The Rest Is Politics: Leading - 37. Chris Hipkins, New Zealand PM: Working with Xi Jinping, fighting to stay in power, and zero covid's double-edged sword

Episode Date: September 24, 2023

What is it like going from cabinet minister to Prime Minister? Are politicians in New Zealand more courteous than politicians in the UK? Why was New Zealand's Covid-19 response so effective? From the... middle of his campaign trail for re-election, New Zealand's Prime Minister Chris Hipkins is here to discuss all these questions and more with Rory and Alastair in this week's Leading. TRIP Plus: Become a member of The Rest Is Politics Plus to support the podcast, enjoy ad-free listening to both TRIP and Leading, benefit from discount book prices on titles mentioned on the pod, join our Discord chatroom, and receive early access to live show tickets and Question Time episodes. Just head to therestispolitics.com to sign up, or start a free trial today on Apple Podcasts: apple.co/therestispolitics. Instagram: @restispolitics Twitter: @RestIsPolitics Email: restispolitics@gmail.com Producers: Dom Johnson + Nicole Maslen Exec Producers: Tony Pastor + Jack Davenport Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

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Starting point is 00:00:00 Thanks for listening to The Restis Politics. Sign up to the Restis Politics Plus. To enjoy ad-free listening, receive a weekly newsletter, join our members chat room and gain early access to live show tickets. Just go to therestispolities.com. That's the restispolities. Welcome to the Restis Politics leading with me, Alistair Campbell. And me, Rory Stewart.
Starting point is 00:00:23 And we're very, very lucky. This is a credit to Alistair has brought on his friend, the Prime Minister of New Zealand, right Honourable Chris Hipkins. And, Alistair, tell us a little bit about how we, we got this privilege. How do we get here? Veyer, a mutual friend of ours, being Chris, that is, called Darren Hughes. I think he's one of your closest friends. And he was trying to get Jacinda for a while while she was still Prime Minister and then after she left. And Chris, what's great about you
Starting point is 00:00:53 doing this? You're right in the middle of an election campaign. So thank you very, very much for giving us some of your time. Oh, that's fantastic to be able to talk to you. We are. We've got five and a half weeks to go until polling day. It's a busy time over here in New Zealand, but it is great to be able to talk to you. Well, it's great to see you. Let's just kick off with the campaign, because that's where you are. Now, Labor had an amazing success at the last election. You know, you've absolutely run away. And now you look at the opinion polls, and it's looking very, very tough for you. You've been involved in a lot of campaigns. Just tell us a little about the psychology of campaigning. One, when you feel like,
Starting point is 00:01:33 momentum's with you, as you've known in the past, and when you feel like people are kind of, you know, talking you down, trying to do you down, and it's feeling like an uphill struggle. How do you cope with those? That's a really interesting campaign that we're involved in at the moment. I've certainly been involved in campaigns where we just knew we were going to lose pretty much from the time the balloon went up, and I've been involved in campaigns where we were pretty confident we were going to win. In 2020, was certainly an election campaign that we were feeling pretty confident about.
Starting point is 00:02:01 in terms of this election, it feels like neither of those things. It's a very interesting campaign to be involved in. We're kind of dealing with that post-COVID-19 hangover, which I think a lot of the countries around the world are, where people got through the pandemic. We got through the pandemic very successfully as a country, and the result that we got in 2020, I think, was an endorsement of our approach to managing the pandemic.
Starting point is 00:02:26 But we've got through that, and now I think everybody's suffering a little bit from post-traumatic stress when it comes to COVID-19. They don't want to talk about it. They don't want to think about it. They don't want to know about it. They just want to kind of get on with life. But it still casts a bit of a shadow over this campaign.
Starting point is 00:02:42 And so it's an interesting period. As I said, I've been involved in campaigns where we just knew we were going to lose. And I think the way that you get through those is you just have to focus, I guess, on why you're in politics. Make sure that what you're doing is true to the values that you believe in. at the end of the day, when you go home at night time, you have to be able to answer, in my view, two key questions. Did I do everything that I could today? Was what I was doing today consistent with my values? And if you can answer yes to both of those questions, then you have to accept that in politics.
Starting point is 00:03:16 There's a number of other things that are outside of your control. And events shape things, you know, there's a certain momentum that goes with campaigns that shape things. And whilst we try and shape momentum as much as we can, we have to accept that not all of that's within our control. So, Prime Minister, just to remind international listeners, and there are many listeners in New Zealand, but also listeners in the States and Britain and elsewhere, Jacinta Arden came in just seven weeks before the 2017 election
Starting point is 00:03:46 into your party, a very, very young leader. I think she was in her late 30s, and to the minority government, and then led the Labour Party, your party, to a majority at the 2020 general election and became a real, a sort of major, high-profile, international figure. And then 19th of January this year, not very long ago, she announced that she no longer had enough in the tank
Starting point is 00:04:11 to fulfill the office, the premiership, and said she wouldn't seek re-election, which is what then brought you in as the prime minister. Can you just talk us through just very briefly how that felt? Was it something you'd been expecting? was it very surprising. Do you feel that politics is now becoming increasingly brutal? It's more difficult to keep the fuel in the tank? I think it was certainly very brutal for Jacinda in the sense
Starting point is 00:04:34 that as a young, charismatic, articulate woman, there were a number of people who struggled with that concept. And she was subject to far more scrutiny, far more vitriol than I've ever seen a male politician subjected to. And so I wasn't surprised that that over time, wore her down. And, you know, I think Jazeera can be incredibly proud of her legacy as a leader and what she contributed to New Zealand. But in addition to just dealing with that, we also had the pandemic period. And I don't think we should underestimate the toll that that takes on leaders,
Starting point is 00:05:13 managing a country through something that is as unprecedented and as consequential as that. In politics, a lot of the decisions that you make, you get the verdict on, them years down the track. When it comes to COVID-19, we were making decisions and we were getting the verdict to the very next day on whether the decision that we'd taken was going to work or not. And the decisions that we were taking were incredibly consequential. And Prime Minister, just very quickly on that, just you were very leading figure, weren't you, in the COVID response? I mean, you were the health secretary, you were, became a major media figure in New Zealand. And in fact, there was a gaff, but there was also a lot of time for you.
