The Rest Is Politics: Leading - 61. James Rubin: Working for Biden, American intervention, and the fight against Russian disinformation
Episode Date: February 26, 2024“You took me to one side and said be very, very careful of these people, these neo-cons. Because they’re going to use this to do all sorts of stuff that you shouldn’t be involved in.” What ar...e the limits of foreign intervention? Do the American people still want their country to be the world’s policeman? Is Biden closer to Clinton in his outlook than to Obama? On today‘s episode of Leading, Rory and Alastair are joined by James Rubin, former diplomat and commentator on international affairs, as they answer all these questions and more. TRIP Plus: Become a member of The Rest Is Politics Plus to support the podcast, receive our exclusive newsletter, enjoy ad-free listening to both TRIP and Leading, benefit from discount book prices on titles mentioned on the pod, join our Discord chatroom, and receive early access to live show tickets and Question Time episodes. Just head to therestispolitics.com to sign up, or start a free trial today on Apple Podcasts: apple.co/therestispolitics. Instagram: @restispolitics Twitter: @RestIsPolitics Email: restispolitics@gmail.com Producers: Dom Johnson + Nicole Maslen Exec Producers: Tony Pastor + Jack Davenport Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
Transcript
Discussion (0)
Thanks for listening to The Restis Politics. Sign up to the Restis Politics Plus.
To enjoy ad-free listening, receive a weekly newsletter, join our members chat room and gain early access to live show tickets.
Just go to therestispolities.com. That's the restispoletics.com.
Welcome to the Restis Politics leading with me, Rory Stewart.
And me, Alice Campbell. And we're joined today by a gentleman by the name of Jamie Rubin.
Jamie Rubin came to a kind of global prominence of sorts under President Bill Clinton when he was as insistent.
the Secretary of State to Secretary of State, Madden Albright, having done pretty much the same
thing at the United Nations, having become a bit of an expert on arms control, in particular.
It's kind of pretty serious heavyweight diplomat. And I got to know him very, very well,
in particular during the Kosovo War, when we worked together and pretty well, pretty effectively.
And then post-the-Clinton era, Jamie's basically dabbled in journalism, broadcasting, a bit of
academia, a bit of PR, then worked for the OECD for a while, had a bizarre time at the New York
Port Authority, was that right?
Correct.
Is that all the things I remember?
And now is back at the State Department.
And actually, with a pretty, I think, important job, especially the job is called Special Envoy
and coordinator of something called the Global Engagement Centre, which, if I read it right, Jamie,
is a kind of sort of taking on misinformation from Russia, China.
Iran, other actors that might be trying to damage American and broader Western interests.
So let's start with there.
Back in June 2017, Jamie, you may remember when you were dabbling around and this and
the other, you and I wrote a joint article for a British and American publication about
Russia.
And I looked it up this morning and essentially was saying that neither of our countries
were taking seriously enough the threat to our democracy.
from Russia's greater aggressive stance, including with this whole misinformation thing.
So, hey, presto for us and our great prescience, but just tell us about the job.
What does it do and what does it entail and why does it matter?
Well, the article you sent me as well, and I was pretty impressed with it too.
I mean, it was seven years ago, and most everyone was sort of still thinking that Vladimir Putin
was someone you could do business with or something like that.
And you and I pointed out that everything had changed, that in the disinformation area and the
intelligence operations in the military area, they were now a huge threat and neither the UK
nor the United States were dealing with it.
This issue of disinformation, I think, is the issue of the future because the information
domain is how we're going to live our lives, how democracies thrive or fall.
If we're not in a fact-based world, we're in an authoritarian world.
And the Russians and the Chinese have figured this out.
They've closed their information space.
So we, the free world, can't operate inside Russia or inside China.
And they, Russia and China, can operate in the whole rest of the world and do as much damage as they want, say the truth, not the truth, propaganda, disinformation, whatever.
It's an asymmetry that is now built into the system.
And the United States, frankly, built these tools, social media, Facebook, Twitter.
we used to be promoting them as great mechanisms of spreading democracy 10 years ago.
Now we realized they contained the dark side of globalization that Russia and China have weaponized
and are using every day all over the world.
Jamie, I'd love to come back to that and I think it's a huge issue, but maybe start a little
bit earlier in your life and talk us through your own life the way the world has changed.
And I wanted to start with giving international listeners a sense of your
career because you were very much when I was a young diplomat, one of the great kind of pinups
of the world of international diplomacy. But you had a very particular type of career, which
is very important, I think, in the American system, but it's a bit unfamiliar to a lot of other
people around the world and helps understand where people like you come from, where maybe
people like Samantha Power come from. My understanding is you'd basically been a sort of academic,
work for a non-profit, and then you'd become one of these characters that one sees on the edge of the
West Wing. You'd become a kind of staff from the Senate Foreign Relations Committee, and then you'd
become an assistant to Madeline Albright when she was the ambassador to UN, and then you came back
to work in the State Department. And then you started working on presidential campaigns. And presumably,
if your bets had gone, right, if instead of backing Hillary Clinton, you'd backed President Obama
and this and the other, you would now be the sexual estate. So tell us a little bit about the life
of bright young things in the American system and the American government. Tell us a bit about
what it was like in the 80s and 90s where you were going, who you were.
Well, ouch.
I think you're right, though.
I would have had probably a higher job had I picked Obama over Hillary.
But I'll answer your question.
What's unique about our system is that when a president wins, everything changes.
They can change the entire administration from not just the top levels.
So I started out as a young student without any clarity about what I wanted to do, and Ronald Reagan became president in 1981 and again in 85.
And I actually thought he was going to blow up the world.
I thought there was like a 50-50 chance we were going to have global thermonuclear war in which the world would virtually end.
Some of my colleagues protested and there was a million people in the street back then in the freeze movement.
But I learned and studied nuclear weapons and became, you know, one of a handful of people in Washington who knew every nuclear weapon, knew every treaty, knew every article of every treaty.
And in the course of that, became met Joe Biden in 1987.
And he hired me.
And I worked for him for five years.
And then nuclear weapons weren't the issue.
The Cold War ended.
And I evolved.
And then the next issue for me that had the same salient.
the same drive, and this is the lesson I tell younger people, I did all this stuff because
there was an issue I really cared about. I wasn't trying to climb the political ladder. That wasn't
my objective. I'm not saying I wouldn't have enjoyed it, but it wasn't what drove me. What drove
me was nuclear weapons, and then Bosnia. When the war in Bosnia started, I was working for Joe
Biden, and I brought him there. And the only trip he took in those five years, because he had a
young daughter at the time. He didn't travel. And we went to Bosnia. He confronted Slobodan
Milosevic. He met the leaders of Sarajevo in the airport in the bunkers, traveled to Tuzla,
saw the horrors of the war in Bosnia, and became an advocate on the left, which wasn't common
for the use of military power. And then that's how I met Madeline Albright, because she was
the only administration official in the first year of the Clinton administration, that
that actually believed we should use military power in Bosnia.
