The Ringer NBA Show - Deciphering the NBA’s New Deadline-Disrupted World Order | Group Chat
Episode Date: February 24, 2025Justin, Rob, and Wos kick off the week by looking to answer five big questions heading into the NBA season’s stretch run: What’s the Lakers’ ceiling this season? (2:44) Can Jimmy Butler’s f...ace-melting dark arts work in the Western Conference? (20:41) Are we sure the Knicks are the third-best team in the East? (35:40) With Wemby now ineligible, who are the five first-team All-NBA guys? (45:16) Who has it worse from this point on: Phoenix or Philly? (1:02:44) The Ringer is committed to responsible gaming. Please visit www.rg-help.com to learn more about the resources and helplines available. Hosts: Justin Verrier, Rob Mahoney, Wosny Lambre Producer: Ben Cruz Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
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Hello and welcome to group chat.
I am Justin Varyer.
And joining me, Rob Mahoney, Big Waz, gentlemen,
we have officially hit the stretch run
in the 2024-25 season,
49 days left on the NBA season,
about seven weeks left.
Rob, how are you feeling?
How are your legs?
How is your wind?
My wind is consistently awful.
But I think stretch run might be generous, Justin.
You know, we got some teams that are really fighting for something.
I think this weekend and the slate was indicative of where we are,
which is just some absolute wallopings, some separation of the,
is it the wheat from the chaff?
Is that the expression?
I don't know which one is the wheat and which one is the chaff.
Whichever one is the better side of things.
We're starting to see, you know, some teams like the Celtics, for example,
even further distinguish themselves from the field.
We're starting to see some of the actual contenders and actual challengers in the West
finally making a name for themselves,
finally making a play in the standings.
It's an exciting time,
but there's also, I think,
going to be a lot of crummy March basketball
ahead of us.
So I cannot say I'm looking forward to that.
Well, As how are you doing?
You're on the East Coast.
What's the buzz there?
Are people talking about the Miami Heat
potentially getting out of the play in?
No, just,
although I'm in Georgia,
I'm still surrounded by Knicks fans,
there is panic starting to creep in
about the piss poor New York
Nick's defense. I think people are starting to see the writing on the wall about the problems of this
team. Well, we're going to hit that today because we are going to go through, I think, five questions
we have about the new world order that we have been given gratefully by the gods at the trade
deadline. Unlike previous seasons, it just feels like the NBA just shook the snow globe and there's
just so much to dig in here, even though there are only, as we mentioned, probably less than two months
left on the calendar.
I think we've got to start in Los Angeles,
where Luca Donchich looks pretty fucking good.
I knew that he was back when early in the game,
he started barking at a referee.
I was like, uh-oh, we might be on to something there.
And then he went off the rest of the game.
I was like the fan after Luca hit the three looked at him
and just gave him the thumbs up.
That was basically me that entire game.
Rob, what did you see in that game against the Denver Nuggets this weekend?
The Luca stuff is great.
That's wonderful.
I think that's kind of business as usual
and more or less what we expect from Luca Donchich,
especially as he rounds back into form.
I find myself even more impressed with the Lakers defense,
which I've been in kind of wait and see mode
as they've been quietly,
one of the better defensive teams for the last couple months.
But I wanted to see them prove it in games that mattered.
I wanted to see, especially post-A-D,
how they would look and what their kind of regular form would be.
And this was a pretty reassuring statement from the Lakers
that when they put their...
their minds to it, when they have the dedicated game plan, when they give a shit at the highest
possible levels, and they've been doing that for the last couple months, they can knock out
a team that we're taking pretty seriously in the Denver Nuggets. I come away very impressed
with what the Lakers have been able to accomplish. Yeah, so I watched the Charlotte game the other
night where they were up, like kind of controlling that game, like 13 points up, and then they kind
of just fell asleep at the wheel and found themselves in a street fight and kind of couldn't be
woken up in time to save the results.
And I think the main problem of that game, if you watched it, was just like Luca, you know,
trying to be deferential, which often happens when like these superstars come together.
Nobody wants to be the person sort of taking the reins and be like, oh, I'm taking,
this is going to be my operation.
Like people are just like kind of overpassing, being overly deferential.
And there was a lot of that in the Charlotte game.
And I think what was made me nervous about the Charlotte game was that it felt like Luca was in
quicksand.
Like he could not get by a single person, and he took so many jumps.
Like, he didn't take any shots in the paint.
And Lucas is a guy that gets to the basket.
Like, if you guard him 101, a lot of times, he's just going to put you on his back and get to the rack.
He did none of that against Charlotte.
And I'm like, hmm, maybe the cab is still an issue.
And then in Denver, like, the adjustment was just basically, like, let Luca control your offense.
He's a walking top five offense.
He's been so for five freaking years.
And surprise, surprise, the Lakers look much better for it.
And yeah, I think there is something to the defense and the extra spring
and the step of one LeBron James.
It seems like this guy is basically since the Luca trade,
even before Luca got onto the court, since they've traded for Luca,
go look at LeBron's numbers.
This guy has been playing differently.
And he's playing all the time.
Yes, exactly.
He's not missing any games either.
Yeah.
Unless you got a All-Star game.
Yeah, that's right.
I thought it was kind of a bit or some sort of personal challenge he was giving to himself
in the midst of the season that probably was going to end up in a finals bid.
But LeBron is engaged and looks revitalized in a way that, like,
he wasn't even in the previous two seasons.
The Lakers up until about a month ago were an offense-only team.
And it was basically Anthony Davis having to swat away whatever incoming drivers like he was Godzilla
with all the planes all around him.
Because they were just everything kind of just zooming around him.
There was no one else to stop anybody.
But they just didn't have the extra juice, the extra kick,
in order to knock out teams with that offense.
Now the Lakers seem like, we'll talk about the defense, we should.
But it seems like they have an identity.
Their identity is amplified because now they have Lucid Dantzic in the mix there.
So when they want to just like ramp up the offense,
they have that extra kick to the point where they're,
playing now one of the best creators in NBA basketball pretty much an entire game because
when LeBron since then it's Luke and the guys and when LeBron is out there, he's orchestrating
guys. So like the rest of the team where I might otherwise have issues with some of the
spots that they have, Rory for instance, a guy that we've kind of dinged in the past here,
doesn't look as bad when LeBron is the one giving him the opportunities to make the best of his talents.
Yeah, I mean, to have that kind of collective playmaking, to have the Luca LeBron dynamic, not just
in terms of problem solving, but LeBron as a finisher for Luca Donchich has turned out to be a
pretty potent combination. Guess what? But also, like, low key, the Dorian Finney Smith trade
is starting to pay off in a huge way, right? Like, like trading some of the guards for some
range of your forwards, getting Jared Vanderbilt back, like all of these elements kind of
snapping into place while incorporating Luca Donchich is I think why the Lakers are starting to
look dramatically different. Clearly, there's still some things to shake out and to work out in the
process. Like, you don't just drop games against the Utah Jazz and not worry about it in some way.
So, as an every night performer, I'm not quite sure where they are right this second, and I'm
not sure they need to be a finished product right now. But as far as what their ceiling could be,
we're starting to see some pretty good evidence that this is a really competitive team in the West,
particularly as you look around the conference and think, oh, that's a good team, but has some flaws,
that's another good team, but has this kind of issue that they're dealing with, that's another
good team, but they have these injuries. There is kind of a why not the late.
Lakers thing happening. As far as a challenger at O'KC, I'm not saying they're going to beat the thunder,
but I think they could end up making a little run here.
Sorry, just one last thing about the Lakers and what they're sort of showing at this point in the
season. I was, you know, one of the foremost Darvindham defenders in the media. I thought
he got a bit of an unfair shake. And then, you know, early results in terms of the season,
especially in December, where the Lakers defense completely cratered.
And I was like, guys, this is what Darvin Ham was kind of like dealing with the entire season.
I got to say the fact that JJ Redick has been able to turn this around,
like the team just is responding to him in a way that they just did into Darwin Ham.
And I think he deserves some credit for that, much to Justin Various sugar.
Yeah.
Can we get a JV check-in on the JJ Reddick experience?
Where are you right now?
I think as you guys will recall, I mean, you could look up the viral videos that were going around from earlier this season.
I specifically wasn't necessarily critiquing JJ as a coach, but perhaps as a personality.
