The President's Daily Brief - September 16th, 2025: Assassin's Potential Ties To Radical Groups Eyed in Kirk Case & NATO Launches Eastern Sentry
Episode Date: September 16, 2025In this episode of The President's Daily Brief: Authorities are building their case in the Kirk assassination, tracing DNA, combing devices, and even investigating possible ties to radical groups.... NATO rolls out “Eastern Sentry,” a permanent troop deployment in Poland aimed at shutting down Russian drone attacks. During a visit to Israel, Secretary of State Marco Rubio says a diplomatic end to the Gaza war may not be possible. Washington announces a framework deal on TikTok after talks with China, though what that really means remains unclear. To listen to the show ad-free, become a premium member of The President’s Daily Brief by visiting PDBPremium.com.Please remember to subscribe if you enjoyed this episode of The President's Daily Brief. YouTube: youtube.com/@presidentsdailybrief Mando: Control Body Odor ANYWHERE with @shop.mando and get 20% off + free shipping with promo code PDB at https://shopmando.com! #mandopod Birch Gold: Text PDB to 989898 and get your free info kit on goldAmerican Financing: NMLS 182334, https://nmlsconsumeraccess.org. APR for rates in the 5s start at 6.327% for well qualified borrowers. Call 866-885-1881 for details about credit costs and terms. Visit http://www.AmericanFinancing.net/PDB Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
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It's Tuesday, the 16th of September.
Well, look at that.
We are halfway through the month.
Welcome to the President's Daily Brief.
I'm Mike Baker.
Your eyes and ears on the world stage.
And yes, still on the road.
All right, let's get briefed.
First up, authorities are building their case in the Kirk assassination, tracing DNA,
combing devices, and even investigating possible ties to radical groups.
We'll bring you the latest.
Later in the show, NATO rolls out Operation Eastern Century,
a permanent troop deployment in Poland aimed at shutting down Russia.
drone attacks. Plus, during her visit to Israel, Secretary of State, Marco Rubio,
says a diplomatic end to the Gaza war may not be possible. And in today's back of the brief,
Washington announces a framework deal on TikTok. Oh, TikTok, after talks with China,
though what that means remains unclear. So for now, I'll just continue practicing my TikTok dance
moves. But first, today's PDB spotlight. Authorities in Utah today are,
to officially file capital murder charges against 22-year-old Tyler Robinson. It's the man accused,
of course, of assassinating conservative activist Charlie Kirk. It's the next major step in what's
likely to be one of the most closely watched criminal cases in modern times. Once the charges are
filed, the process moves into the courts. Robinson's first appearance before a judge will come
at his arraignment, where he'll be asked to enter a plea. After that, prosecutors will begin
laying out their case as the court sets a schedule for preliminary hearings.
It's a process that could stretch on for months, if not longer.
And it's worth pausing on what those charges actually mean.
In Utah, a capital murder charge is obviously no small matter.
It opens the door to the harshest penalties that the U.S. justice system has,
either life in prison without parole, or depending on how prosecutors pursue it, the death penalty.
That's why, even with what seems to be a mountain of evidence, the system demands that the case be built carefully and methodically.
So how are investigators working to build their case? Let's start with the forensic evidence.
Authorities say they have DNA evidence tying Robinson directly to the crime scene.
Samples from a towel wrapped around the firearm used in the shooting came back positive for his profile.
Same with DNA lifted from a screwdriver found on the roof nearby.
Those connections matter because they can place Robinson at the scene with the weapon in question.
But it will still take lab analysis, expert testimony, and airtight handling of the airtight handling of the
evidence chain to stand up in court. And then there's the motive, still one of the most important
pieces of the puzzle. Based on what we know, Robinson appears to have been driven by politics,
but again, it's not what you know, it's what you can prove. Prosecutors can't simply speculate,
obviously, they need evidence that ties his political views directly to the decision to carry out
the shooting. That's where some key details from the FBI come in. Director Cash Patel told Fox
News that Robinson had written a note before the attack,
essentially stating that he had an opportunity to take out Charlie Kirk and that he was going to do it.