And Jamie, let's stay in the 90s from a moment,
because that was looking back the sort of high peak
of the liberal global order, of American power,
of these great interventions, Bosnia, Kosovo.
And it was also a period of these very sort of dramatic,
charismatic American diplomats, of which I guess Richard Holbrook
would be a big example.
Can you give us a bit of a sense of these personalities
and who somebody like Holbrook was
and the kind of influence the United States played
the world in places like Bosnia?
Well, it's interesting because Alistair and I met each other during the second Clinton term.
And this is when Madeline Albright became Secretary of State.
And in the first term, the United States didn't really decide to intervene in Bosnia until
very, very late in the game.
But once we decided, it was a different time.
We really had, and we were called by the French then the hyperpower.
We had so much influence around the world that a decision by,
the president to go this way or that way changed everything. And it did. It brought peace to Bosnia.
We used military power. The Serbs recoiled and were finally stood up to. And then they agreed to a peace
agreement. We then faced the same situation in the second term. Richard Holbrook was famously
the diplomat who implemented President Clinton's policy. I knew Richard Holbrook extremely well.
He knew my ex-wife extremely well. We floated in the same circles.
We weren't buddies because at that time, you know, he wanted to be Secretary of State.
And Madeline Albright became Secretary of State, and he didn't like that very much to get to your Secretary of State question.
And so he saw me as a rival who was helping his rival become Secretary of State.
But he also was wrong about Kosovo because he wanted to continue negotiating with Milosevic till the bitter end.
he didn't realize that Kosovo for and Milosevic was different than Bosnia,
that he wasn't going to make a deal, that he wasn't going to capitulate.
And so it took the use of military power.
And then when we started to use force,
Richard told West Clark, the Supreme Allied commander,
that West Clark has a gun aimed at his own head.
Because Richard was jealous that Madeline Albright and West Clark were running this,
and he wasn't.
And he was also substantively differing with us
in thinking that we should have made a deal.
And he was wrong, I think demonstrably wrong,
because Tony Blair and Bill Clinton and Madeline Albright
confronted Milosevic,
and it's the last war in which we absolutely won.
We achieved our objectives.
Milosevic went to prison,
and then democracy actually came to Serbia
for a brief period of time,
and we did it without losing a substantial American life
that I can think of.
Jamie, I'm going to put in a last question on hand back,
to Alistair, but this is really interesting because for listeners, this is also about the way in
which personalities, ambition, careers play into politics. So what lessons do you think you draw
looking back on that period of your life in the 1990s about what worked well in the American
system, what worked less well in the American system, what made characters like Holbrook so
successful and also what gave them their limitations? What are the broader lessons you draw from
that experience in the 90s.
Well, that the United States, in my opinion, is still what we, Madeline Albright, called
the indispensable nation.
It doesn't mean we have the power today that we had then, relatively speaking.
But it does mean that without America leading, things probably won't happen.
Things, good things won't happen.
And to the extent America is not leading, more bad things will happen.
That was the lesson that I learned.
And I think that the unique thing about it is that Joe Biden is closer to Bill Clinton than he is to Barack Obama.
And that's why he has confronted Putin and Ukraine and put together a Western alliance because he's been around for 40 years and he learned one big thing.
When the West sticks together, as Alistair and I wrote in that article, the Russians fold ultimately have to.
And that's why we've stuck together.
So after the failures of the Bush administration, the views I hold became very unpopular
because they were seen as too willing to use American power and influence in the world.
And the view that it was all hopeless and we can't do any good in the world,
kind of the view I associate with you, Rory, from reading your book on Afghanistan.
Jamie, we'll come back to that in a second.
It was dominant.
And now the conventional wisdom, which always is wrong,
because it's behind the curve, is now swinging back towards the recognition that without American
leadership, things don't happen.
Now, there is a slight risk that if somebody's listening to this and listening to you for
the first time, they're going to think that you're just the guy who likes military power.
So I'm going to put the other side of the story.
And another place where you would argue that you showed a bit of prescience, and that was,
and I only know this and you know this because it's in my diaries which have been published,
which was when you at a church service in the wake of September the 11th attacks took me to one side and said,
just be very, very careful about these people, these neocons, because they're going to use this to do all sorts of stuff that you shouldn't be involved in.
Do you remember that?
I do. I do. It was the Cheney Rumsfeld period of the Bush administration.
Yeah.
The early years after 9-11, the years in which we alienated the world.
You know what's so ironic about this is that Bush seems like normal now because of what followed him.
And I have to be very careful about American politics and what I say.
But it seems normal.
But we have to remember, imagine this.
Go back to 2000.
Change 500 votes in Florida.
Al Gore is president.
We don't invade Iraq.
And we start global warming as an American mission.
25 years ago, think of where America would be and the hinge of history hinged on 500 votes.
So that's the power of the United States.
We went to the Bush administration.
9-11 happened and they went way too far.
The pendulum swung way too far.
Unilateralism.
Remember Donald Rumsfeld saying he didn't care how the prisoners were treated in Guantanamo.
I was living in London and he lost Europe with that sentence because the idea of,
the treatment of prisoners pursuant to the Geneva Convention was a core value of Europeans.
And for an American leader to just throw that out the window, alienated all of Europe,
not just New Europe and old Europe that he referred to, but all of Europe.
Jamie, I have to come back because you've slightly poked me with this allegation.
Well, you were the one who poked me with the Secretary of State.
So I think actually my position has always been much closer to President Biden's
position on Afghanistan before his catastrophic withdrawal.
I was a believer in a light footprint.
I think the problems of the world come from America lurching from over-extended searches
to total isolation.
Fair enough.
And that actually the model is much more Bosnia where you were much more prudent, as
you say, the more soldiers injured on the basketball courts in Sarajevo than outside
the fence.
You weren't trying to micromanage a nation-build.
You gave quite a lot of space to Bosnian civil society.
to build itself up.
But let me address that because I know where you're going and it's fair to an extent.
But during that time in the critique of Afghanistan and Iraq, this thing became called the
forever war, the quagmire, the thing that will suck all American power.
And that swung the pendulum too far.
And thus when President Trump came into office, he had this weird agreement with the far left
about the quagmire, and we lost our ability until President Biden took power again to see the
important role of the United States. So I think you're right. I obviously think Bosnia was done better
than Afghanistan and Iraq because I referred to Gore probably not invading Iraq. He would have to
tell you, but that was my understanding is that he voted for the first Gulf War and said he would
vote against the second one. So these are subtle matters. And I was poking you.