If anything, that sort of impulse that I don't like about him as a media member is actually what's made him a pretty good coach,
which is that he's just like meticulously detailed to the point where he was up here in Portland in the pregame press conference.
And you could see the other beat writers practically having to add caveat on top of caveat on top of sample size,
because they're just so worried because
JJ's going to come over the top
and be like, well, what about this
and like the sample size of this?
And like, you didn't use your banshees correctly
on the ghost screen and all those other stuff.
It's a real masterclass up there.
Not the banshees.
You've got to use the banshees correctly.
You've got to use those banshees.
But I think that what you're identifying there was
is probably where I find myself on both sides of things.
On the one hand, they are more detail-oriented.
I do wonder if some of the guys
that they brought in over the past two years, I would say,
fit that mold. A guy like Rory, guy like
Dorian Finney Smith, they're just like
able to be deployed and coachable and
versatile enough that they fit the
vision of what a JJ Reddick team
probably wants to be. One thing I do
wonder though is that it seems
like they were particularly zeroed in
on this game and probably this next game
against Dallas. And it seems like they
had almost punted some of
the earlier games. Maybe they won the game in Portland
but that was a struggle. The Charlotte game looked like
a mess. In order to make this game
where they prove their point,
the defense against Yokic might have been some of the best defense we've seen against Yokish,
whether or not the Nuggets were fully engaged in that game, I don't know.
But it seems like what they are tailored for is a playoff setting.
And I do wonder in the regular season it's going to be more mixed.
If anything, I think they might be a better playoff team than a regular season team.
They might be, but they're still fourth place in the West as of our recording.
So it's not like they're in a bad spot.
Which we would not have predicted before the season started.
Absolutely not.
I did say that they were in the mix.
If we're going to keep looping back into my takes, they are in the mix.
You did say they were in the mix and they were firmly in the mix.
And if that was their approach, zeroing on Denver in particular,
and I mean, the Dallas game is going to have a life of its own.
But the Denver game is important because I think this Lakers team,
as they're trying to figure out how to navigate this season,
need to understand where their advantages are and what are the matchups that are actually going to work for them.
And this Denver one, despite the recent history of that series between the Lakers and the Nuggets,
is actually looking like something that they might be able to at least make competitive,
if not entirely pull off.
And if you were to kind of power rank what a second round series might look like for the Lakers,
I think in order of preference, Memphis is probably the best potential second round
opponent if the Lakers can get to the second round on the board.
The Nuggets, I think, might be second if you're looking at kind of a top four chalky result.
And then I think the Thunder are actually a pretty tough matchup for them as currently constructed.
We have this idea of the Lakers as, oh,
that's a team that can flex their guile and can out muscle the thunder.
But this is not the big imposing Lakers team that it used to be.
It is a small ball unit.
They don't really have a center.
They don't want to play Jackson Hayes that much, frankly.
And if you're a small ball team, I would not want to play OKC.
That's kind of a nightmare scenario.
So adding Luca, granted, who's kind of the boogeyman in Oklahoma City, that helps and
helps shift the nature of that matchup.
But overall, if they could get into an advantageous first-round matchup,
and then find themselves against Denver or Memphis in the second round,
you can now see a way through for the Lakers,
which is just not something I ever imagined us saying a month ago.
So what's the ceiling is the question I have down here?
It sounds like Rob is topping out at probably Western Conference Finals.
I tend to agree with them,
especially the way that the matchups are kind of planning out there.
Maybe they get to two or three,
but most likely they'll end up somewhere where they are right now.
They're currently four.
so you're looking at a Houston Rockets first round series and then probably the Thunder right after that.
Where would you slot them? Do you think that they can make it to the finals?
I think the West is so jumbled up under OKC.
Like if you beat OKC, why do you think you can't beat any other team in the West?
I guess it is matchup specific, right?
And so I think their ceiling is the finals because I don't think OKC is some unbeatable outfit.
Like, I've been saying that all year.
I'm not saying that I would necessarily pick the Lakers, particularly in a head-to-head series,
but, like, let's just say they avoided OKC because they were upset somewhere else in the bracket.
I don't see why they would go up against Denver or Memphis, like you guys mentioned.
She was like all of these other teams and think, oh, we can't do it.
Or somehow if Golden State, wink, wink, was able to get a little run going in the playoffs, right?
Like, I don't see why they should look at any of those teams as impossible to be.
Yeah, the one thing that I'm tracking over the next couple weeks here for the Lakers before they even get to the playoffs, I do wonder how the crunch time, just orchestration is really going to sort itself out there.
I don't think LeBron and Luke are going to have any problems.
They haven't had any problems, pretty much from the jump yard.
You already have LeBron doing the, oh, I'm the wide receiver for the quarterback sort of quote.
So it's all a cutesy love affair going on here.
But I have noticed that when LeBron wants to take over late, including in that game in Portland, he does want a Jack from three.
in the same way that Luca just by nature does.
The best advantage is Lucas stepping back
and hitting those moonball threes that nobody can guard.
It kind of puts LeBron in a situation
where he almost has to be more,
I wouldn't say a role player,
but it does have to do more physical dirty work.
Like he has to set the screens.
He has to be the one moving off the ball.
Stuff that he can do.
But I'm almost wondering at 40,
is it easier actually to do that stuff,
which is more physically taxing?
And that's what he's put so many millions
of dollars into his body for rather than like gearing like trying to be the one just driving the
ball the one like setting everything up because we saw in the playoffs against denver last year he only
had like so much of that like power bar in him and then as soon as it dropped it was over and so i
almost wonder like yes there's stuff to figure out but i almost like this version lebrun i almost wonder
if this like actually extends like he could extend his career beyond what even he might think he
can do at this point for sure i mean just think about all the times we've watched luke in the
playoff so even some regular season games where he's destroying the team's one-on-one matchups and
they start trapping this guy basically a little bit above half court now imagine this lebron
setting those screens and these teams are putting two on the ball and lebron is getting the ball
going downhill with the four-on-three advantage like this stuff come on like they're like i i i think the
crunch time stuff is going to be fine.
I mean, that's the way to think about it is you have a Luca Donchage offense, ultimately,
is I think what the Lakers will end up being.
And LeBron is the most overqualified version of Draymond Green we've ever seen.
A 40% three-point shooter, an incredible driver, still great at getting to the line.
Like, he is the best version of so many of the archetypes of players that Luca has already played with.
He's just not save maybe like a seven-foot lob fin.
But he can, you know, fight, fight for those lobs too and get pretty vertical as a thread in those
situations as well. So Luca knows how to play with someone like LeBron, even though he's barely
played with LeBron. If anything, it's just going to open up new possibilities for both of them.
And some of that's going to come down to their willingness to play slightly different kinds of
roles, try slightly different kinds of things, just kind of flesh out what already comes naturally
to both of them. Are you ready for the Rui Renaissance, Rob? You look pretty good, like guarding or at least
like throwing his body in front of Yokic.
Does he need a renaissance?
He's been fine.
He's been pretty good, I would say.
What is he the best version of him from?
Well, according to you, it was like being just an asshole dog shit player.
That was as a Washington wizard, which as we know, takes its toll on anybody.
But I didn't think he was a dog shit player, but I do think you struck on something important,
which is there are certain kinds of players who do need a level of J.J. Reddick style
direct instruction and can really benefit it from who do need a level of like LeBron James or
Luca Donchich on court traffic control. And Rui is one of these guys. Like you take some of that
lift off of him and help him get into his spots and help him understand his role even better
and streamline things in a way that can make him really effective. And all of a sudden he turns
into a big imposing forward who can do lots of different things for you. It's just a matter of putting
guys in the best possible positions. And there's no question that over his time as a Laker,
overall the franchise has done a very good job of that and I would say even more so potentially
now that there's another great playmaker involved.
Listen, I'm old enough to have lived through the Rui and the second half against Yokic
adjustment, alleged adjustment chatter.
I'm kind of done thinking of Rui as a defensive guy.
I've had all these hopes for years that somebody with his physical profile could become
a more imposing kind of defender.
average on that end, the Lakers got played.
