The President's Daily Brief - PDB Situation Report | March 1st, 2025: Will Gaza Erupt Again? Cease-Fire Nears Collapse & America’s Energy Security
Episode Date: March 1, 2025In this episode of The PDB Situation Report: Tensions are rising as the fragile Gaza cease-fire deal nears its expiration on Saturday. With no agreement yet on the fate of the remaining hostages, wil...l Israel and Hamas return to the negotiating table—or is another round of war imminent? Former Deputy Assistant to the President Robert Greenway joins us to break it all down. Later in the show, President Trump is pushing to expand energy exploration and production to secure America's energy independence. But what does this mean for national security? Daniel Turner, Executive Director of Power The Future, joins us to discuss. To listen to the show ad-free, become a premium member of The President’s Daily Brief by visiting PDBPremium.com. Please remember to subscribe if you enjoyed this episode of The President's Daily Brief. YouTube: youtube.com/@presidentsdailybrief Beam: Visit https://ShopBeam.com/MIKE and use code MIKE for up to 40% off. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
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Welcome to the PDB Situation Report.
I'm Mike Baker. Your eyes and ears on the world stage.
Let's get briefed.
Tensions are high as the fragile Gaza ceasefire deal inches closer to its expiration on Saturday.
With no agreement yet on the fate of the remaining hostages, will Israel and Hamas return to the
negotiating table or miss another round of war imminent?
Former deputy assistant to the president, Robert Greenway, joins us to break it all down.
Later in the show, President Trump is pushing to expand energy exploration and production to secure
America's energy independence.
But what does this mean for the country's national security?
Well, Daniel Turner, Executive Director of Power the Future, he'll join us to discuss.
But first, today's Situation Report Spotlight.
The Fragile Gaza ceasefire deal. It's set to expire this weekend, with no agreement yet
on a second phase to secure the release of the remaining hostages.
Now, over the past six weeks, as I'm sure you know from following the PDB,
Hamas has freed 33 Israeli hostages and five Thai nationals.
That's an initial step that mediators hoped would lead to lasting peace.
But since January, both sides have accused each other of violating the deal, and negotiations have stalled.
Hamas is demanding a full Israeli withdrawal from Gaza, and that's a condition that Israel refuses
to accept, particularly with reports that Hamas is busy recruiting and training new fighters.
That leaves 28 Israeli hostages still believed to be alive with their fate hanging.
in the balance. Beyond the ceasefire, the question of who will govern post-war Gaza, well, that remains
unanswered. As Israel insists Hamas cannot return to power, but is yet to propose an alternative.
Joining us now to discuss is Robert Greenway. He's the former deputy assistant to President Trump
and director of the Allison Center for National Security at the Heritage Foundation. Robert,
thanks very much for taking the time. Great to be with you. Thanks for having me.
Absolutely, absolutely. Now, go to the 30,000 foot level here. I know this is a very broad initial question, but from your perspective, where are we going with this? We're coming up on the end of the first phase of the ceasefire with Israel and Hamas. What next from your perspective?
Yeah, it's hard to envision that we're going to get to the next phase of this. And there's a lot of reasons for it, not least of which is what's playing out in real time, is that Hamas unfortunately has little left other than corpses to trade in the way in which they transfer it. All it does is aggravate and exacerbate the tensions for Israel. So where I think we're headed next is frankly a resurrection of military operations or resumption of military operations at scale and incrementally against Hamas, while diplomatic.
talks are ongoing. But Hamas, again, has very little leverage left to play, and Israel's interests
are inimicable to what Hamas is attempting to achieve. And they have a greater latitude now that
Hezbollah and Iran are less capable and less likely to engage in offensive military operations,
so they may have a freer hand in doing so. But from an internal political situation and from
the general population there in Israel, do the people have an appetite for saying, fine, we're drawing a
under the ceasefire where, you know, we're re-engaging with Hamas? I mean, is that something that
the population is up for? So it splits a near fine line, right? Everyone in Israel wants a return
of the hostages and or the remains. No one wants to see terrorists released and traded,
but they accept the price necessary to pay. But the tolerance is drawing very, very close to almost
no support to sustain it, especially when Hamas continues to do.
drip the remains of passages out and violate terms of the ceasefire agreement and then publicly
advertise they're resurrecting their military capability. So the pressure actually is increasing
domestically on the Netanyahu government to resume military operations, recognizing that
there's very little return that Hamas can provide, and they're unlikely to do so. So it's actually
moving the opposite direction right now. You just mentioned kind of the revitalization of Hamas.