But the conventional wisdom at the time was that, you know, we need to stay away from foreign problems.
And the problem, Jamie, there for me is I was trying to essentially say, don't do the search in Afghanistan.
The problem is you bring in all these troops.
You're going to be forced to withdraw.
You're going to create this pendulum.
If you could have the patience, and paradoxically, maybe people like Rumsfeld were right.
Maybe Joe Biden was right when he was saying that he wanted a light footprint.
that in fact the best way for America staying the course is being more moderate, more prudent in its involvement in world, not lurching from these huge to the little.
Well, Rory, you're an expert on Afghanistan, and I'm not, okay? And it's not an area that I consider myself an expert on it. And I consider you closer to an expert on it. And so I wouldn't dispute anything you just said, except to say that it's easy to sit back and organize the perfect balance between in,
intervention and avoidance. It's easy in the aftermath to know exactly what we should and shouldn't
have done. People now, for example, say, well, if we had just given the Ukrainians all the
weapons in the beginning, they would have not been in such a position. And they forget that two years
ago, legitimately, President Biden was managing the risk of global thermonuclear war. He was worried
about World War III. And from Putin's words, there was a reason to worry about World War
three. And so I believe that hindsight and second guessing is a necessary part of our democracy,
but we have to put the context in place. And just as President Biden was asking the Israelis now
to remember after 9-11, we did too much. And they should remember that we got too mad. There was a
context in which Bush and Rumsfeld and all of them were operating. And a large, ton of
Tony Blair effort to do the nation building in Afghanistan.
He was the one who led the Bush administration into nation building in Afghanistan.
He was the one who believed that we needed to have a long war and change the Muslim world.
It wasn't just the United States.
Why do you feel so strongly that what did in Bosnia and Kosovo was the right thing to do
in Iraq and Afghanistan the wrong thing to do?
And why do you think, my old boss, felt so strongly and still feel?
that they were both the right thing to do.
I have the greatest respect for Prime Minister Blair
for the time that I knew him in office
and observed the important role he played
in ensuring that the President of the United States
and Madeline Albright had a partner to win the war
in Kosovo, the last war in which we really won.
I think that's an objective statement.
It's not a criticism.
That's, I think, objectively true.
We achieved our objectives at a reasonable cost.
Afghanistan and Iraq are more controversial,
arguably the net cost of all that we did compared to the gains are a much tougher balance.
I would say that I don't want to criticize Prime Minister Blair.
I mean, you know that at the time when you were carrying around the dossier, you came by my house.
And I was someone who thought Saddam Hussein had weapons of mass destruction, chemical weapons of mass destruction, biological weapons of mass destruction, not nuclear weapons.
And I think that was a big difference that is so lost in the context.
Remember, there was an anthrax attack in the United States.
Everyone forgets about that.
It was anthrax plus 9-11 that led George Bush to do Iraq.
And because the fear of biological weapons was real.
Anthrax attacks happened in Washington in New York.
So all I'm saying is that they're tough calls.
I think objectively, we were two unilateral in Iraq and Afghanistan.
We didn't have allies.
We didn't have support.
We didn't wait long enough on Iraq before using force.
So there are lots of things I would have done differently.
I think for Tony Blair once, let's face it, he felt like he had won a war in Bosnia,
one of war in Sierra Leone, one a war in Kosovo, one a war in Afghanistan.
And this was number five.
And he had a pretty good record going in.
You were right there.
You know that.
That was a factor, the confidence that you get when the last four times work.
Jamie, one thing that always struck me as strange is that I would be full of admiration for
U.S. generals and officials.
But there seemed to be a real challenge somehow in the American political culture for
accepting that there were some things that couldn't be done.
For accepting, for example, that Afghanistan was one of the poorest countries on earth
that one person in each village could read or write, that it.
it would take 20 years to turn Afghanistan into a country like Pakistan.
And yet the administration was talking about creating gender-sensitive,
multi-ethnic, centralized state based on democracy, human rights, and rule law.
And Holbrook was getting behind all Ashrafgani's rhetoric.
What is it about the American political culture, which creates this sense of optimistic unreality?
Well, I would say they were not as cynical as the British,
is that's what I would say.
The British developed a cynicism about their imperialism.
and we were never an imperial country.
We're still not an imperial country.
The British system created a cynicism where you're always doing the hyper-realist maneuver,
playing factors against each other.
You know, the famous phrase of, you know, using in Iraq or in other places to get them divided and conquered.
And that cynicism is not present in the United States because largely our global power came after World War II.
and the Marshall Plan and all the things that we did that were so successful in Germany and Japan
and keeping the world community together during the time of communism.
And so we didn't have the grand collapse of our empire, the way the British had a collapse of its empire,
and the result was cynicism.
And it took a Tony Blair who objected to the cynicism of the Conservative Party to believe in doing something in Bosnia,
doing something in Kosovo.
Remember, John Major didn't want to do anything.
Maggie Thatcher did, but John Major didn't.
And it took Blair for the British to act in Bosnia.
They were treating it as a hyper-realist problem.
And they're all the same.
And we should just let them kill each other, pretty much.
But then in Iraq and Afghanistan, right, you see the downside of this, right?
You see Holbrook getting into unbelievably weird stuff, trying to topple Karzai, prop up Ashrafgani.
And exactly right.
I mean, Holbrook was always saying people like me were kind of horrible old British cynics
because we were trying to say, you simply do not understand the country you're dealing with.
In many ways, you're repeating the mistakes of Vietnam.
Well, Vietnam was one of the reasons President Obama had a problem with Hobart,
because he compared everything to Vietnam.
And I think comparisons to Vietnam are not very helpful in the modern American culture.
The people that I learned to work with during the Clinton administration saw the Vietnam analogies
harm their willingness to engage in Bosnia.
They were constantly fearing they were getting into another Vietnam.
It took Madeline Albright, who was older than the Vietnam generation, to say, no, hold on a minute.
Bosnia is not Vietnam.
The use of military power, even as Colin Powell saw it, if we used a little military power, we'd get sucked into a quagmire.
That's what he said.
So these things are tricky.
I think analogies are generally not helpful.
I think it's useful to treat each issue on its own merits.
Yes, we probably overestimated.
We definitely overestimated our ability to affect.
change in Afghanistan and Iraq. No question about it. And you know more about Afghanistan than I ever
will. Maybe not as much as my sister, but a lot. And they clearly bit off more than they could chew.
And President Biden's original policy was one that we ended up, well, anyway, let me just leave it there.
Roy, do you want to explain the in-joke about the sister? So Jamie's got some mating sister,
Elizabeth, who was an incredible correspondent in Afghanistan.
I mean, she got into some very remote areas, wrote some great stuff.
I tried to take her out on a date when we were both at Harvard.