Right. Yeah. I do think the defense will ultimately be the concern there because you saw
even in that Hornets game, like you could attack Luca pretty easily if there aren't other guys
you can throw into the mix. It's either going to be Luca and Reeves and basically every pick and
roll and every Crunchtime playoff series from here on out. And so like a guy like Rui, a guy like
Doreen Phinney Smith, like has to be your lockdown defender. I just don't know if those guys
are ever going to get to that point. Maybe not. But yeah, Waz mentioned the quicksand that
Luca was in in some of his early games.
I don't know what's thicker than Quicksand, but defensively against Charlotte, he was stuck in it.
Like, he just could not move on some of those pick and rolls.
And, you know, Austin Reeves has to feel pretty relieved in that way, Justin.
I would think he's probably going to get targeted a little bit less, even though he still will be a target.
You know, there's a pressure lifted off his shoulders in more ways than one.
I do appreciate how they've managed to work Austin Reeves into every photo of LeBron and Luca.
It's like, it's our new big three.
It's a big three.
Just one last thing that I have noted as I've been watching the Luca Lakers.
Sorry for the belated All-Star take.
I know everyone is full of those things.
But I almost wonder if the reason why All-Star no longer works is that we literally get
all-star pairings that we never thought we would in regular season basketball.
I remember a couple years ago being like, oh, LeBron playing off of Luca.
This is so incredible.
Like, I finally get to see Alan Iverson passing to Michael Jordan and whatever.
cockamamie fantasy situation we can cook up it's now reality we see these guys play together not only
just like once but like oftentimes multiple times where like james hardin has basically played with
every teammate he's had sure under like two to three times at this point but justin this is a
2019 ass take you know the super team era is is basically done right didn't didn't we already leave it
i didn't i didn't think we would get this this is like certainly this is wild uh unless
Unless we're still calling Phoenix a super team.
The error's done.
Well, the results speak for themselves.
You know, they're really doing it every night.
Honestly, I'm getting a lot of magic and Kareem vibes from the pairing.
And it's wild because it's almost like magic and old magic.
It's just remarkable that this exists and we get to watch this all the time.
So we'll be tracking that going forward.
Number two on the docket, the Golden State Warriors.
can Jimmy Butler's face-melting dark arts work in the Western Conference?
And, was, I see the floor to you because you dropped a bit of a spicy little meatball in our group chat the other day.
I think the dubs can go to the finals.
I truly do.
And it's just literally the singular greatness of their three best players, man, like Draymond.
And now Jimmy also quarterbacking the defense and telling guys where to go and dissecting offenses that way.
Uh, I, I, look, Golden State hasn't played the best competition.
I get that, but just watch what they're doing.
Um, I kind of thought that Jimmy would fit in perfectly because he worked in a similar
offense.
It's just that Miami was creating this perimeter havoc with Duncan Robinson and Tyler Hero.
Uh, now it's Steph Curry creating panic for defenses at the three point line while
Jimmy Butler just has a damn parade to the free throw line every single night.
I think they're scary.
I think teams out West should be worried about this team.
And, you know, they're fairly deep.
Like, it's not a super thin team.
They have, like, quality.
Like, look, these guys aren't world beaters.
We know that.
But they have quality role players around with Jimmy and Steph and Dremon are providing for the team.
And, yeah, they've just never had something like Jimmy Butler.
Like this guy lives at the free throw line.
He is a threat at the basket at all times.
And if teams are deploying resources to try to stop that,
that that means Steph is even more freer to roam on the perimeter.
They're becoming a pick your poison kind of thing.
And I think more importantly,
and everybody's noticed it.
There's just an extra pep in the step.
Drey Mons is more inclined to bully guys now.
Like, it's just like, they just feel different now that Jimmy has injected himself.
into this team. Well, if you think about just the psychology, if you've been on the Warriors
all season or even last season, you're going to these games if you're Steph knowing you have
to save some gas in the tank because every possession that's about to explode is going to come back
to you and you're going to have to figure out what to do with it. You're going to be the only thing
keeping this team afloat offensively. And there's going to be a stretch of the game where because
of you or Dremont or anyone else involved on the roster, there's just going to be like four straight
turnovers and it's going to feel like a disaster and the ground is going to come out from
underneath you.
That's just Golden State Warriors basketball.
The difference is now, Steph doesn't have to save himself in that way.
The lows don't feel so low.
The deficits don't feel insurmountable.
There's no situation where I would look at with Golden State in the middle of a game and
say they can't dig their way out of this.
And that is a dramatic shift from where this team has ultimately been.
I think you nailed it was.
I think the biggest thing is just the dynamic of a Jimmy Butler,
who is a classic spoiler,
one of the great spoilers in modern NBA history
in terms of his ability to punch up
and beat supposedly superior opponents
and oust them from playoff series,
now working alongside a teammate
who just takes all of the attention
and all of the oxygen.
Like, Steph is such a neon sign
that forces people to pay attention to him.
And now Jimmy Butler just gets to coast into 20 points.
In frankly, the easiest 20 he's probably ever had,
super efficient, despite the fact
that he can't shoot anything from three yet.
he's just going to be such a valuable,
like multifaceted tool for them
in a way that, yeah, clearly they've never had,
but also definitely makes them more formidable.
Listen, stars like to play with stars.
You guys know that better than anybody.
It adds, it lifts all boats,
whatever idiom play that they're all out there.
But more than that,
I think the Warriors have lacked
a pragmatic problem solver
practically since Kevin Durant left.
You even saw them flirting with adding a vertical spacing big like James Wiseman.
But it's also like you heard them like in the mix for other guys too,
just because they liked the idea of when things get tough,
they could just throw it down to the big old guys and he can get a bucket for him.
They flirted with like Brandon Ingram.
Like could Brandon Ingram be the pragmatic option?
No, he cannot.
But guess what, Jimmy Butler can't.
He's averaging 9.2 free throws in the six games that he's played for the Warrior.
that would be second behind just Janice in the NBA over the course of a full season.
He is the duct tape for whenever this team needs.
It's not just that just that Steph can't go get you a bucket.
It's just that when you need a solution,
just working his way to the free throw line is such an easy way to stop all of the bleeding,
to slow things down, to reset, and just like come up with the solution.
It's awesome to watch what he's been able to give to them thus far.
He's just super resourceful.
And I think the free throws are so important.
and it's something that Golden State just has not had.
And it's why, despite the fact that his jumper isn't really cashing yet from distance,
he's basically one of the leaders in true shooting for Golden State right now,
despite that because he gets to the line so often.
And so he's finishing inside, he's drawing fouls.
He's such an important connector for them already.
His chemistry with Draymond is already really good.
His chemistry with Moses Moody is already really good.
I just like the way he interlocks with basically every component of the roster.
And what he's ultimately going to do for the rotation is just,
it's worth its weight in gold.
This is why you make this kind of deal
to make the life of every single person.
Most importantly, Steph Curry, significantly easier.
What do you think about Waz's take, Rob,
about Warriors challenging for the finals?
Because right now they are in ninth.
They are, let's see,
they're only a one and a half games up,
or excuse me, back from the Clippers in six.
So they could get into that top six mix,
but I think getting into like the top four would be a lot.
They basically have to play like,
Six should be their goal.
Basketball the entire.
Yeah, right.
Six would be great.
And I think especially staying out of the play-in mix and staying out of that 7-8 vortex is very important for them.
Ultimately, I feel like I might be higher on where the Thunder are right now than you guys.
And to me, I just don't see this Golden State team beating the Thunder.
For a lot of the reasons I just laid out with the Lakers, like if you play small and this starting lineup for Golden State is real small.
Right.
Like they're now basically playing Draymon at the five full-time.
time Steve Kerr has more or less committed to it.
We'll see. Maybe there'll be like a random
Quentin Post start in there somewhere along the line.
But this is kind of who they are and how they want to play.
And that style against
all of those like swatting hands with the thunder
and everyone feasting on every passing lane,
I'm just imagining the wild
Dremont Green passes in the second quarter
and the kind of flurry that can result from that.
And so that's the kind of matchup I'm worried about
if I'm Golden State. Any other
matchup on the board
kind of feels doable.
Like I think they could put
Memphis. I think they could be another team like the Lakers that packs the paint and surrounds
Yokic and makes things really hard on him. Like the level of defensive activity that Golden State is
capable of puts them into the mix against a lot of these teams that technically have more firepower
than them. Yeah, for me, the anti-thundered thing is just the team exactly like Golden State,
a veteran-laden team, just straight up out executing them in big postseason possessions,
just never making a mistake on any of the biggest possessions. And just, just,
just locking in.
