they will realize
that their narrative about risk can be expanded. I will create the conditions where there isn't a
lot of reassurance, but there is the ability for them to succeed, not by pandering to them,
but by building scaffolding so that they can get better at what they do.
That is a strategy with meat on it. So, for example, there's a school called the Acton
Academy. I don't know if you've talked about it on the show or not. So, it's 120 kids in one
building and there's only two adults. One adult is the custodian whose job is to keep things clean and
to keep the other adult from doing anything. That's it. So these kids, starting from the time
they're five, every week they have to announce what they want to learn. They get a report card
twice a week and they can learn anything they want. And they learn it from each other or by doing research.
And they do that for 12 years. And when they're done, these kids outperform on every metric of
mental health and performance because they're enrolled in the journey. Now, if your strategy
is, I need to show I'm a good parent by fitting in to the dominant system. You will never send your kid to an active academy.
It's a bad tactic for your strategy because you have to explain over and over again to
your peers what crazy thing you're doing.
On the other hand, if your strategy is the one we just described, you're going to think
seriously about this because it's a tactic that aligns with your strategy.
because it's a tactic that aligns with your strategy.
So that's a big global thing,
but the smaller things are the ones that matter.
So I produced the fourth grade musical years ago at a local school.
It was The Wizard of Oz.
And my strategy was these 60 kids are going to grow
as a result of this event
by me creating the conditions for growth.
My strategy was not, I will look good by putting on the best performance of The Wizard of Oz that
anyone has ever seen, because that's what most directors seek to do. So for example, we had four
Dorothys, four Tin Men, four whatever, and we kept swapping them in and out as the play went on. So
16 kids got to be the star, not four. And we spent the first two weeks of rehearsals with no script whatsoever,
just teaching kids to be loud, just teaching them to stand up and speak loud, and on and on and on.
All of these tactics, so that 15 years later, kids would say to me, I still remember being
in The Wizard of Oz when I was 10 years old. And that's a choice. That's a strategy of what we seek to do, the change we seek to make.
So that's a great example. So let's explore systems through that lens. What were the systems
in that case that you were interacting with?
Okay. So the biggest system for sure was the parent industrial complex.
So, for example, I had been a soccer coach when the kids were much younger. I got kicked out
of coaching because my team didn't win one game. And the parents acted like there was a trophy
shortage. These kids were six. There isn't a trophy shortage. There is a confidence shortage.
There's a competence shortage. So, every single kid got to play and I taught them the things
they needed to learn as opposed to figuring out how to beat other six-year-olds at soccer,
which isn't the point. So I knew when I was doing this musical that parents were going to say,
but it's not a good version of The Wizard of Oz. I prepared for that early and often.
it's not a good version of the Wizard of Oz. I prepared for that early and often.
And there was also the system of the school because they're giving me the space and blah,
blah, blah. So how do I make it so that the principal's status with the community goes up when she lets me do this? How do I give her stories to tell, ideas and pictures to share
so that parents say to her, you're doing a good job
because there's a system in place. I'm not by myself. And if I got the parents on my team
and the principal on my team, then I can pull it off. But first I had to acknowledge
the dominant system. And you brought empathy in thinking about how to make what the
principal's challenges were. And I assume you also did the
same with the parents. You had empathy for what they're after.
I got to say to 16 sets of parents, your kid's the star of the show, right? That was a huge win.
That gave me like a month of cover. Because the last thing that we did was we had six dress
rehearsals and one performance. Because I wanted the kids
to feel like it was showtime without the hassle of parents putting pressure on them. So that by
the time we got to the last one, they were totally grooved. They were like, fine. We didn't make
drama around the last one for the kids. Because the dress rehearsals in private was what made
them excited. So by the time there was the one and only performance, it didn't matter that it wasn't a great version of The Wizard of Oz. What mattered was they saw their kids light up beaming, and there was no time to then come back to me with notes about how to make The Wizard of Oz better.
Just how bad was it in the end?
I'm really curious to have seen it now.
Well, okay.
So here's one of the things that you can do if you have some spare time.
Go on YouTube and look up bad performances of middle school orchestras.
Because they're really, really bad.
Really bad.
And the reason they're bad is that the people who are conducting the orchestras
care very much about repertoire and
music. And they give kids music that's just a little too difficult for them. And so their
desire for status is associated with the canon that they're approaching. What they should do is
play the same three songs every year, because they don't need to do new songs. And they should do is play the same three songs every year because they don't need to do new songs.
And they should pick songs that are totally in the realm of delight for kids that would sound good to the kids.
But again, when the status and the systems collide, we end up with stuff that we don't like.
So my answer is it was fantastic.
But Judy Garland was not in it.
Yeah.
Well, interestingly, I saw a middle school choir concert sometime in the last six months,
and it was really bad.