Starting point is 00:05:55 So I think there's an image of you sort of emerging from a beach and a suit trying to encourage people to do the right steps. New Zealand had a more radical policy towards COVID than other countries. Tell us a little bit about the policy you brought in and how it worked. When we started the COVID-19 response, we were looking at countries like Italy in particular who had just been overwhelmed by COVID-19. and we started with a strategy of trying to flatten the curve. So it was all about buying time to allow the health system to catch up
Starting point is 00:06:23 and to stop the spread of the virus. And that actually morphed into an elimination strategy because our flattening the curve strategy was so successful that we ended up with no COVID-19 in the community at all. And as a result of that, we then found that for the next 18 months or so, we were able to have an elimination strategy in life continued as normal,
Starting point is 00:06:45 as long as you didn't want to have. have to cross the border. If you wanted to leave the country or enter the country, it was a lot more challenging. But for everybody else on a day-to-day basis, life felt exactly the same as it did before COVID-19 even existed. And so that, of course, added so much pressure at a government level, though, because when everybody was enjoying life as normal, while the rest of the world was rolling in and out of lockdowns, the pressure to keep it that way was immense. And it meant that, you know, and there is no way, you can't hermetically seal a border. So there's no way of keeping COVID-19 out completely.
Starting point is 00:07:19 So what we were having to do was isolate people at the border and try and filter it out so that it wouldn't make its way into the community. The pressure associated and the huge decisions that you had to take to make that happen were massive. And, you know, I certainly hope in my lifetime that we never have to go through that kind of process again because it was an all-consuming process. now because i'm going to i'm going to name five of your predecessors as prime minister and you're going to tell me what they're all have in common okay jack marshall bill rolling mike more jenny shepley and bill english i'm not aiming to be like any of them
Starting point is 00:07:56 alister i know exactly what you're getting to there not since the second world war have we had a prime minister in new zealand that's taken over midway through a parliamentary term and gone on to win the next election in five weeks time i'm hoping to break that spell and do exactly that. You know, it has been, I guess, a feature of New Zealand politics that prime ministers who take over Midway don't tend to fear very well in the next campaign. You led the COVID response. I mean, obviously, Jacinda was prime minister, but you were kind of, I hate to put it like this, but you were like the Matt Hancock figure in New Zealand.
Starting point is 00:08:34 We had this guy, Matt Hancock, who got into all sorts of difficulties, but you were judged to have done it very well, very efficiently, proper leadership is one of the reasons probably why you became Prime Minister when Jacinda stepped down. I'm not asking you to whinge about this, but why do you feel that there's been no kind of credit given for that and no credit for some of the changes that you've tried to bring in since? Well, perhaps if I draw on an analogy from the UK going back several generations, you know, Winston Churchill won the war and then was deposed from office within a very short space of time after that. I think generally when populations have gone through a relatively traumatic experience like that,
Starting point is 00:09:16 there's a natural inclination to want to move on quite quickly. I guess the campaign that we are running now is very much focused on the future, and it is based on moving on. We're not spending a lot of time talking about what we achieved during the COVID-19 response. but I do think that actually the experience of leading the country through a major event like that actually sets you up pretty well to lead the country through almost anything else that might get thrown our way. Yeah. Prime Minister, tell us about being a prime minister.
Starting point is 00:09:46 I mean, we infew a lot of past prime ministers on the show and a few serving, but one of the things I think is fascinating to me as somebody who was a cabinet minister but never became prime minister is what is the transition like? what's the difference between being a cabinet minister and being prime minister? What was unexpected about that? I mean, you've been involved in politics since you were a young man. You've been presumably thinking in the back of your mind. This might be a possibility somewhere along your life.
Starting point is 00:10:14 Suddenly the thing happens. Give us a sense of the first two, three days, and what surprised you about that? There's a tradition in New Zealand, very similar to the tradition in the UK, where the outgoing prime minister goes off to visit the Governor General and tender their resignation. And then, you know, 10 minutes later, another car sweeps up the driveway with the, with the new incumbent to be sworn in. And I was driving up the driveway to Government House, which is where the Governor General lives in New Zealand.
Starting point is 00:10:38 And I got a text message from Descinda, literally, as we pulled into the driveway saying, tag, you're it as she exited through the side door. And the transition, I didn't get a lot of time for the transition, actually, because I took over on the 25th of January, and on the 27th of January, we had flooding in Auckland. And then two weeks after that, we had a cyclone, which devastated quite a large part of the east coast of the North Island.
Starting point is 00:11:04 And so I had to go straight into leading through that. If I was to describe the difference between being a minister, being a cabinet minister, a senior cabinet minister, and being prime minister, I would say that they're entirely different jobs. As a cabinet minister, you'd look at the prime minister and think, I could do that job. It's just like being a cabinet minister, but with more responsibility. In reality, it's actually not.