But Golden State does.
They love to make a mistake on the biggest position.
They have a lot of them.
They do,
where Steph just throws like a floater into that post-entry.
And then the guy comes from, like,
way across half court it steals it because the ball was in the air for so long.
Like, they do have that in them.
But like I said,
you know,
I watched Steph and freaking Gary Pratton Jr.
And Andrew Wiggins,
you know,
figure out how to win a championship three years ago.
You know,
you add Jimmy Bull.
butler to this thing. I just feel like
maybe they just got another
just out executing every single
team run within them. They're clearly
a Justin Varyorior honorary in
the mix team. There's no doubt
about that mix. TM, baby.
Yeah, they have
Kaminga, presumably coming back
within the next couple of weeks. I don't know if it's a good or
bad thing. I do think the athletic punch will be
interesting next to Jimmy. I think he can get him
evolved in ways he probably hadn't been before.
Unfortunately, I think it probably cramps
the spacing if we're thinking that he's going to
be a long-term closing five-man next to Draymond and Jimmy, because that's one thing that really
hasn't come to bear yet, is like, Jimmy spacing is going to screw things up. He can't solve
problems, but he's also, when it comes to the three-point math, is going to provide some
sort of a crunch there. So we'll see. He has an effect on young guys, though. So maybe
Kamiga plays above his head in the same way that Pods and even Moody has been played a little bit
better. But I honestly agree with you, Rob. I think the Thunder far and away the best team in
the Western Conference. And if anything, they might be.
be a little underrated at this point.
I'm starting to think to myself that the Thunder might be on a Celtics narrative from last
season where it's like every statistical indicator is basically telling you this team
could be like historically good.
But we're just like getting a little too caught up in the way things look, the fact that
they're a little too young.
Maybe they're not as physical as they need to be.
And I'm just like, I don't know.
It seems like they have everything you would want against any team in any matchup.
So to me, to me, to me,
they remind me of the first Warriors championship run,
the 2015 Warriors that ended up winning the championship,
but was extremely vulnerable.
Like, they could have lost to Memphis.
They, they could.
We're all vulnerable, you know?
Exactly.
What do you want from them?
To the beat down calves.
The calves had no Kyrie, no Kevin Love.
They went down to one, I think it was, to those calves.
Like, they ended up ultimately winning it,
but they were a very vulnerable squad, right?
because of their use, because of their inexperience.
And I think it wasn't because they didn't have the talent.
And so that's what I think is going on with OKC here.
Yeah.
OKC is not the type of team that's going to win a shootout, especially against some of these teams.
But a lot of these teams in the West are a little bit more methodical on how they go about their offense anyway.
There aren't like a real, like juggernaut, knock you out of the park offense, like the Knicks and the Celtics in the Eastern Conference.
One of the things that I'm worried about with OKC and kind of thinking about,
now. A friend of the pod, Moe Dack Hill kind of turned me on to this idea and got me churning about
it of like, how schemable is the Thunder defense in a playoff series? Like if you give a team
time to really focus and think about and tailor their style to the way the Thunder play,
how solvable is that? And I think from a size perspective, you can see it. You can understand
the angles if you have some of these big. They're definitely small. And I think there maybe
is something too, despite how active the Thunder are, if you know the
those swipes are coming. And you have basically days and ultimately over the course of a series,
like the better part of weeks to get used to that style of play. Can you acclimate it? Can you have
better ball protection? And I think the answers to those things are going to differ wildly based
on which Western Conference contender we're talking about. But I'm open to that idea that ultimately
what is a historic regular season defense might turn out in the playoffs to be a very good defense,
but one that is not unsolvable for some of these other teams that are vying for the West.
here's one last question I have about the Warriors was maybe you could take this do you wish they had made a follow-up move after the Jimmy Butler trade because we talked about this around the deadline in theory they did have another move out there using some of the rest of their draft picks in order to make the most of this specific team we talked about Vooch I don't know if that would have been the right poll there but someone of that caliber you know you trade away the Peyton contract maybe the Looney contract and a pick and you you you you trade away the Peyton contract and a pick and you you you you trade away the Peyton contract and a pick and you
you have one more solid top eight rotation player.
Would you have liked that more?
I think for better or for worse, Golden State loves their guys.
And I think Peyton Jr. or the second is indicative of that.
Like internally, they absolutely love the guy.
Same goes for Looney.
And so, first of all, these people had to be dragged kicking and screaming into the Jimmy Butler deal, guys.
like it's not as if that deal weren't there.
Like they were trying to avoid this thing.
And we're just willing to watch this mediocre-ass product just sail through and along.
And so I'm not really that mad that they didn't make a supplementary move.
You know, they'll go through the playoffs.
And I think this offseason, they'll try to address any of the shortcomings.
But I'm not surprised.
I'm not mad either, especially having done this level of upgrade again,
and the guy in Jimmy Butler, who two years ago took an outmaned Miami Heat outfit and brought them to the NBA finals, dude.
To replace Andrew Wiggins with that guy is, I'm happy about that guy.
Like, the Warriors are freaking interesting again.
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All right, let's flip to the Eastern Conference now.
It seems like the top two pretty much set at this point.
But unfortunately, the Knicks were a team that used to be in that mix,
a team that seemed like if things just went right,
if the starting lineup played just every single minute possible,
that they can be on the level of the Celtics and the Cavs.
But unfortunately, over the past, what is it, since February, so nine games.
Worst defense in the NBA, was, what's the read emanating from New York right now?
Are people getting worried?
Yeah, I think people are finally, finally worried about the defense because it's not just been back.
Like 30th in the NBA, I'm sorry, like that's just inexcusable, unacceptable, not going to get it done.
And their offense is elite enough that they, you know, they haven't lost nine games in a row during that stretch or anything like that.
They haven't fallen off a cliff, but it's that they've played some of the best teams, particularly in their conference, got pasted by Cleveland.
And most of that was because the defense was piss poor.
I was just watching first take.
And Tim Legler said, I don't think I've ever seen an NBA game before where the first four baskets were dunks.
That was the Knicks freaking defense.
against Cleveland the other night.
And then last night, or yesterday, excuse me, afternoon,
against the Celtics, it was more the same, just a pasting.
And, you know, again, we understand you start Jalen Brunson and Carl Anthony Towns,
you're not going to exactly be feeling like the bad boy pistons here, okay?
You know, Bruce Bowen is not looking at this defense and his eyes sort of like watering.
No, like, this is just a bad, this was never.
going to be a very good defense.
But I don't see any reason why they have to be this freaking horrible.
Yeah, they just had no shot.
It's becoming very clear that against offenses of a certain caliber,
if you have high-level pick and roll threats,
if you have really sophisticated action,
they just get lost and they get stretched out.
And the number of possessions that are not just ending in dunks,
but nobody even in the vicinity dunks and layups,
just absolutely no chance to impact the play.
whatsoever. To me is not just a glaring red flag, but it's a huge problem in terms of the way
the team is constructed because you want OG Ananoi and Mikhail Bridges and Josh Hart, and granted
some of those guys have been in and out of the lineup lately to complicate this. But their ability
to cover ground and paper over things is why the team is set up the way that it is. Because
this cannot be a full-time switching defense. This has to be one that is making up for what
Jalen Brunson gives up. That's making up for Kat's inability to defend the rim. Like, you have to do it
collectively. And you have to do a collectively at a level that at least gets you to
Waz's point, like close to league average, close to decent. And they've had moments of that
and overall on balance, they're not a disastrous defense this season. They just, like,
to see them regress in this way against this caliber of opponent just makes you question
their ability to compete in any kind of series of any actual magnitude in the East. Like,
how could you come out of this weekend feeling great or feeling even remotely confident
about the Knicks relative to the Cavs and the Celtics? Like those are the,
two styles they have to be able to compete with and they can't even hang on the floor with them.
Yep. So they're now 0 and 7 against the Celtics calves in Thunder, which is not very good.
It's tough because on the one hand, it seemed like that game was over within the first five minutes.
They missed a couple of shots. The Celtics ran it back on them and it seemed like they were down 14 immediately.
They did climb back in within four. The problem is they just need so much from that starting unit.
I'm not even joking. They need the starting unit to play every goddamn minute.