Patel says investigators recovered the contents of the note even after it had been destroyed.
But the Bureau has held back from releasing the full text, likely saving it for court proceedings.
So what about Robinson himself?
Well, he's not cooperating with the authorities.
Utah's governor says the suspect has not confessed and is refusing to cooperate with law enforcement.
That doesn't necessarily make or break the case, but it means,
investigators will need to rely more heavily on forensic evidence and testimony from others.
The good news for prosecutors is that people around Robinson have been cooperating.
And here's where things get more unusual.
As we reported yesterday, Robinson was following the manhunt in real time, along with a group of
about 20 others on what's known as a Discord server.
He even joked with them about the investigation, calling the suspect his, quote,
doppelganger.
After summon the group, said the killer,
resembled him. Officials now say that the other members of the chat room didn't believe Robinson
was actually responsible. Beyond Discord chat logs, investigators are also combing through the rest
of Robinson's digital footprint, computers, phones, encrypted apps. Those kind of searches can take
weeks or months, since they require quarter-proof warrants, and specialized forensic tools to recover
and access potentially encrypted data. What they find could shed more light on Robinson's planning,
his contacts and his possible affiliations.
And that leads to another angle gaining traction.
Possible ties to radical groups.
A source familiar with the investigation told Fox News that the FBI is looking into a number
of leftist groups in Utah.
The question is whether any of those groups had knowledge of Robinson's plans or whether
they provided him with any kind of assistance or encouragement.
The source didn't elaborate on which groups are under review, but the very fact that the
inquiry has widened tells us.
something about the direction that the investigators are headed in.
And it dovetails with comments from President Trump over the weekend.
When asked which groups might be investigated, he told NBC News, quote,
A lot of the people that you would traditionally say are on the left.
They're already under investigation.
Now, that's a strong signal, but the White House is preparing perhaps for a wider drag net.
There are comments from the Department of Justice that suggest the administration
could be preparing to look for money trails, trying to connect funding sources,
to street agitators or to far-left groups that may be implicated in political violence.
If that's the direction that this case moves, the investigation into Kirk's killing could quickly
grow into something far bigger than just one man standing trial. For now, though, today's step is
the filing of charges. That's where the story begins to shift from police investigation to
courtroom battle. All right. Coming up next, NATO launches Operation Eastern Century with troops deployed to
Poland to counter Russian drones. And U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio warns during a stop in Israel
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Operation Eastern Century is NATO's answer to Moscow's repeated drone incursions, and now we're getting a clearer picture of what it really involves.
As we've previously discussed, the mission was triggered after nearly 20 Russian drones crossed into Polish skies last week in one of the most serious breaches of NATO airspace since the Putin invasion of Ukraine began.
The swarm forced Warsaw to scramble fighter jets prompted NATO's Article 4 consultations and set in motion in Allied press.
presence on Europe's eastern flank. So what does Eastern Sentry actually involve? Well, it marks
NATO's shift from piecemeal reactions to a standing operation, the built-around forward-deployed
troops, an expanded roster of Allied aircraft on tap, and cutting-edge counter-drone systems.
On the 12th of September, NATO Secretary General Mark Ruta announced the mission is permanent,
similar to January's Baltic Sentry patrols, the rotational shield thrown up earlier this year,
to blunt rushes escalation into the Baltic Sea.
So far, Denmark has pledged two F-16s in a frigate, France three-fighter jets,
comparable to U.S. F-18 super-warnets, and Germany, four Eurofighters, similar to U.S. F-15s.
NATO's Supreme Headquarters Allied Powers Europe, which, of course, has an acronym, and that would be shape,
says the mission will double as a test bed for experimental drone sensors and kill systems
designed to detect, track, and neutralize threats in real time.
Warsaw's president underscored the point on Sunday by signing a classified decree
authorizing allied troops to remain on Polish soil.
And it didn't take long for Eastern Century to be tested.