Starting point is 00:11:25 It's an entirely different job. The similarities between being a. minister and being the prime minister are actually few and far between. I spoke to one of my predecessors and the job not long after taking it up and he said to me, being prime minister is 50% ceremonial and 50% making the decisions that no one else is willing to make. And it's actually not a bad characterization of it because there's an awful lot of just being out there and being the figurehead of the government, selling the government's message, doing the things that a prime minister needs to do. But then almost every decision that lands on your desk, it's got there because
Starting point is 00:11:59 no one else could or was willing to make that decision. And so naturally, it's all the tough stuff that ends up on the prime minister's desk. That's interesting. You, you, of course, would be defined maybe by, I don't like the phrase professional politician, but you've been political all of your life. You were head boy at your school, you were student president at your university. And I can't remember who somebody very kindly sent me this when they heard we were talking to you. And it's an extract from something you wrote in your school magazine. But it's very, very, very, very prescient. I don't know what age you were, 16, 17. I've learned that to be strong, you need to believe in yourself no matter what others say. You need to develop the ability
Starting point is 00:12:46 to switch off when your emotions start to overload. Most importantly, you need to learn to depend on yourself as there is no guarantee that the other people you depend on will still be there in a year's time. Set yourself goals and work towards them. Never lose sight of what you're trying to do and you can make a difference. Blimey. Well, I guess you know, you have to have a strong inner resilience to survive in politics, I think. I didn't even know at that point that politics was really a thing. I mean, I kind of got interested in politics when I started at university. It wasn't something that I really wanted to do as a secondary school student. It was something that I discovered not long after finishing secondary school actually. But I do think that that idea that,
Starting point is 00:13:32 I mean, there was, I think the second thing in there that you mentioned, I don't remember that quote now, but I must go look it up. I'm quite proud of it, actually. But the second thing in there about being able to switch off is actually really important. As a passionate redhead, who in my youth would have moments of, you know, losing my temper. I've learned to control that, and actually that's really important in politics. You have to know your own limits, and you have to know when something, whatever it is, is actually getting on top of you, and you have to be able to walk away from that and regather yourself. And if you can't find the inner wisdom to be able to do that, then actually I think politics is going to be a real struggle.
Starting point is 00:14:12 There's something I find very attractive about New Zealand politicians. We've interviewed Helen Clark, who of course played a huge role in the United Nations. I served in Iraq with man called Mark Mitchell, who's not from your party, from the National Party, who I came to like very much, found extremely courageous. We were under attack in our compound in Iraq. He was up on the roof commanding the teams for the machine guns, holding back saturn insurgents. And he was a very, very decent man. And so I feel I've got a friend on the other side of New Zealand politics, too, who I've liked for many years.
Starting point is 00:14:48 But I get a sense. Maybe this is wrong. maybe I'm being unrealistic. There seems to be a slightly more courtesy than understatement to New Zealand politics than maybe we see in the US or the UK, or am I getting that wrong? Yeah, I wouldn't necessarily say that.
Starting point is 00:15:02 Maybe that's just an outsider's perspective because when I travel to the UK and I look at the civility of the way members of Parliament, they approach each other outside of the parliamentary debating chamber, I often think the same way about UK politics, and I sort of lament the fact that we don't have more of that in New Zealand, I think there are isolated patches of that.
Starting point is 00:15:24 There are a few people on the other side of the chamber in New Zealand who I would happily sit down and have a meal with and talk about issues of the day or more to the point to not talk about issues of the day with and thoroughly enjoy that. But there aren't as many of those as I thought there might have been. A couple of things that we talked to Helen Clark about, which I'd like your view on. first is the benefits and disadvantages of your very short parliamentary terms, three-year cycle, and the second is where you've stood throughout your life on the issue of electoral reform and moving from the system that you had, which is more like us, to the system you've now got,
Starting point is 00:16:05 which is a pretty effective form of proportional representation. Yeah. I mean, I think proportional representation has worked very well for New Zealand. If we look back over history, Labor governments often didn't actually get to be governments because of the way the old electoral system works. So Labor would get more votes than the Conservatives, the National Party in this case in New Zealand, but wouldn't get enough seats in order to be able to form government. And so the National Party would govern despite the fact that they had effectively lost the popular vote.
Starting point is 00:16:38 Under proportional representation, that doesn't tend to happen. You actually have to get out there and you've got to win. country rather than sort of stack electorates, which is what happened under the old system. So I think proportional representation has worked well for New Zealand. My first vote, the first election that I voted in was in 1996, which was our first proportional representation election. So in terms of as a voter, I don't know any different to proportional representation. And it does give a greater range of voices in Parliament.
Starting point is 00:17:10 But what it also does is it means that other than this very, unusual circumstance that we have been in for the last three years, you know, during the pandemic period, you don't have majority governments. So no party commands a majority. You have to work with other parties to form government. And that probably slows things down a bit, which is why I think the three-year term is absolutely crazy. I think you get bad governance decisions from a three-year term.
Starting point is 00:17:36 I think four years would be about right. I look at the UK's experience with five years, and I think about where the the current term of the UK Parliament started and where it is now. And I still can't quite believe the fact that you've still got a year to go before you, before the British people will actually get a chance to have a say on that. Really, music to my ears, and I think probably to Alice's too. I mean, we are trying to push hard, or at least I really believe that we need to change our electoral system that the Conservative and Labour parties feel to me sclerotic, rigid, old-fashioned, we need to bring new blood in. I also wonder whether one of the,
Starting point is 00:18:13 advances, Helen Clark suggested this, is that it allows these mainstream center-left, center-right parties to get rid of some of their fringes because they begin to form their own independent parties and that can be healthy actually for the main parties as well as for the other parties. So I really think that that's one big element and we'd love to take that from New Zealand. We'll take your point on four years instead of three years. The other thing we often talk about is decentralization, localization, giving more power down to local mayors, trying to get away from an idea that everything's micromanaged from the centre.
Starting point is 00:18:47 What's your experience on that in New Zealand? How has that worked? How hasn't it worked? I think in New Zealand we have two extremes. We have a very centralised system of central government and then a very fragmented local government that is probably far too fragmented for a country of only 5 million people. And so our experience of localisation is a pretty patchy one. I think we probably need to find something, if we wanted to devolve more responsibility,
Starting point is 00:19:17 we'd probably need to find something that had a little more scale because some of our local authorities are so small that if you gave them additional responsibilities, I think they would really struggle to be able to fulfill them because they just wouldn't have the size and the scale to be able to do that. You mentioned the UK a couple of times, and you know the UK pretty well, you lived here for a while. What's your take on the UK at the moment? It's really hard to form a judgment. I just, I haven't spent enough time in the UK in recent times to really be able to form a judgment on the UK. I've always found the UK a pretty vibrant and resilient place. I'm still somewhat skeptical about whether Brexit's going to deliver anything near the benefits that were promised by those who campaigned for it. And my gut feeling is it's still going to prove to be a costly exercise for the British people. But I'm not close enough to sort of
Starting point is 00:20:09 domestic politics at the moment to kind of understand the dynamic. Prime Minister, one of the things that you've done, which we haven't done recently, is do a visit to China. That's a really big deal, Prime Minister of New Zealand going to China. And China, of course, is, I don't know what it is. It's the elephant, the dragon in the room. Tell us a little bit how you work your way through that. There's some big stuff going on. Britain and the US are involved in building nuclear submarines with the Australians. there are attempts to get these alliances going with Japan, there's clearly a rising view across different parties in the US
Starting point is 00:20:43 that they're going into something that feels like a Cold War with China. And you're right in the middle of this. I guess China's important to your economy. You're trying to trade a line on this. Tell us about where you see China going. How do you think the West should be handling China? The New Zealand relationship with China is incredibly important from a trade perspective.