But I think hearing you talk now, I think part of what made it really bad was how good
the music teachers wanted it to be.
They were very serious people.
I could tell that.
They were very serious people.
And what made it so bad was just how dead it was.
It would be hard-pressed to get a bunch of middle schoolers to have less energy than this thing had, right?
Right. Exactly.
So I think what we've uncovered here is that strategy is misunderstood.
And strategy is everywhere.
It's not just how do I get people to buy more of my whatever item it is.
And the thing that we haven't talked about is how we change systems, systems that we
care about, systems of oppression, systems that are getting in the way.
systems that are getting in the way. And the thing is that a lot of self-motivation is internal,
but systems change is always external. And that comes from community action.
When we find the others, when we feed their better wolves, then the system begins to change. So the opportunity we have is to build
circles, circles of people that reinforce choices because we're going together. And when that
happens, when you're standing next to the others, you end up with more resilience because they're
feeding your wolf and you're feeding theirs.
You mentioned self-improvement as an internal thing, right? But even in that case, sort of an internal thing, right? You referenced the famous marshmallow test, which is a measure of
self-control. It was a Stanford experiment where you gave kids one marshmallow and said,
if you don't eat this one marshmallow,
I'll come back in a little while and give you two. And it appeared that this was all about kids' self-control and that it predicted future outcomes. But it was more complicated than that
because it was part of a system. Yeah. So this experiment, the data is fascinating. They've
covered these people for more than 20 years. And we're talking about kids who are three and four years old. The experimenter leaves the room with a three-year-old
and a marshmallow and comes back. And if the kid hasn't eaten the marshmallow, that kid's going to
get into a more famous college. That kid's going to make more money. That kid's going to report
more happiness, et cetera, et cetera. So the takeaway, as you said, is grit and self-control is the key to thriving in Western
civilization. And my argument is it's not controlled because poor kids, kids from broken
homes, kids who haven't had privilege, are used to people breaking their promises, adults breaking
their promises, adults saying there'll be dinner and there is no dinner. And if that's the way you grow up, when an adult says, don't eat the marshmallow and you'll get a bonus, you're like, hey, you know what?
I need to eat the marshmallow because I don't know if you're coming back.
And we can do something about this by building communities that support kids who end up believing in themselves enough that they can
wait for the second marshmallow. And it's not something we're born with. It's something we can
learn. Absolutely. Yeah. I mean, I agree. I find that experiment fascinating because at first
glance, it almost seems to be a, well, if I didn't have good self-control at three, I'm doomed, right? I'm not
going to be any good at things. The other thing that they did find in that experiment was they
could teach those children how to delay to the second marshmallow. So even then they could see
ways of teaching the child. But I think that the thing that you illustrated is the second
fascinating piece, which is, yeah, depending on what a child believes
about adults' trustworthiness, grabbing the marshmallow might be absolutely the smartest
thing you could do, you know, and it didn't control for that and it didn't understand those
factors. And when I was 18, I formed a nonprofit program to tutor disadvantaged children from generally very poor schools. And it was so
evident then that what children of an affluent school and children of a school like this,
how different the circumstances were. If you send a child home in an upper middle class
background with homework, there was a reasonable chance somebody might say, hey, how about the
homework? You're working on the homework. You sent a child home with homework
in these other systems that wasn't even on the radar. It was just chaos.
So this shifts into the next thing, which is the idea of false proxies, which is so important.
False proxies are things that are easy to measure, but not helpful. So if you're hiring a programmer,
that are easy to measure, but not helpful. So if you're hiring a programmer, knowing how many words per minute they type isn't helpful because it's easy to measure how many words per minute someone
types, but it's not relevant to whether they're going to do a good job. And, you know, if you've
got one of these things on your wrist and it's measuring things, is it measuring things that help you address the things
that you're trying to change that align with your strategy? Or is it simply measuring things that
are easy? And one of the things that we have the opportunity to do is walk away from false proxies. So in my case, I don't use Twitter, Facebook, LinkedIn, any of them,
because I would be under pressure to make those numbers go up. But those numbers are not related
to the change I seek to make in the world. I know that I have some one-star reviews on Amazon. I
have not read one in 10 years. And that means I can't read the five-star reviews either. So I don't read any of the reviews because I've never met an author who said, oh yeah,
I read all my one-star reviews and now I'm better at writing. It doesn't make us better at writing.
It just feeds the wrong wolf. It persuades us that we're no good. When it really means,
I didn't like your stuff because it wasn't for me, right? So we need to seek out, actively seek out useful proxies, right? If I am good at this,
it is likely that I'm getting closer to the thing I seek to do. I'll give you one specific example.
