The President's Daily Brief - February 14th, 2025: European Leaders Chastise Trump Over Putin Call & White House Unveils Plans For Reciprocal Tariffs On US Allies
Episode Date: February 14, 2025In this episode of The President's Daily Brief: We'll start things off in Europe, where leaders are criticizing the Trump administration following the president’s recent call with Vladimir P...utin seeking a negotiated settlement to the war in Ukraine. Later in the show, President Donald Trump ups the pressure on U.S. allies by announcing his plans for widespread "reciprocal tariffs" on American trading partners. Plus, in an apparent effort to thaw relations with the West, Belarus’s autocratic president and Kremlin ally releases an American prisoner and two others from jail. In our 'Back of the Brief' segment, Israel has uncovered a plot by Iran to smuggle cash to Hezbollah militants via Beirut’s international airport in an attempt to help the terror group rebuild its military operations. To listen to the show ad-free, become a premium member of The President’s Daily Brief by visiting PDBPremium.com. Please remember to subscribe if you enjoyed this episode of The President's Daily Brief. YouTube: youtube.com/@presidentsdailybrief Ramp: Get $250 when you join Ramp. Go to ramp.com/PDB. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
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It's Friday, 14 February.
Welcome to the President's Daily Brief.
I'm Mike Baker.
Your eyes and ears on the world stage.
And would you look at that?
It's Valentine's Day in the U.S.
And honestly, it's not too late to send me chocolates or flowers
or maybe those candy hearts with the wacky sayings on them.
And while you're at it, yeah, make sure to get something for that special gal or fella or partner in your life.
And honestly, I don't know if we're still allowed to say gal or fella, but I believe I just did.
So anyway, happy Valentine's Day.
All right, let's get briefed.
We'll start things off in Europe, where leaders are chastising the Trump administration following
the president's recent call with Vladimir Putin seeking a negotiated settlement to the war in Ukraine.
Now, I don't know that chastising someone with Trump's personality is going to get you the desired result.
Later in the show, President Trump ups the pressure on U.S. allies by announcing his plans for widespread reciprocal tariffs on American trading partners.
Plus, Belarus's autocratic president and Kremlin ally, or, as they say in diplomatic circles, Putin's toady, releases an American prisoner and two others from jail in an apparent effort to thaw relations with the West.
And in today's back of the brief, Israel has uncovered a plot by Iran to smuggle cash to Hezbollah militants via Beirut's International Airport in an attempt to help the terror group rebuild its military operations.
Well, I, for one, am shocked that the Iranian regime and its Revolutionary Guard Corps would stoop that low.
But first, today's BDB spotlight.
We'll begin with the fallout from President Trump's call with Russia's favorite warmonger, Vladimir Putin, regarding the war in Ukraine, as alarmed European leaders demand a seat at the negotiating table and denounce the White House for appearing to offer concessions to Moscow in advance of potential peace talks.
As we discussed yesterday on the PDB, Trump held his first phone call with Putin since returning to office on Wednesday morning and announced that the pair had agreed to start negotiations, quote, immediately to bring Russia's war on Ukraine to a close.
Now, that same day, Defense Secretary Pete Hegeseth said it was unrealistic to think that Ukraine could reclaim their lost territory or join the NATO alliance.
both, of course, major priorities for leaders in Kiev.
The news reportedly sent shockwaves through European capitals,
prompting condemnations from Kiev and its European allies
who expressed concerns that Trump might seek to make a deal without their input.
Officials across the continent took a firm line on Trump's overtures for peace,
saying it would be impossible to implement any future deal unless NATO allies
play a central role in negotiations, and that's according to a report from Reuters.
European foreign policy chief, Khazha Kallas, delivered the fiercest rebuke, saying,
quote, any quick fix is a dirty deal. Why are we giving them everything that they want
even before the negotiations have been started? It's appeasement. It has never worked, end quote.
Well, to be fair, he's not wrong.
Ukrainian President Zelensky, who spoke with Trump following his call with Putin,
also pushed back publicly on Thursday, saying that Ukraine would not accept any bilateral agreement
reached by Moscow and Washington without Keeb's direct involvement. He warned that Putin was attempting
to bypass Ukraine and said it was critical that the U.S. and Ukraine draw up a peace plan together
before any talks are initiated with the Kremlin. Officials in Germany were similarly blunt in
their response, with German Chancellor Olaf Schultz, rejects.
what he described as Russian efforts to implement a, quote, dictated peace.