Starting point is 00:21:01 As a small trading nation, China's our biggest export market now. And so that's incredibly important to us economically. And the travel to China was quite fascinating in the sense that when you look at what businesses are doing on the ground and how different it is to trade in China versus other countries that we are more familiar with, clearly New Zealand businesses have had to adapt to the different Chinese approach. And that was certainly a real eye for me to be able to see that up close. I think it's one of our most complex relationships. We navigate a path very carefully there in the sense that there are many areas where we can work with China, particularly economically, as a big export market for New Zealand. But there are always going to be areas where we disagree in our traditional security arrangements put us at odds with China on a fairly regular basis. And so what we found as a country is that the best way to...
Starting point is 00:22:01 approach that is to be predictable. And so where we disagree, we say we disagree and we're consistent in that. I think where it gets more difficult is if we change position on things. I think the Chinese government understands where New Zealand stands. And as long as we're consistent in that, we found that we've been able to have a good constructive relationship. Would you define that as the most important relationship? And if not, which are the most important relationships to New Zealand? I mean, clearly our neighbours across the Tasman are probably our most
Starting point is 00:22:33 important relationship. Our Australia is our only ally in these post-Ansis era that we live in. Australia is incredibly important to New Zealand and our relationships in the Pacific are incredibly important to New Zealand. There's a huge Pacific population living in New Zealand and we've got a
Starting point is 00:22:49 responsibility to support countries in our own region and our own backyard, so to speak. But other relationships, the US, the UK and Europe are actually incredibly important to New Zealand as well. China is an economically very important relationship to New Zealand, but there is also, I think, an awareness amongst New Zealand exporters of the importance of market diversification. And I think we're going to have to see more emphasis on that in coming years. So your relations happening on the same day as the voice referendum in Australia,
Starting point is 00:23:23 and your Deputy Prime Minister, Carmel Sepuluni, she's the first. Pacifica descended from indigenous people from the Pacific Islands. I know it's not Maori, but do you feel that New Zealanders maybe has dealt with some of these indigenous issues better than the Australians? The Carmel is, my deputy prime minister, is a mix of Samoan and Toggin, and the Labor Party deputy leader, Calvin Davis, is Māori from Napaui, which is a northern Iwi, indigenous this iwi in New Zealand. We've been on a long journey, I think, as a country in terms of reconciling some of the
Starting point is 00:24:02 past rogues and the relationship between the Crown and Māori, which has included, you know, the suppression of Māori culture and identity for quite a, you know, significant period of time, the confiscation of land, and even to the point where children were subject to corporal punishment if they spoke their native language in school, for example. So we've been on a journey for the last 30, 40 years through my lifetime of recognizing some of those historic wrongs and attempting to put those right. That puts us in a different position to Australia, I think, where some of the things that they're grappling with at the moment were conversations we were having 40 or 50 years ago around how do you actually give Māori greater recognition within the system of government. Those are things that I think we've already done. Why is that premise?
Starting point is 00:24:51 I mean, given that the Maori population is much larger in New Zealand than the indigenous population in Australia, you would have thought that it would be easier for Australia to come to terms with it than New Zealand. What's the history there? Why is Australia 40 years behind you and trying to address these issues? I don't really know what's happened in Australia. I guess speaking from, you know, again, from the New Zealand viewpoint, the Māori population in New Zealand's rapidly growing. So having been through a period where the Māori population relative to every other population group was declining. In fact, now it's growing quite rapidly. It's one of the fastest growing segments of our population. The other thing, I guess, that's changed a lot in the last 30 or 40 years through what we call the treaty settlements process. So the correction of historic wrongdoings, there was some recompense for historic wrongdoings,
Starting point is 00:25:42 only ultimately a fraction of what was taken in modern two. terms, but it's created quite an indigenous economy now. So Māori are quite big, big traders. You know, some of our big exporters are Māori businesses. And so I think that's just changed the dynamic. It's changed the nature of the relationship in a really positive way, in my view. And as you say, the population's going to go up. I mean, so in places like Gisborne, by 2043, you're projecting 69% of the population there is going to be Maori. So it's a very interesting interesting dynamic, isn't it? I mean, it makes New Zealand distinct from Canada, the United States, Australia, other places that have had experiences for indigenous populations.
Starting point is 00:26:23 Yeah, I think the whole dynamic in New Zealand has changed a lot. And, you know, I'm really proud of the work that we have done to sort of write some of those historic wrongs, but that doesn't mean that there aren't still big challenges ahead of us. We've got huge challenges in the health and education space, for example. Our Māori population don't get the same health outcomes as the rest of New Zealand. They don't live as long. They're more subject to, you know, to a whole variety of poor health outcomes. And their educational, the levels of educational achievement amongst our Māori population aren't what they are for the rest of the population. So we've still got a lot of work to do, but I think that, you know, we're making progress. But, Prime Minister, just
Starting point is 00:27:03 on China, your intelligence agencies issued a report, we're very, very similar to the reports that have been coming out from the intelligence agencies in the committees in Britain about Chinese interference and Chinese intelligence operations in New Zealand. And this is right at the top of the news for us here in Britain. We've had a parliamentary aid arrested and accused of Chinese espionage. And there are big calls now in Britain, which the Prime Minister, Rishi Zina, could try to resist for massively tightening up the legislation against anyone that does business with China. They're trying to move from just a normal official secret tax stuff to try to get anyone who does connect with China to declare in a very special way and introduce new laws.