And Tibbs would love to do that to that point. He basically killed.
Carl Anthony Towns. I was about to say
like, Carl Anthony Towns is like holding his
knee in place and Tim's like, yeah, here's an aspirin,
get back out there.
The game, you're down 18 points with three minutes
left, but who gives a fuck?
I know this is classic Tibbs stuff,
but does that make it
any more acceptable? Like, what are we
doing to Carl Anthony Towns?
I mean, he's going to die on his shield, so
he might as well, like, make most of the season.
Anyway, I just like,
if you play, if you rely on the
starters, more in playoff series, I could see
whether they could be a little bit more competitive.
The problem is that you're just wearing them down in the regular season to the point
where even their somewhat deep team, at least for a Tibbs team last year, fell apart
because these guys were just grinding out games in the middle of February.
And so it's gotten to the point now where as we get the day-by-day Mitchell-Robinson
update, that seemed like the type of move if he came back and was productive and could make them
big in the front core, at least give them that option.
It would push them over the top.
Now it seems like it's necessary just to make...
do just to get by to get us to the point where we're still the number three seed in the
Eastern Conference.
And that's a really tough place.
They seem desperate at this point.
So two things about the Mitchell Robinson thing.
One, they told us when training camp started to be back in January, he's now doing
full contact.
It's February.
It's about to be March, y'all.
Yep.
Okay?
So there's that part of it.
Two, I, look, I like what Mitchell Robinson can do in the regular season in terms of
showing up the defense, like kind of cleaning up their big.
man rotation between cat and precious, and just helping them sort of, like, just plug a couple
of holes and leaks in the ship so that they're not completely drowning on that end.
However, Mitchell Robinson, recipient of five ankle surgeries, he's just not the player,
I think, is going to make you a better defense against Boston.
I actually think Precious to Chua is actually way more suited to the same.
the Boston style of offense and defending that,
than Mitchell Robinson is.
And so, like, I like what Mitchell Robinson is going to do in the playoffs.
I mean, in the regular season,
in terms of giving cat, letting Cat play the four like he was doing last year in
Minnesota, you know, letting precious come in there when he has to,
not, like, overdoing his contributions.
But, like, you know, when I read that 0.7 stat line
against the three best teams in the NBA,
hey, Mitchell Robinson, to me, does nothing to fix the issues that they faced when they played these elite teams.
No, I think he'll be helpful against some of the other run-of-the-mill teams in the East as the Knicks are fighting for seating and just trying to write this thing.
That's helpful.
But in addition to everything you laid out was, when was the last time we saw Mitchell Robinson not only on the court, but look like Mitchell Robinson?
Like the last time we saw him be actually good in his usual form was November 2023, I want to say.
Like, we are a long way removed from the version of Mitchell Robinson you may remember.
And even in those best of times, he is not a disciplined defender.
He's a good rim protector.
He's a good rebounder.
He's a live body inside.
But yeah, you put it.
A nice offensive rebounder.
100%.
But you put him out there guarding Chris Epsporzingis and you think good things are going to happen.
Like, there's no place for him in some of these matchups.
And that's the issue.
you with the way the bracket is breaking where it seems like it's going to be Cavs Celtics,
nix,
one, two, three, unless something dramatic happens, unless the calves are just struck by injuries.
And for the Knicks to have to go through the Celtics to get to the calves is pretty much
a non-starter.
They look worse against the Celtics than virtually any of these matchups.
I could see where, like, the offense is so juiced, and we should mention, they are tied
for third in offense with the Celtics.
The offense is incredible and can be if those guys are all healthy.
And I can see it where, like, oh, they steal it against the calves just because they have
the stretch in order to force the Cavs to play in the shootout.
And the Cavs are going to play a lot of two big lineups.
They're going to give them places to, you know, excel at the Celtics or not?
Here's the other question.
Do we think that the Knicks can stay at the three?
Because for a while, we had talked about them as part of the one, two, three.
But if anything, they're starting to slip farther and farther.
They're four games up on the Pacers who are fourth.
But it doesn't look that far of a chasm, considering the way they've been playing for practically,
like, what, half a month now?
Yeah, and the Pacers, since January 1st,
one of the best teams in the NBA.
Like, one of the best point differentials,
top 10 on both sides of the ball,
they've cleaned up so much in the way that they're playing.
I think they're the most credible threat,
if you're talking about a team that could be as good as the Knicks,
competitive with the Knicks,
potentially overtake them in the standings.
With all due respect to Kyle Kuzma's Bucks,
I don't think that they're going to make that kind of run necessarily.
But a Pacer's team that is back to its usual style,
with Halliburton playing so aggressively again.
They've had to make do with and without Miles Turner.
It hasn't mattered.
They've been able to make it all work.
Indy has such a good, deep, regular season rotation that I could see them really putting up a fight here
as far as who the third best team in the Eastern conferences.
I think Indy and Milwaukee both match up better with the Celtics than do the Knicks.
Do I necessarily think head-to-head?
I probably picked the Knicks over both of those teams in a head-to-head matchup.
But, like, again, the matchups and the styles do make the fights in terms of who has a better chance.
I just think both of those teams can credibly say they've played Boston better more competitively than the Knicks have in the past two seasons.
Yeah.
Rob likes the Pacers.
Was likes the Bucks.
It's like November 2023 for us, too.
We're all right back.
Next up, we've got to talk about awards,
because this is starting to become more of a conversation.
We've got, what is it, like month plus left of data in order to pour over.
But it seems like the MVP race is a two-man race,
according at least to some of the straw poll action happening on ESPN and other places.
I want to talk first and foremost about all NBA,
because one of the fallouts of Wembe's pretty tragic,
what we'd call it, not an injury, just.
Health scare?
Health situation?
One of the fallouts of Wemby's potentially tragic health situation there.
Potentially tragic may be too strong.
Too strong?
That makes it sound like he's on his deathbed, you know?
You don't know that he isn't?
I mean, I don't know that he isn't.
But what if he never plays again?
That would be a tragedy, no?
That would be, but we don't have any reason to think that's what's going to happen.
Okay, cool.
One of the fallouts of Wemby's health situation that we talked about in last week's pod,
is that he is now an eligible for awards consideration.
And I had probably penciled it.
I hadn't really done the hard work yet about all-M-B-A,
penciling him in the fifth spot.
And so all of a sudden,
that becomes open in a way that I wasn't expecting.
I'm curious what you guys have in pencil right now
as you're kind of queuing these things up.
I think like the four first spots are pretty much set, right?
It's Yokic, SGA, Yonis, Tatum.
Does everybody have those guys?
No question.
Now that fifth spot,
at least to me seems wide open.
Do you guys think that there's a clear-cut guy,
or what do you think in there?
I don't think there's a clear-cut guy,
and honestly, Janus only has, I think, like, five-ish games to spare as well.
And so if he misses any time the rest of the way,
there could be two spots all of a sudden up for grabs.
I don't know where you are was.
I think top of my list right now in terms of who I think will make it,
regardless of what I think and the actual case that I would make,
I think Donovan Mitchell will make it.
Yeah, it becomes.
one of those things where, oh, you know, the Thunder have to have two all-stars because they're so clearly the best team in the West.
Or, you know, it's going to be one of those cases.
Like, Donovan Mitchell has to, like, the Cleveland has to be represented on the first team all-MBA ballot.
And I'm not, I can't say that I'm, like, completely against that.
Yeah.
It's not a bad case that Mitchell has.
It's not.
But, you know, I think it's going to be jumbled to, like, somebody like AD, the way he was.
playing for the Lakers before suffering this injury, somebody I haven't been completely fine
with. That kind of candidacy is fine for me, but I understand why people might want to be like,
you know what, Donovan Mitchell is the guy. What do we think about LeBron? He's on the short list
at the very least. On the one hand, like earlier in the season, the defense was not credible
enough in order to be on this sort of level, but he's picked it up on both ends at this point. The
numbers are honestly a better statistical case than anybody else. He's only missed four games somehow
this season. So he's going to be eligible for this, 25, 8, and 9. I didn't think I would get here
at this point in the season, but he has a pretty compelling case at this point.
Well, especially if you do want to stack it up, not in a, oh, the calves are required to have
one representative kind of way, but just like his case against, say, Anthony Edwards, who Anthony Edwards,
I would say, is having a more exemplary production season in some ways in terms of the
load he carries and generating offense, what he means to driving the wolves.
