The Peter Attia Drive - Qualy #53 - Screening for prostate cancer
Episode Date: November 5, 2019Today's episode of The Qualys is from podcast #39 – Ted Schaeffer, M.D., Ph.D.: How to catch, treat, and survive prostate cancer. The Qualys is a subscriber-exclusive podcast, released Tuesday... through Friday, and published exclusively on our private, subscriber-only podcast feed. Qualys is short-hand for “qualifying round,” which are typically the fastest laps driven in a race car—done before the race to determine starting position on the grid for race day. The Qualys are short (i.e., “fast”), typically less than ten minutes, and highlight the best questions, topics, and tactics discussed on The Drive. Occasionally, we will also release an episode on the main podcast feed for non-subscribers, which is what you are listening to now. Learn more: https://peterattiamd.com/podcast/qualys/ Subscribe to receive access to all episodes of The Qualys (and other exclusive subscriber-only content): https://peterattiamd.com/subscribe/ Connect with Peter on Facebook.com/PeterAttiaMD | Twitter.com/PeterAttiaMD | Instagram.com/PeterAttiaMD
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                                         Welcome to the Qualies, a subscriber exclusive podcast.
                                         
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                                         [♪ OUTRO MUSIC PLAYING [♪ [♪ OUTRO MUSIC PLAYING [♪ [♪ OUTRO MUSIC PLAYING [♪ [♪ OUTRO MUSIC PLAYING [♪ [♪ OUTRO MUSIC PLAYING [♪ [♪ OUTRO MUSIC PLAYING [♪ [♪ OUTRO MUSIC PLAYING [♪ [♪ OUTRO MUSIC PLAYING [♪ [♪ OUTRO MUSIC PLAYING [♪ [♪ OUTRO MUSIC PLAYING [♪ [♪ OUTRO MUSIC PLAYING [♪ [♪ OUTRO MUSIC PLAYING [♪ [♪ OUTRO MUSIC PLAYING [♪ [♪ OUTRO MUSIC PLAYING [♪ [♪ OUTRO MUSIC PLAYING [♪ [♪ OUTRO MUSIC PLAYING [♪ [♪ OUTRO MUSIC PLAYING [♪ [♪ OUTRO MUSIC PLAYING [♪ [♪ OUTRO MUSIC PLAYING [♪ [♪ OUTRO MUSIC PLAYING [♪ [♪ OUTRO MUSIC PLAYING [♪ [♪ OUTRO MUSIC PLAYING [♪ [♪ OUTRO MUSIC PLAYING [♪ [♪ OUTRO MUSIC PLAYING [♪ [♪ OUTRO MUSIC PLAYING [♪ [♪ OUTRO MUSIC PLAYING [♪ OUTRO MUSIC [♪ [♪ OUTRO MUSIC [♪ [♪ OUTRO MUSIC [♪ [♪ OUTRO MUSIC [♪ [♪ OUTRO MUSIC [♪ [♪ OUTRO MUSIC [♪ [♪ OUTRO MUSIC [♪ OUTRO MUSIC [♪ [♪ OUTRO MUSIC [♪ [♪ OUT [♪ OUTRO MUSIC [♪ [♪ OUTRO MUSIC [♪ [♪ OUTRO MUSIC [♪ OUTRO MUSIC [♪ OUTRO MUSIC [♪ [♪ OUTRO MUSIC [♪ [♪ OUTRO [♪ [♪ [♪ [♪ [♪ [♪ [♪ OUTRO [♪ [♪ OUT [♪ OUTRO [♪ OUTRO [♪ OUT [♪ OUT So without further delay, I hope you enjoy today's quality. Let's talk a little bit about prostate cancer because it's not a cancer that comes without
                                         
                                         its controversy.
                                         
                                         So, let's start with the biggest kind of risk, or certainly one of the biggest controversies,
                                         
                                         or things that would confuse the lay person because about every year the advice changes
                                         
                                         on this thing called PSA.
                                         
                                         So, what is the prostate specific antigen? PSA is a protein. It's made by the prostate,
                                         
