The Ricochet Podcast - Stone the Heretics!
Episode Date: November 9, 2018Our traditional format is two guests per show, but when we have someone as smart and loquacious as Ben Shapiro, we toss our traditions and do it live. We cover the mid-terms, we look at 2020, take a g...ander at Trump’s management style and a host of other host takes. Also, another edition of “What Are You Watching?” and Rob Long hosts a contest for new members. Join today! Music from this week’s... Source
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It's the Ricochet Podcast with Peter Robinson and Rob Long.
I'm James Lylex and our guests today, Ben Shapiro, Ben Shapiro and Ben Shapiro.
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Welcome, everybody.
It's the Ricochet Podcast number 424.
And you're just about to lean for that fast forward button to skip through the ads.
Don't do that.
Rob's here.
Peter's here.
I'm here.
I'm James Lilacs.
I'm asking the question to both these guys.
Post-election, what do you think?
Was that the tsunami that they wanted?
Was it a ripple? Was it a puddledle was it a misting what what i know everything's changed now because the democrats
have the house and that means as one bbc comment said uh this this could be a significant problem
for mr trump and make it difficult for him to pass his domestic agenda through the house i thought
what agenda right what does he what what what's locked up in the house the d's are not going to squat on so what do you think guys you want to
go first oh i don't okay i'll go first give give peter a target i'll give you the chance to to
correct and amend your remarks uh yeah exactly um uh two things one i think that the democrats did
the the best i mean look this obsession and crazy freakout over the fact that the House has changed hands, that has been true for Presidents Clinton, Bush, Obama and Trump now for a quarter century that's happened.
And Reagan, the House didn't change hands because it was in Democratic hands all the time, but he lost 26 seats in his first off-term election.
You can include Reagan in other words.
You can include Reagan, I guess, in that.
But I guess what I'm trying to say is that American politics is not entering a new phase of gridlock.
It has been pretty much this for a quarter century, and that seems to be what the people like.
And I – by the way, I applaud them for it.
If they don't do – not doing anything in D.C. or not getting anything done is music to my ears.
So in a sense, that is exactly what happened.
If you sift through the ruins there, you see, okay, well, the Democrats did well in Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, and Michigan.
Those are important states for them. And they once again came squeakingly close to winning a governorship and frankly, even the Senate seat. I mean,
who knows what's going to happen if there's a recount in Florida? That's also sort of interesting.
What's interesting for Republicans is that they held in red states the way they were supposed to,
that it wasn't really the drubbing that, frankly, I was expecting in the House.
And that they're – that Republicans' secret weapon remains the inability of the Democrats to run anybody normal in states where it matters. So like the fact that Democrats just inflexibly and predictably go for left-wing liberal progressives when the path to victory is so clear for them.
Moderate Democrats, especially southern moderate Democrats, are practically unstoppable in american politics like it's so clear to them suggests that despite the fact that
the republicans are incompetent and chaotic and utterly without without uh uh this these days
principle and completely without any particular uh uniform strategy they will still be able to
eke out last minute victories because the democrats are actually worse, actually worse at this than is really to be believed.
So that's my takeaway.
My takeaway is, boy, the Republicans are lucky.
They have found the only political party probably on earth dumber than they are.
Peter?
I'm not sure I'm going to disagree with all of that oh no tracy
tracy abrams would have won in georgia and gillum would have won in florida if they had not been
just as rob said the democrats nominated people who were out of the mainstream of their own party
let alone out of the mainstream of those states bill Bill Nelson, who is as close to a zombie, as close to walking dead as the Senate of the United States contains.
And that's saying something.
This 76-year-old who has never done anything in his long political career is within four-tenths of a point in Florida. There's going to be, it will trigger an automatic recount of Rick Scott, who is an unbelievably
accomplished businessman, a successful two-term governor of Florida, and now he can't even
beat Nelson decisively.
Okay, the Republican Party, the good news is we held on.
And the good news, which really is good enough for a while, is that what the Republican Party – what Donald Trump stands – the Republican Party now stands for Donald Trump.
And what Donald Trump stands for is not them.
He stands for opposition to rule by liberals.
And he has succeeded for two more years.
If you're not – and in fact, he may even be in a, they're going to start holding hearings.
They'll make his life complicated in the house. But if you're Donald Trump, you may be saying to
yourself, come at me, baby. This is going to give me something to run against in 2020. You may be
happy if you're Donald Trump, but if you're one of the younger generation in the Senate, if you
care about the Republican party, if you care about a conservative agenda, here are the things you're going to notice. What's the agenda?
Very hard to say. The other thing you're going to notice is just make a list of the states that
were safe Democratic, that were just never in play, that never received any press because it
was so obvious the Democrats were going to win.
California, New York, and New Jersey, at a minimum.
You could argue there are others that belong there, but for sure, those three.
By the way, Ronald Reagan carried all three in 1984.
Now, consider this – And Bush in 88.
And Bush in – did Bush carry New York in 88?
I won't dispute it.
I don't know.
I'm not sure.
But he certainly did carry California in 88.
Now consider the safe Republican states, the states that are just locks for Republicans.
Again, we could dispute this list, but here's the list I come up with.
Utah, Wyoming, Idaho, Alabama, and Mississippi.
You can't even include Louisiana, to be sure, in that list.
And in the safe Democratic list, you come up with a population of 67 million Americans.
And in the safe Republican list,
you come up with a population of 13 million.
This is, Donald Trump is not taking pains
to expand his base, to reach out,
to try to grow a Republican party
that can succeed in years to come.
That task is going to fall to someone, to others.
And they don't have that much time to start thinking it through.
He's treating the Republican party like he treated his creditors, right?
True. It's true.
Not terribly interested in their longevity, which, OK, that's fine. I'm not – no argument there because I kind of think that – I wrote the CNN Democratic partisan panelists were, how quickly they're not with you, they're racist.
You can't insult people for years and years and years and then expect them to somehow do the right thing according to you despite what that – no one seemed to mention that Obama carried Florida in 2008 and 2012. So it's hard to say that just because now they didn't vote for your preferred governor, gubernatorial candidate, they are now sort of being written out of polite society.
That is like – if I were a Republican, I'd think, well, we don't have a message.
We don't have a messenger.