Like, he is doing a level of night to night lifting that LeBron, for everything he brings to the
table for the Lakers, hasn't always had to have.
That's not the right.
Let me take that again.
He's doing a level of night to night heavy lifting that LeBron hasn't always.
And so you can understand a case building for someone like Ant, but then you look in the
standings.
And this is a case where if the Lakers end up dramatically higher than the wolves,
that's going to pull
aunt's case down.
It's going to lift LeBron's
hub.
You're just getting to a point
with LeBron where
overall the quality of play,
the resurgent defense that you mentioned,
which I would say significantly predates Luca.
It's really been more of like a turn of the calendar year kind of thing,
if not a little before that.
In addition to just the mounting momentum for the Lakers overall,
it makes a pretty decent case.
I think the short list right now is Mitchell,
is LeBron,
is Jalen Brunson and Kat,
is aunt.
and we probably need to at least have a conversation about Jaron Jackson Jr.
Would you like to have that?
First team all NBA, like saying he's been one of the five best players in the NBA this year,
even when you account for, or even top seven players when you account for
Luca missing all of these games and maybe Jan is falling off because of games missed.
Like, that seems like a far stretch to me to be like, all right, these guys,
who are normally penciled in the Lucas and the Janus's because of these new rules they're taken out.
And to be like, Jaron Jackson has kind of been right behind them.
I think that's a bit much.
It is a bit much, Justin.
But let me make the case to you.
If the Grizzlies end up as the second best team in the West, second seat in the West,
Jaron Jackson Jr., because Victor Wevenyama is now ineligible for awards,
wins defensive player of the year, which seems like a real possibility.
He's going to be one of the front runners for that award.
award. If you're the defensive player of the year putting up close to 25 points a game as the
first option on the number two seat in the West, aren't you a pretty viable all-NBA first
team candidate? First option is a little bit of funny math there. That is not. He is straight
up the first option of the Memphis Grizzlies. Well, but Morant is driving things when he's on the
core. The problem is Moran's just not there. And like he is setting up Jackson. So if we're
going to say the first option is Moran passing to Jaron Jackson, then, yeah.
They have devised an entire offense to not be reliant on John Moran doing exactly that.
Like, that is the structure of their team now.
When he's in the, when he is playing, Moranette is still doing.
Even when he's out there, they consciously go around him and they don't run pick and roll for that reason.
I think you're putting a little fine of a point on it.
First option, I think Moran is definitely much more in the flow of what they're doing.
But to say that Jaron is like the source of that, he has become the steady foundation of a very
good team. And so if you want to say that... Rob is making him
their Nicola Yokic and I don't like
it. He looks.
He is not Nicola Yokic. I'm not
saying that. But
like leads the team in shot attempts, would lead
the team in usage if not for John Morant's
turnovers. Like, he is that
guy for them. Well, you can't discount
turnovers just because it doesn't fit the narrative
that he's not doing as much. That's still part of
usage. Oh, it is part of usage.
I'm just saying it's not positive usage.
It's just but he's, so he's thus he's doing more.
He is doing a lot.
Yes.
My argument is that John Morant is more central to the way that the Grizzlies play this season,
and this season only.
I'm not saying past-up this season, this season, than John Morant is.
Sure.
I think that is fair.
Yes.
I get you're adding the defensive play to year component, but again, like, for me, like, I'm still,
I'd still say Steph Curry is more deserving of the spot than Jaron Jackson is.
And I've loved Jaron Jackson's season.
I just feel like he's more, I don't know, he's more of a complimentary kind of player
to me than a first team
all NBA kind of guy
but I don't think it's wholly
ridiculous but if you're adding
because again these narrative
cases these narrative factors
do factor into
what voters choose
to do and I think we're going to get into the MVP
and the quote unquote closeness
or not closeness of that race
and I think narrative is driving that
I understand the narrative factor I just think on the floor
I don't know he just doesn't
he doesn't feel like a first
team all-N-B-A or to me.
That's fair.
I'll say this.
I think Jaron has completely raised the ceiling that I ever thought he would be because he
has managed to blend the version he was last year when he was basically playing through
mistakes and figuring out his own offense with the player he was before.
He has gotten his own stuff within the flow of the offense, and that's a credit to him.
I didn't think he would ever get to this point where he was a regular, efficient 20 points
per game score.
And so maybe he's in the mix for a first team all-M-MBA.
I think he ultimately is settled into a second team all NBA.
But I would often default to a guy like an Edwards who is driving a lot of the action over Jaron Jackson.
Do you have Jaron Jackson on your short list for MVP as well?
Are we getting to that point?
I mean, if my first team all NBA is not really very different from my top five MVP ballot.
Like I don't see those things as being all that distinct.
So I think he's got to be on the list, at least to make it on the back part of that ballot.
Jaron Jackson Jr. is not the MVP.
It's not even close.
as far as him to the actual front runners for that award.
He's not a ballot maker either.
He's not on my ballot.
He probably will not make the ballot, but I think you have to have the conversation.
Like, I think that's where it is with him.
And if anything, to me, that is part of a larger discussion about the 65 game rule and kind of what it is doing to things like all NBA.
It's like we're going to end up with a team that may not feel all that representative, a snapshot of where the league is right now.
Because guys like Victor Webb and Yama are not eligible for it.
And I don't really know how to feel about that.
Yeah, especially if someone like Janus were to miss more games down the stretch and just miss it,
then it would start to feel bad.
I get someone more like Wembe or some of these guys that have missed large chunks of games.
Jod's another guy.
I don't think he would make it until the all-MBA ballot.
But like those guys would miss so many games in a regular year that we wouldn't consider them probably anyway.
But you're right.
It doesn't feel like our reality that we've experienced for now a couple months.
And so that dissonance is,
It's really tough to square at this point.
I don't mind the rule, but when you're drawing a fine line between someone like 65 and 62,
that's when I think it's going to start to be kind of an issue here.
But let's talk about MVP just quickly because as I kind of alluded to,
it seems like it's a two-guy race at this point.
According to the ESPN straw poll that happened a couple days ago,
every first place vote went to either Shea Gilder's Alexander or Nicola Yochich.
I would have assumed, based on being in the Stockholm syndrome of this podcast,
that Yokic was far and away, the guy who got the majority of those.
But Shea had 70 to Yokic is 30.
And as I'm just like hearing guys on the broadcast,
just looking at what's going on in the discourse,
there's just this assumption that Shea is going to win this,
that I personally have found shocking.
Do you guys, are you picking up on the same thing?
I feel like our influence is not as strong as we needed to me is what I'm hearing.
We need to get out there helping the people understand what's going on with the Denver Nuggets this season.
I think, again, the case is close enough.
Yokic haven't already won three of these things.
Yeah.
This season, not feeling like some huge, like, I think this is his best season,
but it doesn't feel like some huge leap from the previous MVP seasons.
Like his own standard is not being dwarfed.
It's like he's just adding on to his already insane standard.
And so you add all of those narrative factors and Shay playing.
Look, like I just looked at all the numbers, man.
Like, there's really no number that supports Shea Gilgis Alexander actually having a more solid season,
like the scoring efficiency, the playmaking on Yokic's part.
Like, even like the defensive stats, fraudulent as some people might find them.
like Yokic has good defensive stats too.
Like there's no, and I'm not talking about blocks and steals.
I'm talking about like how his teams perform defensively while he's on the court.
Like there's nothing indicating that Shea has had a better season.
There's no clear-cut indication of this.
The only case for him is that Yokic has already won three.
That's it.
That's his case.
And this would be Shea's first and also the team is,
not just number one in the West, but dominating in terms of point differential.
And Shay's minutes are obviously insane.
But then you look at Yokic is on and off and it's like the differential is crazy too.
But then you say, oh, that's because he has a whacker team behind him.
Like, I just don't see the clear-cut case for Shea having a better season than Yokch,
but I understand why voters are just like, I'm giving it to the kid with this great story.
Yeah, I think he will win.
I just don't think he should win.
To me, if you're the best player in the world and your team is reasonably in the mix and the nuggets are third seed in the west, you should win.
And Nicole Yokic is the best player in the world.
That's no slight to Shea Gildj, Alexander, who's awesome.
