The President's Daily Brief - May 21st, 2024: ICC Warrants, NATO Troops, & Island Unrest
Episode Date: May 21, 2024In this episode of The President's Daily Brief: The International Criminal Court seeks arrest warrants for Hamas leader Yahya Sinwar and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, charging them with ...war crimes and crimes against humanity related to the October 7 attacks on Israel and the ensuing war in Gaza. Reports reveal that several NATO countries are actively lobbying for member states to send troops to Ukraine to train Ukrainian forces. French police are struggling to restore order in New Caledonia, a French island territory, after days of deadly riots by pro-independence demonstrators. An update on the American military presence in Niger, where the Pentagon has announced an agreement to extract close to 1,000 American personnel from the African nation. To listen to the show ad-free, become a premium member of The President’s Daily Brief by visiting PDBPremium.com. Please remember to subscribe if you enjoyed this episode of The President's Daily Brief. Email: PDB@TheFirstTV.com Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
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It's Tuesday, 21 May.
Welcome to the President's Daily Brief.
I'm Mike Baker.
Your eyes and ears on the world stage.
Let's get briefed.
Today, we begin with a not completely unexpected announcement from the International Criminal Court,
the ICC.
The prosecutor's office is seeking arrest warrants for Hamas leader Yaya Sinwar and Israeli Prime
Minister Netanyahu, charging them with war crimes and crimes against humanity related to
the October 7 attacks on Israel and the ensuing war in Gaza, because apparently in the world
we currently live in, the ICC sees equivalency between a brutal terrorist organization backed by the
Iranian regime and the Israeli government. Later in the show, we'll take a look at reports that
several NATO countries are actively lobbying for member states to send troops to Ukraine to train
Ukrainian forces. I don't see how that can go wrong. Plus, we turned to New Caledonia. When was the last
time you turned to New Caledonia? It's a French island territory.
where French police are struggling right now to restore order after days of deadly riots by pro-independence
demonstrators. And in today's back of the brief, we have two stories from Africa. An update on the
American military presence in Niger, where the Pentagon has announced an agreement to withdraw
nearly 1,000 American personnel. They're, okay, they're calling it an agreement. It was less an agreement
and more a demand from the military junta that the U.S. troops leave. And we're also covering a deadly
coup attempt thwarted in the Democrat Republic of Congo, the DRC.
But first, today's PDB spotlight.
Karim Khan, the prosecutor of the International Criminal Court, announced on Monday that his
office was seeking five arrest warrants for senior officials in the Israel-Gaza conflict,
including members of Hamas and the Israeli government on charges of war crimes and
crimes against humanity.
On the Israeli side, the ICCC's side, the ICCC's.
prosecutor said he was seeking warrants for Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu and defense
minister Yov Ghalent for crimes including starvation of civilians, willful killing and murder,
and intentionally directing attacks against a civilian population. In a statement released on Monday,
Khan asserted that while Israel has the right to defend itself, that right did not absolve the country
from its obligation to comply with international humanitarian law. As for Hamas, Khan is seeking a warrant
for the terror group's leader Yachya Sinwar, as well as two other top Hamas leaders,
Mohammed Dief, commander-in-chief of the military wing of Hamas, and Ismail Hanyi, the head of
Hamas's political bureau. The ICC prosecutor's office said it has grounds to believe the trio,
really, we have grounds to believe the trio are criminally responsible for the killing of over
a thousand Israeli civilians in attacks perpetrated by Hamas and other armed groups on October 7,
2023, of course, and the taking of at least 245 hostages. We have grounds to believe that.
Khan said the warrants will, quote, prove tangibly that the lives of all human beings have equal
value. Ah, see, he's playing the either-war. If you take both sides, then you're not really taking a
side. The announcement was met with outrage on both sides. Israeli officials rallied around the
Prime Minister in the wake of the announcement, even one of Netanyahu's domestic antagonists,
Minister Benny Gantz, a member of the War Cabinet, came to his defense, saying Israel is, quote,
waging one of the just wars of history and maintains one of the strictest moral codes while complying
with international law, end quote. Meanwhile, Hamas denounced the ICC, saying in a statement that
the warrants were without a legal basis and equated the victim with the executioner. Now, Hamas,
pretending that they are somehow being victimized, is, um,
Well, well, never mind. The PDB is a family-friendly show. President Biden has also weighed in on the court's
announcement. In a statement, and quite a good statement, Biden said, quote, let me be clear,
whatever this prosecutor might imply, there is no equivalence, none, between Israel and Hamas,
end quote. Now, this is only the first step in the process of the ICC issuing an arrest warrant.