We don't have anything that is appealing to the great gigantic country that's sort of exploding right now. We've got nothing, but nothing is better than what they have,
which is repellent, toxic, angry, reading out of the culture,
reading out of polite society of anyone that disagrees with them,
which this is why Trump –
It's not a satisfying position, but it is true.
It is true.
Our nothing is better than their something.
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to what rob was saying about the democrats choosing people outside of their own mainstream
are they really do they have a mainstream any more i can't exactly figure out what they were
running on in the first place other than love trumping hate and the end of the climate and
and bad orange man and all the rest of that
stuff i didn't there wasn't a lot of talk about agendas there was a lot of talk about tone as if
we were just all voting on national matters this time around well but that's okay that that actually
is okay that is how the opposition regains the house has has done traditionally um is to say i
to stop the radical behavior of president x, to thwart the passage of terrible liberty-killing laws that President Y is doing.
That actually was a pretty solid playbook.
Their problem was that when it got down to the ground, their marquee candidates were MSNBC candidates.
And we do not live in an MSNBC nation.
Kill him down in Florida.
Actually, he did actually have some substance to his campaign.
He came out for tax hikes.
He wanted to increase the tax on corporations and wealthy people.
It was a little bit vague, but he made it very clear he was going to hike taxes, and he lost.
He lost even narrowly even at that. And I would you would say he was a marquee candidate. Let it be
noted that the Democrats did pick up seven governor's mansions, mostly up in the upper
Scott Walker lost in Wisconsin. They lost in the upper Midwest. And those people ran on moderate agendas with the result, A, that MSNBC and CNN paid no attention to them and B, that they won.
In other words, I am making Rob's point.
As you know, I am loathe to do so, but I am giving Rob evidence to prove his point.
And notice, though, I mean, a very interesting race in Missouri, right?
Claire McCaskill versus Josh Hawley.
Right.
McCaskill has already had a couple of near-death experiences politically.
Her last race was a little tough.
But the last two weeks of her campaign, she was arguing that we have to do something to stop the caravan.
She really had kind of had a come-to to Jesus moment or a come to Trump moment.
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win in Missouri, because people in Missouri care about the border, whether they should or they
shouldn't, whether they care too much or not enough. That is a separate issue. The primary
issue there is that there are people in America. They are they are predominantly white and they are rural.
They voted for Obama in 08.
Fewer of them voted for him in in 2012.
But they are absolutely winnable.
They are a natural constituency constituency for the Democrats, honestly, because, you know, what what populist candidate, including Trump, has not run for maintaining federal expenditures, maintaining entitlement plans?
That's what Trump ran on.
I won't touch your Medicare or your Social Security.
It's a very popular position.
Whether it's right or wrong is separate.
So to me, what's baffling is it's like an institutional failure. You have one of the most powerful political parties in the world, if not the most powerful political party in the history of Earth, and it has billions of dollars to spend. are trying desperately to tell them something. The voters are trying desperately to talk to them,
and they refuse to listen. To me, it's almost like you have to rethink basic economics,
because in a free market system, this shouldn't work.
Yeah. I was grouching a moment ago that the Republicans have no agenda, which is true,
and that Trump stands for not them, which is also true. By the way, I am grateful to him because he has bought us several years of not them.
That's not nothing.
It's a big achievement.
On the Democratic side, the numbers may change.
The Republicans, frankly, may lose a few more seats in the House.
There's some seats where absentee and early voting ballots are being counted.
And a big question mark in Florida.
And a big question mark on the Senate race and the gubernatorial race in Florida.
But as matters stand right now, the Democrats have achieved a majority in the House.
Frankly, it may have changed in the last hour.
But as of this morning, they had a majority of 11 seats.
That's a very narrow majority.
And in fact, it may even make it a little bit difficult for Nancy Pelosi to be elected as speaker.
It's likely that there will be – there could be as many as a dozen Democrats who say, no, she's too liberal or there may be 15 progressives who say, no, she's not liberal enough. The point, however, is that the Democratic Party – and I believe it's the house where this is going to be worked out.
At least it will be worked out most visibly in the lens of the press in Washington.
The Democratic Party has to face up to the question Rob just posed.
What do you guys think you're doing?
The voters don't vote for – well, whatever – Ocasio, Occasionally Progressive or whatever
her name is.
In Brooklyn, yeah.
In Brooklyn.
OK, in Brooklyn.
But everywhere else, they want moderates.
Statewide, there is something to be said for the statewide.
The statewide bellwether elections have been going R, not D.
And that suggests that when you get everybody up and they're starting to balance things and it's a little bit beyond their own neighborhood they um you know they not them not crazy not too far left is a very good
uh position to take yeah the money the money is going to be at one final point then james
the money is going to be a problem for the democrats because rich people live disproportionately
in california and on the island of Manhattan.
And those are two of the most progressive places in the country.
So even their rich – typically it falls to the rich people to say, now, wait a moment here.
Let's not waste my money by running progressive.
Let's run moderates.
The strange thing about the Democratic Party is that even their money, in some cases, especially
their money is progressive.
You know, just two interesting data points.
So one sort of hilarious moment on Tuesday night when it was clear that the Democrats were going to take back the House, and I think CNN had called it.
CNN was bizarrely late that week, that night anyway.
They take back the House.
They instantly cut to the jubilant
Nancy Pelosi.
And I just thought to myself, look, I know she's not on my side and I know I'm biased
against her, but even so, this is bad.
These are, this is a bad optics to say we're having a historic night.
Things are changing.
We're taking back the reins of government or whatever they want to say and then to cut to the superannuated face that we've seen.
Like, come on.
That's just such terrible show business.
Surely the Democrats have somebody else who's interesting and exciting and can run.
And the second data point I would say is that Colorado, such an interesting state.
Colorado has gone very libertarian lately.
But remember, Colorado is the place after Obergefell, after the gay marriage decision from the Supreme Court, that it was the baker in Colorado who got nailed because he refused to bake the cake.
It was – he's a Colorado baker, refused to bake the cake.
And that was a sign that – and by the way, people in Colorado at the time supported the baker.
And here's the – I'd say this is sort of the line, the fault line of American politics.
The people in Colorado elected the first openly gay governor on Tuesday. People of Colorado are basically
normal in the sense of they are the mainstream of Americans. They have no particular brief or
animus for this issue. They are generally in favor of gay marriage, but they draw the line
at making the guy bake the cake. And the problem is the Democrats, just as more of an analogy, they're the party of making
the guy bake the cake.