    
                                         and its normal function is to liquefy semen. So it's highly expressed in the process. So the way I
                                         
                                         explained the prostate to people, it's the best analogy I can come up with is if you think about it
                                         
                                         like a sewer system, you have the main sewer leaving the city.
                                         
                                         That's the urethra.
                                         
                                         That's the tube that we normally urinate through.
                                         
                                         But this channel also delivers semen out the tip of the penis.
                                         
                                         Off this main sewer are slightly smaller sewers that go to different neighborhoods.
                                         
                                         Within the neighborhood, there's a sewer that comes out of the individual house.
                                         
    
                                         And the individual houses in this analogy are prostate epithelial cells.
                                         
                                         They make components of the semen.
                                         
                                         And the semen is used to give nutrients to the sperm while it's trying to fertilize an
                                         
                                         egg, to enable the sperm to penetrate the cervical mucus, these different functions.
                                         
                                         PSA is a protein that breaks down the semen and liquefies it and people think it's an important for for this whole process of
                                         
                                         fertilizing an egg. So that's what it does. And if you look in the semen, the PSA
                                         
                                         numbers are 100 million per ml. I mean the numbers the amount of this protein in
                                         
                                         the semen is astronomically high. So that's what it is, that's what it does.
                                         
    
                                         So how do we use it as a tool to screen for prostate cancer?
                                         
                                         Well, we check the values of the PSA in the blood.
                                         
                                         So since the prostate is a sexual gland, if you check the values of a PSA and a eight-year-old
                                         
                                         boy, it would be zero.
                                         
                                         Because there's no testosterone in that boy, there's no sexual development in that boy, and therefore there's, you know, I mean, there's some,
                                         
                                         but effectively no. Before puberty, there's very little levels of testosterone,
                                         
                                         there's no effectively prostate epithelium, and there's no PSA. As a boy goes through puberty to
                                         
                                         become a young man, and then as he goes through the aging process, his prostate develops. And then it starts to produce PSA as part of the components of the
                                         
    
                                         semen. Now, there is a certain amount of leakage of the PSA fluid into the bloodstream. It's not
                                         
                                         quote unquote supposed to leak into the bloodstream, but it can. And as the prostate gets bigger, so think about this concept of this underground sewer system, the New York City sewers, right?
                                         
                                         They're getting older, they're getting leaky here. And the bigger the prostate gets, and the
                                         
                                         prostate gets larger, as we get older, some of these pipes get leaky, and some of the PSA leaks
                                         
                                         into the blood. So it was discovered in the 80s that there's this prostate-specific
                                         
                                         protein that you can pick up in the semen and you can also see in the blood. And so it is not cancer
                                         
                                         specific. It's prostate-specific and it's actually a very good biomarker for prostate size,
                                         
                                         the bigger the prostate, the more leaky it is, so to speak, and the
                                         
    
                                         leaky it is, the higher the numbers can go in the bloodstream.
                                         
                                         So there's two variables that can progress over time.
                                         
                                         The size itself, which you could talk about that independent size, so two 30-year-olds,
                                         
                                         one guy's got a five gram prostate, the other guy's got a hundred gram prostate just
                                         
                                         to make it extreme.
                                         
                                         You should see a difference.
                                         
                                         But also two guys with the same size prostate that are two decades apart, you might see a higher
                                         
                                         PSA in the older.
                                         
    
                                         That's right.
                                         
                                         So, and if you do, for example, like we were always taught, you know, in, you know, residency,
                                         
                                         even though I wasn't a gyrologist, you still once in a while have to, you know, we still
                                         
                                         did a urology rotation.
                                         
                                         If I recall, you wouldn't check a PSA on a man right after doing a rectal exam on it,
                                         
                                         because in theory, that could artificially have raised
                                         
                                         the PSA, presumably by creating more of an insult
                                         
                                         and increasing that flow.
                                         
    
                                         Pushing some of it into the blood, the bloodstream.
                                         
                                         So what can make the PSA rise besides just having,
                                         
                                         getting older and having a larger prostate?
                                         