Starting point is 00:27:42 do you have some sympathy for why Rishi Suna might be reluctant to massively ramp up laws against China despite his concerns about espionage? This is a challenge for the rest of the world. And New Zealand has been a party to calling out poor behaviour when it comes to coercion, when it comes to espionage. And we'll continue to do that. I think it is a challenge where there's a significant amount at stake. And I think one of the things that many countries around the world, New Zealand included, will be very mindful of is the potential for a great decoupling and a great polarisation of the international geopolitical environment.
Starting point is 00:28:23 I don't think it would be in the world's best interests for countries to end up dividing effectively into two groupings. The sort of the liberal democracies on one side and all of the others on the other side. So I think that navigating our way through what is a core. complex web of relationships is going to continue to be a challenge in the coming decade or two because I don't think a great polarisation is actually going to be in anybody's best interests. Prime Minister Alistair, let's take a quick break and we'll be back in a second. Hi everybody, it's Dominic Samarach here from The Rest is History.
Starting point is 00:29:02 Now, some of you may have heard me on your show, the rest is politics when Rory was away and I was filling in and enjoying Alistair Campbell's tremendous banter. and I'm back to tell you about our new series on the rest of history, which is all about Britain in the 1970s, a period with a lot of uncanny resemblances to our own. So right now we're living through a moment when oil shocks generated by war in the Middle East are rippling through the world economy, when Britain feels like it's sunk in a bit of a malaise, people are arguing about Europe, the government has got a few issues with the trade unions, and we have a kind of, I suppose as you'd say, governing elite, a kind of political class that is really struggling to come to terms
Starting point is 00:29:45 with all of these issues. And people are asking if Britain is governable at all. So there are a lot of parallels between that Britain that I'm describing, which is our Britain, and the Britain of the mid-1970s. So in this series that's coming out on the rest is history, we'll be looking at these and other issues. We'll be talking about the rise of Margaret Thatcher, obviously a colossal figure in our political life even now, whether you love her or loathe her. And we'll be talking about the very first Brexit referendum of 1975, a subject that I'm sure Rory and Alistair will have strong opinions about. We'll be talking about the fall of the Labour Prime Minister Harold Wilson, and we'll be talking about one of the grimmest moments in Britain's economic history,
Starting point is 00:30:27 the moment in 1976 when we had to go cap in hand, as people said at the time, to the International Monetary Fund, the IMF, for a then record bailout. Now, if that sounds good to you, how could it not sound good to you. Of course it sounds good to you. We have a clip for you to listen to at the end of this episode. And if you want to hear more, just search for The Rest is History, wherever you get your podcasts. Can I tell you back to a great year for the world, which is 1997 when a Labour government ended a long period of Tory government in the UK, where you were occupied as a student protester, getting yourself, arrested for a protest against education policy. Now, lots of students take part in protest.
Starting point is 00:31:20 What seems really interesting about this to me is you then spent the next 12 years fighting to get an apology and compensation for you and your fellow arrested protesters. You just tell us what was going on and why that mattered so much to you. Well, actually, Alistair, I could blame you and Tony Blair, at least in part for that, because I watched the, a new dawn has arrived, has it not, and felt so sufficiently inspired by that, that I felt the need to get more politically involved.
Starting point is 00:31:51 Great. But it was a student protest, and it was a degree of self-interest, actually. It was about, you know, a student protest about the increase in student fees, and I was sufficiently outraged about the fact that our fees were going up so exponentially that I took part in the student protest.
Starting point is 00:32:07 And it was from the university to the grounds of parliament, and we were on the grounds of parliament, when the Speaker of the House decided that he'd had enough and issued a trespass notice against us. And although I was young and new to protest and new to politics, I was actually quite outraged about the idea that by doing nothing more than standing on the grounds of Parliament and making a little bit of noise and exercising your right to free speech, I was outraged to the idea that the Speaker could issue a trespass notice and have you all carted away by the police. And so the police said, well, you can leave now or we're going to arrest you.
Starting point is 00:32:41 and I was sufficiently outraged that I was willing to allow myself to be arrested. And we then went through a sort of 10, 12 year period of fighting that through the courts. And we actually got a ruling out of the courts in the end that the grounds of Parliament are the place where citizens should be able to come and exercise their right to free speech and they should not be trespassed in the process of doing that. Now that created an interesting dynamic at the beginning of last year when a bunch of occupiers took over the front lawn of Parliament to protest. A bunch of decisions that I was making is the minister responsible for the COVID-19 response because we had all these anti-vaxes basically setting up camp on the forecourt of Parliament. And the police were reluctant to do anything because of the case law that was established by the protest that I had been involved with some decades earlier than that.