And that turns off a lot of Americans, even a lot of Americans who think of themselves
as sort of basically socially liberal.
And until Democrats sort of understand what that umbrella term means and how to thread
that needle, they are going to have a very, very hard time taking the White House back. That's my prediction.
The older, wiser, smarter polls, perhaps, but the people who are coming up, the people who
are providing the most enthusiasm for the party are the ones who want to stone the heretics.
They're the ones who see an inconsistency between being pro-gay rights or just indifferent to the
whole thing and wanting the guy to be free to serve whomever he wants.
But the progressives insist that it's all of a piece and that you have to buy the whole thing.
And if you don't believe in forcing him to make the cake, you're a heretic.
And so this sort of intolerance of any sort of deviation from the new progressive ideology is going to do.
I love to read the tweets from the people on the lefty left who hate the Democratic
Party because it always gives in.
It's always concerned with playing nice.
It's so corporate.
It's so milquetoast.
And the rest of us are looking at this and saying, are you crazy?
Curious.
Exactly.
Get a different take on this.
But I think more and more you're going to see them, as Peter mentioned, if you have L.A. and New York calling a lot of the shots monetarily, they're also going to be calling the shots intellectually.
And that's where the enthusiasm and the love of all the new free things and rewrite the constitution comes from so i i mean yeah you'd think that they
would realize that running modern southern democrats everywhere from north dakota to
portland to florida would would work but that doesn't get you to where some of these people
want to be they don't they don't just want to be basic yes liberals doing doing basic wrote liberal things they're transformative and they want to
follow in the light walkers steps and trends fundamentally trans america transform america
some more and the only thing left for them to colonize right they've control they control the
culture they control the academia they control these things the only thing they don't control
is your brain is what's inside your head And now freedom and liberty and civil rights are now defined as I have a right to know
what you're thinking and punish you if you're not thinking the right thing.
So I have a right not just to get married as a gay man.
I have a right to sue you because you won't make bake my cake.
That is crazy.
I have a right to extirpate your presence from society if you state an opinion that personally offends me.
Yeah, right.
So when you mentioned before that presidents, why, loses the House because people believe that he curtailed liberty.
Good lord.
A program of curtailing liberty is exactly what the progressives are on board about now.
That's the key.
Which is why they're going to have trouble but in the end it's interesting because the republicans have no ideology at this moment and are split over personality the the democrats have
no personality and they're split over ideology oh i just came up with that you did that's brilliant
whoa there's an you should try that out on our next guest speaking of which and now we bring to the podcast with pleasure Ben Shapiro, editor-in-chief of The Daily Wire, host of The Ben Shapiro Show.
You can follow me on Twitter, at Ben Shapiro.
And, Ben, it's a tweet of yours that I want to bring up.
I've read your tweets.
I've read your pieces.
I've followed your controversial campus appearances.
But I've got to say, your credibility took a big hit online last week when you said that whiskey is turpentine and everybody knows that a strawberry daiquiri is better.
So I think the end of your credibility will be traced back to that girly man moment.
Given that, we still believe you've got something to tell us, and we'd like your take on the election.
What do you think happened? to what happened, and this is a theory that I've been working on for the last couple of days, is that everybody has been operating in a land of myth, and the realities of electoral politics
came crashing down on them. What I mean by this is that the Democrats were operating under the
Obama myth. The Obama myth is that in 2008, Barack Obama came along and he completely realigned
American politics with a durable coalition of intersectional ideology groups that could sweep to victory in an increasingly majority-minority country. And Democrats believe
this. They believe that the country was inevitably shifting in their favor, that the future was
nothing but victory from sea to shining sea, and thus, when Donald Trump won, it was not just a
shock to the system, it was a massive aberration. It was the American people basically vomiting. And then things would go back to normal in which Democrats would win
sweeping victories across the land. For Republicans, they actually also bought into the Obama myth.
It was, we've now reached the inevitable point at which the Republican kind of majority will
become a Republican minority for now and for all time. And so when Trump came along, it turned into,
he's a miracle man. Look at this broad new movement that he's created. It's a miracle. I mean,
no one else could have created this miracle. It's just, it's incredible. And so the, and so the
results reflect the reactions, the results of the election reflect this living in a land of
mythology. So the left was actually a little disappointed in this election because they
figured, okay, well, it won't just be big victories.
It will be historic victories in which we completely erase the memory of Donald Trump.
We're just going to wipe out Republicans everywhere.
And so when they didn't win in Texas, when they didn't win in Florida, when they didn't win in Ohio, suddenly it was, well, that's weird.
Like, well, what happened? Maybe our theory wasn't right. And for Republicans, it turned into, okay, well, this is just a demonstration of the fact that the country was already trending toward kind of Obama tactics and Obama ideology.
But Trump still has his magic.
Wherever Trump visited, wherever he set his foot, suddenly gold sprung up out of the land.
Now, the reality is, looking at the numbers, what basically happened is that Trump is not the aberration and Obama is not the new normal.
There was no new normal.
Trump is normal.
Obama is the aberration.
The electoral realignment that happened under Obama was an Obama-only incident.
And 2016 looks a lot like the map for 2004, and 2018 looks a lot like the map for 2004.
In other words, Barack Obama was a unique political candidate, but he did not fundamentally
realign anything.
And Donald Trump is being treated basically as generic Republican, except a little more toxic in the suburbs.
So the takeaway for Republicans should be that the country was never getting away from them to the extent that it looked like under Obama.
And local races proved that, even while Obama was president.
But you've got to make sure that you're still competitive in suburban districts. It looks like Republicans instead are going to take away what they want to take away,
which is more cowbell, right?
More Trump, just more and more and more and more.
And that'll save us.
That's not going to work.
And Democrats are taking away from Democrats are taking away from this race idiotically
that the Obama intersectional coalition is alive.
If only we just push it a little bit harder because we did well in the House, but we just
couldn't push past some institutional racist barriers in the Senate. Hey, Ben, Peter Robinson here. Thanks for joining
us. Let me read you two sentences that Ross Dowdett published yesterday in the New York Times
and see what you make of them. Quote, there is no conservative governing agenda at the moment.
There is only a desire not to be ruled by liberalism. That desire will be
fulfilled for two more years and possibly more. But meanwhile, the ability to move legislation
will be rightfully taken from a movement and a party that has no agenda. Close quote. Ben?