What can you tell us about that? I have heard some reports that they've been busy recruiting and training new members.
Yeah, so, you know, most of their military capacity has been eliminated as a result of military operations,
but clearly there remains remnants, and those are now on display every time they do a transfer of remains.
The second, when Israel was pulled and withdrew elements of their forces from Gaza and stopped their overflights for intelligence purposes,
is Hizbalah is using this, or Hamas rather is using this to resurrect their capacity.
So they're drawing on a population that is displaced homeless and they were aggravated to begin with.
They're certainly more likely to be motivated now.
And Hamas is the only organized function that has resources and has been dispersing aid and is obtaining additional funds.
And as long as that's the case, they're the only show in town.
So they are resurrecting their capacity.
It'll take time to do so.
But this all, of course, comes under the clock.
and the Netanyahu government knows that time is not on its side.
And so long as Hamas only remains to offer and will do so in an episodic fashion,
the pressure is going to continue to increase for Israel to take care of it.
And the support they're getting from Washington under the Trump administration just makes it easier for them to do so.
Yeah, it does seem unlikely if the terms of the second phase of the ceasefire were, in part,
a full withdrawal of Israeli forces from Gaza. Given the notion, or the reports anyway, that
Hamas is busy trying to recruit new fighters, training new fighters, it would seem unlikely
that the IDF would pull out entirely knowing that, you know, this cancer is still existing.
100%. And not only do I expect there will be no complete withdrawal, I don't suspect that they'll give up
the Philadelphia corridor, which divides Gaza from the Egyptian border. And for context, this is where
the infrastructure to provide a chief amount of the external support of arms, munitions, and rockets
has historically come from. It's very unlikely that they're going to do so. That is essentially
the second phase. And no one really anticipated we ever get to that in any case. So I suspect that
not only will we not. I think in short order, we would expect, I would expect a reversal.
If you could, talk to me about that a little bit.
If the Philadelphia corridor, right, as a weapons transfer route has been essentially shut down, then, you know, how do they rearm?
Well, it's complicated.
In theory, they could do it from the maritime domain.
It's a little more complicated.
It's more challenging to do so, but it is also not unprecedented.
Beyond that, they'd have to reuse the materials that are already present.
And so it's not a winning proposition.
It's also why they want a stop to the intelligence overflight.
It's also why they want a complete withdrawal, and they want to resume and restore Hamas control over the Philadelphia quarter.
And again, Israel is unlikely to do so, and I don't think that they will.
Okay, so, look, I hate to sound cynical because everybody wants, under the right terms,
everybody wants the fighting to stop, the, you know, the terrible situation for the Palestinian civilians to end for an opportunity to rebuild.
Everybody in general terms said that, you know, they want that, right?
And you bring some stability there.
But I got to tell you, I mean, just talking with you now and just seeing what we've seen over the past couple of weeks,
it seems like there's almost no likelihood that we're getting a second phase of this ceasefire agreement.
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No, the odds again were extremely remote.
I put them at essentially zero when this began.
I thought it was encouraging to see the experience.
change of postages, and again, new administration in Washington certainly has opened up the door to
greater leverage against Hamas. But again, it's an impossible scenario in which Israel would vacate
and essentially restore conditions that led to October the 7th. That is the least politically
acceptable outcome in Israel. Those that supported any sort of two-state solution or peace process
were exactly the casualties on October the 7th and the inhabitants of the Kibbutzim. And they were
the direct target of their attacks. And so there's no segment of the population now that supports
a withdrawal or continued negotiations essentially with Hamat. And so you're right to be cynical
about it. And in the end, it comes down to motive means and opportunity. The motive is going to endure
on the part of Hamas and the Palestinians, unfortunately, in Gaza. It's now a matter of denying
them the means and the opportunity to restore the capacity to lead to another October the 7th
attack. Okay, so let's play that out then. Let's say that, unfortunately.
on Saturday, there's no movement into a second phase. And, you know, the IDF decides, okay,
we have no choice. We have to go after and continue to go after Hamas. What does that look like?
Because, you know, honestly, look, we've already got, you know, ramped up protests in New York
City, you know, pro-Hamas protests going on in New York City on, you know, Barnard College campus.
And you could imagine those stepping up again. I don't see the international community,
including the UN, staying quiet over renewed hostilities and the IDF going in, and yet more visuals
of destruction and civilian death in Gaza.