                                         Well, if you get an infection in your prostate.
                                         
                                         So think about that like you got your city, you have your sewer network, if you get an infection in your prostate, so think about that like
                                         
                                         you got your city, you have your sewer network, and there's an earthquake. All the pipes are
                                         
                                         rattled a little bit, and they all are extra leaky, and that's what an infection is. It's not
                                         
                                         infections in the prostate are either all are none really. They're not focal. So the whole prostate
                                         
    
                                         gets more leaky, and the PSA number can go way up. The other way to think about it is if you have a cancer
                                         
                                         and the analogy would be, there's a city block that has the pipes,
                                         
                                         you know, the sewer systems clogged. There's more backflow into the bloodstream
                                         
                                         and that's how it pick it up. That's not really how it happens, but that's a good way for patients to think about it.
                                         
                                         So what is a normal PSA? Well, a normal PSA is age adjusted.
                                         
                                         So a normal PSA for a 40-year-old is around 0.5 to 0.6 nanograms per ml.
                                         
                                         For a 50-year-old, normal meaning this is the median for all the population.
                                         
                                         For a 50-year-old, it's 1.
                                         
    
                                         And so it kind of goes up stepwise by decade.
                                         
                                         So there are age adjustments that we do for the PSA number. Now what are PSA
                                         
                                         numbers that tell you you don't have a cancer? There's no PSA number that is 100% no cancer.
                                         
                                         But there is a proportional rise in cancer detection with rising PSA numbers. So
                                         
                                         originally the cutoff was set up a PSA of four. We do, you know, we think about things more based on the individual scenarios.
                                         
                                         So if you're a younger person, if your PSA is more than 2.5, that's usually considered
                                         
                                         to be abnormal and may want, you may need further workup.
                                         
                                         You don't need to buy up, you're right away these days, in my opinion, but you need further
                                         
    
                                         workup.
                                         
                                         So it depends on the age of the patient and depends on how also their prostate size. Now, how many guys will go and when they get their PSA check, there's
                                         
                                         another thing that gets checked called the free PSA and then a number is reported, which
                                         
                                         is the percentage free, which is obviously that, you know, if their PSA is three and their
                                         
                                         free PSA is one, then the percent free is reported is 33%. What does that mean? These are different ways for urologists to try to fine-tune this prostate-specific
                                         
                                         antigen test to make it more a cancer-specific test. So again, PSA just goes
                                         
                                         up when you have an every man has it's not cancer-specific. So percent-free
                                         
                                         PSA was the first way that urologists began to look at, well, what's the chance
                                         
    
                                         that a PSA of four is coming from a cancer
                                         
                                         versus a PSA of four coming from just benign overgrowth.
                                         
                                         So remember, there's a lot of factors in play.
                                         
                                         One would be if you had a man whose prostate volume
                                         
                                         was 80 grams, that's big, and his PSA was four,
                                         
                                         well, that's a low ratio. That's something called PSA
                                         
                                         density, how much PSA is made per gram of tissue. So you'd say, well, that guy, it's very low
                                         
                                         chance that he has a cancer. That guy would also have a high percent-free PSA. So percent-free PSA
                                         
    
                                         is another way to just look at, well at how much of the PSA is produced
                                         
                                         from benign cells versus cancer cells. So if two guys have a PSA of four and one has
                                         
                                         a free of one, so he's 25% free and the other guy has a free of three, which is 75% free,
                                         
                                         what's the different physiologically in those situations? Well, there's less bound PSA in the lower percent free, and that's more often associated with prostate cancer.
                                         
                                         So, that's just a correlation. So, it's not like it means that...
                                         
                                         In other words, it's hard... You can't infer what?
                                         
                                         Because I would have assumed that the binding protein is in the periphery.
                                         
                                         It's in the plasma, right?
                                         
    
                                         Yeah, it's bound up when it comes out of the epithelial cell.
                                         
                                         So it's just how it's processed.
                                         
                                         So PSA's process is not a full length protein
                                         
                                         when it's born.
                                         