But he's not quite at that level.
And very few players in the history of the league have been at the level that Yokic is at right now.
Yeah, it's just, it's tough to square when we have given Yokic three awards.
And so we clearly value what he has brought.
not just us in this room, but also the voting body at large.
They value what Yokic brings, right?
And now he's doing that better than ever before.
So how do you not give him another one if he's just doing what you already awarded better?
It just, like, logically it doesn't make sense there.
It has to be water fatigue.
It has to be because of the Thunder's regular season standings.
But it's not like the Nuggets have performed so poorly.
This isn't like one of Yokic's earlier MVPs where I believe they were like kind of lower in the standing.
This isn't a Russell Westbrook, the Thunder are six in the standing,
where you're just bringing up everybody around him.
They're squarely in the mix.
They're clearly, I think, consensus number two teams in Western conference.
Also, nobody thought Russell Westbrook was the best player in the league.
When he was like, no, like, well, he's doing the triple doubles and he's one of those people.
But nobody's like, yeah, Russell is the best player in the league easily.
Nobody believed that when he won MVP.
Well, do you value that?
Because I think look at this more as like the body of the work of an individual season rather than maybe the best player
in the world conversation, which is a little bit different.
I might start to work in some of the FBA stuff and just generally just what we know about
these guys.
I think I start from the place of who are the best players in the league and who are the ones
who are delivering on that promise, who aren't just like, oh, I'm a great player who's
coasting through the regular season.
I'm a great player who isn't meeting the game's play threshold.
Like, Nicole Yokic is the best player by production.
He's the best player by impact.
He's the best player by what he is to Denver every night.
She is like an amazing contributor in so many different ways, an unbelievable one-on-one score, clearly the driver of OKC's offense.
And if you wanted to make an argument that's kind of in the Alan Iverson, Derek Rose mold, as far as, you know, Yokic is driving what Denver does well, but Shea is bailing out in some ways what OKC doesn't always do as well, right?
They are a rickety offense that sometimes they do rely on the threes.
They rely so much on his ability to generate clean looks for himself and other people.
people, I'm open to that argument.
I just think you have quite a mountain to climb
because Yokic is doing a lot of the same things, but better.
Yeah, so I was just kind of surprised
because it is kind of almost like a foregone conclusion.
People talk about him as the eventual MVP winner.
I'm just like, what happened?
I almost feel like I was awakened from my slumber
because I've been with you motherfuckers this whole time.
It's just like, the whole world has changed.
But this isn't dissimilar to,
Embedee's MVP case.
It was like, look, he's, he's playing closer.
Let's not go too far here.
I'm just saying, it's the same thing.
It's like he's playing close enough to as good as this guy.
We're not trying to give him his third straight one.
All right?
Like, somebody's close enough.
Let's give it to them.
Especially somebody who has never won before.
Who's had a proven track record of being an excellent NBA player.
Let's give it to him.
Yoke M. B.
case was like, I'm not saying like he had no
case, no empirical case, but like most of it was
narrative. Most of it was voter fatigue. And I think
that's the same thing that's happening right now. And Chea is a perfectly
worthy MVP. Hell yeah. I'm not going to lose sleep over it. No.
It's not going to be the kind of thing we look back at historically. Like,
oh my God, I can't believe. Cheikhil's Alexander. One of the greatest
one-on-one scores of basically his era at this point
doesn't deserve to win this award. Of course he does.
I think, Yokic. All right.
I think Embedd's case was a little bit better than what you guys are remembering,
but we don't have to get down that road.
Is it better than Shea's right now?
I think the difference in, yes, I think it was.
I think Embedd was more dominant and he was more essential to what the Sixers did than Shea is.
I think Shea's team and supporting cast plays a lot into why the Thunder are successful.
And their defense, as we mentioned, is partly why they're so successful.
And Embed, the whole thing was,
Indeed was just steamrolling people.
Also, he played better down the stretch,
and I think people forget that Yokic just basically waved his hand.
It was like, I'll see you in two months.
I'm going to win the title instead.
That has to factor in.
Anyway, number five, last one on the board.
Who has it worse?
Speaking of Embed, who has it worse at this point
from going from now onto next season and beyond,
Phoenix or Philly?
It's Philly.
Yeah.
Phoenix, they,
have, I think the combination of KD. and Devin Booker are better trade chips than Maxi and
Bede as a combination. So what do I mean by that? I mean, if either team decided to change
course right now, like, and go in the complete opposite direction of what they've been pursuing
for the last three years, I think Phoenix would probably come out with more stuff than what
Philly doesn't. Also, I don't think
Philly is going to do that. I think
they're going to just ride this thing out.
They're a little locked in.
Yeah.
Do we think, would you feel differently about this
Was if Philly does, say,
lose a bunch of games to close out this season
and is able to keep their first round
pick? And like, that, keeping
it at minimum means it's top six.
Potentially could be a top three
or four pick for the Sixers at this
point. If the Sixers
end up with the six pick in this year's
draft like my instinct is to think they're they're going to draft and a sarre thompson uh jonathan
comminga uh like i don't know like well they could they could trade they could trade it though yeah
oh i think it would be more for somebody more established right i think that would be the idea
talking about their future being brighter but like yeah i guess they could use that to to improve
upon what's happening here i just man the the season
that Paul George is having the the freaking the knee the the the Embed knee where it's just like
there's nothing left to operate on guys like it's just a it's just a degenerative ailment that he has
his knee is just getting worse and worse that's just what the reality is of his injury and then
you combine Paul George's got three years left on the deal and he looks like a pumpkin then you
combine the fact that Embed signed the
three-year $190 million extension in September, which means that there's four years left on
his deal after this year at about 50, an average of about 58 million or something like that.
Yes, it's looking real spooky heat in Philadelphia right now. I must say, sorry Chris Ryan.
I don't know how Daryl Morey survives this if he were to ever try to pivot away from the current
construction, which is already so difficult, as was kind of outlined there, just because of all the
contracts they have in the books. Like, at the very worst case scenario, Phoenix could raise their
entire team down. They would still have Devin Booker, and either to have on their team or to
trade away for other stuff. People will still give a lot for that so you can turn the page in that
instance, which is still quite bad. But in comparison to Philly, is anybody signing up for Joelle
Embed, like, if we were to do the expansion draft, and Embed was eligible just because the Sixers
wanted to get rid of him, he just isn't going to be able to play enough. Are the Vegas blackjack's
drafting Embed in order to take a shot on him? Oh, you are. Speaking for our war room, yeah,
we're taking Joel and Beat. We're taking Joel and Bede. What else you got going on?
Well, I think there's a difference between doing nothing for two to three years and, like, maybe beyond that.
I think that's a lot to ask you your fans if a guy on a max contract can't pull.
play for like four years?
Because that's what we're talking about here.
He is now, according to the reporting, basically clashing with the organization about whether
he should or should not play through what he's going through.
And it sounds like him playing more is doing more damage to his knee, which is going to
cause, obviously, longer-term concerns.
It's like, it's as dark as it gets.
It's not great when the language of these reports is about exploring, like, more radical
treatment options.
Like, that's when you know we've kind of gone into the.
deep end with this stuff?
Yeah, they're going to get like cadaver PCLs and stuff to put in them.
Like, it's scary.
Just scary stuff.
Look, again, the four years left on his deal where, look, if he didn't play, let's just
say he shut down right now, immediately got the procedure done or whatever.
It's now March.
Training camp opens in September.
That's six months from now.
is that, like, would he make it to training camp?
The fact that we have to ask the question is not good.
The press release would say he's going to be ready for training camp.
We know that.
But here's the thing about this.
Yeah, here's the thing about this Phoenix or Philadelphia dilemma.
In terms of the state, we can reasonably expect these players to be in.
Kevin Durant is the best player.
And if you were to shift directions in any meaningful way,
Devin Booker is the single most valuable player
that would get you the biggest possible.
return of anyone on either
of these rosters. And I say that not because
even with Maxie, we love Maxie. Oh, absolutely.
But you can imagine with Booker's
skill set, if he were to hit the market,
any team could talk themselves
into Devin Booker. Like he fits basically
every style. You could pencil him into any
lineup. He's so versatile and so
flexible in that way. And we just saw it with Team USA
that he can play with other stars, right? Like he can
fill any kind of role you need him
to fill. And because of that, I think the
bidding war would be substantial. But you have to
talk yourself into Paul George. You have to talk
yourself into Joel and B.