Yeah, well, it's a great point.
I say two things.
First is, I don't know that a restoration or resumption of military operations means that they
necessarily go on the offensive.
This could well look like a continued attrition.
And as long as the external support is denied by Israel, you don't necessarily have to do
large-scale military operations or a significant campaign. What it could look like, again,
is a sort of a siege on Gaza, where they would no longer be provided the material to launch rocket
attacks and conduct operations against the Israelis. And then you could see surgical operations
against its leadership strikes that were enabled by overflight operations, which almost certainly
will continue if the ceasefire discussions break down. I don't know that it means you're going to
see a resumption of a ground campaign. I don't know that that's necessary for.
from an Israeli perspective.
Now, you could imagine if that was the case,
if you've sort of a siege mentality,
which again, the optics is not necessarily good,
but I take your point, right?
And then specific targeted strikes
against either specific commanders or lieutenants
or whomever, fighters within the strip,
if you were to combine that with the optic, right,
of increased aid flowing to the civilian population,
then perhaps that mitigates to some degree that negative international narrative that always
surfaces during these conflicts.
It might.
Again, two observations.
First is after the exchange of remains of hostages, there's not that much sympathy left
for Hamas.
They're losing, I think, a great deal of the support.
And there's a tremendous amount of fatigue on the issue more broadly.
Second, that the Israeli populace, by and large, feels significantly.
agree, certainly now. And I don't think they're going to be quite as affected by international
condemnation if military operations in any scale resume. And again, the critical part here is
they've got a more supportive partner in Washington this time around. So I don't suspect that
the Israeli calculus is going to be affected by international condemnation at this point.
Yeah, no, I'd take your point. I think they pretty much decided early on after the 7 October
attacks that they are on their own, or at least.
have to proceed on their own. And yes, the dynamics changed now with the election and the
arrival of the Trump administration. What can you tell us about the level of aid, though, that is
flowing or that has been flowing since, say, the ceasefire has started? And to what degree
are we confident that that aid is not being taken or managed by Hamas?
Well, on the first point, a fair amount of aid is being introduced into the area.
area and has been for some time, the statistics are public. The difficulty is your second point,
which is the distribution. Again, there's limited infrastructure to do it and there's limited capacity
to do it. The only governing organization that unfortunately exists inside of Gaza has been
Hamas, and so that infrastructure now is increasingly reliant. Now, there were those that would say
that unreperformed this function and partnership with other NGOs. Many of them have complicated
relationships and many were providing material support to Hamas. Some were engaged in operations
with Hamas and are no longer capable. So it's the distribution that's a problem, but it's not a
volume issue really at the end of the day. It's just reinforcing the mass's position as the only
governing entity in Gaza that serves no one's interest actually. Okay. Robert, if you wouldn't mind
staying right where you are, don't move. We've got to take a quick break and then we'll be back
with more from Robert Greenway. We'll be talking and continuing about Gaza, but I also want to talk
with Robert about Ukraine. But we have to take a quick break. We'll be right back with more of the
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Welcome back to the Situation Report.
Joining me again is Robert Greenway, former deputy assistant to the president and director of the
Allison Center for National Security at the Heritage Foundation.
Robert, thanks very much.
We were talking about Gaza.
I've got one more question for you, and probably kind of falls into the soft science category.
And then I was hoping to touch on briefly Ukraine.
But with Gaza, is there any indication that the Palestinian civilian population is moving away from Hamas?
Because we have this issue of long term, if we get any type of stability or peace settlement there, we have this issue of governance.
So to what degree, from your perspective, does the Palestinian civilian population, are they still all in on Hamas?
Or have they been distancing themselves?
Insofar as we know, it's a difficult question, right, to poll any population, certainly in a conflict scenario.
As far as we know, Hamas remains the overwhelmingly popular choice.
But I think that's not so much about support for Abbas is it is a lack of a credible alternative and the conditions themselves.
So it is an unknowable question, but I think at the end of the day, an alternative has to be introduced.
Unfortunately, none has materialized.
The Palestinian Authority itself is serving now two decades of a four-year term.
So Mahmoud Abbas has his own popularity issues in the West Bank.
So I think the challenge is there is no emerging Palestinian leadership either in Judea, Samaria, West Bank, or in Gaza.
Yeah, well, for anybody listening to our conversation, I don't imagine they come away with an awful lot of hope, but hope is never really what you want to hang your foreign policy on.