                                         And so the other way that we now,
                                         
                                         so just for the listener,
                                         
                                         so we have absolute cutoffs for PSA for an older man,
                                         
                                         2.5 and younger man,
                                         
    
                                         but they're all really case specific in my opinion.
                                         
                                         Percent free PSA was the first way to say,
                                         
                                         let's try to fine tune what the PSA means.
                                         
                                         So a high percent free PSA is associated with a big prostate,
                                         
                                         less of a chance of prostate cancer.
                                         
                                         A low percent free PSA is associated with a higher likelihood
                                         
                                         that that PSA is produced from a gland with prostate cancer in it.
                                         
                                         The other variables that we use are PSA is produced from a gland with prostate cancer in it.
                                         
    
                                         The other variables that we use are PSA density.
                                         
                                         So that's highly predictive of what's going on in the prostate.
                                         
                                         So easy threshold or cutoff for you, Peter, we talk on the phone about some of your patients.
                                         
                                         Percent free PSA density more than 0.1.
                                         
                                         It raises a little bit of a red flag, a PSA density of more than 0.15, that raises
                                         
                                         a red flag.
                                         
                                         So think about it.
                                         
                                         And a median prostate volume for a 60-year-old guy is 40 grams.
                                         
    
                                         So 40-gram prostate, PSA less than four.
                                         
                                         It's probably, it's pretty safe.
                                         
                                         A PSA of six, six, that raises red flags.
                                         
                                         And you know the sum of your own patients that, okay, that guy probably has
                                         
                                         something going on. So that's how I think about it. Now,
                                         
                                         think about the 80 gram prostate with the PSA of four. Oh,
                                         
                                         you have these patients in your practice. They don't have
                                         
                                         cancer on average, right? A percent free PSA helps with that.
                                         
    
                                         There are two other new tests that. Yeah, so you got me on to
                                         
                                         the 4k two years ago. and I really consider it a game changer for
                                         
                                         the guys like me who were in the peanut gallery.
                                         
                                         So I don't, you know, I make it my job to know as much as is knowable with the time that
                                         
                                         I have about every possible disease that could have flicked my patients, but that means
                                         
                                         I need to spend as much time thinking about colon cancer as I do coronary artery disease,
                                         
                                         as I do prostate cancer.
                                         
                                         So for me, the fork, hey, which again,
                                         
    
                                         you didn't, I mean, you did me a great service.
                                         
                                         Not only did you get me interested in it,
                                         
                                         but you introduced me to Andrew at Memorial Sloan Kettering.
                                         
                                         I'm blanking on Andrew's last.
                                         
                                         Andrew Vickers.
                                         
                                         Vickers, yeah.
                                         
                                         Amazing guy.
                                         
                                         Yes.
                                         
    
                                         And I mean, the guy couldn't have been more generous
                                         
                                         with this time.
                                         
                                         I mean, just gave me the schooling.
                                         
                                         It was really on this topic.
                                         
                                         So good.
                                         
                                         We put together a patient hand out on this thing,
                                         
                                         and he even edited it for us.
                                         
                                         I feel like I'm worried not enough patients understand that,
                                         
    
                                         and I'm worried not enough primary care physicians
                                         
                                         understand the importance of the 4K test.
                                         
                                         Can you explain how that has changed the way we do things?
                                         
                                         So this test you're alluding to,
                                         
                                         and there's another test that performs equally well
                                         
                                         called the prostate health index or PHI test.
                                         
                                         These both leverage off this idea
                                         
                                         that prostate cancer cells make PSA differently
                                         
    
                                         than benign prostate cells.
                                         
                                         And so the 4K score is the 4k chalichrine test.
                                         
                                         It takes PSA, percent-free PSA, intact PSA, and HK2.
                                         
                                         It takes those four prostate-specific proteins produced.
                                         
                                         And it has a calculator to really just discriminate
                                         
                                         between a cancerous cell and a benign cell.
                                         
                                         PHI uses the similar concept.
                                         