And at the moment at which she rang the doorbell, I was brushing my teeth,
and I managed to knock out my front tooth.
So I literally looked like a pirate.
So I went out for a date trying to impress Jamie's sister and this fancy restaurant,
literally, with looking like a pirate.
I had no tooth.
And she was very gracious, but she never really wanted to go out with me.
Oh, well, okay.
Oh, well, then.
Now, listen, we've talked a lot about Madeline Albright, and really impressive woman,
amazing story.
The last book she wrote before she died, I was really impressed by and really struck by.
Fascism, a warning.
And the most terrifying thing is that she's kind of, you read it, and yeah, she might be talking
about Russia, she might be talking about China, but she's also talking about America.
That's pretty alarming.
That's pretty alarming.
I know you can't sort of pardon to Donald Trump, but why has America become
a very different country. Why has its power waned and why do you have somebody that you clearly
respect who can write a book on that theme with her own country in mind? Well, Madeline loved America.
She used to call herself, you know, totally American Madeline. She was an immigrant. She came from
Czechoslovakia. And, you know, I was very, very close to her in the 90s. Then I moved here,
and I spent less time with her, but I did stay in pretty close contact. I'm familiar with her views
during the 2000 until she died about two years ago.
The post-2016 period in America was a very tough time.
I mean, you saw me during that period.
I had a tough time because everything I had been taught
and believed in in terms of American values was challenged.
But in the end, President Trump had one term
and President Biden has brought America's resilience and successful leadership in the world,
brought our allies back under our, as partners, rather than people to be dismissed.
And I have to be very careful going much beyond that, other than to say that I think we have managed to take what was a change in the world over China,
where the Chinese president changed his policy
and began to change the way in which he posed risks
to the rest of the world.
Trump recognized that,
but handled it ineptly because he didn't have allies supporting him.
And so we've put those alliances together in Asia,
in South Korea, Japan, trilaterals never happened before.
The Quad, Ocas, these are the terms of art
of the diplomats in Asia.
and that's been done by President Biden because he knows how to build alliances.
That's what he's done in Ukraine.
That's what he's done in competing with China, competing where we need to, confronting where we need to and working together where we must.
Jamie, one of the things that is going to be difficult is that we're in a world where isolationism and protectionism is becoming more popular.
It's not an accident that Donald Trump's able to lean into that.
and it's not an accident that he made that a big part of what he was up to in 2016.
Is there any appetite really left in the United States for globalization, free trade, America as a global policeman?
Or is Trump actually right since suspecting a lot of voters in the U.S. want to move away from that?
They're tired of all of that stuff.
Well, I think President Biden has shown that he believes in American leadership.
He uses the phrase, indispensable nation.
He has his own formulations for it.
He has rejected the views that you're describing in building a coalition on Ukraine,
in building a coalition vis-à-vis China.
He's rejected the isolationism that you're describing and has won widespread support in Congress
and the country for his foreign policy.
You're focused on trade, and I would ask you to separate trade from the larger issues,
of American leadership. If you're going to push them together, it's a very tough conversation
because it needs to be disaggregated. Trade has been globalization, the perception that free trade
only benefited the rich is widely held in Europe and in the United States. But that doesn't
mean that American leadership and globalization, whatever that means, needs to be affected.
It's a trade issue. It's a little bit more complicated, though, maybe, because
obviously Joe Biden came in with Jake Sullivan talking about a foreign policy for the middle class,
and a lot of that seemed to be about learning the lessons from 2016
and trying to win back voters who were a bit unhappy with the amount of money and energy
the US was putting into the rest of the world.
And Biden signed up to this phrase, the Forever War.
He pulled out of Afghanistan.
He, from the point of view of many people in the Middle East, didn't really stand up for
them when the Houthi were firing rockets into Saudi and UAE.
And Ukraine is in a way the exception in this story, but the feeling that the world has
is not that Joe Biden has radically reversed the Obama-Trump style.
It's that the U.S. is in a slow withdrawal from the world and that Biden's policy in Ukraine
is a small exception and a general view that American voters don't want to play the role that
they played in the 60s, 70s, 80s, 80s.
Rory, it must be nice to be able to declare what the feeling of the world is.
You said, there's a feeling in the world.
How do you assess that?
I'm actually in the diplomatic environment and I'm meeting with the foreign diplomats
and I'm seeing what they're saying and doing and believing.
And I think what you just said is nonsense that the United States is retreating from the world.
Yes, they would prefer some of them to have more free trade agreements and less of a use of trade.
and, you know, what you've missed here is that there's a new development in the global world.
It's called China.
And you've assigned the trade policy solely to politics and ignored this fundamental problem that we face in terms of the Chinese role in the world.
And the trade issues that you're addressing are mostly about what Jake Sullivan is called the small yard and the high fence.
And so to just pick one of Jake Sullivan's remarks and miss the other one,
You've left out a billion people and the leader of that billion people country that we believe has, believes in a system, authoritarianism and is trying to change the world to be a good place for authoritarian countries.
And the diplomats that I meet with believe the United States has done a very, very good job in managing the U.S.-China relationship and leading the world to build August, to build the quad, to build the trilateral with the South Koreans and the Asians.
And for you to just say there's a feeling in the world that the United States is retreating, I think is overstating it just a wee bit.
Jamie, listen, look at the way that Mohammed bin Salman is treating you.
Look at the way that Mohammed bin Zaid is treating you.
Look at the way that so many African leaders are looking towards the United States at the moment.
And give you another example, right?
I just got a text from...
Because you can't just throw these things out.
What Mohammed, the three names that you've talked about are begging the United States to get involved in the Middle East peace process.
The three men that you mentioned are working every day with the United States asking us to do more, wanting us to do more.
And for you to describe them as dismissing the United States means that you are operating at a very facile level.
Behind the scenes, when the door is shut, when the diplomats are talking and working together, the two men that you mentioned, MBS and MBZ, which you called dismissive of the United States, that's not what I'm seeing.
And I think for you to say that, it's just a little flippant.
Well, Jamie, it's difficult to resolve. You're a professional American civil servant.
You're not going to agree with me that American power is waning.
I travel a great deal.
I see a lot of these people.
And the way in which people talk about the United States is very different from the way they spoke in the 90s.
Well, absolutely.
And your failure to intervene in Syria, your withdrawal from Afghanistan, the failure to respond to Putin and Crimea,
in 2014, your failure to respond to Houthi attacks on Saudi and UAE, all these things contribute.
Well, as it happens, I wrote a public article about Syria that advocated the use of military power
to work with the Turks to do something about it. And so on that one, if you're saying you were
actually in favor of using military power in Syria, we might agree if you were actually for that.
I don't know whether you were for that. Maybe you can tell us, were you?