I actually think there's some truth to that on the electoral level. I mean, I think that the
part of the agenda that has been successful has been the judges and
it seems like judges and tax cuts are the Republican governing agenda.
I mean,
they,
they did hold the house and the Senate for two years and that's basically
what we got.
Right.
And that's great for what it's worth,
but the major initiative that would actually reshape the future of
American politics,
entitlement reform,
welfare reform,
um,
devolution of authority down to state authority,
uh, curbing the power of of
the executive branch overall for the for the foreseeable future none of those things actually
happened right we blew out the debt we blew out the deficit so i don't disagree with with that
and i do think that the democrats have more of an agenda than the republicans but i think that
what the election sort of showed is that nobody actually likes the democrats agenda all that much
right this is the other the other theme from the election is that of the most progressive candidates in in purple areas, all of them lost.
Nobody actually wants Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez outside of the people in her immediate family in her district.
Right. Which is probably the same. Hey, Ben, it's Rob Long. Thanks for joining us.
So so can we talk about the suburbs for a minute? Because it used to be – I mean this is quixotic attempt to primary Donald Trump. challenger it's not going to be somebody uh terribly uh uh dangerous what what do you think
what do you think that trump what do you think the republicans what do you think the conservative
movement needs to do to get those uh suburban voters back i mean the economy needs to continue
being good obviously and trump needs to i mean this is the biggest problem i think trump needs
to shut up right i mean yeah i've been saying this for a while that the the benefit of donald
trump speaking out and and you know polarizing debate is that the base shows up for elections.
The base on the other side also shows up for elections, which is why the turnout was extraordinarily high on both sides.
But the suburbs, not the same thing.
Suburban Republicans are kind of embarrassed by President Trump.
The case in point from today is districts, which finally suburban Republicans gave up the ghost,
and suddenly a Democrat was
elected over Karen Handel in New Georgia six after all that hubbub over the special election
that John Ossoff lost. Basically, Republicans got swamped in the suburbs. That is, Trump wants to
take credit for all the Senate races. You know, I'm fine with him taking some credit for the
Senate races. I think there's truth to the idea. Yeah, exactly. Yeah, exactly. But he also has to
take the hit for the House.
And the reality is that every seat that got lost, basically, was a purple district that he had alienated too many Republicans in. And for him to then get up afterward and laugh at the Republicans in those districts and say, well, if only they had embraced me, if only Mia Love had shown me some love, she'd still be in Congress.
It's counter to every piece of available evidence,
but again, it fulfills that Trumpian myth
that suddenly President Trump is the great kingmaker
in American politics.
Again, he is very good at getting out the base.
He's very good at revving up the base,
but the base is not enough people,
and I think that we are fooling ourselves
if we believe that Trump is anything but a slight underdog
going into 2020 after 2018 and how Republicans showed in Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, and Ohio.
I mean, not Ohio.
I think in the White House what they're saying to themselves is in 2010, Republicans won 63 seats, a genuine wave, a tsunami, plus some state houses, plus a bunch of governorships.
And that had nothing, had no effect on the 2012 Republican nominee.
So I think that's probably what they're saying.
There's a couple problems with that logic.
Problem number one is that Barack Obama did lose a significant number of electoral votes from 2008 to 2012.
Donald Trump can't afford to lose anything.
He won three states combined by 80,000 votes.
If he loses Pennsylvania and Wisconsin and Michigan, he is not the president anymore.
And right now, those are bad states.
Republicans on Tuesday night.
Yeah, exactly.
And all in all those states, what was the common factor?
Suburban, suburban nonparticipation.
And not only that, the people, this is where I really think it's a mistake to buy into
the myth of Obama and the myth of Trump that I was talking talking about earlier the myth of trump suggests that he has some sort
of mystical connection with voters in pennsylvania wisconsin and michigan and that he will somehow
conjure magic out of thin air look at the statistics the percentage of the vote that he
won in pennsylvania was basically the same percentage of those actually lower than the
percentage of the vote vote that george w bush won in Pennsylvania in 2004. George W. Bush lost the state.
The percentage of the vote that he won in Michigan in 2016 was basically the same as
the percentage of the vote that George W. Bush won in 2004 in Michigan.
Bush lost the state.
The percentage of the vote that he won in Wisconsin was basically the same as the percentage
of the vote that Mitt Romney won in Wisconsin, and Romney lost the state, which is to suggest that there
is no mass swell of Trump voters who have suddenly changed the face of these states.
What happened is that Hillary Clinton was the world's worst candidate and everybody
thought she was going to win.
Right.
Which is conventional wisdom.
And it's true.
Yeah.
Let me let me exactly.
Let me let me just draw a couple ask you about those – about your general – what you just said, right?
Because you're in sort of conservative media. You're very, very popular.
Ricochet is – we do our part here on our podcast and our site.
But there is this feeling among many true believers that if you're out there criticizing Trump, you're a problem.
And you and I have a lot of friends in common.
We have a lot of conservative friends in common.
We have a lot of longtime conservative friends in common who are best-selling authors who get nothing but you-know-what from people when they criticize Trump.
Are we in trouble?
Are we trying to live in a bubble here? Are we all in danger of becoming
Sean Hannity sort of standing up there on the day as getting the embrace, as Trump put it,
on Wednesday morning? I mean, I think the strength of what's going on, and that is actually a
mistake, is we're critical of Trump. Our doings are not from the perspective of we want to see
Trump lose, we want to see Democrats elevate.
We're not talking about Jennifer Rubin and Max Boot here.
We're talking about people who would like to see Trump reelected on the basis of his
policy, if not his character.
And he's going to need to actually do some stuff.
I mean, the first time I met Vice President Pence, he was very funny.
His kids listened to my show.
And so they suggested I come.
He had no clue who I was.
And so we sat down and we started talking. And he me some questions and he said, do you have any questions
for me? And I legitimately had no idea why I was actually there. So I, I just turned to him and I
said, well, you know, between 2000 and 2004, George W. Bush had to pick up 11 million votes in order
to win reelection. Do you have any plans to do any of that? And it, and that, that he was kind of
struck by it because that's the question nobody's asking.
We're acting as though this is a durable coalition, and we're acting as though Trump did win a sweeping victory.
I mean, looking facts in the face does not mean you're anti-Trump.
He lost the popular vote by 2.5 million.