Next, the matter will be taken up by the court's pre-trial chamber, which will launch an investigation
to see if the warrant is appropriate.
In that process, could take months or even years for the court to complete.
As we've discussed on the PDB before, Israel never signed on to the Rome Statute, that's the treaty
that established the International Criminal Court.
The ICC has no mechanism to enforce its warrants, but it would prevent Netanyahu and Ghaland
from traveling to nations that are members of the court where they could have faced arrest and
ultimately prosecution. All right. Coming up after the break, some NATO countries, including
Estonia, are urging allies to take bolder steps in sending soldiers to Ukraine. Plus, we'll look at
New Caledonian, a French island territory, where police are struggling to restore order after days
of deadly pro-independence riots. I'll be right back.
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The specter of a wider war in Europe is looming as a growing chorus of NATO members are pushing for sending their own troops into Ukraine.
Russia continues to make threats, warning they would be.
forced to escalate the conflict if NATO members send soldiers, whether for training purposes or for
combat. Officials in the Baltic states, however, are encouraging their fellow NATO members to expand
their role in the conflict, arguing that Russia's threats are largely empty, and that's according to a
report from the business insider. Cajalas, the prime minister of Estonia, said Monday that NATO
members should consider sending troops into Ukraine to help train Kiev's soldiers, and that they shouldn't
fear a Russian backlash. Currently, at least officially, training of Ukrainian troops by NATO members
is done outside of Ukraine, but leaders in Kiev, along with members of NATO, have long argued
that it would be more effective to train Ukraine's fighting force within their own territory.
The concern, however, is that if NATO troops were caught in a Russian attack, it would automatically
trigger Article 5, and that's NATO's collective defense clause. That clause stipulates that if a single
member is attacked, it's an attack on the entire alliance.
Collis poured cold water on those anxieties, telling the financial times, quote,
I can't possibly imagine that if somebody is hurt there, then those who have sent their people
will say, oh, it's Article 5, let's bomb Russia.
He said, it's not how it works, it's not automatic, so these fears are not well-founded,
end quote.
Kallis also stated that unofficially, there are countries who are training soldiers on the ground already.
He's not wrong about that.
This echoed statements in March by Poland's foreign minister, who said it was an open secret
that some NATO soldiers are already operating inside Ukraine.
Estonia has been a steadfast supporter of Ukraine since the war broke out and is consistently called on NATO
to do more to contain Putin's advances.
Estonia's Baltic neighbor, Lithuania, has also recently advocated for sending troops to Ukraine.
Everybody's getting on board.
According to Business Insider, their prime minister said last month that Europe cannot make decisions
based on the fear of how Russia may respond.
The prime minister said, quote, if we just thought about the Russian response, then we could
not send anything.
Every second week, you hear that somebody will be nuked, end quote.
The remarks from Baltic leaders come after French people.
President Emmanuel Macron said earlier this month that he would consider sending French troops
to the front lines of Ukraine if leaders in Kiev requested such assistance, and that NATO leaders
should seriously reconsider their role in the war if Russian forces were to break through
Ukraine's frontline defenses. Russia responded, as you might expect, by announcing the deployment
of tactical nuclear weapons as part of a large-scale military exercise along Russia's southern
border. They've accused Western leaders of engaging in a, quote, dangerous tendency toward escalation.
Well, let's not forget, of course, that Putin started this war with his invasion of Ukraine.
So maybe it's not germane to listen to his admonitions about what qualifies as escalation.
Okay, I want to turn our attention to a story that's getting little to no coverage,
and that's the riots currently consuming the French Pacific Island territory of New Caledonia,
as a hardline local political movement pushes for independence.
The unrest was sparked last week after French lawmakers approved a new law that would grant
more French residents living in the Pacific Territory their right to vote in local elections.
Indigenous leaders said it would dilute the political power of the native population
and threaten their control over New Caledonia's massive reserves of nickel.
Ah, now we're getting to the crux of the story, according to our report from the Wall Street Journal.
Local hardline groups seeking independence from France began rioting in the streets to protest the law.
The riots quickly deteriorated into all-out anarchy, with rioters setting fire to municipal buildings,
libraries, and schools. Well, that'll help the community. The mayor of the nation's capital
said over the weekend the New Caledonia was, quote, under siege. The riots turned bloody in the
northern part of the territory on Saturday as rioters exchanged gunfire with authorities at a roadblock.