I was in favor of responding to the chemical weapons.
What does that mean?
You mean upholding the red line?
Not upholding the red line.
So what?
Throwing a few cruise missiles in?
What were you for?
Just throwing a few in like Trump did.
Yes.
If Obama had done that, that would have made a huge difference.
And your failure to do that was a big problem.
And the use of you here is interesting.
We're trying to have a conversation.
And you're assigning to me the role of explaining every single government policy
going back 25 years.
And throwing out phrases like, you know,
what the world thinks of you.
And I just don't think it's constructive.
I think we should pick the issue, discuss it,
either agree or disagree,
but to just throw a bunch of things together,
MBZ and MBS or dissing the United States.
That is flat wrong.
Very good.
Over to honest, right?
No, I'm really happy just to sit here.
I like people defending their position robustly.
That's what we do here.
That's what we did in the past, isn't that?
That's true.
And we were pretty good at it back.
weren't we?
Tell us a bit about what this stuff that you're doing now, because I'm not a tech person,
as you know, I'm here with my pen and my paper and my notes.
You've done very well by social media.
I do okay on social media, but I'm not, I don't, so when you say, for example,
you did an interview in the Munich Security Conference and you talked about what the Russians
are doing in Africa.
Right.
To turn people against America and to do it in a way that actually could cost people their
lives. And when we talk about interference in democracy, what do they actually do? What is the
stuff that you're trying to counter? And what are you doing to try and counter it? Good. Well, thank you for
getting back to my job instead of defending America for the last 25 years, which is, you know,
depending on which president is easier or harder. The disinformation challenge is the hardest thing I've
ever worked on. I worked on arms control and the Balkans, all these interventions we discussed.
This is harder than all of that. Because we're trying to.
to maintain a free and open information system in which the vulnerable still have a chance to get
their views heard and you don't want to be a censor you don't want to block freedom of the press you don't
want to decide what's true or not true but you still want to be able to stop the russians and chinese
from exploiting this incredibly open information environment it's hard it's really hard so after a year
of working on this what what i've kind of figured out the one thing we can
do is try to make sure there's a made in the Kremlin stamp on information or a made in the PRC stamp on
information. So when somebody sees a story, let's just start with Bulgarian and biological weapons.
You're in Bulgaria, you speak Russian and you see on your screen, whether it's social media,
old media, new media, the U.S. has biological weapons in Ukraine. You might or might not believe it,
especially if it's in Russian and you speak Russian. But if you saw Russia see Russia,
says the US has biological weapons in Ukraine, you know you're getting the Kremlin point of view,
and I think it would have less power. So labeling, putting a label on it, I think is the one
safeguard we ought to have to prevent the Russians and the Chinese from doing...
But you can't control what Bulgarian media put out.
Absolutely not, but we can work with the Bulgarians so that they impose rules requiring labeling.
Right.
And it becomes the minimum standard.
So we've developed this framework to fight disinformation,
which is essentially a list of rules that are not laws,
that are ways to ensure truth in labeling.
But let me get to the Africa thing,
because it's really interesting.
It's the ultimate cruelty.
So we were able to reveal in the early stages
of Russian intelligence operation in Africa,
which was intended to dissuade Africans from,
believing in the value of Western medical care.
You know, this is PEPFAR, the program that saved millions of lives.
We've spent $100 billion in Africa, the America that Rory thinks is so disrespected in the world,
$100 billion to save African lives.
And the Russians are jealous of the respect that we have in Africa because of the spent money
we've spent and the lives we've saved.
So they try to discredit it.
But think of what the result is.
And when you say they try to discredit it, how does that they try to discredit it,
How do they do that?
I'll give you an example.
They have a conference in West Africa, and they bring in a bunch of local people they hire
and intelligence officers posing as journalists.
And they have a meeting in which it says, dengue fever was started by U.S. healthcare.
And then they get one little story in one little newspaper or one little radio report
or one little African outlet says something.
And then they use their tools to spread that story regionwide.
We were able to stop it.
And to get to the point.
and then I will shut up and answer any other question,
but this is important.
Think about what they were doing.
They were dissuading Africans from getting health care
that could save their lives.
Just to engage in geopolitical warfare with the United States,
they were using Africans as fodder.
Now, as an American, the same values that I put in Bosnia
that made me want to help the people of Sarajevo
that made me actually believe that America should intervene,
makes me want to prevent the Russians from deterring
Africans from getting their needed healthcare. And that's one of the most successful programs
the United States has ever had. And being able to reveal the Russian attempt to discredit it
was one of the highlights of my time in government. Okay, Jamie, Rory, take a break.
Hi, everybody. It's Dominic Samarik here from The Rest is History. Now, some of you may have
heard me on your show, The Rest is Politics when Rory was away and I was filling in and
enjoying Alastair Campbell's tremendous banter. And I'm back to tell you,
about our new series on The Restis History, which is all about Britain in the 1970s, a period with a lot of
uncanny resemblances to our own. So right now we're living through a moment when oil shocks
generated by war in the Middle East are rippling through the world economy, when Britain feels
like it's sunk in a bit of a malaise, people are arguing about Europe, the government has got a few
issues with the trade unions, and we have a kind of, I suppose you'd say governing elite,
kind of political class that is really struggling to come to terms with all of these issues.
And people are asking if Britain is governable at all.
So there are a lot of parallels between that Britain that I'm describing, which is our
Britain and the Britain of the mid-1970s.
So in this series that's coming out on the rest is history, we'll be looking at these
and other issues.
We'll be talking about the rise of Margaret Thatcher, obviously a colossal figure in our political
life even now, whether you love her or loathe her.
We'll be talking about the very first Brexit referendum of 1975, a subject that I'm sure Rory and
Alistair will have strong opinions about. We'll be talking about the fall of the Labour Prime Minister
Harold Wilson and we'll be talking about one of the grimest moments in Britain's economic history,
the moment in 1976 when we had to go cap in hand, as people said at the time, to the International
Monetary Fund, the IMF, for a then record bailout. Now, if that sounds good to you, how
could it not sound good to you? Of course it sounds good to you. We have a clip for you to listen to
at the end of this episode. And if you want to hear more, just search for The Rest is History
wherever you get your podcasts. Jamie, one of the things that social media has done since these days
in the 1990s of Bosnia and Kosovo is it's undercut respect for authority. It's taken away the old
hierarchies of the president, the big news anchors, and created a world.
of very unstable coalitions of revolt.
And one of the consequences of that must be that it's much more difficult to have legitimacy and moral authority.
I mean, I was thinking about that listening to you.
I mean, a lot of what you're saying to me is, you're wrong, Rory, United States is the intersensible nation.
It's a great nation.