But if you look at just the unlikely opportunity for a second phase of the ceasefire, if you look at the fact that no credible governance,
alternative governance seems to be taking shape.
You know, I think you're absolutely right.
I think what we're looking at is, if not a return to hostilities,
I think we're looking at continued, however you want to refer to it,
occupation or our presence of the IDF in Gaza,
and we may well be just looking at kicking the can down the road here.
Yeah, I think the only thing that's changed,
the cost for optimism is I think there's a shift inside the region
that recognizes that more has to be done.
done, and the graveyard of ideas, that is the Israel-Palestine question, is no longer, you know,
we're no longer resurrecting and exhuming these bodies and attempting to oppose a solution
on them.
I think it's a recognition of something different has to be done.
President Trump has shifted the debate, and I think the region knows it.
What I would expect is there be greater regional participation in the solution.
I think that's a good thing.
That gives me at least some optimism for the future.
Okay, that's really interesting.
I'm glad you brought that point up.
Are you optimistic about the upcoming, it's actually coming up very shortly, of the Arab Summit in Riyadh?
I think that's a part of it.
I would expect, too, there'll be high-level engagement with the Trump administration, perhaps at a state level in the near term, and I think all that is good.
I think at the next summit, they're going to discuss what options are available.
They're committed to a solution.
They have a couple of questions.
But again, I think we're in a different place.
The negotiation is shifted.
We're not looking at resurrecting old ideas that haven't worked and aren't like.
likely to. And I think now we're looking at new ideas that might. That's a good thing.
Yeah, I agree with you. Look, people, you know, they stared in amazement when President
Trump threw out that idea of U.S. ownership of Gaza and turning it into, you know, a resort
area, a Riviera. You know, I never see a scenario where 2.3 million Palestinian refugees
are going to suddenly move out of Gaza and the Egyptians and Jordanians and others will welcome
them. And I don't also see a scenario where, you know, from a political perspective here in
The U.S., anybody would agree to taking 10 to 15-year ownership of Gaza.
But the benefit, I think, to your point, is that it provoked a response from the Arab states.
And I think that has been very helpful.
If I could, in the remaining time that we've got, Robert, let's shift over to Ukraine.
And, you know, with President Trump sitting down with President Zeletsky from Ukraine,
ostensibly to talk about the mineral steel.
But what do you think that's going to deliver as far as a discussion?
I think four important things have been initiated by the current administration.
First is the commitment to ending the conflict as a result of the first time to bring the Russians,
bring Putin and his team to the table, to have discussions.
I think that's useful.
I think that's necessary.
Second, you know, he's reached out to all parties.
and I think on the European side of it, including Zelensky, who has just arrived, I think, at Joint Base Andrews while we're speaking.
That's also, I think, a good and necessary thing.
The third is the economic agreement, which I think, is my understanding, is actually larger than mineral deposits inside Ukraine, but it could encompass areas of energy and maybe even technology.
I think that's important, too, to establish an economically viable path for Ukraine, not just now, but post-conflict and a relationship with the United States that will protect and defend.
serves an important interest. Lastly, I think we've seen the Trump administration expand the scope of
the problem to where U.S. interests reside, namely cooperation between Russia, China, and frankly,
not yet mentioned, but Iran and North Korea. All of that are grave threats to U.S. interests.
All of that are part of the conversation and negotiation, and again, have to be from a U.S. perspective.
So I think, you know, it's early to see which form it's going to take, but I think so far, at least we're
seeing movement toward peace, which before, of course, after three long years, we've seen none of.
Yeah. What do you make of the talking point that's come out of Moscow over the years and certainly
it's been picked up by some, even in the U.S., for the most part? The idea that, you know, the West is
responsible for this war. They forced Putin's hand, you know, by this move towards or potential
move towards NATO for Ukraine. What do you make of that?
I think it's ridiculous, of course, on its face. They're clearly.
the aggressors here as they were in 2014. But I also know that if you're trying to negotiate a deal
and you're focused on the outcome, then the outcome is what matters most. So, you know, the U.S.
administration and others may find themselves in uncomfortable positions doing awkward things,
but if it gets to the right outcome, then so be it. But clearly on its face, it's an absurd statement.
Yeah, I agreed. Robert, listen, the world's in a bit of a chaotic situation right now.
We've got a lot more that we could be covering. I barely touched the list of questions that
I've got written down here for you, but I want to be mindful of your time. So I hope next time
we call you that you'll pick up the phone and agree to come back on the Situation Report.