Germany's defense minister echoed those concerns, saying it was, quote, regrettable
that the Trump administration had made public concessions to Russia before peace talks had started.
A European diplomatic source told Reuters that foreign ministers throughout the NATO alliance
would present a unified front and broach the subject with American officials at the annual Munich Security Conference on Friday,
saying they would be engaging in a, quote, frank and demanding dialogue.
As we touched on yesterday, Vice President J.D. Vance and Secretary of State Rubio are set to meet
with Zelensky and other European leaders at the conference on Friday.
But Defense Secretary Hegeseth attempted to calm tensions on Thursday, saying that Trump was in no way
trying to cut Ukraine out of the negotiating process or preemptively forced concessions.
Hegsetth told reporters, quote, there is no betrayal.
there, there is a recognition that the whole world and the U.S. is invested and interested in peace.
And so that will require both sides recognizing things they don't want to, end quote.
The only problem is, so far, the concessions seem to be one way, meaning Ukrainian concessions,
which begs the question, what exactly is the U.S. expecting Putin to concede?
He did, meaning Secretary of Defense Hegset, however, reiterate that any durable peace deal,
would need to rely on robust security guarantees from European allies, not the U.S., reflecting Trump's
intent to make Europe shoulder most of the financial and military burden of any settlement to the war.
For now, it remains unclear how a hypothetical peace process could unfold.
Trump said he plans to meet with both Zelensky and Putin face-to-face in the near future,
though a timeline for those meetings has not yet been outlined.
In the meantime, Zelensky is keeping his focus on Russia's military activity.
According to our report from Newsweek, Zelensky recently warned that Moscow is working to add
150,000 additional soldiers to their ranks in 2025 in preparation for continued conflict with Ukraine.
Zelenskyy said the West should not trust Putin's claims that he's ready to end the war,
stating, quote, if Putin wants peace and wants the war to end,
white is a country that is having very big problems with its economy now increase its forces by
150,000. It's definitely not for dialogue, end quote. All right, coming up next, President Trump
announces his plans for reciprocal tariffs on American trading partners, and Belvers's autocratic
president releases an American prisoner and two others from jail in an apparent attempt to
thaw frozen relations with the West.
I'll have those stories when we come back.
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Welcome back to the PDB. President Trump has declared a sweeping overhaul of the United States
trade policy, signing an executive order Thursday to impose what he calls, quote, fair and reciprocal
tariffs on all major trading partners, including longtime allies. Framing the move as a necessary
correction to what he describes as longstanding trade imbalances, Trump directed his administration to
assess whether retaliatory tariffs should be imposed against nations that charge higher duties
on American products. The order even extends beyond tariffs, also targeting foreign tax,
policies, government subsidies, currency practices, and other trade behaviors.
that the White House considers unfair.
So, you ask yourself, what exactly are reciprocal tariffs?
Well, I'm very glad you asked.
The principle is straightforward.
If another country imposes higher taxes on American imports,
the U.S. will respond in kind, imposing import taxes to foreign governments at the same rate.
The goal, Trump argues, is to level the playing field.
From the Oval Office, Trump made his position clear, stating, quote,
in almost all cases, they're charging us vastly more than we charge them, but those days are over, end
quote.
The executive order tasks Howard Lutnik, Trump's pick for Commerce Secretary, and Jameson Greer,
his global trade representative, with identifying tariff discrepancies, country by country,
and recommending, quote, remedies within 180 days.
Trump insists the policy will incentivize companies to manufacture in the U.S.
The president stated, quote, if you build your product in the U.S.,
there are no tariffs, end quote. Now, the reciprocal tariff plan will be rolled out alongside
already announced duties on steel and aluminum imports, but the administration apparently isn't
stopping there. Beyond metals, officials are weighing additional levies on cars, semiconductors,
and pharmaceuticals, industries that Washington argues have suffered under unbalanced trade practices.