Now, that assertion needs to come with a lot of moral authority and legitimacy for people listening to think, okay,
Jamie's right. And presumably one of the problems of social media is that nobody trusts anyone anymore.
It's created an atmosphere of relative truth where, yeah, sure, Jamie would say that, Rory would say that, who the hell knows, I'm going to get back to X or Facebook.
Sure, that's a problem, big problem in the Western democracies. And what's ironic is that the social media was created by Americans in Silicon Valley, Facebook, Twitter, Instagram,
of them and we thought it was a tool to spread democracy and instead it's being used against us
against as Rory puts it authority what I would simply say is you know in the early days it was
thought as a democratization tool that it would enable the the people of Egypt to go to
Tahrir Square and and talk to each other that would enable the Arab Spring was enabled by
Facebook but I don't believe that the social media tools in the end are the
decisive factors. And I don't believe that when we figure out a way, it will take time.
It's every new technology has a period where it causes pollution, essentially, and it causes
damage, and then you have to figure out a way to minimize the damage. I think the decline in support
for authority has been going on since Watergate, essentially. That's when it really changed
in the 60s. Prior to that in the 50s, people believed their anchors. They believed their
presidents, the killing of John Kennedy probably did more to ruin authority than anything
social media's ever done. That was when conspiracy theories began, really, in the modern era,
when people imagined the CIA was the responsible for killing John Kennedy because he was going
to be against the Vietnam War. And so conspiracy theories have been a problem in America for a long,
long time, and it's not new. How do you in this job now deal with the social media companies?
Because I've talked to some of them at a pretty senior level, and they seem to me to be,
be very defensive.
Don't really want to be part of the solution, is the sense I get.
They think that the problem is one for governments, and you shouldn't be too heavy on them.
And the problem I have with your point about, you know, you've got to get on top of the technology,
that the legal and parliamentary and congressional process are so slow, and this technology is fast.
And as you say, these dictatorships are exploiting it better than we are.
So.
Yeah, it's tough.
It's hard.
So what is the conversation you have with the social media companies?
Let me give you an example why all is not lost, as Rory was implying.
The world is not chicken little isn't coming.
In the AI area, the latest technology, the companies that are making them are asking to be regulated because they know that the last time around they didn't do it right.
They've united and formed consortia to ensure that this time around they do better.
And I think in AI, there's some ideas for ensuring that there's watermarking, that people know what's AI and what's real.
And I still use the word real versus AI.
But again, government is slow.
In America, we have freedom of the press and we have no regulation of the social media companies.
In Europe, they have the Digital Services Act.
And so I've been working with Europeans because I believe that the battleground is largely in the rest of the world.
that I'm fighting this information war, essentially.
And the Europeans have tools that the United States officials like me don't have.
And so when we put in this framework to fight disinformation, social media companies
must ensure compliance with their terms of service.
That's the whole ballgame.
How much effort will they make to comply with their terms of service?
Will they spend the money?
Will they buy the translators?
Will they help do it?
And Europeans are in, frankly, a better position than I am to make that happen.
happen. AI is so incredibly rapid and creative in its generation and its duplication. I mean,
it can now generate deep fakes and fake news and manipulate and spew out QAnon theories 10,000 times
quicker than anything we've ever seen before. What is it that you're worried about with AI?
I get that you're optimistic that they want regulation. They're going to sign up to watermarks,
which, for what it's worth, Jamie, I think is too optimistic. I think you're being naive there,
but we don't need to get stuck in that.
I don't think they have the financial interests in the end to regulate as much as you'd like them to.
In the end, they'd prefer less regulation.
Well, having called me naive, I think I deserve a fair shot at responding to the word naive after working in this field for 25 years,
having worked very hard and subjects that are very, very difficult.
And naivete is something I don't ever remember being called until today.
And so with the, what I actually said about the AI, what I actually said about the AI companies was, isn't it interesting that this time around in response to Alice's point, they are more willing to be regulated and have come together and asked to be regulated as opposed to the last time around when they refused and have caused, I think we can all agree social media has had negative effects in the information domain around the world.
So I was merely pointing out a trend, not saying that everything was wonderful.
Okay, well, give us the other side, Jimmy.
Let me invite you to give the other side then. Let me invite you to give the darker side of it.
What could go wrong on AI?
Look, the simplest thing is translations. If there are hundreds of languages in the world
that you have AI translating and applying cultural sensitivity to and you're the Russians
and you want to use an information operation
and you don't need 500 people to translate
just into this part of Africa
and you can use a machine
and it can be culturally sensitive
to all those places.
The dangers of disinformation are multiplied significantly.
AI can tailor disinformation to individuals
have a particular strain of thought
that this person is particularly vulnerable to
and that can be used by the Russians and the Chinese.
I can go on.
on. Presumably also by politicians within our own countries. I mean, you know, I was an elected politician. I can see the temptations if you're desperate to get elected and a company offers you these tools for even people within our own democracies to want to make use of this stuff. I have a job. It's to fight Russian, Chinese and Iranian disinformation. That's what I work on. I don't comment on the political class and their pluses and minuses except with respect to foreign policy decisions as we've discussed. So I just don't know what I could possibly.
say to that. But on that, though, it would be good if the political leaderships of all the
democracies kind of tried to work together on this, and presumably that's part what you're trying
to do. Exactly. What I'm trying to do is alert the political leaders in Europe, in Asia,
and ultimately around the world to the dangers of disinformation, that it's not just a communications
problem, that it's a national security threat in each of their countries. I'd like them to think
of their information domain as sovereign, the way territory is sovereign.
And if Russia and China are interfering in their information domain without labeling, that would be a covert influence into their sovereignty.
And you alluded to this theme earlier, how do you get the balance right between wanting to maintain sort of long held, much respected, much loved democratic values such as freedom of the press and what you've just defined as a kind of A grade national security potential problem?
Well, I'll give you a good example. So let's say you find a journalist who calls himself a journalist in Bulgaria.
And they are repeating Russian lies. Flat out inventions that could lead Bulgaria to vote for politicians who would pull them out of NATO or not support Ukraine.
Well, in our system, we can't sanction such a person for having views we find abhorrent.
that's the limitation that freedom of the press imposes on us.
We can call them out.
We could have a, you know, try to say we disagree and why and let people know about it,
but we can't impose a penalty.
Where that politician we find is paid by the Russians to say that,
meaning it's a maiden, the Kremlin covert operation through that politician,
then we can use the powers of prosecution and exposure and destruction.
and disruption to damage the ability to operate.
You're just going to be playing whackamol the whole place, aren't you?
You just presumably they, I mean, how much money and how much effort are they putting in?
A lot more than we are, Alistair.
And that's what I'm doing here.
The purpose, I basically figured out I have two parts of my job.
One is to expose these operations when we can, when we can work within our government
to find things out uniquely and early and expose them.