Years ago, I did the swim across Long Island Sound because I like to swim and I thought this
would be a fun challenge. And they put you in a boat and they take you miles out into the ocean. You have to swim home. And the boat totally freaked me out because there were all
these people on the boat in their fancy suits with their oils and their lotions and trash talking
each other, hyping themselves up to get a good time on the swim. And I got in the water and I
swam too fast for the first half mile. And then I wiped myself out, right? Because I was using the proxy of how do I please these people? How do I fit in
here and earn their status? Instead of saying swimming is a lonely sport, I'm going to swim
by myself. It doesn't matter what the people on the boat think. And we spend too much time on the
wrong boats thinking about what people think as opposed to getting back to our
strategy of what is the change we seek to make? Who are we here to change? Who are we here to help?
How do I bring tactics to be able to do that? I'm Jason Alexander.
And I'm Peter Tilden.
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This is such a difficult thing to do.
to do. Because when we start to think about wanting to make change, I don't know how much of it is natural human thing and how much of it is cultural imposed, but there's always,
it's got to be more. If I'm helping 10 people, I really should be helping 10,000. And once I do
that, I need to help a million. And once I help, and it just goes on and you're right. You can
start to pay attention to all the wrong things.
I've talked about this a lot with the show, right?
Like there's intrinsic and extrinsic motivation, right?
Yeah.
On one hand, I pay attention to downloads because downloads are part of how we make a living.
So I can't ignore it.
But if I give it too much attention, I end up very unhappy, right?
much attention, I end up very unhappy, right? Both I'm unhappy and I'm not probably doing a great job. When I turn my focus to what am I trying to do? Why am I doing it? Things get better.
To me, it feels like it's sort of a consistent redirection. Bad wolf over there. I don't even
know if I want to call it bad wolf, but not useful wolf over there. And over here is the
good wolf that's going to help me. And it's
this consistent redirection, particularly given that we swim in systems that are trying to measure
all these things. Right. Well, you bring up two points. Let's do the old one and then shift to
the new one. The old one is you've got a false proxy right in front of you. Downloads is not
a useful proxy for the importance and impact of this podcast.
It's just not. And you need to find a better proxy and measure that relentlessly because it
will make the podcast better. But you must ignore the other one because you can't do anything to
make your downloads go up. So it's not worth you knowing. And then the second one about this idea of more,
it is directly related to industrialism and Western culture. So I've spent time in little
villages that had no electricity. And the spiritual leader there, I just bought a solar
lantern. And I said to him, what are you doing with the solar lantern? And he sat me down,
we sit on my front lawn.
I have 24 people in my congregation, and we just wait for it to break.
It's something to talk about.
And he's not saying, how am I going to get 50 people to come here?
He's got 24 people he needs to take care of.
That's it.
And when you have a farm, you're not going to get any more acres.
You grow what you grow.
If you can make a tree more productive, that's fine, but it's unlikely. Once you have a factory and you're leveraged and you've
borrowed the money and your competitors have borrowed the money and there's another machine
for you to buy, all of a sudden more becomes the nature of it. And the thing is people who are very
successful get hooked on that. And we think about the richest people on earth.
They are working harder than you and me.
Why?
What game are they playing?
And why are they playing that game?
Right?
And so the opportunity is to say, how do I do better?
Not how do I do more?
And the lovely silver lining is if you do better, you get more.
Yeah.
Let's change direction a little bit here.
This probably isn't even the right thing to talk about in the podcast, but I can't help it.
I can't help it.
Because you talk about flipping a coin 10 times and there's a slim chance you'll get 10 heads in a row.
And I talk about this idea that when you roll a die, it's not more likely that the next roll is going to be a six again because there was just a six because the dice doesn't know what it rolled before.
Correct. You then went on to say something that explains something that I've seen fancy mathematical formulas never do, which is that the coin doesn't know what it did yesterday.
Each flip is an independent event, but time knows.
Time keeps score over the long run.
Right.
So let's assert for a minute that the system we're in is actually fair,
that the system we're in doesn't judge us or know about our personality.
That's coin flipping, right?
We know that if you flip a coin enough times,
it's going to come out even, give or take. There's some physics involved, but give or take.
So that means that over time, it has to even out. That doesn't increase the chances that you're
going to get a tail next time if you got six heads in a row. But it does mean that if we do 20 more,
if you got six heads in a row. But it does mean that if we do 20 more, it's probably going to regress to the mean. Now, the danger of knowing this is you then apply it to applying for a job.
You say to yourself, I've applied for 20 jobs. I've been rejected every time. So the odds are,
if I keep going, it's going to work out. What's missing from that is the system isn't fair and
the system is already judging you somehow. Something about your background or your resume
or which job you're applying for, whatever, needs to change because repeating what you did yesterday,
this is someone who got 800 book rejections in a row my first year in the business,
doesn't work. What works is learning from something, not just the rejection, but going
deeper and improving what you do to make it a better fit for what you're trying to accomplish.