Next, well, we turn to President Trump's energy strategy. He's pushing to ramp up domestic production
on federal lands and waters aiming to strengthen U.S. energy independence. Well, that's a good idea.
But what does that mean for America's national security? Daniel Turner from Power of the Future joins us
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Welcome back to the PDB Situation Report.
Energy policy, it's not just about gas prices, right?
It's about national security.
That makes sense.
The ability to produce and control our own energy supply means fewer dependencies,
fewer vulnerabilities, and a stronger position on the world stage.
Now, when of President Trump's first moves back in office,
it was a major push to ramp up domestic U.S.
energy production. He's calling it a matter of national interest, and he's not wrong. Arguing that
unleashing America's natural resources isn't just about economic growth, but it's about military
strength and global security. His executive order lays it out plainly. Energy independence means
less reliance on foreign powers and more leverage in global conflicts. Now, that's a sharp
contrast to the last administration's approach, which saw the U.S. scaling back drilling and
turning to imports, even from adversaries. Trump says this shift will bring prosperity back to
American workers, but beyond the economy, what does this mean for America's standing in the world,
and how does it position America in the world of fossil fuels versus clean energy?
Well, joining us now as Daniel Turner. He's the executive director of Power of the Future.
Daniel, thanks very much for being here today on the Situation Report.
Great to be with you.
Thank you.
Let's start with a very broad question here.
What's your perspective on where we're going with the energy policy?
Are you pleased with what you've heard so far?
And what do you expect in terms of pushback from the other side politically?
The other side, that's all they know how to do is pushback.
They hate the energy industry.
They are beholden to the climate agenda, so I expect nothing from them.
But I'm kind of at the point that I don't really care about their position because they've
brought nothing but misery to the American people and quite frankly to the world.
I'm happy with President Trump's policy agenda.
I knew what you expect and I knew it was going to be bold because it was first term.
What I'm also really proud of and surprised of are how fast congressional Republicans are
working because normally not everyone moves at the speed of Trump. Just today, the Senate finally,
I should even say finally, we're only a couple weeks into the session, but today the Senate
repealed Joe Biden's tax on natural gas. Why are we taxing natural gas? Because he hates
the industry and he wanted more money. That's why. So there's a lot of positive momentum.
It's going to take a while to kick in, right? You're not going to feel it in your pocketbook tomorrow,
But we are headed in a really, really bright direction.
You wrote an interesting piece recently that touched on the Keystone pipeline and the complexity
of that, both in terms of what the Biden administration did and trying to rejuvenate it.
Talk to me about that if you could.
Yeah, you know, it's great to see the president support this pipeline again.
And it's ridiculous that it was ever made of political football.
But I don't think if you're in the energy space just because the president's
says you should start building it again, you're going to jump in with both feet. What Joe Biden
did, which really was unprecedented, is now he introduced the level of fear on any major
infrastructure project that if you don't finish your project before a presidential cycle,
you could have it ripped out from under you. And the really pernicious thing about what
Joe Biden did, Keystone did it make this decision with Donald Trump? They made it with the
American government, the full faith and credit of the American government. And now
the private sector is worried. So imagine someone does resty at the pipeline, right? Think of the
billions of dollars that it will take in financing. Think of how much work it is to get 1,200 miles
of pipeline constructed and moved into place and personnel. But now it's 2028 and Gavin Newsom is
running for president and all he does is say, and when I'm elected, I'm going to shut down that
pipeline. Well, there's your investment. I can't. You know what? I can't believe, Daniel, that you
think Gavin Newsom has presidential ambitions? That doesn't make any sense at all. But going back to
Keystone, this is what Joe Biden did, who's going to invest multi-billion dollars in a huge infrastructure
project if the next guy is going to rip it out from under you. Yeah. And how difficult is it
because we have to roll back some regulatory policies from previous administration? How difficult is
that process? Pretty easy, especially when it comes to Keystone. The reason why Keystone was
tricky is because it crosses an international border. And to get a little nerdy on you for a second,
the only reason why the president is involved in that is because a hundred and God knows how many
years ago when the very first telegraph wires arrived from Europe and they got to New York
and someone said, are we just allowed to bring these on shore? Right. Like, do we need permission?
And no one knew what to do. And someone said, ask the State Department. It's from England,
maybe the State Department. So every time you hear Keystone and they say, well, the State Department,
gave permission, for some reason, they gave that authority to the State Department.
An easy way to solve this, Congress should take it back.