It is the greatest statistical fluke in the history of the American republic that he's president of the United States.
It's great for a lot of reasons, but to bury our heads in the sand and
basically say, oh, well, you know, if push comes to shove, then he's just going to wave his magic
wand and he'll be president again. Listen, Democrats could still blow it, right? This
is the other theme of 2018. The Democrats are finding ways to blow crucial races. Like if they
had not run Andrew Gillum in Florida, then a Democrat is the governor right now, right? If
they had not run Beto as a full-on progressive in texas and had instead
run somebody slightly more moderate maybe ted cruz isn't the senator anymore but the democrats
could make the mistake of nominating an intersectional candidate but let's say that
they're not complete morons and they nominate somebody like joe biden right who we all laugh
at and knows adults and and joe biden is terrible for us strong yeah i think that if joe biden is a candidate in 2020 there's a real possibility that
it's that it it's just a swamping that it gets really ugly really quickly especially because
trump's specialty is taking anybody down and dragging them through the mud well i mean biden
like trump is sort of made of mud like you drag him through the mud it just doesn't show up it's
black socks they never get dirty right the longer you wear them, the blacker they get. This is Joe Biden.
This is Donald Trump. And that race, I don't know what kind of damage Trump thinks he could do to
somebody like Joe Biden that hasn't already been done by Biden's stupidity itself.
Rob's right. I mean, in some circles these days, if you criticize Trump, you're viewed as somebody
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Well, Ben, what you said about Trump should shut up, I get that.
And a lot of us who were Trump skeptics from the beginning, and still are to some extent,
are annoyed by the tweeting, or roll our eyes at the tweeting, or just tune out the tweeting.
It's just the tweeting, the tweeting, the tweeting.
Okay, got it. Maybe what we mean, are just, tune out the tweeting, it's just the tweeting, the tweeting, the tweeting. Got it.
Maybe what we mean by shut up is to adjust the tone.
But the problem, I think, is twofold.
One, there's already so much stuff that he said that he could go silent,
radio silent for two years and it wouldn't matter.
The earthquake under the ocean is going to continue to generate tsunamis for the next two years.
They can go back to the stuff that he said before the election.
They can go back to stuff he said last week.
There's such a body of things from which they can choose to nail him
that going silent wouldn't do anything.
And two, if he does go silent, then the people who are his big fans
and the people who have any sort of grudging admiration
toward the way he treats the media
would be denied the performance they had the day after the election
when he took on the press.
A lot of people love that about him,
and a lot of his support is generated and continually renewed
by things like that i mean and even me
who would like a civil discourse
is somewhat gratified on an elemental level to say at least somebody is
talking back to these people without the usual posture of curled in a ball
whimpering please love me republican
so i think is it too late to
shift the tone? I mean, I think, I think it is. Well, I, you know, I think that there's a lot
of truth to that, but I do think that there's a difference between shifting the tone, which I
don't think he's going to be able to shift and using it in a strategic manner. I think the
problem for Trump is that, as I've said, literally for three years now, president Trump is a hammer
in search of a nail and sometimes he gets a nail and it's super satisfying.
And sometimes he hits a baby and it's a lot less satisfying.
And the problem is that if he could somehow only hit nails or hit a higher percentage of nails,
I'm not saying he has to bat 1,000, but if he could bat 300, you know, like that, that would be good.
The fewer errors that he makes and the more that he directs the left toward, you know, sort of it's, it's stroking of itself,
which is what he's done with the media. His hits on the media are fine.
I mean, if he, if he, like, for example,
could he just go after Jim Acosta without calling him an enemy of the people?
Like that would probably be a good thing.
Yeah.
Like I don't care. But, um, and, and, and that's,
that's the problem is that Trump has a unique capacity to hit,
but he uses that, that hit again, literally anyone who is just in his glide path at any given point.
And that has ramifications.
As far as if he shuts up for two years, people will go back two years.
People don't even remember what happened three weeks ago.
Brett Kavanaugh was 9,000 years ago.
And we have all aged.
It's like we are up in the spaceship and President Trump is down on
that water planet in Interstellar. And it's been like a day down there, but it's been seven years
for the rest of us who are up here. He's going to come back up here. We're all going to be near
death. And it really feels like that. I mean, every day is nine news cycles. So if he were
to actually deprive the Democrats and the media of oxygen, I think that he'd be much better off.
But yet there are long-term shifting things in the firmament above us.
And one that I've noticed in the last three or four weeks, longer than that,
is that even though the left loves to say that Donald Trump is an authoritarian who has no respect for the Constitution,
they demonstrate at almost every turn their desire to turn the Constitution into something completely different
because they don't like what it does.
Now we've been hearing about the popular House vote and a ridiculous concept that says that they get more votes nationwide for the House aggregate,
that somehow they should have an equal number of seats.
They want to pack the Supreme Court.
They hate the Electoral College. All of these things which they don't like because they interfere with the ability of some populations in the major urban centers from wreaking their will on every single county in America. Now, if they'd lost big, you would have heard a lot more about this. Since they won a little, I think you're going to continue to hear about this.
How much traction on the left in the Democrat Party do they have for these ideas of undoing the constitutional
obstructions to majority rule and direct democracy? You know, I think that they still hope that
they're going to be able to use those tools to, you know, do whatever they want to do. So I don't
think, I think at the point where hopelessness completely sets in, then you're going to hear a
lot more of that. Like, for example, if they'd not won back the House, I think it would be 10
times louder today. If Trump wins re-election and Republicans retain the House, retain the Senate or win back the House in 2020, you'll hear a lot more of this.
It is fascinating to watch all the same people who said Donald Trump will never accept the results of an election.
He'll start insurrections, basically urging people to do exactly that.
And that obviously is incredibly dangerous. I don't think that it's going to reach fever pitch
simply because I don't think that, you know, like they do run the House now. The Senate is going to
be the target of their ire for the foreseeable future simply because it disproportionately
weighs rural votes, obviously. But yeah, a lot really does depend on 2020. I mean,
if Trump doesn't win reelection,
then the left will have no reason to blow the gasket.
If,
if,
if he does win reelection,
then they will lose their minds.
And even before that, I think that the real hot point is going to come.
If,
you know,
God forbid something happens to Ruth Bader Ginsburg.
I don't say God forbid,
because I,
I want her on the court.
