The President's Daily Brief - November 14th, 2024: Iran Backs Down, CIA Official Arrested Over Leak, & Ukrainian Car Bomb in Crimea
Episode Date: November 14, 2024In this episode of The President's Daily Brief: Significant news out of the Middle East as Iranian sources reveal the regime is holding off on a military response to Israel, awaiting potential negot...iations with President Trump. A major update on the White House leak involving Israeli plans to strike Iran, with a CIA official now under arrest in connection with the intelligence breach. Reports from Ukrainian sources on a car bomb attack in Crimea, allegedly orchestrated by Ukrainian security services, which targeted and killed a high-ranking Russian naval officer accused of war crimes. And in today’s Back of the Brief: President-elect Trump and President Biden met at the White House to discuss the transition of power. We’ll break down the key points from their meeting. To listen to the show ad-free, become a premium member of The President’s Daily Brief by visiting PDBPremium.com. Please remember to subscribe if you enjoyed this episode of The President's Daily Brief. YouTube: youtube.com/@presidentsdailybrief Blackout Coffee: https://www.blackoutcoffee.com/PDB Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
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It's Thursday, 14 November.
Welcome to the President's Daily Brief.
I'm Mike Baker, your eyes and ears on the world stage.
Let's get briefed.
We're starting today with significant news out of the Middle East.
Iranian sources told Sky News, Arabia, that the regime is holding off on any military response to Israel,
reportedly an anticipation of negotiations with soon-to-be President Trump.
We'll have those details coming up.
Later in the show, a major update on the White House leak involving Israeli plans to strike Iran,
with a CIA official now under arrest over the intent.
intelligence breach. Plus, Ukrainian security services reportedly orchestrated a car bomb attack in
Crimea, killing a high-ranking Russian naval officer accused of war crimes. And in today's back of the
brief, President-elect Trump and President Biden met yesterday to discuss the transition of power
will break down what was discussed in their meeting. But first, today's PDB spotlight.
It appears Donald Trump's imminent return to the U.S. presidency is already giving America's
adversaries pause. In a surprising development out of Iran, senior sources inside the Islamic
regime told Sky News Arabia on Wednesday that they've decided to postpone their planned
third ballistic missile attack on Israel. The calculus reportedly changed with Trump's victory,
and now it appears the Mullahs are hoping to potentially strike a deal with the president-elect,
when he returns to the Oval Office in January, that is, if Trump is open to a discussion.
I want to stress that few details are known at this time, and other sources have yet to corroborate
the information. The Iranian sources simply told Sky News, quote,
the Iranian response against Israel is postponed until negotiations with President Trump begin.
Reports in Iranian media say that Trump's victory has left the regime feeling uneasy.
As a reminder, Iran launched a barrage.
of more than 180 ballistic missiles at Israel on October 1st. That was their second direct attack on Israel
following a similar missile and drone bombardment in April. Both attacks were rendered
and largely ineffective Israel's sophisticated missile defense systems. Israel responded with
targeted strikes on critical Iranian military infrastructure on the 25th of October,
dealing a significant blow to Iran's drone and missile programs, along
with their air defense network. Leaders in Tehran have been rattling the saber ever since,
promising a larger retaliation against Israel involving more advanced missile systems. However, Iran
went quiet on the subject shortly after last Tuesday's presidential election, which by all accounts
they thought Trump would lose. As for Iran's hopes for negotiation with Trump, there remains,
well, let's put it this way, a lot of uncertainty. As we discussed on yesterday's PDB,
be, Iranian President Massoud Posseschian signaled Monday a desire to engage in diplomacy
when Trump returns to office, likely fearing the impact that Trump's promised maximum pressure
campaign against the regime will have on their fragile economy. Whether or not Trump is prepared
to negotiate with a regime that, well, has spent years trying to assassinate him, remains to be seen.
While he's taken a hardline approach, the president-elect has also said he believes he can strike a better
deal with Iran than former President Barack Obama did with the 2015 nuclear agreement.
We should note, the revelations from Sky News Arabia followed a statement on Tuesday by
Israel Prime Minister Netanyahu that was addressed directly to the Iranian people.
He said that it would be economic suicide for Iranian leaders to move forward with another
direct attack on Israel, saying, quote, it would simply cripple Iran's economy.
Iran's economy has suffered under sanctions on their oil export.
and the regime has lost a great deal of public support.
Netanyahu estimated that Iran's October 1st missile attack
cost the regime roughly $2.3 billion,
money that he said they could have invested in their domestic budgets.