And we did that in Africa.
We did that in the Western Hemisphere.
And the second is to organize and give.
galvanize. And by that I mean to sensitize our leaders in all the places we've been talking about
it to this danger so that they can use their own tools. And that's what this framework to fight
disinformation, this document that's like building a coalition, that each country will treat its
information domain as sovereign and ensure that when Russia and China try through their
Communist Party mechanism or the Kremlin operations, intelligence services,
that they will choose to insist on labeling or exposure.
That's the coalition building that I'm doing.
Jimmy, this again may be unfair because you're very much in the foreign policy space.
But I guess what's happened is that the distinction between abroad and at home is getting thinner all the time.
It's very difficult really to be sure where one stops and the other starts.
I just got a WhatsApp from an American saying,
last night, 150 people spoke up in our legislative council meeting and angst about Gaza and lack of
ceasefire, this in a smallish suburb of New Haven, where we might normally see a few people whine
about sidewalks and taxes. Something's happening here. I mean, we're in a world now where
this information war is absolutely central to our democracies, isn't it? It's going to define our
democracies. We're not in a world in which foreign policy is separate. I think that's a fair
point. Rory Stewart, I agree with you. Completely and utterly. But no, seriously, the information
war has many parts to it. I think we should all acknowledge that in major crises that have happened,
we've had three biggies. We've had COVID, we've had Ukraine, and now we've had Gaza. It's been
troubling that Russia and China, official documents, official spokesman, official media, have united
in blaming all three on the United States. So when COVID started, the Chinese government blamed
COVID on an American sportsman or some chemical, you know, made some story up. We know it was
from Wuhan. We don't know whether it was a lab leak or an animal, but we know it was from
Wuhan. And they and the Russians both blamed the United States. Ukraine happens. Russia
blames America for the war in Ukraine. And Russia is joined by China in the information space on
Ukraine, whether it's biological weapons, America's responsibility or, you know, American
companies are making money of it. All the Russian arguments are repeated by the Chinese government.
Same with Gaza. We know whether you like the Israeli response or you don't like the Israeli
response to October 7. This war began on October 7th when Hamas invaded Israel and slaughtered
a thousand plus people in this gruesome way, and the Israelis responded. For the Russians,
for the Chinese official sources,
they're blaming the United States.
And it kind of reminds me in Alsters
and I are closer in age.
You might remember the Republicans
used to call the Democratic Party
the blame America first crowd.
And that's what we're dealing with in the world.
And Rory, I will confess,
I was probably a little defensive
and sensitive when you try to assign,
I don't believe that what America decides
is as definitive
to what happens in the world
as you seem to think.
So when America's blamed by communist China and Russia
and then from a defense intellectual like you,
and I'm trying to fight a war on multiple fronts
and it gets pretty tricky.
And so I was probably a little sensitive.
But Sandy Burger used to say,
I remember this line, it was great.
And you remember Sandy.
He'd say that this is the,
he had some phrase like my daughter or something in the bathroom.
He would say that people would ask the United States,
stage back then. What were we going to do about something that happened 10,000 miles away and why
we let it happen? When we obviously had no control over it, we obviously weren't responsible for it,
and there was probably nothing we could do about it. And yet we're now facing a world in which
Russia, China, Iran, in certain cases, are picking these three crises, which clearly were not
started in Washington and blaming the United States. And so that's the information war at its most
pure sense. Then there's all the secret, covert stuff. And then there's our democracies,
debating what the right course of action is for the United States or Britain or whatever.
Do you think there's a danger that in the democracies, more and more people start to think,
well, do you know what? Maybe democracy is the problem. Maybe we have to re-evaluate our
commitment to democracy. Well, that was a common theme about, I would say, about five, ten years ago,
when the rise of China first happened, people would say, look at that Chinese government system.
They can sit down and make long-range plans.
And a small group of people can sit and do long-range planning and then implement it without the messiness of democracies.
And now we're seeing that the PRC, broadly speaking, overreached in many different respects.
President Biden has found strength in Japan, in Germany, in France.
We have European allies working with us on the China problem.
Never happened before.
We have Asian allies working with us on the Russia problem.
Never happened before.
And meanwhile, in China, you could go down the list of the problems that they're having economically.
And I would simply point out that the alternative of having, you know, Plato's wise men of nine people sitting around the table deciding everything is a fantasy.
I think democracy definitely has, you know, had its ups and downs and people obviously overplayed their hands after nine.
1989 and thinking there was the end of history and all that. I agree with all that. But nor is it
fair to say that the democratic world is shrinking that much. I think it's getting stronger.
I think the democratic world is seeing the threat from Russia and China very starkly and is responding
extremely well. If we were on the radio two years ago, would we have predicted that Germany
would send leopard tanks into Ukraine? We wouldn't have. So I think Japan doubling its defense
budget. No, we wouldn't have. So I think that's why I get a little defensive, I admit it,
Rory, about the doom and gloom about democracies. Jamie, final one from me. I'd love you to finish
by telling us a little bit of something totally different, which is your time at the New York
Port Authority. What did you learn from getting into domestic politics, administration,
the gritty business of getting involved in New York State? Tell us a little bit about that part of
your government life. What the hell is that about? You know, it's funny. Alastair knows.
the prime minister of Albania's name is Eddie Rama. And when I met him for the first time properly
about a year ago in Albania, and he heard that I had worked for the Port Authority of New York and
New Jersey. Remember, he had known me from Albania as the Kosovo helper of Madeline Albright and
Bill Clinton and who helped prevent a genocide. And Kosovo, you and I played our part in that.
And he said, then now you're, New York Port Authority? I mean, what happened to you? And he still
can make me laugh about it. But I did learn something and I learned that one of the problems with
our infrastructure is an unwillingness to play tolls, that our infrastructure has to be paid
through tolls. And none of the politicians want to ask to raise toll prices. And our infrastructure,
you know, Port Authority was responsible for the bridges and the airports and the major
infrastructure, the building of the New World Trade Center and all that stuff. And I watched
these politicians and leaders
try to figure out a way to build things
without asking the user to pay any money.
And when you look back at all the bridges and tunnels that were built,
they were built through tolls.
And then time came that you paid off the debt
and the toll booth went away and the bridge was still there.
And we need that kind of vision
that we don't have anymore.
And that's why it's so hard to build infrastructure
in America. That's what I learned.
Well, listen, Jamie, it's been lovely to talk to you.
I must say I look back on that time during Kosovo.
It was one of the highlights of my time in government.
I do too. It was my, the highest, I believe it was the height of Western civilization.
I mean, think about it. We all worked together. We had a mission that we didn't have to
do anything about. It was the Kosovo Albanians were being threatened by the Serbs.