God forbid,
because you never pray for somebody,
something bad happened to somebody.
She ain't leaving,
uh,
except the first.
So,
you know,
I'd like for her to remain healthy because she's an American. But if Ruth Bader Ginsburg were to
be replaced by Donald Trump, then I would not be surprised to see some of the, some of these
large public gatherings turn a lot more violent than we've seen before.
Yeah. I mean, I sort of agree with you. So my question, speaking of violent gatherings,
you go to college campuses a lot.
You're really popular.
You're especially popular.
I mean everybody – every right-of-center kid I know, and I say kid advisedly, under 30, knows who you are and they name you as somebody who they read regularly or follow regularly or listen to regularly in your podcast.
Which to those of us who are not that
age we think of that this is like this is crazy all we hear about is that people under 30 they're
all liberal they're all very progressive uh there's a demographic time bomb about to go off
for conservatives republicans in general um you're you're you're on a campus you go to campuses all
the time is that true i mean how how bleak is the not the next two years or four years?
How bleak is the next 10 years or 15 years for conservatives in general?
I don't think it's quite as bleak as folks are making it out to be.
Now, the fact is that the younger population is not moving into the moderate to conservative category as they get older, the way that other generations have.
Just statistically speaking, I think a lot of that has to do with media coverage, but I think a lot of it is
exacerbated right now by the idea of toxicity inside the Republican Party. One of the reasons
that I have a pretty solid base among young people, and not just conservatives, but there
are a lot of people on the left who listen, is because I spend some time trying to explicate
what I think is dishonest on both sides of the aisle. And if the Republican party were doing
more of that, I think it would, it would redound their benefit. It's very difficult to do that in
an environment where the left uses any sort of remorse or self-policing as a sign of weakness.
And so I certainly understand why politicians don't do it. I understand why older conservatives
don't do it either. I wrote a long cover piece for the weekly standard specifically about young conservatives
and the differences between young conservatives and old conservatives. I think that what has
happened is that young people are still, for young people, politics is not really about policy. It's
about how other people think of you. So what you think of Trump is not really about what you think
of Trump. It's about what other people think of you for what you think of Trump. So if you are somebody who wears a MAGA hat on campus, people are going to have a certain perception of you. So what you think of Trump is not really about what you think of Trump. It's about what other people think of you for what you think of Trump. So if you are somebody
who wears a MAGA hat on campus, people are going to have a certain perception of you. If you don't
wear a MAGA hat on campus, people are going to have a different perception. If you're conservative,
but you don't love Trump, that's a different perception yet. And so people are making up
their minds what they want to be to their group of friends in an environment where Donald Trump
is seen as this Hitlerian figure. And to say that you support president Trump is to be likened to one of his Brown shirts. So that has
created a real stigma for a lot of Republicans. And it's also created a problem from older
Republicans in the sense that young Republicans hear all their friends talking all this stuff
about Trump and maybe 85% of it is nonsense or exaggerated, but 15% of it is not, right? 15% of the stuff
that they say about Trump is kind of true. And so when older Republicans in sort of reactionary
fashion go, you know what, this is all BS, who even cares what he does, who even cares about
his character? Like, come on, this is politics, this is the nature of things. That's a cynical
older people view. It's not the view that people under 30 have, who are still trying to define for
themselves what is good, what is bad, and how they want to be perceived. Ben, last question, because frankly, I'm just
sick and tired of trying to draw you out. It's just like pulling teeth, man. And it's this,
you mentioned before Joe Biden going up against Trump, and that's a matchup that
would be interesting. But a recent survey put forth Warren, Biden, Hillary, a couple other
names, and the most popular response was none of the above because people didn't want the old guard.
And I'm thinking if the Democrats are smart, and I know we can argue that point, if they're canny, maybe Amy Klobuchar from my own state of Minnesota where I sit right here is tailor-made to appeal to everybody from the suburban women to the people who want a different tone to the it's time for, I mean, that would seem to me to be a matchup that would much better redound, at least optically
and psychologically and the rest of it to the Democrats favor than a running uncle Joe
as the old tired face of the party again.
I think that's exactly right.
I mean, Klobuchar wildly overperformed how she should have performed in her senatorial
election.
She is the only Democrat who acquitted herself even remotely decently in the Kavanaugh hearings. She's got this sort of Midwestern
progressive feel to her, but she is not completely out of touch in kind of a social justice warrior
way. Yeah, she's a dangerous candidate. Now, will Democrats have the brains to nominate somebody
like her? I have a hard time believing they would simply because the intersectional Olympics do not
rank highly white women at this point. So Joe Biden still has name recognition. Klobuchar has
basically none. And if you're in the way that Democrats seem to think these days, like, well,
if I have a choice between Kamala Harris, who fulfills a bunch of intersectional boxes,
and Amy Klobuchar, who fulfills fewer intersectional boxes and is not from California,
then, you know, let's pick somebody
like Kamala Harris. But I agree. I mean, I think that of the candidates that we've talked about,
Klobuchar is the most dangerous because she would feel on the stage like an adult in the room,
even if she's wrong about a lot of stuff. And Hillary felt like the nagging school
marm in the room, which is not quite the same thing. She's also the daughter of a newspaper
columnist for the newspaper that I'm a columnist
for, so I practically expect an
invitation of the White House. The insider.
You're an insider. Well, it's those cocktail
parties. Damn it. I'm tired
of just having to do with the cruises. I want
those cocktail parties.
Ben Shapiro, thanks so much for coming on the podcast today.
It's been a great joy, and we hope to have you again
as your schedule permits.
I appreciate it.
Thanks for having me, guys.
Thanks, Ben.
Thanks, Ben.
So just to say, he's a supernova in conservative media, and I remember when he wrote a book, and he's just been sort of dogging about it and been really, really careful and very thoughtful, and it's kind of a cool thing to see.
I don't think we've seen anything like this in a long time.
Yeah, well, if you listen to what they're saying about him, he's generally a white suprem of a cool thing to see. I don't think, um, I don't think we've seen anything like this in a long time. Yeah.
Well, if you listen to what they're saying about him, he's generally a white supremacist
who pals around with his white darling, George Peterson.
I mean, he's the worst of the worst.
I mean, it just shows you, you can be smart and fairly conventional and, and, and, and
you're still going to be the worst of the worst because you don't subscribe to the religion,
the religion that they have.
Um, so that was fun.