Netanyahu continued saying, quote,
there is one force putting your family in grave danger,
and that would be the tyrants of Tehran. That's it.
Nanjahou added that if there is one thing the Mullahs fear more than Israel,
it is the people of Iran, saying, quote, that's why they spend so much time and money trying to
crush your hopes and curb your dreams.
He's not wrong.
The remarks, while clearly geared towards eroding support for the theocratic regime among Iranian citizens,
can also be viewed as a thinly veiled threat to leaders in Tehran that if they strike again,
Israel will seek to cause significant economic damage, likely by striking their oil interests.
Meanwhile, the U.S. is keeping up the pressure on Iranian-backed forces operating in Syria,
carrying out several airstrikes on Tuesday and Wednesday, hitting weapons stores and
logistics headquarters.
Further details regarding which Iranian-backed groups were targeted were not made public.
All right.
Coming up next, an update on the White House leak of Israeli strike plans on Iran, with a CIA
official now under arrest.
How pathetic is that.
Plus, reports of a Ukrainian-orchestrated car bomb in Crimea, targeting a Russian naval officer accused of war crimes.
I'll have those stories when we come back.
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Welcome back to the PDB.
Sticking with the issue of Iran,
U.S. authorities appear to have finally solved the mystery
of who was behind the damaging leak
of top secret classified documents last month
that detailed Israel's plans to retaliate
against the Islamic regime.
A CIA official identified as
Asif William Rahman was a
arrested in Cambodia on Tuesday over the leak, and is currently being transported to a federal court in
Guam to be formally charged with espionage-related offenses.
According to court documents filed Wednesday and reviewed by the Wall Street Journal,
Al-Sif Roman was indicted last week in federal court in Virginia on two counts of willful
transmission of national defense information, charges that could land the staff for a very
lengthy prison sentence. While the court documents did not specifically identify Rahman as a member of the
CIA, sources subsequently confirmed his employment at the intelligence agency to the Wall Street
Journal. He held a top-secret security clearance and reportedly had access to sensitive compartmented
information. Raman, who previously lived in eastern Virginia, reportedly worked for the CIA overseas in
Cambodia and other unspecified locations, though what kind of work he did for the agency is unconspeciful.
clear. A motive for the leak also remains elusive. As a reminder, the classified documents first appeared
online on the 18th of October via a Tehran-based telegram channel called Middle East Spectator,
which said they received the documents from an anonymous source. The leak sparked speculation
about Iran's possible involvement and fueled concerns that Israel's chief adversary would
adjust its military planning based on the leak. The leak also triggered a desperate
scramble within U.S. spy agencies to find the source. U.S. intelligence agencies have been plagued
by leaks in recent years, and there were fears more documents could follow. It appears, however,
that the initial tranche of documents were the only classified materials disclosed by Raman.
The documents didn't specify Israel's intended targets, but suggested that strikes on
Tehran's military and oil interests were still on the table. Among other sensitive information, the
The leak included documents from the National Geospatial Intelligence Agency, or the NGA,
because who doesn't love a good acronym, detailing the movements of munitions and Israeli Air Force
exercises involving air-to-surface missiles. Israel was forced to delay their response and shift
strategies in the wake of the leak, though they ultimately retaliated with targeted strikes
on critical Iranian military infrastructure on the 25th of October.
All right. Shifting to Russian-occupied Crimea,
A senior Russian naval commander was assassinated in a car bomb explosion on Wednesday,
orchestrated by Ukraine's security service in retaliation for his involvement in civilian-targeted
missile strikes. Valerie Trenkovsky, commander of Russia's 41st Black Sea missile fleet
in Sevastopol, was directly implicated in strikes responsible for hundreds of Ukrainian civilian deaths.
The security source added that Trenkovsky's assassination was a meticulous,
planned operation by the SBU. Russia's State Investigative Committee, responsible for high-level
criminal cases, condemned the bombing as, quote, an act of terrorism involving an improvised
explosive device. Initially, Russian authorities withheld Trenkovsky's identity. However, the Russian
Telegram Channel Braza, with ties to state security, identified him as, quote, Valerie T,
describing him as Captain First Rank and the former chief of staff of the Black Sea Fleet's
missile brigade.
Trenkovsky's name also appeared on Peacemaker, that's an unofficial Ukrainian database,
listing individuals deemed hostile to Ukraine.
After his death, his photo on the site was marked with the word liquidated in red,
well, that's fairly clear, symbolizing Ukraine's intensified strategy against Russian officials
implicated in civilian attacks.