Romania confirmed a fresh violation late Sunday when a Russian drone crossed into its skies
during a strike on nearby Ukrainian targets.
Two Romanian F-16s were scrambled, shadowing the UAV, until it veered back across the Ukrainian border.
Elsewhere, Latvia and Lithuania have reported similar Russian drone incursions.
Analysts at the Washington-based think tank, the Institute for the study of war,
say Russia is, quote, likely attempting to gauge NATO's capabilities and reactions,
warning that the Kremlin is probing for the alliance's weaknesses.
That Russian encroachment has reignited debate inside NATO over the possibility of
a no-fly zone. Poland's foreign minister argued allies should, quote, consider shooting down
Russian drones over Ukraine before they reach ally skies. But Washington and London remain firmly
opposed. Warning such a step risks a direct clash with Russian aircraft, especially as a U.S.
brokered ceasefire between Moscow and Kiev remains elusive, and by elusive, I mean, non-existent.
The Kremlin, too-to-form, has responded to Warsaw's idea of a no-fly zone suggestion with
fresh threats, of course. Dmitri Medvedev, the former Russian president, now serving as the
deputy chairman of the country's security council and the Kremlin's chief saber-rattler,
clutched his pearls and dramatically announced that shooting down Russian drones over Ukraine
would, quote, mean only one thing, a war between NATO and Russia.
Kremlin mouthpiece Dmitri Peskov went further, declaring, quote, NATO is already at war with Russia,
citing Western military aid to Keev. Now, nobody apparently has told Peskov that Russia started this
conflict when they decided to invade Ukraine three years ago. History is hard. Polish analysts
dismissed the threats as part of a coordinated disinformation campaign that kicked up after last
week's drone swarm. Poland's National Research Institute. Now, does it have an acronym, you ask?
Does a Russian bear crap in the Ukrainian woods? Of course it does. It's known as NASK. Anyway,
the Institute said Russian and Belarusian media outlets flooded the infosphere with contradictory
narratives, some denying the drone incursion happened, others blaming Ukraine, and some flat out
stating that Poland declared war on Moscow. The point, NASC warned, is to quote, escalate emotions,
polarized public opinion, and undermine trust in NATO. For the alliance, the message is simple.
Operation Eastern Century is proof that the alliance won't let its borders be tested without
consequences. Okay, shifting gears, Secretary of State Marco Rubio warned from Jerusalem,
Monday that diplomacy may never compel Hamas to surrender, casting doubt on President Trump's
insistence that a ceasefire is within reach. Standing alongside Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu on Monday,
after a two-day visit that consisted of closed-door talks, Rubio struck a harder line than the president,
making clear that the U.S. still seeks a negotiated accord, but has little faith that the Iran-backed
group would ever accept one. He declared, quote, we are not counting on that happening,
blasting Hamas as, quote, a terrorist group, a barbaric group whose state admission is the destruction of the Jewish state, end quote. Netanyahu echoed that sentiment, declaring Israel, quote, must make sure Hamas is eliminated, though he added surrender, would be preferable if it could be achieved. Both men, however, deflected questions from the press on Jerusalem's looming ground offensive into Gaza City. Even as Israeli warplanes over the weekend flattened four high rises in the city believed to house Hamas command center.
For now, Israel estimates some 20 hostages remain alive. Rubio, pressed on whether Trump endorsed the
blitz into Gaza City, declined to say outright. But as we've covered here on the PDB,
Trump has made clear that the war, quote, must be finished. The joint appearance came against
the backdrop of tension between Washington and Jerusalem following Israel's strike last week on
the U.S. ally of Qatar aimed at Hamas leaders. As we've been tracking, the Iran-backed group
claims that senior figures survive the attack, while Netanyahu said reports are still being assessed.
Rubio heads to Doha today, a visit shadowed by the Israeli strike,
spotlighting Qatar's double role as both a host to Hamas leadership and a ceasefire mediator,
not to mention, host of America's largest air base in the region.