But can you imagine how exhausting it must be to converse at that rate for the entirety
of your day?
But you know what?
Here's the problem that even a Ben Shapiro has.
He's everywhere.
He's a good talker.
He's a thinker.
And then when he goes to sleep at night, he's got to be the most uncomfortable person because,
of course, there's no such thing as a good night's sleep.
You can't actually have one.
Yeah, I agree with you, Rob.
So what are you watching on television these days?
I'm watching a lot of cable.
You know what you don't see on cable, though?
What's on what? You don't see an awful lot of – well, I do watch cable, and I always enjoy the hotel commercials, for example, because they always show people at the end of the day smiling, a glass of white wine,
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have got to put up with an awful lot of bad hotels.
And you're never going to find in one of those hotels
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And I've got to think that somebody as smart as Ben
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We actually are going to talk about what Rob's watching.
And the reason you want to know is that Rob is a canny insider of the industry.
So his choices are much more informed and aesthetically informed. No, not at all.
I don't have cable.
I'm in New York and I don't have cable.
We're going to get to that.
We want people to wait for that.
Peter.
Peter.
Yes.
I'm going to shake things up.
I'm going to say to to you give us a member pitch
because we're just everything's everything's just in flux today right usually is where rob
does a member pitch what if peter edited to the member pitch join ricochet join join ricochet
because it gives you access to fascinating if i i have never a post, a thread. I've read a few posts. Rob puts
up a post. I might not learn anything from it because I knew Rob already felt that way.
But by the time you get to the bottom of a thread, even a short thread,
you are absolutely guaranteed to have come across a viewpoint you weren't aware existed,
to have learned a fact. It is an education. And by joining, you are supporting something that's
important to the conservative movement. We were talking a moment ago about the need to flesh out
an agenda. Ricochet is one of the places that that is going to happen. And we need your money. We
don't ask for a lot, but we need your money because there are costs involved. We're not
trying to get rich. We want to make it self-sustaining. So join Ricochet
because you'd be doing something you'd enjoy
yourself and because you'd be
doing something, a little something
that's good for the country.
Here's something else, too.
Wait a minute. Aren't you going to grade that by comparison
with Rob's usual pitch? I'd give it an A.
I would give it an A and I was going to get around to that
at the end. Oh, sorry, sorry.
Instead, Mr. Needy. I want to sorry. Teacher, I want to know my grade.
I want to know my grade.
So rude.
Interrupting is so rude.
Complete and instant gratification.
That was A-plus, Peter.
That was very good.
And I would mention that it's when you get to the member feed that you realize the truth, strength, and depth of Ricochet.
That actually is true.
Somebody mentioned in their member feed the other day that the main feed was what they go to when they've absolutely run out of everything else on the member feed.
And I get that.
Yeah, it's a it's a it's a wonderful community.
And it's not all politics, for heaven's sakes.
If you can imagine some grim site where everybody is banging on the anvil of the same politic point every day.
No, it's everything.
Music, art, literature, life, love.
It's it's a gorgeous place.
It's a wonderful place.
And help keep it with us for the 2020 election beyond by going to Ricochet and signing up.
It's cheap.
There are tiers.
It's cheap.
So we're going to conclude then after all this heavy-duty politics with some light popular culture entertainment of what you're watching.
Peter, you have some time to think about your answer.
Rob, what are you watching that you would advise others to do?
I'm watching some stuff, but I'll tell you what I'm really watching, what I was really enjoying watching the past day has been this action-adventure.
It's a little violent, and it's a violent action-adventure show called Trump Press Conference where there's a hand-to-hand
combat where Jim Acosta
karate chops the intern
and the intern...
There are now so many memes
now on Twitter.
Someone actually recut one where he
pushes her hand down and her arm
is dismembered from her shoulder
and there's sort of like this
splash of CGI
blood everywhere.
That's just my funny
little joke. I am still
desperately trying to get
Deutschland 86.
I watched Deutschland 83,
which I think I mentioned on the podcast,
and it's fantastic.
Deutschland 86 is the new
one. It's the first German language TV show ever in the United States on the Sundance Channel, which is a series of complicated and baffling things I have to sign up for and re-sign up for to get on my TV here in New York.
And it's about the Cold War.
And it's about the – well, 86 is really about the near end of the Cold War in East Germany.
And it's really fascinating and very – moments of great, great humor and also kind of heartbreaking memories because you remember just how – two things.
One, you remember just how horrible the world was when the Soviet Union was the evil empire and East Germany was was sort of monitoring controlling the thoughts and the
actions of its citizens um and then how incredibly optimistic and joyful the world was afterwards
when we realized that actually uh the the world can change for the better it can change for the
better because people stand up for what is right because people show resolution and they show leadership i'm thinking predominantly about ronald reagan
but also margaret thatcher um and helmet cole exactly right uh in the face of enormous enormous
protests i mean the great thing about deutschland 83 is they actually show – it's really part of that era, and they show it, the near-daily organizers and the supporters and the intellectuals behind that movement were bought and paid for by East Germany.
Some of them were actual spies for East Germany, but also what's left unsaid.
But if you're alive in 2018, you know what happened.
You know how the story ends.
The story ends that the missiles go in and the Soviet Union collapses and East Germans are free.
So we know the ending of the story while we're watching it, and it's something great, great uplifting about it.
Someone is probably typing this in the comments, but I believe that the MX was not put in Europe.
The MX was a domestically based system.
I think it was.
What's the one that was the MX MX was the one that was around?
The Pershings.
You're correct about the Pershing.
Didn't they put the ones
that move around in Germany?
No, no, no.
That was for the interior
of this country,
up in James Land,
North Dakota.
There's really big train systems
for them to go around.
Yes, yes, yes.
That's where you pack
your peacekeepers.
Actually,
you never built that.
The Congress did anyway.
Okay.
Yeah.
Well, I finished up
watching The Bodyguard,
which is a British show, essentially. It it's like 24 except that people periodically pause to eat sleep and
excrete it's pretty good and it's twisty and it's smart and i recommend it uh it's it's uh it's a
political thriller it's a terrorism thriller it's an interesting show and then i started watching
the second season of making a murderer a documentary the original which proves that if you
put enough mournful fiddle music behind a story, people would become sympathetic to the person who actually got convicted.
And then finally, Homecoming, which we should all hope for this, is based on a podcast, a Gimlet Media podcast, which was pretty interesting and fun to listen to.