The SBU defended the hit under international wartime law, citing Trenkowski's alleged war crimes.
Moscow maintains its Black Sea fleet does not target civilians.
Oh, well, shouldn't their word be good enough, though Ukrainian sources argue otherwise,
pointing to the extensive casualties and infrastructure damage left by their missile strikes.
Following the assassination, Russian authorities released images of Trenkovsky's wrecked vehicle
engulfed in flames.
This assassination points to an intensifying intelligence war in Crimea.
It's obviously a strategic hub for Russia's Black Sea operations, or at least what remains
of their Black Sea operations.
Recently, Ukraine has heightened its focus on this area,
targeting Russian assets and high-ranking officials.
According to the Russian Telegram Channel,
MASH,
Trankovsky had been under surveillance for a week
before the bombing,
coordinated effort underscoring Ukraine's operational reach.
Since the war's outset,
prominent pro-war Russians,
including journalists and a former submarine commander,
have been assassinated in attacks Moscow attributes to Ukraine.
Additionally, Russia's Federal Security Service claims it dismantled a Ukrainian spy network in Crimea last December.
Among the network's alleged targets included Crimea's Moscow-installed leader and a pro-Russian, former Ukrainian parliament member who narrowly survived an assassination attempt.
As the conflict intensifies, Trenkovsky's assassination signals Ukraine's relentless pursuit of Russian officials linked to civilian attacks.
Okay, coming up in the back of the brief.
President Trump and Biden meet at the White House,
and Trump officially announces his choice for Secretary of State.
I'll have those details when we come back.
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In today's back of the brief, President Biden and President 11,
like Trump, shook hands in the Oval Office on Wednesday, with Biden pledging a, quote, smooth transition
after a, obviously, turbulent election season. The meeting brought back the tradition of a peaceful
handover, accustomed that Trump chose to forego in 2020. Biden spoke first, stating, quote,
will make sure that you're accommodated in the transition. Trump, in turn, offered his thanks,
stating, quote, politics is tough, but it's a nice world today, setting a cooperative tone.
For the brief period that the press was allowed to observe, it was clear that this meeting
set the stage for a respectful transfer of power. The meeting, which lasted approximately two
hours, was attended by White House Chief of Staff Jeff Seitz and incoming Chief of Staff Susie Wiles.
In an exclusive phone interview with The New York Post, Trump later described the meeting as,
quote, really good, mentioning that he and Biden had, quote, reconnected on vital matters,
such as the ongoing conflicts in Ukraine and the Middle East.
Trump told the post, quote, I asked for his views and he gave them to me,
adding, quote, also, we talked very much about the Middle East.
Likewise, I wanted to know his views on where we are and what he thinks,
and he gave them to me, he was very gracious, end quote.
Okay, as an aside, and I find this interesting,
think how confused all those Democrat voters are now
who listen to their political leaders, including President Biden and VP Harris,
declare that Trump is a fascist, a Nazi, and an existential threat to democracy.
And then a week after the election, Biden sits down with Trump and says, hey, all's good,
we're going to be fine. I mean, at some point, you'd think the average citizen would chill out,
realizing that most of what politicians say is hyperbole designed to get out the vote.
Look, if President Biden, VP Harris genuinely thought that Trump was a threat to democracy and the world as we know it,
Do you think they'd sit down with him in a cordial setting?
So my point is, maybe, don't take everything so literally.
Now, for all you kids listening, earmuffs.
What I mean, folks, is learn the difference between shit and shinola.
All right, surely after departing the White House, Trump in a statement named Senator Marco Rubio
has his selection for Secretary of State, adding another name to his growing cabinet selections.
Rubio, a Florida Republican, has extensive foreign policy.
policy experience from his service on the Senate Intelligence and Foreign Relations Committees
and has long championed a strong America on the world stage. In his statement announcing his
pick, Trump praised Rubio as a, quote, highly respected leader and a, quote, powerful voice for freedom,
signaling confidence that Rubio will safeguard national interests and reinforce U.S. alliances abroad.
Trump's statement continued, adding, quote, I look forward to working with Marco to make America and the
world safe and great again, end quote. Rubio, for his part, echoed Trump's vision on X,
pledging to champion, quote, peace through strength, and to prioritize American interests internationally.
And that, my friends, is the president's daily brief for Thursday, 14 November. If you have any
questions for me, please reach out at pdb at thefirsttv.com. And of course, to listen to the show ad-free
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I'm Mike Baker, and I'll be back later today
with the PDB afternoon bulletin.
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