Well, why is the State Department making decisions on pipelines?
It shouldn't.
That should be a congressional decision.
So there are fixes, but my point is we need a fix before any private sector company invests
billions in this project.
Yeah.
By the way, I don't mind you getting nerdy on me.
Look, I haven't if you noticed, but I'm wearing a cardigan.
So, yeah, it looks like I just came from the two.
chess club meeting.
Sorry.
Sorry, I digress, don't I?
Okay, let's switch gears just slightly.
We're still talking about energy.
Talk to me about nuclear power in the country and where you expect that to go.
We've definitely got the administration in support of it.
And Energy Secretary Wright actually started in the nuclear space.
He knows the nuclear space very, very well.
And President Trump's talked about it.
When you look especially at remote communities, I have a...
a recent conversation with the governor of Alaska on this. To build infrastructure, to get coal
or natural gas, that's almost impossible. But you can build a self-sustaining, self-contained,
small micro-nuclear plant and bring power to rural communities. The problem, though, is, again, can you
get it built before the next presidential cycle? And that's why you're going to have this same
level of fear. Nuclear, for some reason, scares people. It shouldn't. The question is, I mean,
I'm asking you this question. Can we get it built?
before the next presidential cycle?
Yeah, a small microcrux, I think you can get that around three and a half years.
Yeah, and it's going to be really pushing to make that happen.
But there's no reason why we should have this level of fear.
We have so many raw materials.
We have the uranium for nuclear in Alaska.
We have so many raw materials in this country that energy should be an afterthought.
Electricity bills should almost be free.
And I don't mean that in a socialist way, like a Bernie Sanders healthcare way.
I mean, it should be so abundant and inexpensive that your utility bills, like our grandkids.
parents back in the day, never worried about the utility bill. It's only recently it's become
expensive, and that's because of these communist green policies.
Yeah. Well, I mean, I guess to your point about the uranium, one of the problems who we've
had for quite some time, right? I mean, not just with the Biden administration, but going back
a number of years is we've got abundant, right, minimal resources in the U.S., but the problem
is trying to get them out of the ground, trying to get approval. And then that process, you know,
The mining industry has basically been just constantly on the back foot because it just takes
forever to try to get approval if you can even get it.
Exactly.
And I think the energy emergency that president declared will hopefully thwart a lot of these efforts
by these radical green groups, a lot of whom were funded by foreign agents, right?
Because if you want to open Hebel mine in Alaska, which is a huge copper deposit, or
Twin Metals in Minnesota, another huge copper deposit, well, if you have copper mines, you have copper
mines that are run by nine-year-old girls and slave labor, right? You're making really good margins.
Do I want to compete? Do I want to copper money? Do I want to lower the price of copper worldwide
as a commodity? Hell no. So it's easiest to fund green groups to scare the crap out of people
about climate change when all you're doing is just protecting your overseas investment.
Tom Steyer, who ran for president on this platform, we're going to stop fossil fuels is one of the
largest investors at overseas mining. So he's fun.
with a nine-year-old child in Indonesia, but he will be damned if a man in West Virginia mine coal.
Yeah, no, I'm glad you're raised. Look, I've seen some mining operations overseas and they are
extremely nasty, right? And it's a tough business wherever you're doing it, but nobody does it
in a cleaner or, you know, more environmentally, you know, protected way than we do it in the U.S., right?
And again, okay, that doesn't take away from the fact that, yeah, it's mining. It's, you know,
it's got some drawbacks.
But so I take your point.
And I think also one of the interesting aspects of this is the foreign influence, right,
on mining in the U.S.
And not to get nerdy on you, Daniel, but I'm about to.
But, you know, as an example, the Chinese regime, right, this is in their best interest.
So what they've identified over the years is that they may not be able to shift federal policy in the U.S.,
But if they go after in an indirect way through what appear to be grassroots operations,
right, some community organization that's targeting, you know, phosphate mining in Florida,
whatever it may be, and then they can influence local and state policies, right?
And if they say, okay, no, because they believe it's community driven, right, rather than
there's influence from overseas, from, you know, countries that don't have oranges at stake,
then, you know, they can impact this.
Next thing you know, the state house in a particular location is saying, no, we're not going to authorize this mining.
That benefits who, the Chinese regime?
Exactly.
It's such a great point.
We've done a number of congressional studies, studies for Congress that we bring to legislators that I knock on doors and try to get them to pay attention.
China controls 95% of the rare earth and metals and minerals industry worldwide.