And as a television show, I'm not sure it quite does it. What makes it interesting is that for some reason, they change aspect ratios to the difference between then and now.
Then is always widescreen.
Now is small, but it's not a – Rob, tell me what you think of this if you've seen it.
It's not a 4-3 aspect ratio.
It's like a 4-4 aspect ratio.
I've never seen it.
I've never seen it.
A perfect square?
A square aspect ratio. Well, I think it's I've never seen it. A perfect square? A square aspect ratio.
Well, I think it's intended to say that the narrower aspect ratio implies a modern era in which we're moving to vertical video, which is the sin and horror of our day.
But I'll watch it.
It has some favorite actors in mind.
But what intrigued me was that every single aspect of the soundtrack has been lifted from another movie.
So it takes advantage of all these great audio cues and puts them in, doesn't credit them at the end of the show.
I'm watching it the other day and I thought, where do I know that from?
I love that piece of music.
It's been decades since – and it came to me.
It was from Body Double.
It's a setting for a porn movie and the fantasy sequence in Body Double.
So at least I'm having a reacquaintance with all these great old soundtracks, but the show itself.
I just want to specify for people who are listening that Body Double is a Brian De Palma movie, right?
Yes, it is.
But it also has that Hitchcock
vertigo thing where the camera goes
counterclockwise around the people.
I just want to make clear that the way you said it,
you sounded like you were talking about a porn movie
you saw called Body Double.
This music has haunted you for years.
I just want to make sure.
In the movie, they're shooting one, so
there you go.
Actually, come to think of it, the music
they used for the ridiculously over-the- top postures form right with melanie douglas
um uh was melanie griffin it's not a bad movie it was um it was frankie goes to hollywood relax
all things and craig watson was right as a man whose psychological trick is claustrophobic
to psychological uh debilitation is claustrophobia, not like Jimmy Stewart's Vertigo and Vertigo.
It lifts everything for God's sake.
Yeah.
Peter, what are you watching?
Well, I have a story of domestic unhappiness because, as you know, I do nothing but take my cues from the two of you, which means that my wife and I made it through about the first three episodes of Ozark.
And then our youngest had a big test to prepare for.
And my wife stayed up with her.
And then she went,
the little,
our daughter went to,
and my wife stayed up until two in the morning,
watching six hours of Ozark.
She finished the whole first season.
Then we got,
and that was,
I let it go.
I just let it go because I can't watch this stuff without my wife.
It's no fun.
Then body.
She did it to me. And we got through the first two episodes of Bodyguard and she stayed up and watched the following four.
So I am just going to keep – what is it called?
Deutschland 83.
What is it called, Rob?
Deutschland 83.
Deutschland 83.
By the way, I was in a motorcade with George H.W. Bush in Germany in 1983 that was stoned.
I had a brick come through the window of my car.
It's true.
It was really rough in 1983, but I'm not even going to tell my wife about it.
I'm just going to watch it on my own.
So there.
Thank you, boys.
There you have it.
The incredible dissolution of the Robinson marriage began here at Boss Guest 474.
Massive, aggressive TV watching.
I would like to say, speaking of television,
I didn't do this before and I should do this.
I have just agreed as of
two hours ago because I think somebody
important canceled. I'm going to be on Gutfeld
this weekend. So if you're watching Fox
News and you watch Gutfeld, I'll be there.
Fantastic.
Can I just say one more thing? I think we did
this once. I don't know if it worked.
The first say one more thing i think we did this once i don't know if it worked um the first uh the first person to join uh at the uh not the podcast level just say at the thatcher level
okay um the first person to join at the thatcher level, I will talk.
I'll figure out. I will say a word.
I will use a code word
to welcome you to Ricochet
in my remarks.
Didn't I do that once? Yeah, I think I did it once.
On Gutfeld's show tonight?
On Gutfeld's show, yeah. So you'll be called out
from Gutfeld's show. Wow, cross-platform
meta-transformation. This is fantastic.
We would also like to tell people that even if they don't get the secret little
nod from Rob and the television show,
and I know we're all going to be watching for that quivering eyebrow or
something or whatever little secret message is that you can make your life
better on a lasting level by going to casper.com,
quip.com and Warby Parker taking advantage of all the special offers with the coupon code Ricochet.
And you'll see better.
You'll sleep better.
Your teeth will sparkle.
Join Ricochet, of course, so you can bring that wonderful, marvelous, improved self
into the member feed and entertain everybody and be entertained and instructed.
And that's about all I have.
Whoa, whoa, whoa.
James, may I come in?
May I come in briefly?
I forgot to say leave a review at iTunes, whatever was I thinking. I almost trashed the whole enterprise. Yes, Peter, what would you like to say?
No, no, because Rob's being on Greg Gutfeld's show reminds me of this. On February, I beg your pardon, on November 27th, that is this very month in about two weeks, just after Thanksgiving, Fox is launching an entirely new entity called Fox Nation, a streaming service.
Like Netflix, but Fox.
Fox Nation.
And Fox Nation is going to make Uncommon Knowledge available on Fox Nation.
Oh, fantastic.
So you can stream.
You can stream.
We'll be right there.
They actually had me pose for promo pictures.
So Rob isn't the only one who goes to the Fox News makeup room.
Fantastic.
Well, then I've got to plug the fact that on Sunday I'm going to be hosting the Minnesota Youth Symphonies at Orchestra Hall in downtown Minneapolis.
Are you making that up or is that true?
No, it's true.
Wonderful.
I think this is my 30th season of being the emcee for their three concerts of the year.
It's really quite something.
And they're great kids.
And the guy who's the head of the year. It's really quite something. And they're great kids. And the trumpet player,
the guy who's the head of the organization, is one
of us. And you too
can be one of us if you go to Ricochet, right?
Right. Rob, Peter, it's been
a great joy, and
we'll see you next week.
Next week, fellas.
In the two of us need look no more
We both found what we were looking for
With a friend to call my own
I'll never be alone.
And you, my friend, will see you've got a friend in me.
You've got a friend in me.
Ben, you're always running here and there You feel you're not wanted anywhere
If you ever look behind
And don't like what you find
There's something you should know
You've got a place to go
You've got a place to go
I used to say
I and me
Now it's us
Now it's we. Now it's we.
I used to say I am me.
Now it's us.
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