Later on Monday, Netanyahu accused China and Qatar of bankrolling,
what he called a, quote, political blockade, a coordinated propaganda campaign,
through Western media and social media platforms,
meant to erode U.S. and European support for Israel.
He contrasted it with Iran's, quote, military blockade,
saying Tehran has tried to encircle Israel with rockets and terror proxies,
including Hamas and Herzbollah and the Houthis,
while Beijing and Doha are attempting to do the same with information warfare.
Speaking before 250 American state legislators,
Netanyahu alleged Qatar and China were funneling, quote,
enormous sums of money into the propaganda effort.
He told the American lawmakers, quote,
they're organizing an attack on Israel,
warning that the campaign's impact is being felt most currently in Western Europe.
When he asked rhetorically in his speech whether Israel had really been cut off,
Netanyahu's answer was a firm no, pointing to strong U.S. backing.
His solution?
Well, Natanyahu told the delegation it comes down to self-reliance,
stating, quote, Israel will need to strengthen our independent arms industries,
just as we've succeeded with the,
military blockade, we will also succeed with the political blockade. Still, he underscored the partnership
with Washington, despite the strikes on Doha, making it clear that, quote, the American-Israeli alliance
has never been as strong as it is now, end quote. Okay, coming up next in today's back of the brief,
the U.S. says TikTok's future has been decided, oh, yay, at least on paper. But the details,
well, they haven't been revealed yet. We'll have more on that when we come back.
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In today's back of the brief, it looks like the years-long drama between Washington and Beijing
over the fate of TikTok may be reaching a conclusion.
The Trump administration has announced that it's reached a framework deal with China
to keep the app operational in the U.S.
Treasury Secretary Scott Besson confirmed the news in Madrid,
saying that President Trump personally provided guidance that,
shaped the final agreement. The framework is expected to be finalized later this week when
Trump speaks directly with Chinese President Xi Jinping. That conversation will also serve as a precursor
to a broader Trump-Shee summit that both sides have been angling for over the past several months.
Officials say the agreement clears a major hurdle, but the fine print is still very much in flux.
So who's actually going to buy TikTok's U.S. operations? Well, that part remains unclear. Several groups have
made pitches in recent months, including a team led by former Dodgers owner, Frank McCourt,
and Shark Tank investor Kevin O'Leary. But their bid likely falls short of TikTok's multi-billion
dollar valuation. Instead, all eyes now appear to be on Oracle's Larry Ellison, who's expected
to lead the U.S.-backed acquisition effort. This deal has been a long time coming, of course.
As we've covered here on the PDB, Congress passed a bipartisan law during the Biden administration
that banned TikTok in the U.S., unless its Chinese parent company, Bite Dance, divested its U.S. stake.
President Trump, upon returning to office, repeatedly extended the enforcement deadline,
first in January and then again in June, pushing it all the way to this month.
Critics have accused Trump of undermining congressional intent by continually moving the goalposts,
but administration officials argue the extensions allowed space for a workable solution.
At the heart of the fight is a national security concern.
It goes well beyond pet videos or viral dance trends, although, you know, the raccoon videos are a personal favorite of mine.
Lawmakers and intelligence officials have long warned that TikTok isn't just a platform.
It's a massive data collection machine owned by a company susceptible to China's national security laws and the Chinese Communist Party.
That means the CCP could, in theory, force bite dance to hand over user data, manipulate algorithms, or even deploy TikTok as a tool of influence in society.
the U.S.
After all, there's probably a reason why China doesn't allow TikTok inside China.
And that, my friends, is the President's Daily Brief for Tuesday, the 16th of September.
If you have any questions or comments, please reach out to me at PDB at thefirsttv.com.
And to listen to the show ad-free, which you can do, and you can do that very simply,
just become a premium member of the President's Daily Brief by visiting PDB Premium.com.
As you've no doubt seen on billboards all across town, when you become a premium member of the PDB, you'll also get access to our brand new special series the day the world almost ended.
I'm Mike Baker, and I'll be back later today with the PDB afternoon bulletin.
Until then, stay informed, stay safe, stay cool.
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