Now, they operate in Chile, they operate in sub-Saharan Africa, but they are mines owned and operated by the communist Chinese.
And so we say, you know, let's be green.
Let's build solar panels.
Well, the solar panels are made in communist China with those raw materials, and somehow
that's considered green.
I don't know why the Chinese can burn coal to make solar panels, but we can't burn coal
to make electricity.
And so China absolutely pushes this agenda.
You see them at the World Economic Forum.
You see them at these climate conferences saying, we applaud the Paris Accord.
We applaud people caring about the climate.
Of course they do.
They're making a boatload of money.
money off of the West being petrified of climate change.
Yeah, absolutely.
And every week opening up a new coal plant.
Daniel, if you'll stay right there, right?
We have to take a quick break.
Don't go anywhere.
And we'll be back with Daniel Turner here on the Situation Report.
Stick around.
Welcome back to the PDB Situation Report.
Joining me again is Daniel Turner.
He's the founder and executive director of Power of the Future.
Daniel, thanks very much for sticking around.
Appreciate it.
Let's talk just briefly. Are you seeing any shift in the positioning of oil and gas companies?
And by that, I mean, look, for the past number of years, they've gone sort of all in on clean energy,
oftentimes to the detriment of the health and the welfare of the company itself, right?
Are you seeing any changes in that sort of direction?
Well, BP made a big announcement yesterday that they were investing less.
of their resources into renewables, and they were doubling down on BP, petroleum, right?
They were going back to drilling.
And, of course, they are because the renewables, as soon as the money dries up, the subsidies
from the government, the renewables are absolutely valueless.
They don't work.
They're terribly expensive.
They break down.
They're hard to maintain.
They're made in communist China with slave labor.
Outside of that, they're great, right?
Outside of that, they're a wonderful thing.
So, yeah, I think, and especially with this administration, look, this is a lot of
an industry that would like to work on volume and be left alone. In the first Trump administration,
when they were allowed to operate, what are the oil and gas industry, especially here in America,
what did it do? It produced more for less, for a greater number of people at a lower price point.
It lowered emissions, and I think the emissions games are all lies, but I'll just play their
game because that's the metric we have to go by. But it lowered emissions. It was only until
Joe Biden came into power that we started hearing these accusations.
of price gouging and profiteering and greed.
How come the big oil guy in his first term, you never heard of accusations of that?
And that's because the industry wants to operate on volume.
And if they're able to have permitting and access, if they're able to drill, they're going
to do more of it and you're going to have more oil and gas at lower price points.
And then all of your goods and services are going to become less expensive as well.
It's a proven formula.
So I think the industry itself will get on board, even if they've got a couple of crazy
board members who they put on to appease Greta Thunberg, right, who are going to say,
what about the climate?
You know, I wish they would be bolder and kick them out.
Is it really important to appease Greta?
I don't know.
Yes, because she'll bring our crazy minions and they'll throw bricks at your office all the time.
Wait a minute.
Wait, wait, wait, wait, wait, Daniel Greta's got minions.
See, I didn't realize the situation had gotten that dangerous.
The best thing about the current state of disaster of the left in general is that climate change
is no longer the cool thing.
And granted, it's winter, right?
No one lays down in traffic in the cold.
So, well, they'll come back when it gets hot.
But right now, all the momentum, all the enthusiasm is either protecting government bureaucrats
or hating on Israel.
And that's where all the crazies are.
So maybe if they're all doing their other nonsense, the oil and gas industry and the cold industry
we can start thriving again.
It's really hard to figure out where you stand on all of this
because you keep mincing words.
But let's, yeah, so where does that leave clean energy, though?
I mean, from your perspective, you know, it plays a role,
but, you know, what type of role in sort of that, you know,
let's do everything concept?
Yeah, I don't believe in that.
I don't believe in all of the above.
I think phrases like clean and green are made up.
and the people who want to push their product invented the phraseology and asks us to start
speaking their language.
I don't support all of the above because all of the above doesn't work.
And this is where I have a lot of argument with like elected leaders and they'll say, well,
you know, if you look right now, 30% of our electricity comes from renewables.
Like, well, right now, because the wind is blowing.
But what happens tomorrow, right?
Is the wind going to blow?
You can't predict that.
Is the sun going to shine?