Starting point is 00:33:34 So I found myself on the other side of history, and I don't think anyone envisaged the idea that you should be able to live on the forecourt of Parliament as those occupiers were going to do. But you should certainly be able to vocally express yourself. And if you can't do that on the forecourt of the people's house, then where at earth could you? Well, I'm very happy that we radicalised you, and then you were further radicalised by your own parliament. Can I go even further back? I read an interview with your mum. Now, we talk about our moms quite a lot, but your mum came over as a pretty strong character
Starting point is 00:34:13 and defending you to the hill, which would, you know, fair play. But just give us a little bit about your child and your background and what sort of family you grew up in. Well, I talked about, you know, we were talking earlier on about the need for inner resilience. And actually one of the things that my parents equipped both my brother and I with, which I've forever grateful for, is the notion that it's easy to see
Starting point is 00:34:37 people who have more than you. It's much, much harder to see people who have less than you. And if you can find ways in your life to recognize the advantages that you have, and in the case of politicians, the privileges that you have, and actually understand them and recognize them, it gives you a greater degree of perspective when you are challenged on things. and I got that from my parents, that real value of understanding that just because you have a lived experience of whatever it is that you've had a lived experience of, that doesn't mean that everybody else has. And that they'll approach things from an entirely different viewpoint and an entirely different
Starting point is 00:35:16 perspective and their perspective is just as valid as yours, even if it's entirely different to your own. And I think that's actually really important in politics. And that's a value that I got from my parents. The other, I think, value that I got from them was a generosity. My mother used to quote her own father. He had a saying when it came to money that it's made round to go round. And again, I think it comes back to that notion that if you're doing well,
Starting point is 00:35:44 you actually have a responsibility to share the benefits of that. And so I'd try and do the same. Prime Minister, one of the things that strikes me about politics is that particularly when you're campaigning, but also when you're prime minister, It is unbelievably busy. It's relentless, isn't it? It's like 120 hours a week.
Starting point is 00:36:01 And I remember Mitt Romney, the US senator, saying to me when I went into politics, I was teaching it in American University and he said, Rory, get your thinking done now because when you're a politician, you're not going to have any time to think. And I worry about this. I worry that the relentless nature of politics and campaigning means that it's very difficult to really have the time to sit down, detach, go analytically and carefully through policy. Tell us a little bit about that and how we deal with that as politicians. Ironically, as Prime Minister, actually, you get a little bit more space to do that sometimes
Starting point is 00:36:34 because as a minister you're involved in a lot of day-to-day decision-making, you're processing submissions or briefings from departments and so on, whereas as Prime Minister, you do get the opportunity to elevate yourself a little bit higher above some of that. But I guess there's new distractions that emerge on a day-to-day basis. I talked about the ceremonial nature of the job, and that actually does consume a lot of your time, but you can create more space for yourself to have that thinking time, and that's something that I've been very conscious of the need to do.
Starting point is 00:37:09 I like to read things. I like to talk to people, and then I like to, wherever I can, have a bit of time for reflection. And so, you know, doing the reading and the conversations and then going for a nice long walk with the dog on the beach, for example, just by myself where I can, grind things over in my mind, actually often really helps to get myself into the frame of making a good decision. You don't get much more ceremonial than the British monarchy, and I know you came over for the coronation. I just wanted where the monarchy debate is in New Zealand at the moment. I know historically you've always described yourself as a Republican, but is that debate kind of just not even front of mind at the moment? I'd probably describe myself these days as an apathetic
Starting point is 00:37:54 Republican. You know, we actually have a system of government that works quite well for New Zealand. And the king or the queen previously is the Figgie head of state for New Zealand. In reality, the day-to-day business of the head of state in New Zealand is conducted by the Governor General. And it's a very, very simple system. We only have one House of Parliament, so we don't have an upper house. And therefore, the process of government is actually very simple. whereas I think where republicanism kind of becomes challenging for New Zealand is when you start to talk about, well, if not the monarch is the head of state, then what? And do you have an elected president? Do you have, you know, what kind of constitutional change would need to sit underneath that? And no one can really agree on what that should look like. And so we end up with this kind of sort of apathetic Republican malaise where I think everybody would say, yeah, in time, we would like to see New Zealand being more independent. But, but no one's really in a rush to do it. That sounds very good. That's what I like.
Starting point is 00:38:58 It sounds like a good, good traditional approach where I'm fully endorsing your electoral system, your love of the monarchy, the whole thing's terrific. One thing I'd want to challenge you on a little bit is it seems to me from a distance, and maybe this is very unfair, that when I look at the National Party campaign, when I look at the Labour Party campaign, it seems unless I'm wrong to be fighting around economics, healthcare, law and order, it feels a little bit. 1990s to me. I'm not seeing actually a campaign that really is embracing the challenges the next 20, 30 years. I've just been on the websites here, two parties. And I honestly do think that we could
Starting point is 00:39:37 have pretty much seen a similar campaign run any time in the last 30, 40 years. How do politicians really create space in public conversations for talking about how much climate, AI, global poverty, how these things are going to change the world? How do we shift the conversation? on from talking about the things we've been talking about for the last 40 years. Yeah, I think debates on these things do tend to go in cycles. I mean, we've had a focus over the last six years. We're climate, child poverty. Some of those big decisions have very much been front and center of political dialogue in New Zealand.
Starting point is 00:40:12 If I look at what we've been able to achieve over the last six years, for example, we've actually reduced our carbon emissions for three years running now. And in the last quarter of last year, we had the largest reduction on record. So we've made a lot of progress and it's, I think one of the reasons you'll find the debate in New Zealand sort of returning to some of those traditional things around health, around education, around public services, around taxation is because we haven't actually been talking about those things as much in the last few years. And so it's, it's, there's a certain cycle to it where people actually want to know that we're
Starting point is 00:40:46 still focused on sort of the back to basics, if you like. That's not to say, though, that they don't want to know that we've also got to plan for climate change and that we've committed to lifting children out of poverty. We've done that every year that we've been in government. But I think we're just kind of at a point in the cycle where I think people's bandwidth for some of the bigger picture issues. In the current economic cycle, there's perhaps more limited. They want to know that we're focused on getting the basics right as well.