While a precise implementation date remains uncertain, Lutniks, suggests that,
suggested the measures could take effect as soon as April. Some of the hardest-hit nations will
likely be those with high protective tariffs. Now, the European Union, for example, currently
imposes a 10% tariff on American cars, while the U.S. levies just 2.5% on European vehicles.
India, another major target of the policy, maintains a 60% tariff on automobile imports
and a 50% tariff on apples and motorcycles.
Japan and other Asian markets also maintain strict trade barriers on U.S. goods, putting them in the
administration's crosshairs. White House Trade Advisor Peter Navarro defended the policy, pointing to
last year's $1 trillion, that's one trillion dollar, U.S. trade deficit, as evidence of widespread
foreign trade abuses. Navarro specifically called out the European Union and their value-added tax
system, arguing that it provides European manufacturers with an unfair edge.
The VAT, as it's known, the value-added tax system, which averages 22% across EU countries,
is applied at multiple production stages, costs that U.S. exporters must absorb when
selling goods in Europe. Meanwhile, European companies face no comparable burden when shipping
products to America, and it's a discrepancy that the Trump administration insists must be a
addressed. Critics warn that reciprocal tariffs could drive up costs for American importers and
trigger retaliatory trade wars. However, some of Trump's past tariffs have already forced
key players to the negotiating table. European officials are debating whether to lower their
tariffs to align with U.S. levels, while some countries may opt to challenge the measures through
the World Trade Organization or impose counter-tariffs of their own. It's important to note that for the
14 nations with which the U.S. has free trade agreements, and that includes Canada and Mexico and
Australia, the impact is expected to be minimal, as existing deals have already reduced or eliminated
most tariffs. While supporters argue that the policy will boost domestic manufacturing and help
reduce the trade deficit, its success, of course, will ultimately hinge on how America's
trading partners respond in the months ahead.
Okay, shifting to Belarus.
Three prisoners, including an American, have been released in what appears to be President
Alexander Lukashenko's latest attempt to thaw relations with the West after years of diplomatic isolation.
The release follows a separate prisoner exchange in Russia that saw American teacher Mark Fogel freed just a day earlier.
In neighboring Lithuania on Wednesday, a Belarusian opposition group,
identified one of the freed prisoners as Elena Mowshok, an activist detained for taking part in the 2020 protests
against Kremlin-aligned Lukashenko's widely disputed re-election.
The U.S. funded outlet Radio Free Europe, Radio Liberty, later confirmed that Andrei Kuznetik,
one of their journalists who spent more than three years behind bars simply for doing his job,
was also among those released.
Kuznetik's freedom was marked by an emotional reunion,
with the president of Radio Free Europe
describing how the journalist
embraced his five-year-old son who was
just an infant when his father
was taken. White House
Press Secretary Caroline Levitt
praised the development, crediting it
to President Trump's quote,
deal-making ability. She confirmed
the safe release of one American,
but declined to disclose that
citizen's identity.
The prisoner release coincided with a
discreet visit to Minsk
in Belarus by U.S. deputy
Assistant Secretary of State Christopher Smith, a trip that Western diplomats
described as a rare direct engagement between Washington and Belarus.
The visit first reported Wednesday marks the highest level American outreach to Lukashenko's
regime since then Secretary of State Mike Pompeo traveled to the country in 2020 during
Trump's first term. Lithuanian officials confirmed that an American citizen had crossed
the border from Belarus into their country, though they also withheld the individual's identity.
Smith is expected to meet with European diplomats in the Lithuanian capital in the coming days
to discuss broader diplomatic efforts. Secretary of State Marker Rubio, for his part,
thanked Lithuania for its cooperation and renewed U.S. demands for the release of nearly
1,300 political prisoners still held by the Lukashenko regime. The Trump administration
has been pushing for additional diplomatic breakthroughs with Belarus following the so-called
unilateral release last month of another American, Anastasia Newfer, from Belarusian custody,
who had been arrested in December of last year.
For Lukashenko, the latest prisoner releases, mark a calculated shift.