You can't predict that. And because we can't predict it and you cannot prepare for it as a commodity, the prices are unstable. And we have felt that nationwide. Electricity prices, utility prices are up 30%. In Europe, they're up a thousand percent over the last couple of years. Now, they have capped them for consumers, but the government is just paying the difference. They're paying $1,000, a thousand euro per megawatt hour in Europe. Now, they capped it at 300, but it's a thousand dollars.
It's absurd. Why? Because they're all in unrenewable. And there's never, no matter how many wind turbines you build, if the wind doesn't blow, they are useless. And so why would I ever support an energy policy that says, let's get more of the variable in our life? Part of being a good business or anything is getting rid of variables. And wind and solar are crappy, awful, made with slave labor, foreign, unreliable, intermittent. I would rip them out of every, all across the country. I would get rid of.
of them. Again, I just can't figure out where you stand on an issue. So let's look at,
if we could, mining just for a second. We talked about it briefly in the previous segment,
but some big news in mining, at least in the U.S., was this discovery, I guess it's been known
for some time, of the lithium deposits in Arkansas. You look at that, you look at the criticality
of lithium as a mineral for.
batteries, for instance.
And, you know, to what degree do you imagine that we'll be able to push back regulatory
policies on mining and take advantage of a find like that?
It's huge, and it really is a game chamber.
And these are the raw materials that we need for the technologies that we're using.
And unless we're willing to alter our lifestyle and give up our smart phones and our smart TVs,
we're going to need more lithium.
And wouldn't you rather get it from America that will have a nod to the environment?
I mean, I'm talking to you from my sheep farm in rural Virginia.
I am an environmentalist.
I live, you know, in nature.
I'm a farmer.
Where we protect the earth and the land and the water better in America.
We want the American jobs and not four-year-old children in the Congo mining our lithium.
But what's going to happen is that, and this is the way the left operates, the environmental left,
as soon as they start getting the permits, they are going to find a short-haired grouse that is on the endangered list.
They're going to find a native tribe that they'll, they will find a reason to try to shut this down.
And this is all paid for activism for nefarious purposes.
And they have to be defeated.
And that's what we try to do with Power the Future.
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Yeah, I understand that.
Yeah, I'm out in Idaho.
We're home of the sagecrow.
Yeah, it's remarkable.
Tell me a little bit about power of the future, if you could.
Again, you talked about just a second ago, but, you know, what's the focus?
I started the organization a couple of years ago because I live near Appalachia,
and it's a lot of old retired, destroyed coal mines.
And it started because of Barack Obama's war on coal.
And if you recall, we're going back some time, but when he ran for president in 2008,
he said, I'm not going to make coal illegal, but I'll tell you,
is if you own a coal mine, you're going to go bankrupt. And everyone applauded, and everyone gave
him awards and said, how great. But if you're one of those 4,000 coal jobs in a rural town all
across America, your livelihood was destroyed and no one fought for you. In fact, they made fun
of you, and they told you to learn to code, right? Start the gig economy. Their own representatives
turned on them, right? Look at Pennsylvania. Thank God Dave McCormick won. Their own senators
turned their back on coal miners in Pennsylvania because they're not cool and sophisticated.
And yet we need coal.
We use more coal than ever because you can't make cement and steel and all these products
around us are all made or forged from products that come from coal.
So all we did was just destroy Americans.
And it bothered me so much.
And I had to get off the sidelines.
And I would have these conversations with people in the political space.
And I appreciate you saying, I don't mince words.
I wanted to speak this forcefully.
And you remember once you can't say that.
Whoa, you can't call these guys communists.
They just care about the earth.
And I'd say, no, they're not.
They're evil.
They're misanthropic.
They hate this country.
They need to be defeated.
I got tired of being told what I cannot say, so I started my own organization to say the factual
things about this space and to protect those, be a voice for those rural Americans across
the country whose lives have been destroyed by a climate lie.
That is really fascinating, Daniel.
I give you a lot of credit for taking this on.
I'm reminded of the push for banning gas-powered vehicles, as an example, and going to an all-e-v future.
And somehow the power grid was going to be able to support that.
And somehow people imagined that, I don't know, that power didn't come from a coal plant or other sources other than just a wind farm somewhere.
Look, Daniel, this has been fascinating.
I think there's a lot more that we could be covering.
And I hope we have that opportunity down the road.
Daniel Turner, executive director of Power the Future.
Sure. Listen, thank you again very much for joining us here on the Situation Report. Well, that is
all the time we have for this week's PDB Situation Report. Now, look, if you have any questions or
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I'm Mike Pickern.
And until next time, well, you know the drill.
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