Starting point is 00:41:15 Chris, I know you don't like talking about your private life, and I completely respect that. But I just wondered how, you know, you've been through a marriage which ended and you've got two young kids, one of whom's being quite ill. I just wondered how much harder it is to do a really top job in politics without having that personal support, very, very close kind of 24-7. It's very challenging, but, you know, I started off in politics as a single young backbeds EMP, and I looked at the scrutiny that members' families were getting, MP's families were getting where they were in the public spotlight, then I made the decision at
Starting point is 00:41:58 that point that, you know, if I was fortunate enough to acquire a relationship and have a family, that I would not subject my family to that. And so that's been a rule that I've tried to adhere to the whole way through because once you put your family into the public domain, you can't take them back out again when it's no longer convenient. And so if you hold to that rule, then actually it's helpful because having your family in the public domain where your family is being scrutinised, I imagine is also incredibly stressful. So by keeping them out of the public domain, you actually shelter them from
Starting point is 00:42:36 that and then that actually is one less thing that you have to worry about. Whereas if your family's being picked apart, I think that would be incredibly distracting because you would find yourself immersed in that. And so by not having my family in the public limelight, I've been able to protect them from that. But what about you? Is he a huge? I mean, look, campaigns, as Bill Clinton said, it's the one human activity designed to make everybody look like their passport photo. How do you find going through the horrors of a campaign and you're going home and, you know, you don't have the sort of person to kind of just be yourself with? Does it not make it a lot harder? I do have, you know, my extended family, I'm very fortunate that my parents continue to help a lot with the raising of my own children,
Starting point is 00:43:19 given the prolonged absences that I have. And I've got some extended family. My brother and sister-in-law and their kids are great. So I've got a small group of, a small core group of friends who, again, I would keep largely out of the public limelight. But when I feel the need to just be me and to just completely disconnect from politics, I've got a small group of very trusted people who I can do that with. And that is, I guess, a bit of a substitute for having, you know,
Starting point is 00:43:48 a person at home who I can go and vent off about the day to. The cheeky question, you are a prime minister to country. You got huge responsibilities for that country and you're going into a campaign with the enormous responsibilities of trying to lead your party back into government. And I would guess that that means that you would feel that you need to be pretty cautious and thoughtful in the way that you communicate. And I absolutely admire that. I think that's right. But it's not necessarily the style in which modern politics is going. There's a lot of people out there, Boris Johnson and Donald Trump. I mean, even actually some of the figures from the centre who have beginning to develop a style of politics where they're becoming much more outspoken, making money more shocking statements. A lot of what you're doing is quite nuanced. And I wonder whether there's a risk for people from the progressive centre left, such as yourself, that you're going to be thoughtful, serious, but people might begin to think you're a bit boring and they'll begin to go with the more showy figures. I think one of the major threats to democracy internationally is the rise of expectation caused by unrealistic campaigning that then ultimately disappoints and therefore leads to a growing disillusionment in the institutions of democracy and the institutions of government.
Starting point is 00:45:12 And so I've tried to be realistic in the commitments that I've put forward to people. and maybe I've actually gone too far to that extent. And maybe we do need to do a bit more of the inspirational part of it as well. But I think that there is a real risk that if you elevate expectations and then fail to meet them, that actually you don't just undermine confidence in yourself, but you actually undermine confidence in the institutions as a whole. Rory mentioned earlier in relation to your COVID, he sort of dropped into the blue that you made a gaff without explaining it.
Starting point is 00:45:45 I think we should explain what the gaff was, because I think you turned it's your advantage. It was when you came out talking about the need for exercise in COVID, and you said people should get out there and spread their legs. It was one of those moments. We were doing a one o'clock briefing every afternoon. There was broadcast live on television, and it was the most watched show in New Zealand for a period of time.
Starting point is 00:46:06 It was being live streamed. It was on TV. Literally the country would stop at one o'clock to watch the COVID-19 briefing. And I was trying to – there was a question about social distancing, and when you had to do it and so on. And I was trying to sort of say that, you know, if you lived in a built-up area when you went outside, it could be difficult to distance from other people.
Starting point is 00:46:27 And the verb you were looking for was stretch. That's right. I was looking for the phrase stretch your legs, but I said spread your legs instead. And instantly, I didn't really realize what I'd said right at the moment, but I saw there was sniggering amongst the journalist, and I could feel my phone in my pocket vibrating furiously. And I thought, what on earth have I, what has happened?
Starting point is 00:46:50 And it took me a few minutes to figure out what had happened. And then I just decided, through the COVID-19 period, you know, when you're making these huge decisions, inevitably you're going to make a mistake. And sometimes that can be humorous and sometimes it can be more serious. But I made the decision that part of preserving public confidence was to own whatever mistakes you made. If something didn't go, well, you should just stand up and you should say, I've made a mistake or this hasn't gone according to plan.
Starting point is 00:47:15 So I decided to embrace that. I got back to my office to find that there was memes just circulating wildly. And a woman made some coffee mugs with a photograph of me and, you know, spread your legs, not the virus, I think was the phrase that she'd put on it. And so I went down to one of those one o'clock briefings a week later. And I took the mug with me and I drank water from it in the middle of the press conference. And this meme about spreading your legs, not the virus, just continued. for the next few months.
Starting point is 00:47:48 But I think it actually came at one of those really difficult points in the response where everyone was kind of getting to the point where they were a bit over it. We were asking them to stay home because we were in a lockdown period. And it just gave everybody something to laugh about. And it sort of broke the tension, I think, in a way. I got messages from people saying, this is really tough, but we really needed that. We really needed something just to have a good laugh about. And so I was willing to just own that.
Starting point is 00:48:17 It wasn't intentional, but it still haunts me where I go. You know, when I go into schools now campaigning, you know, as prime minister, I still get kids yelling out from me across the playground, spread your legs. And, you know, I don't think that's ever going to leave me. Well, thank you very, very, very much. I mean, it's been a real pleasure to have you. I really am, you know, genuinely admiring of the way that you've managed to conduct yourself at what must be a very stressful time late at night in the middle of a campaign as the prime minister
Starting point is 00:48:45 and be so thoughtful and restrained. And I know you say that New Zealand politics sometimes feels less courteous than I think, but very, very difficult to imagine any other prime minister at this stage, being able to be quite so measured and balanced in the middle of these things. Thank you very much. Thank you very much. It's been great to talk to you. No, Chris, good luck.
Starting point is 00:49:04 I mean, I'm sure you're a little bit biased, but I've had to look at Mr. Luxon, your opponent. I don't like the cut of his jeb at all. So I'm hoping you'll still be there in a few weeks' time. Thank you. So do I. Bye-bye. Bye-bye, Prime Minister. Thank you again. That was great stuff. Thank you.