We could have let it happen. And we worked together for a moral purpose because we could do it
and we did it well.
Yeah.
And it worked.
And there's a, you know, when we go to Albania and Kosovo, you know, you see these people
that most of whom probably would have been dead.
And that's very powerful stuff.
And for me, that was still the highlight of my career.
I'm glad you're back in the State Department.
Thank you.
And I hope that you have, I hope you have success against these very powerful forces that
arranged against them.
Yeah, that's true.
It's pretty powerful.
And it's a different time.
doesn't have the relative power today that it has then.
I'll now close by asking Roy to kiss and make up.
Well, Jamie, thank you.
It's been lovely to see you.
I think you're a terrific spokesman for the US government
and my very best to your sister.
I will pass that along, a fully toothed, Rory Stewart.
Teller my tooth is back in, yeah, exactly.
I will, thank you.
I'll pass that along.
Very good.
Thank you very much.
Glad we had some sparks.
It's more fun that way.
Late in the afternoon.
How are we going to keep, you know, the energy level up?
Because you're following Anthony Scaramucci, there were plenty of sparks with that one.
Oh, boy.
Yeah.
Well, he can answer the Trump question.
Oh, he's good on Trump.
He's great on Trump.
Jamie, thank you very much.
Thank you, Alster.
Thank you, Rory.
Thank you, Jamie.
Bye-bye.
So, Rory, you're upsetting, my friend there, getting all agitated.
And you called him naive.
You said that he was getting dissed by people that he spent his whole time not being
dissed by.
I mean, God.
I think this was about the sister.
I think you just, you feel rebuffed by the sister.
You have to take it out of the brother.
Yeah, that's probably true.
Probably true.
It's probably deeply cyclical.
No, I think Jamie's got a tough job because the truth of the matter is I don't want to keep
this going and it's not fair to do this when he's not on the show, but I think he's wrong.
I'm afraid America is in a very different situation to what it was in the 90s.
And I guess he probably knows that.
And one of the reasons he gets very prickly and reacts very aggressively is that he knows
that Mohammed bin Salman didn't really push out the red carpet for Biden and did push out
the red carpet for Xi Jinping, and it was the Chinese who broke the Saudi Iran stuff.
And yes, they want America involved, but the reason they want America involved is that they
feel that America's been retreating and it's not playing the role that they were expecting
it to play in the world.
I think what happened was that he was coming over as the archetypal, you know, very
confident, very strong American government official.
And I think he was beginning to, he'd been talking about British cynicism.
And I think he was seeing he was a bit of a British cynic pouring fuel on his
troubled waters or water on his troubled fuel.
I think the Kosovo thing is so important, isn't it?
Because as he explains, the mess that we got into Iraq and Afghanistan was a lot of
it just came directly out of the successes in Bosnia and Kosovo, that it gave people a sense
that we could do anything that, as he says, you know, we were saving the world, we were stopping
thousands of people being killed.
And I think when people look back at it, it's a story of how the glories of the 90s led to
the humiliations the 2000s and the the the and now the uncertainty today these things are all
related are they yeah i thought i do think this um you know and sorry to keep banging on about
this piece that we wrote together um for the new european and we also wrote it and i think it was
the daily beast in america um and but it is interesting how we were both saying back then that
there is this coming problem to do with technology to do with russian and new attitudes from russia
and China. The truth is both of our countries were very, very, very slow to this. And I think the job
he's doing now is all the harder because they're actually very late to this. And I know that he's
been here. The reason he's in London is because he's been talking to people inside the British government,
the business he was in Munich, talking to other governments. And he was interesting he went there
with Anthony Blinken. I think that was for them to signal that, you know, America is now taking
this stuff very, very seriously. But I honestly don't know how as a democracy,
you can compete with some of the resources they've got and the capacity that they have to run
these influence operations.
And I'm afraid I think it's going to be very, very difficult to do this kite
marking and making sure that everything that's up there is identified from where it came from
because it seems to me that this stuff is just, they have every incentive not to do it.
And the truth of the matter is we can see this in our everyday lives when you look at bank fraud.
banks are losing money hand over fist. I mean, fraud is everywhere. And the idea that suddenly
we're going to get better at the stuff and magically somehow we're going to be able to be
better at that than we are people stealing money out of our bank accounts and sending us dot e-mails,
I think it's for the birds. I think we're in a world in which identity gets more and more tricky
and his job is just going to get worse and worse. We've recorded two interviews today.
And I think Jamie's going out and then we'll be followed by Caroline Lucas. And it's interesting
that what we're talking to Caroline Lucas about was actually her argument that the left needs a new
narrative. And I think actually a lot of this is about the narratives that countries put out. And the
American story and the American narrative, he was acknowledging this has changed. It's changed in part
because of the rise of China and because the Chinese and the Russians and the Iranians put out this sort of
relentless propaganda against them. But it's also changed because America's sense of itself
has changed. And I think that that sense of what is the bigger narrative within which you can
then challenge some of this stuff, because the truth is, people still, I think, do see America
as a country they'd like to live in. They still see Britain as a country. I'm talking about people
outside our countries. Yeah, sure. Countries they'd like to go to go to America and Britain want
to go and live in China, not many. Do they want to go and live in Russia? Not many. They want
to go and live in Iran. So having that sense of, and this stuff he's talking about in Africa,
we've talked before about the whole kind of, you know, the way that China and Russia is all over Africa,
diplomatically, business, media.
That's the stuff that's not being challenged.
And I think what he's doing is part of the response, is not the whole response.
Yeah, you're right.
What's missing is the really clear story, positive story about the United States for a very
different world, for the world of 2024.
Because it can't be a repeat of the kind of hurrah story of the 1980s and 90s.
No.
It can't be, we're the greatest superpower on earth.
we're a great liberal democracy, all these people are communists and whatever,
it's got to be a much more nuanced, humble story where America doesn't sound like it's flexing
its muscles and showing off.
Anyway, I'm going out for dinner with him now, so I can't wait to slag you off behind your back.
I mean, just very quick thing.
I mean, it was interesting because, you know, Jamie's got these sort of vague memories of this
whole world that you brought me to.
You talked about his world with Kosovo.
When he's calling me a defense intellectual and saying that I was the gloomy guy on
Afghanistan, that's taking me back 20 years into my fights about Afghanistan Iraq.
And you're completely right.
One of the problems that I always had is that as a Brit, you're immediately labeled as a kind
of cynical old imperialist.
And if you try to say these guys are off their heads and doing things they can't do,
the basic response is, well, Rory, you would say that, wouldn't you?
Well, have a lovely video.
I'll find out what happened to the sister.
I'll find out who she's winning and whether he's got a full set of Nash's.
Thank you very much.
All the best.
Bye-bye.
Bye-bye, Hansa.