Tyrese Maxie, as a lot of admirers around the league,
is turning out to be a really great player,
but I just don't think would get the kind of frothing market,
ultimately,
that Devin Booker would.
What about this season specifically?
We're talking about you have to turn on either team.
You have to watch every team,
every game of this one team,
the entire season.
Who has had the worst vibes?
The Sons or the Philly?
Oh, that's tough.
Because there are,
you're talking about all-time terrible vibes here, but I would like to send a text, read a text from, let's just say, a mutual colleague of ours.
Mutual.
Who text me having been to the Spurs and Sons game the other night.
And the quote is, was that Spurs and Sons last night?
I cannot believe it's not a national story.
how much Durant hates every person on the sons like they stole his fucking car.
The text message thread continues.
Cursing out Bud, getting in a fight with CP3.
I guess they don't like each other because Durant basically got him traded from Phoenix.
This was a parenthetical.
Not dapping up any of his teammates till the game got a little close in the fourth quarter,
stood in the far corner on the other side and end of the court during Spurs free throws,
and basically was a decoy on Sun's offense.
And mind you, this was his Austin homecoming game.
Forgot that Durant is a longhorn like one Rob Mahoney.
Yeah, you cannot forget that hook him, obviously.
The KD thing has become completely and utterly toxic over there.
Toxic.
It's untenable.
Like the idea that this guy's going to be suited enough for them after this season is laughable.
He's gone and he's already gone.
Like, he's done.
And so the injuries and Paul George just, he's just so big.
He was an all-N-B-A player last year.
Yeah.
He's so bad.
And the Joel just limping around and he can't jump over a freaking dictionary.
Like, it's just, ugh, it's tough, y'all.
I know that the TikToks, then now you tell us sort of stories that come out after these sorts of instances
are always a little bit baked with water carrying.
and you're not really sure, like, if you're getting the full story.
No, the Casey thing is going to be real.
I can't wait to read this one.
Just to find out how we got to the point where the sons pivoted from trading for Jimmy Butler
to entertaining trades for Kevin Durant out of Phoenix.
There's a real, like, call the cops, but not for me.
You know what a turn-around situation that happened there?
It's like, I just don't understand.
Did they realize that things were so bleak that that is all that?
had at that point that KD was going to leave in the office.
I don't know, but I want to find out because that is one of the wildest circumstances.
They kind of got brushed aside as we were all like kind of our eyes were bugging out about
Luca and everybody.
And just not to hit the crazy speculation, whatever, there's already speculation out there
that Nico Harrison is going to try to trade for KD in the offseason.
Like, all of this shit, like, it's, it is what it is.
But the Phoenix thing is, it's true.
Like, I think Phoenix just isn't a national.
obsession in the way the sixes are.
Call it East Coast bias.
I don't know.
But like the Sixers thing, I mean, the, excuse me, the KD thing is bad, y'all.
It's bad what's happening there.
It is bad.
A question on that front, what is it that the Mavericks are going to trade for Kevin Durant?
I don't know.
Max Christie.
Max Christie, the Lakers picks they didn't get their own picks that they don't have.
And Dante X-M, let's go.
Well, KD's got one year left on his deal, right?
Yeah.
Yeah.
So it doesn't have to be that expensive for KD.
Yeah, I think he's going to pick his next team, which is going to be a little bit different than when he ultimately went to the Phoenix.
It's going to be a Jimmy Bucket situation again.
Yeah.
And so maybe he'll have more of a hand.
It seemed like Phoenix was just frothing out the mouth in order to get him from Brooklyn.
He kind of just went along with the plan there.
So, like, I don't know how much you could really ding him for once again picking a bad situation.
but it is one of the wildest back half of a career and it's now becoming practically half of his career
for a player who's going to go down as like one of the what top 15 top 20 20 25 where everyone to put kd
that i can ever remember he just like has been irrelevant from the broader title race outside of when
they traded for james hardin like they were very much a very good team there they just never got out of
the second round he hasn't been out of the second round since he left golden state in 2019 yeah i was
talking to somebody who used to work with
KD early on in his career
and, you know, if you guys,
and he reminded me of something, he was like,
yo, this guy was universally beloved
amongst the fandom.
And is this person's belief that like,
if KD would have managed his career a certain way,
he would have been just as big if not bigger than LeBron.
That's like the direction everything was moving
towards for him in terms of his curating
with every average fan,
young fans,
that OKC team was a sensation.
And like for it to turn out the way that it has,
where it's like he's going to basically sourpuss his way
out of another situation,
it's tough, man.
It's really tough.
I'm not defending his sour puss temperament.
The problem with Phoenix is that there are so many problems with Phoenix.
And so it's like,
on the one hand,
I get why he would be a little sour about.
it, I get why, if you're Kevin Durant, having a pretty good Kevin Durant season, while you
look around and say, like, can we really not make this work in any conceivable way? Can we not be a
baseline functional NBA team? That would seem like a pretty frustrating position to find yourself
in if you're a player of that caliber. But to hear that the vibes might get even worse, if there is
like a prolonged trade situation, that this could be the start of something horrendous for Phoenix
and not hopefully close to the end of it is just so dispiriting. And so, like, to answer your
question, Justin, I think the answer might
oddly enough be the Sixers, and that's a
team that has like three guys I enjoy
watching and that have actually played hard.
And that's crazy.
I think I might agree with Rob.
I mean, Phoenix
is 2 and 8 over their past 10
games. The two wins have
come against Chicago, a game that went
down to the wire, which I watched because I
have zero self-respect for myself
and against Utah, a game
that went into overtime.
They are struggling against the
absolute bottom of the barrel of the NBA.
It's very bad.
I mean, they just got run off the court by the Raptors.
And granted, the Sixers got
punked by the Nets with everybody playing
for them, more or less.
You know, no Jared McCain, obviously, but
Embed, Maxie, Paul George, those guys are all out there
and you're losing to the Brooklyn Nets. The resurgent
Brooklyn Nets, but still the Brooklyn Nets,
it's not good.
Salute to Gershon Yabuse L.A.,
salute to Kelly Ubre, a salute to
Quentin Grimes, and salute to absolutely nobody
else.
The Sixers thing to me is ultimately more depressing because people legitimately thought they could
make a run to the NBA finals this year.
You know, watching how Maxie performed in the playoffs last year and Bid being in Bid,
Paul George being an NBA player, people like the sort of supporting cast that they put around
them in terms of how Mori filled out the rest of the roster.
People were excited about this team and they are headed to the bottom basement of the Eastern
conference.
just unceremoniously.
It's bleak, guys.
I think that's a good point to bring up
as we inevitably get into our off-season conversations
about the little moves that we like
and the way these teams are rounding out their rosters.
On the one hand, we can be very, very wrong on paper
how these things will actually work
when it comes to these, especially like veteran minimum kind of signings.
But when you think about what's happened to Philly,
like Eric Gordon has not been good,
basically the entirety of the season,
and has been injured.
shocker.
Andre Drummond is unplayable, right?
Like all of these guys that they brought in,
except for Yabusele, I would say,
on kind of bargain contracts have not worked out.
They've already moved on from Caleb Martin.
They've already traded Reggie Jackson.
He wasn't useful for them at all.
None of those turned out to be actual players.
And you can't have that many whiffs
and still be a functional team,
especially when you're as top heavy as the Sixers are.
Yep.
We've been talking about it all season.
It's a young man's league.
And looking back on it,
it is odd that nobody questioned Paul George at age 35, a 4, showing signs of a lack of aggression,
getting a full four-year max contract just right off the bat.
I know he was super efficient last year.
I know he is the type of guy you want around two stars like Embed and Maxie, but like, you know,
I think the fact that he's declining is totally normal.
I wonder if LeBron just completely warped our brains to think, like, a late 30s guy
just can compete at an all-star level for this long into his career.
The thing is the falloff from LeBron, probably second, third, first, best player ever,
to whatever the hell he was at 35, to whatever Paul George's peak, which is decidedly not that.
No.
And to what he is at 35, it's just a big difference, man.
All right, let's wrap it there.
Thank you to Ben Cruz on production.
We'll be back on Thursday, as usual.
Talk to you then.
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