The Belarusian strongman, who has maintained an iron grip on power for 31 years,
finds himself under increasing pressure to re-engage with Western governments after years of
deteriorating relations. Lukashenko's brutal crackdown on the 2020 protests, combined with his support
for Russia's full-scale invasion of Ukraine in 2022, led to sweeping Western sanctions and near
total diplomatic isolation. Yet in recent months, Belarus has slowly released a number of political
prisoners, a move that analysts suggest is part of a broader strategy to ease Western pressure
and regain some diplomatic maneuverability. Long worry of becoming entirely dependent on Moscow,
Lukashenko has sought to revive his longstanding balancing act between East and West.
But whether these latest gestures are enough to move the needle in Washington, well, of course,
that remains to be seen. All right, coming up in the back of the brief,
Iran. Oh, look at that. They've been caught smuggling cash to Hezbollah militants in Lebanon via Beirut's International Airport. What will they think of next? I'll be right back with those details.
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In today's back of the brief,
despite the fragile truce between Israel and Hezbollah,
It appears that the Mullahs of Iran and their Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps, the IRGC,
have been attempting to quietly help their Lebanese terror army rebuild their battered operations.
Officials with the Israeli military revealed Thursday that Iran's Kuds Force has been smuggling suitcases
full of cash to Hezbollah via Beirut's international airport in recent weeks,
with the intention of re-arming the militant group so they can once again carry.
out attacks against Israel. The IDF said they'd already passed the information to a U.S.-led
committee supervising the ceasefire and that efforts were underway to foil these cash transfers,
according to a report from the Times of Israel. The IDF said they also notified the Lebanese government,
well, that will help, of the smuggling scheme. Still, they said much of the cash has likely already
made its way into the hands of Hezbollah through civilian flights, and by that I mean into the
pockets of Hezbollah leaders. While it's unclear just how much cash has been sent, reports indicate
it's in the tens of millions. In response to Israel's concerns, Lebanese aviation authorities
announced Thursday that they were barring flights to Beirut from two Iranian airliners indefinitely.
They're also subjecting incoming flights from Iraq to Beirut to enhanced inspections to prevent
any further transfer of cash. In a statement, a spokesman for the IDF said, quote,
the IDF will not allow the organization to get stronger and will use all the tools at its disposal
to enforce the understandings in the ceasefire agreement for the security of the citizens of Israel,
end quote. As we've been tracking on the PDB, Israel and Hezbollah reached a ceasefire deal back on
27 November, though it's barely held together. That deal, which ended more than a year of hostilities,
including two months of full-scale war, required Hezbollah.
to withdraw north of the Latani River that's roughly 18 miles from Israel's border.
It also required Israel to withdraw completely from southern Lebanon within 60 days,
though the IDF retains the right to conduct strikes against any immediate threats to their security.
In theory, by January 26, the only groups allowed to be present south of the Latani River
were the Lebanese military and UN peacekeeping forces.
but the deadline for Israel's withdrawal was delayed to February 18th
after Jerusalem requested an extension.
Israel says the Lebanese army has deployed too slowly to a buffer zone
along their border with Israel,
and that Hezbollah is still operating in areas covered by the truce.
Israel recently requested another 10-day extension,
arguing that the Lebanese military and Hezbollah
are still failing to live up to their end of the bargain.
Well, frankly, that could be because they're too busy counting all that Iranian cash.
And that, my friends, is the president's daily brief for Friday, 14 February.
Don't forget, fellas, it's Valentine's Day in the U.S.
If you have any questions or comments, please reach out to me at PDB at thefirsttv.com.
Now, according to multiple sources, with a proven track record of credible reporting,
today is Friday.
And Fridays, of course, are now synonymous with news.
episodes of our delightful weekend show, the PDB Situation Report.
This week's guests include Chuck Marino, former U.S. Secret Service and former senior DHS advisor,
not to mention author, along with Kenneth Raposa from the Coalition for a Prosperous America.
We're talking cartels, border security, possible U.S. military action against the cartels,
tariffs and what the tariffs mean for the U.S. economy, and, very interestingly, U.S. dependency
on China and India for critical pharmaceuticals.
It's a humdinger of a show,
and you'd be doing yourself a disservice not to tune in.
The new episode launches at 10 p.m. on the first TV,
and as always, can be found on our amazing YouTube channel
at President's Daily Brief,
and of course all podcast platforms everywhere.
I'm Mike Baker. I'll be back later today with the PDB afternoon bulletin.
Until then, stay informed,
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