Starting point is 00:49:22 All right. Thanks, guys. So, Rory, that was pretty good for a Prime Minister in the middle of a campaign. I thought it was lovely of him to come on. I mean, to be honest, here, us, I mean, you know, obviously we were very lucky to get in. But would you have advised Prime Minister six weeks out on an election campaign to be going on a UK podcast late at night? I mean, I'm not sure my team would have done. No, but I think it might get picked up. I think the New Zealand media might be interested in things he had to say on that.
Starting point is 00:49:55 You know, we had a bid in a while back and, you know, it's just sort of times worked down. I mean, you're talking to the guy who in 1997, we just get thousands of foreign bids. I used to write NV TV on top of them, which meant no votes TV. Yeah, that was generally the view whenever I was asked to be interviewed by New Zealand, Australian, American radio. Yeah. You know, I think, I will see, but I suspect there'll be a little bit of pickup in New Zealand for that.
Starting point is 00:50:24 Let's look at the Combs, Alas. You know, you always telling me that when you do an interview, you need to know what it is you're trying to land. What was he trying to land? What was the one sentence that his Combs director would have told him to land in that interview? No, but I think he'd see this is slightly different. I think what he was landing was with an audience that doesn't necessarily know him
Starting point is 00:50:42 that well was his serious guy in a... very, very tricky political situation who's kind of setting out the character. It wasn't an interview to come on and tell us about all the policies, especially when you go and tell them they're all boring, and all back in the 1990s. I was a bit rich. But I think he was coming on to say he's a serious guy in the middle of a campaign coming on to talk at length about who he is and what he stands for. Look, I really liked him. So I'm being about unfair here. But what sense did we really get of his policies. Did we get a clear line, clear sense really on what he'd do? You don't think six weeks out he should be giving us a slightly clear sense of what's going to happen when he
Starting point is 00:51:25 comes back in? Yeah, but as you say, he's talking to two Brits on the other side of the world when he's probably, he might even have seen us as a bit of relaxation from doing that. Ah, okay. Listen, really, I'll let him off the hook on this. I don't think we are in, on his grid for the campaign today, I suspect we weren't the top. The top would have been the stuff that he's been doing through the day. It's now towards the end of the day in New Zealand and he's coming on for a chat and you're putting him through the ringer for not telling us about, you know, the future of the New Zealand Health Service, for God's sake. You know, give the guy a break, I'd say. Very good. So what did you, what did you think about him? What do you think was the positives, negatives,
Starting point is 00:52:04 negatives? What's your sense of him as a person, as a politician? I mean, obviously you like him. We're picking that out. No, I think very, very likable, very articulate. There was a previous leader who was really not behaving very well. And Chris Hipkins was the first to call it out when he was the chief whip and the guy went. Pretty tough, pretty ruthless. I think he's a good guy and I think he'd be a shame if you got a kick out. But it is quite a thing to go from the scale of victory that they had at the last election when even under a PR system they got a majority to, if the polls are to be relieved,
Starting point is 00:52:40 you know, he's out in a few weeks, but I hope he's not. It's very weird, isn't it? Because it's, it must be brutal. I mean, really brutal. He's putting a lot of emphasis on COVID. And the paradox there is that he was genuinely seen as having handled COVID well. Yeah, although he said, though, he said that although he didn't go into what all the sort of future policy, he said actually they're not talking about COVID much in the context of the campaign, because the country clearly just wants to move on. But he sees it as very much the backstory, doesn't he, for the problems that he's in?
Starting point is 00:53:12 He brought it up, I think, three or four times that politics had changed through COVID, that just since Ardenne had part of the, you know, one of the things that strained towards COVID. So he clearly sees that as part of the whole deal. I also thought his stuff on China is very difficult. I mean, New Zealand is in a tricky situation. He went to see Xi Jinping. He didn't raise human rights particularly. There's been some pretty negative comments coming up from bits of the US. When he was asked whether he was going to agree with Biden that Xi Jinping was a did.
Starting point is 00:53:42 dictator, he wasn't prepared to do that in a way that I think Jacinda Arden would have been prepared to. Now, I understand all that. I mean, you know, I'm, you know, I was obviously sympathize a lot with that and I sympathize with a predicament that Rishi Sunak finds himself in. But again, it's difficult in modern retail politics to not take a clear line one way or the other. Yeah, but Loua happened to, Loua happened to Australia when they started to call out China in a very kind of clear, hard, pretty hard way. They paid a very immediate heavy prize economically. And I think, he was making that clear. No, those trade-offs are really difficult.
Starting point is 00:54:16 And I think we didn't maybe get into something I had down on my list, but we didn't get into it, was the specific challenges of leading a smaller country. We talked about the G20 on the main podcast. You know, you just had the G20. Well, Australia is there. New Zealand's not. You know, some of these big international situations, New Zealand's voice doesn't automatically get heard.
Starting point is 00:54:37 Jacindraudan was something of an exception to the rule. I mean, when I listed those five prime ministers who took over midterm and lost, you know, they're not household names outside New Zealand in a way that Jacinda Ardern in some parts of the world is. And so I think being the leader of a smaller country has got advantages, but it's also got massive challenges. And, you know, what good does it serve him as the leader of a small country to get the praise from the people he's going to get the praise from, to stand up and be some sort of sub-Irne-Dunken-Smith slagging off China? Yeah. Very difficult.
Starting point is 00:55:11 Yeah. Well, thank you very much for making that happen. Great privilege to get a serving Prime Minister in the middle of a campaign coming on. Good to get an insight into New Zealand. I mean, I think actually looking at other countries is a wonderful way of thinking about all the other countries that our listeners live in. I mean, I think one of the ways of seeing the US clearly is by looking at New Zealand. One of the ways are looking at Britain clearly is by looking at New Zealand. So really great, I think, intellectual discipline for us.
Starting point is 00:55:36 Anna, thank you to you, Alasda. See you soon. Bye-bye.

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