Six people were killed in the incident while another two were injured. All told, hundreds have been
injured amid the unrest, while authorities have arrested roughly 200 rioters. The Interior Minister
said Sunday that some 1,000 police officers had been deployed to secure a critical road between
the airport and the Capitol as French authorities attempt to restore some semblance of order.
So how did things get so out of control, you asked? Well, I'm glad that you ask.
According to the journal's report, it began in March when France unveiled a plan to leverage
New Caledonia's large nickel reserves in their push to secure raw materials that could
help them compete with China on clean energy technologies like EVs, electric vehicles.
Specifically, the plan would lift restrictions on exporting unprocessed nickel while also giving
priority to European factories manufacturing electric vehicle batteries.
so how colonial of you. Local leaders immediately condemned the plan, calling it a, quote,
colonial pact to regain control of New Caledonia's resources, end quote. New Caledonia, if you don't
already know, is the world's third largest producer of nickel, and that's, of course, a critical
component in clean energy technologies, particularly the manufacturing of lithium ion batteries.
According to the Wall Street Journal, demand for that mineral is expected to more than quadruple by 2030,
as the world pivots to renewable technologies.
Despite being a hub for the mineral, prices have recently cratered
amid competition from Chinese-backed nickel ventures in Indonesia,
putting the local industry into a contraction.
Now, that contraction, along with France's proposal to increase control over nickel resources,
had already put the territory on edge.
Last week's law expanding voting rights for the non-indigenous population,
well, that appears to have been the final straw that sparked the riot,
authorities in New Caledonia have declared a state of emergency and opposed a nighttime curfew
as they work to restore order. They've temporarily banned public gatherings, alcohol sales,
what, and the carrying of weapons amid the ongoing violence. Regarding independence, it appears
the majority of New Caledonia's residents oppose such a move. They've rejected three
referendums for independence in the past, most recently one in 2021. All right, in today's back of
brief. I'll bring you two stories from Africa. The Pentagon and Niger's Ministry of National
Defense have agreed to withdraw U.S. military forces, that's a diplomatic way to put it, and several
American citizens have been arrested in a thwarted coup in the Democratic Republic of Congo, the DRC.
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In today's back of the brief, I wanted to touch on two stories out of Africa.
First, an update on a story we've been following here at the BDB,
and that's the nearly 1,000 U.S. troop.
and personnel stationed in Niger. U.S. officials have been negotiating the withdrawal of U.S.
forces with Niger's military junta, and it now appears that they've come to an agreement. In a
joint statement issued on Sunday, the two countries announced that all U.S. personnel would leave
the country no later than September 15th of this year. In a press briefing, a senior defense
official said that the withdrawal is already underway, and about 100 non-essential personnel have
already left. Nizier has agreed.
to protect American forces while they withdraw and help with some of the logistics.
Oh, that's nice. Don't let the screen door hit you on the way out.
The announcement should bring an end to months of drama at Niger Air Base 201,
which was used as a counterterrorism hub for troops in the region.
The air base was a massive investment by the Pentagon, costing more than $100 million to construct.
And now, well, the Pentagon is basically trying to put lipstick on a pig here
by referring to this as an agreement to withdraw troops. The reality is the military hunter demanded
the U.S. personnel be removed as they move away from the West and closer to Russia. As we reported
earlier this month, Russian paramilitary forces, including members of the Wagner Group, now occupy
part of the base alongside American forces. They're likely to take over once the U.S. withdrawal
is complete in September. And finally, we've got a strange story out of the Democratic
Republic of Congo, the DRC. According to the Congolese military, an attempted coup was thwarted this
weekend after a gun battle in the capital city of Kinshasa. At least three people were killed in the
shootout, including two security officers and the leader of the attempted coup, who's a naturalized
American named Christian Malanga. The Congolese government also reported that around 40 attackers
were arrested, including three American citizens. Now, reports in local media suggested the arrested
men were CIA operatives. Of course, of course they did. Of course the local media suggested that.
Possibly, they arrived in the DRC on a spaceship from Area 51, although no evidence has been
given to support that. In a statement posted to X, Lucy Tamlin, the U.S. ambassador to the DRC,
said, quote, I'm shocked by the events this morning and very worried by the reports of American
citizens allegedly being involved, end quote.
And that, my friends, is the president's daily brief for Tuesday,
21 May. If you have any questions or comments, please reach out to me at PDB at thefirsttv.com.
I'm Mike Baker. I'll be back later today with the PDB afternoon bulletin. Until then, stay informed.
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