                                         It uses something called minus 2 pro PSA,
                                         
    
                                         which is PSA for all the scientists out there
                                         
                                         plus two amino acids on the five prime side of it.
                                         
                                         So minus 2 pro PSA, right?
                                         
                                         And you measure those specific PSA base proteins
                                         
                                         in the blood.
                                         
                                         And the 4K score is great because Andrew Vickers and Hans
                                         
                                         Lillia developed it with this other great urologist, Peter Sgardino Memorial. And what they
                                         
                                         looked at was, well, what's the chance that this person is diagnosed with and has high
                                         
    
                                         grade aggressive lethal prostate cancer? And it gives you a percentile chance. So when
                                         
                                         you get the 4K report, it's actually a really nice report. It'll say 2% chance, 20% chance, and so forth. And so now as you start using this in your practice,
                                         
                                         they now also give you the PSA. So you can see the PSA, and you can say, wait a second,
                                         
                                         this guy's PSA 6, but his 4K score is 2, it's safe.
                                         
                                         What I really like about it is, and so when we do our, usually with our patients in their
                                         
                                         second year, sometimes in the first year, but using their second year when we do our, usually with our patients in their second year, sometimes
                                         
                                         in the first year, but usually in their second year, we do a cancer screening program
                                         
                                         where we kind of walk them through every single cancer that you could possibly die of, and
                                         
    
                                         then we go cancer by cancer, risk by risk, and it's a very lengthy process on the back
                                         
                                         end.
                                         
                                         For the patient, we simplified it, takes about 90 minutes to go through it. But for the males, when we come to this, I always view this as one of the better, I said
                                         
                                         I wish every cancer had a test like this because as we'll come back to, you know, pretty much
                                         
                                         every guy is going to die with prostate cancer.
                                         
                                         But fortunately, most men will not die from prostate cancer.
                                         
                                         That's right.
                                         
                                         But the job is to figure out when a guy has prostate cancer, is you alluded to earlier?
                                         
    
                                         Is this the bad one?
                                         
                                         Yeah.
                                         
                                         Or is this the one that, if you muck around with it too much?
                                         
                                         And so what I guess, Vickers and his team have been able to do is figure out that there's
                                         
                                         now enough data that you can basically turn this into a binary test, you know, which, so
                                         
                                         the PSA would be a continuous variable.
                                         
                                         Right.
                                         
                                         And when you want to test the sensitivity and specificity of a continuous variable, you have to use something called
                                         
    
                                         a receiver operating characteristic curve.
                                         
                                         And it becomes quite complicated because the question
                                         
                                         becomes what cut off?
                                         
                                         And as you alluded to, it's very difficult with PSA
                                         
                                         because it has to be age and volume adjusted.
                                         
                                         So now it's a three-dimensional receiver operating
                                         
                                         characteristic curve where you would have a different AUC,
                                         
                                         area under the
                                         
    
                                         curve for each point in time and volume. I mean, that becomes almost inconceivable. And yet, the 4k has
                                         
                                         basically allowed us to say the following. If your 4k score is less than 7.5%, and I might butcher
                                         
                                         the numbers a little bit, but that's right. But if it's less than 0.5%, the probability that you will be alive,
                                         
                                         the probability that you will die of metastatic prostate cancer is 1.6% in the next 20 years.
                                         
                                         Yeah, it's almost the lifetime of the patient.
                                         
                                         And that's based on this data from Andrews partner, a co-developer, Hans Lillia,
                                         
                                         where they had this incredible serenade base from Malmo Sweden.
                                         
                                         So they could track it.
                                         
    
                                         And then the reverse is, if you're greater than 7.5%,
                                         
                                         I think it's like 16 or 17% chance in 20 years.
                                         
                                         That's the binary cutoff is 7.5%.
                                         
                                         But it's a continuous variable.
                                         
                                         But above that, it's continuous.
                                         
                                         It's not like if you're above that, you know, it's a 50.
                                         
                                         So it varies based on the number.
                                         
                                         I hope you enjoyed today's quality.
                                         
    
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