And so we have to balance both those things. Understand how probability works,
but also understand we don't live in a fair world.
Right. And I think talking about things that are really hard to know, one of them being like, what can I control and what can't I? The other is, is what I'm doing
not going to work? Meaning then I need to change it? Or is what I'm doing hasn't worked yet?
Right. I mean, I think you have a book about this, right?
Exactly. It's such a challenge in our fast-moving Western world to navigate this. But the thing is,
almost everything rhymes with what came before. Someone is going to win the lottery. It's
probably not going to be you. Somebody is going to be the first X to do something. It's probably
not going to be you. So the opportunity we have is to pattern match. So my first book proposals were idiosyncratic.
They were delightful to me. They were unique and original. And nobody in book publishing
could find the confidence to say yes to that because who was I? But as soon as I said,
this is just like this, but with a little twist. Oh, we can match that pattern.
And then I was off to the races. And only 20 years later was I able to come up with things
that are original that no one had ever done before, like a book about quitting. But I couldn't
do that the first day because I didn't have the ability, the right to do it in their eyes.
And to the empathy that I got from John Boswell, who wasn't very nice to me about it, but I learned
so much was, oh, I am being self-absorbed and arrogant by insisting my books are better.
Instead of saying, you have good taste. This rhymes with what you like.
You just mentioned the lottery, and that leads me to something else that you talk about in the
book that I really like, which is the difference between a good decision and a good outcome. So share with me that difference.
Well, for the people who have made it this far in the podcast, this is a gem. It's from my friend,
Annie Duke. This will change your life. Here we go. We're doing a little telepathy right now.
Think hard about a decision, a good decision you made in the last six months. A really good decision. You got it? Got it in mind? Yeah.
Yeah? Okay. Did it turn out well? Everyone says yes. That's what made it a good decision,
they say. It turned out well. They're unrelated. Buying a lottery ticket, even if you win,
is a bad decision because the math is against you. The odds are against you. It doesn't make sense. It's not a good way to increase your money. If you start congratulating yourself for decision-making
because it worked, you don't understand how decision-making works. If you make the right
decision and it doesn't work, that's okay. You still made the right decision. Good for you.
And we need to let go of our attachment to the outcome because that's not
how you make a good decision. Make a good decision by knowing what you know now, understanding what
came before and making a choice. And if you did that with rigor, it was a good decision no matter
what happens. Yeah. For example, I, for some reason, we seem to be talking about coin flips and dice, and I went to the casino recently, and I won money.
It was still, from a financial perspective, not a good decision, right?
Going to the casino with the goal of having more money is a bad decision, correct?
Now, from the perspective of having a good time and spending time with my friends, maybe a good decision in that regard.
But from a financial perspective, the fact that I won money that night does not, it just was a happen to be a good outcome. But yes, playing a
game in a casino is a bad decision if you're just caring about finances. And so, you know,
it's really being able to separate those two things is such a useful idea.
Yeah. I mean, I've done more projects than most people and I have failed way more than most people
and people point to my successes and they say, I'm really good at this. No, what I'm really good at
is launching projects in a way that if they don't work, I'm still in the game. I never put all my
chips into a project because I know it might not work, but I still did it like a professional.
And if it doesn't work, that's okay because I get to do it again tomorrow.
So last thing here, I'm just going to read something you wrote and let you just say a
couple words about it as a way to go out here. You say, when the person you could have been
meets the person you are becoming, is it going to be a cause for celebration or heartbreak?
And I'll let you finish this any way you want with that prompt.
I can't believe I wrote that, because when I read it, it choked me up.
It doesn't happen to me very often when I'm writing.
The person you could have been, the one you're dreaming to become,
the one with high aspirations and who wants to make a difference,
that person, a year from now and five years from now,
is going to meet the person you are going to become.
And if those two people get along, thank you and congratulations. But if they don't, because the other one didn't have a
strategy, the other one got buffeted by systems, the other one made bad decisions, that's where
heartbreak comes in. Because we know we could have. And what I'm trying to help people do is
not lower their expectations, but instead raise them and
meet them by deciding it's worth it to have a strategy because the work is worth doing.
Beautiful. Seth, thank you so much for coming on. It's been such a pleasure to talk with you.
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I'm Jason Alexander.
And I'm Peter Tilden.
And together, our mission on the Really Know Really podcast is to get the true answers to life's baffling questions like why the bathroom door doesn't go all the way to the floor,
what's in the museum of failure, and does your dog truly love you?
We have the answer.
Go to reallyknowreally.com and register to win $500,
a guest spot on our podcast, or a limited edition signed Jason bobblehead.
The Really Know Really podcast.
Follow us on the iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts.