The Ringer NBA Show - NBA Finals Verrierables: Mavs vs. Celtics | Group Chat
Episode Date: June 2, 2024The Verrierables are back! This time Justin, Rob, and Wos begin their preview of the NBA Finals by answering six questions about this matchup between the Boston Celtics and Dallas Mavericks including ...their Finals predictions. Buy tickets to our live show in Los Angeles here! The Ringer is committed to responsible gaming. Please visit http://www.rg-help.com to learn more about the resources and helplines available. Hosts: Justin Verrier, Rob Mahoney, Wosny Lambre Producer: Isaiah Blakely Social: Eduardo Ocampo Additional Production Supervision: Ben Cruz Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
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Hey, it's Brian Curtis from The Ringer, and I want to tell you about the Press Box podcast.
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on the press box.
Welcome to group chat.
I am Justin Verrier
and joining me,
Rob Mahoney,
Big Was,
and what the audience didn't see
while I was making that introduction
as I slyly scooped
a beer out of Woz's hand.
During that.
One more series of pods to go, baby.
By the way,
some people thought that he was like,
Luca, you got to lock in for the finals.
I think he was just taking his beer for himself.
I thought so too.
This is my beer.
now. I need that. Big boy. Big brother situation. I read that more as like finals are coming up.
Or at the very least, don't do it in front of the cameras because a lot of people were clearly
taking video right there. Like, don't be out in the hallway drinking beers. Doesn't that guy deserve
it? It's his first. If MPA doesn't deserve to crush a beer. That's what I'm saying. Like,
he made it to the finals. He's doing a lot of heavy lifting. Let the man have a beer.
I don't disagree. I mean, after this pod, if you guys want to crush your beer, that's fine. Just don't do
in the presence of reporters who are just trying to ding you for drinking said beer.
No, I only drink sponsored beer, Justin. You know this. So if people want to get at us,
then maybe, but otherwise, beat it. Got the Grand Monnier in your hand right now.
That's right. No extra for ads. Come on. Hey, Rob. Did you know that we have a live show coming up?
Do we? Tell me more. Yes. June 18th at the El Ray Theater in Los Angeles. Part of the
Ringer residency, get your tickets at the ringer.com
slash events.
We'll have special guests.
Are those guests, Christina Aguilera or Chris Ryan?
Who's to say?
Could be anyone at this point.
Might be both.
Maybe a Christina Brittany, like, reunion up there.
Wow.
Or maybe it's Kyle Mann.
Who knows?
What do you think Christina's takes on the positional revolutionar?
How is she feeling about point guard play in 2024?
She seems like more of a back-to-the-basket sort of gal.
You know, she wants post-play.
Yeah, she's pining for the days of 06, you know, Spurs, Pistons in the finals, games ending in the high 70s.
That's what Christina Aguilera is about, getting dirty, Rob.
It's true.
I mean, we're all nostalgic in our own ways, even if it's dirty with multiple ours.
Since we're taking care of some business, Rob, I just wanted to check in.
Have you figured out how we're settling the Nuggets bet yet, or do we need to keep going on here?
Yeah, I'm buying you dinner with Waz's assistant.
as we agreed to.
Okay.
No special costume or outfits or anything like that.
No.
And I'm insulted you would even suggest it.
But look, we've already offered to do it on stage at the live show.
If you want us to feed you soup while you're sitting in a chair at the live show,
I'd be down for that, you know?
Soup might get a little messy.
A nice lentil soup right on stage.
We'll get you a nice bib, Justin.
It's all good.
Okay.
Well, since we have.
haven't actually solved the situation. I have updated the coward tracker yet again.
Thank you. Wow. Okay, what's going on with this with this coward? Can you describe it for our?
Who's a toning mother effer? Oh, wow.
Is that supposed to be Luca himself? It's Luca. Yeah. You couldn't tell from this beautiful art.
It's very Bart Simpson. Yeah, well, he's got the prickly hair. I'm an artist, man. You just got to go with my vision for this. I'll be honest. I think this is,
is running tired, so I'd appreciate it if you came up with something sooner rather than later.
Maybe you shouldn't have come up with it. Now I'm just going to let you twist in the wind,
have to come up with new weird illustrations, literally every episode.
All right. Well, my artistry isn't contained to just this coward tracker.
We are bringing back our favorite segment, the variables for the NBA finals.
But we're kicking it up a notch, much to Rob's weird chagrin slash curiosity.
because it's the finals, we have to go full bore here.
You got just like the introductionary phase of the variables.
This time, we're going to the future.
Yeah, that's right.
We're going.
You see what I did there, V2?
Get it?
B2.
Love it.
So before Isaiah drops the beat on you, I have to get into character here.
Oh, no.
Oh, boy.
Isaiah, hit it.
Yes.
Yes.
Used to be a reporter.
Used to be a professional.
Capital change journalist.
And now I'm an entertainer.
Let's go.
Okay.
We can turn up the strobe light.
Did you already own these glasses?
Or did you purchase them for this podcast?
Definitely got them on Amazon.
100%.
He typed in futuristic glasses on Amazon.
The first.
freaking, you know, Amazon's choice joint, and that was it.
The first result for sure.
Just that. Yes, that's 100% true.
I don't know if you could tell there, but in addition to these glasses for the listener at
home who's listening to this audio podcast, the glasses are very, I guess, Star Trek
influenced, and there's a strobe light going when the music is going.
Very Jordy LaForge of you.
I mean, I appreciate the larger bit, even if I don't understand any of it.
I don't think you're supposed to.
You know, it's just supposed to be a vibe.
All right. And the vibe is future question mark? Yeah, it's like we're kicking it up a notch.
All right. I think you're more optimistic about the future than I am. I see the future is us kicking it down many notches over time. But look, I would love to live in a world in which we are kicking it up in honor of the future.
Okay. Well, we're doing it in honor specifically of the NBA finals. I have five questions for you. We'll bring back the music when we get to the next question. But first and foremost, we got to talk about guarding Luca and Kyrie. Rob, how the hell are the Boston Salta's going to do this? First follow-up question, are you going to wear these glasses for the entire show?
I got to be honest, they're kind of riding up on my face, so probably not, but, you know, we'll play it by here.
Okay. Well, if we're talking about Luca and Kyrie, how to approach these guys.
Was, I don't know what you're thinking. I'm thinking if I were the Celtics, I would start
Jalen Brown on Luca. I would start Drew on Kyrie. And then obviously you're flexing into other
matchups as the game goes on. But fundamentally, I think the choice is not like who guards them,
but how you guard them. And I'm probably switching as much as humanly possible. I think that does a
couple of different things. One hopefully keeps the bigs out of rotation, keeps them out of
situations where they're having to guard Luca in space, which I dislike even more than them having
to guard him one on one. And so I'm mostly doing that in an effort to contain action,
but I'm also doing it with an eye to the long game here, which is that the Celtics goal
is not to win game one. It's to wear Luca down over seven games. And the way you do that is
you switch and switch and switch and you make him beat you in ISO over and over and over.
and hopefully take away some of the momentum that the Mavs have had to their offense.
So for me, I disagree with you slightly, right?
Obviously, Drew Holiday needs to be involved.
But when I think about the myriad of defenders at this point
who have been thrown at Luca Donchish so far this playoffs,
the guy who had the most success is probably Lou Dord.
And the guy who can approximate the most Lou Dortness is Drew Holiday.
So I feel like you should put Drew on Luca.
and then sort of circle and rotate the guys that you decide to throw at Kyrie, whether you decide to do some Tatum to give him some length and some different looks.
Same thing with Brown.
Or, of course, our guy Derek White, I feel like could do a pretty decent job against him as well.
But for me, I want to try to get in that, you know, immovable object.
Crowd is airspace.
Obviously have great feet.
And just be, you know, as strong and compact, low center of gravity as possible.
possible because obviously Luca as a strength guy, I feel like the people that cannot be
bullied and pushed back are the guys that will do the best. So I would like to see Drew on
Luca to start and then do a brigade against Kyrie. Here's the thing about that is, is Drew
Holiday that guy? I almost wonder, he's the closest thing the Celtics have to a Lou Dort
physical specimen, but he's maybe 20 pounds lighter. Yeah. And when we've seen Luca get that
matchup before, honestly, he looks pretty comfortable with it.
I think...
So much taller in him, too.
He's so much taller, and he can get to his spots.
He can be really patient.
I think the wild card there is Drew's hands are so good.
And so when you're talking about, you know, Luca's a guy who's very hard to speed up,
who's hard to get off his cadence, maybe Drew can mess him up a little bit just by
swiping at the ball, just by getting in his space that way.
But in terms of pure size, Justin, I feel like Luca might be able to bully Drew a little bit.
Yeah, so I went back and watched the most recent game between the,
Mavs in the Celtics. So it was March 1st after the trade deadline, but still the Mavs were clearly
figuring things out. The defense hadn't clicked. Lively was starting with a mask on. This guy
is having above the shoulder issues even back then. But Josh Green was starting. Derek Jones,
Jr. hadn't been there. So there's a lot of things that they were still figuring out.
It seemed like Drew was getting the majority of the reps on Luka there. But Luka, even in a regular
season Friday matchup, was mismatch hunting. And it wasn't as much for like an Al Horford, the guy you
would expect, especially if Chris Dops
doesn't play in the series. We'll get to that later. But there
was a lot of targeting of Derek White
in a way that I was kind of struck by, because White's
an all-MBA defender, but I think the fact
that he's just smaller,
yeah, Luca can just bowl him over
and also shoot over the top of him. I was a little
surprised by that, and I wouldn't be
surprised if Luca just
starts doing that from the jump.
And then I think it gets into a bigger question about
like how much Boston
is going to be willing to give him the switch,
how much they're willing to even go beyond
what they typically do, which is try to guard people one-on-one and double and blitz.
And I think that gets into the bigger picture conversation about Joe Missoula.
How much are the Celtics going to do what they typically do versus how much is Luca going to force them out of that comfort zone?
Yeah.
It's going to be interesting how they choose to address those initial pick and roles.
And I think the best answer is switching ultimately, but fighting through any initial action and make them make you switch.
Right.
Don't just be giving it up.
I think the key with Luca especially,
you know, he can be a more deliberate player at times.
I think he's played with great pace in these playoffs.
But if you can make them screen and re-screen a couple times on that initial action,
then all of a sudden the clock is at his back a little bit.
And he doesn't get to pick and choose and decide all the terms of engagement.
He's going to have to settle for something at some point before hopefully your defense gives out.
I do think, though, that Derek White, you know, Derek White drew Holiday to all league defenders,
as we've said, where they factor into this series and how is going to be fascinating.
because Derek White, maybe he ends up being the primary on Kyrie.
I kind of think he'll be more of a secondary option there.
And where his greatest value may be for Boston's defense in these finals is playing more
of a roving spot.
You know, when Luca throws those cross-court passes that are always on the money,
maybe he can be the guy who's breaking off to intercept them, anticipating that sort of
action more than Derek White as, you know, go-to defensive stopper against even these two great
isolation options.
Yeah, we're going to get into the Biggs a little later.
But I also think this is kind of paired the look of conversation with how much they're playing
through the corners as well. Chris Herring had this stat that I loved from a recent ESPN preview where
in the playoffs, the Celtics are allowing 23.5% from three from the corners. And that's better than
they're a league best mark over the regular season, which is 35.2. The MAVs took 984 corner threes this
regular season at a 40.4% rate. And so clearly that is in conjunction with what's happening there,
right? If you're going to help off of that, clearly Luca is going to be able to hit the rolling
bigs, hit the guys in the corners. And so I wonder how much that's going to be another instance of
how much of the self is going to be able to do what they want to do, which is keep guys off of those
corners versus bring help toward Luca. So, and the three point shooting, we should mention, also has been a
big part of Luca's individual success of this postseason. I think they're six and five when
Lucas has shot under 36% from three. So a lot of these things are kind of connected. I mean,
game five, he won that damn thing in the first quarter by having a complete scorcher from three.
Like the game was one because this man went out and dropped 20 in the first quarter, four threes in the
process. So yeah, obviously there's some to that. But you know, that that 980 attempt from the
corner three is hilarious, but that's the offense you can generate when you have Luca Donchich at the
hell. It's also going to be interesting for Boston to see who is guarding those threes because
in particular, you know, say they, whether they're switching or doing a more traditional kind of drop-type
pick and roll coverage, whatever it is Boston ends up going to out of the gate, they want to
keep Al Horford and even Chrisapswitz away from Luca Donchich. And what that's going to mean is
those guys are probably not going to be guarding Daniel Gafford and Derek lively.
on a full-time basis.
It's going to be,
can we put them on Derek Jones
and get away with it?
Can we put them on PJ Washington
and get away with it?
Can we put them on Josh Green
later in the game
and get away with it?
And so for those guys,
they're going to be guarding the corners
and there's going to be that constant temptation,
especially if you're Porzingas,
who's a good rim protector,
do you rotate over on that backline
as Lucas kind of slinking his way
through the paint and try to affect his shot,
but in the process,
give up what could be a wide open three to,
a pretty credible three-point cast
for the Mavs.
Yeah.
And that's why I think this is probably less a Luca conversation.
Because Lucas is just going to get his.
He's probably going to have a 30 point triple double if he's having a reasonably good game.
And more about some of those other guys around there.
PJ Washington in particular really had a rough Western Conference finals from an offensive perspective.
And so if he's not hitting, that just makes things easier for the Celtics.
And they have so many options defensively already.
And so I wonder if that just like tightens up a little bit of what else Luca could do beyond get his.
Can we have a conversation about that as far as sort of the devil's advocate position
on whether you should trap Luca Donchich at the beginning of basically every game?
And I think there's a couple reasons to do it.
One, Waz, you're avoiding the game five scenario where he comes out guns of blazing,
just torching whoever is in front of him.
But moreover, I think what the value of that strategy could be if you want to go to it
is you're forcing the ball to these corner shooters right out of the gate.
and let's say they miss two or three of those looks in a row.
Let's say they miss a couple good opportunities cutting backdoor
and they just aren't able to convert them.
The value of that to me isn't just, oh, we won the first quarter
because the Mavs only scored 22 points.
Can we start to fray some of the trust in those passes
by making Luca make difficult reads out of traps
and then those guys can't convert?
What can we get psychologically out of that sort of thing?
So if you can guarantee me that the guy that's taking most of,
the shots and having to do most of the reads is Derek White, then cool. I'm with that,
but like, I hate the alternative of one, Kyriek constantly attacking a scrambling Boston defense
and to PJ Washington, you know, having those games like he did in Oklahoma where this guy
can't miss a freaking shot. I don't want to play an entire game where I have, where I feel like
I have to guard this guy, where I have to dart out on closeouts, where I have to like literally
react to any action that might go his way.
I like the idea of, you know, this guy doesn't know when his next shot is going to come
and he's not in a rhythm and he has to build that rhythm.
I'd much rather that, but I feel you in a sense that Luca, you know, most stars,
superstars like tend to do the, oh, I'm going to get the feel of the game and then take over
where I need Pete Lucas's like, no, I'm just going to try to score immediately.
I'm just going to try to dominate right now as soon as the ball goes up.
He's got the feel of the game.
He's walking into the arena with the.
feel for the game. And the counterpoint to the counterpoint to the counterpoint, Justin,
is, yeah, you can play with those percentages and dare other non-Luca Mavs to beat you and hope
that they're not Kyrie one pass away. But then Derek Jones is hitting like almost 50% of his
threes in the Western Conference finals. PJ Washington, I agree, didn't have the best offensive
series, but when he finally did get daylight was hitting from the corners in the way that we're
used to. Yeah, I almost feel like it plays into Lucas' hand to allow him to get off and then start
sending help because when you're scrambling, and especially when he's playing from an advantage,
it seems like that's when he's most dangerous because he's going to get you as you're in rotation
or as you're trying to cover or make something else happen. And so I think there's going to be a point,
probably in game one even, where that happens. And we have to see if Joe Missoula will stick to
the plan, we'll do what he wants to do, which is not send the extra help, or he's just going to have
to deal with Luca cooking regardless of whoever he is in front of him. And so I,
I think we'll hit that in game one probably at some point.
I wouldn't be surprised if we see it most games even.
And if honestly,
I can see that dictating a lot of just the series as a whole.
There's also one little device.
Here's one free hack that the Mavs could use to unlock their offense.
Ball, like guard to guard ball screens.
We haven't seen them do very much of it in these playoffs.
I don't know exactly why that is.
But we're, you know, as we're unpacking this,
and if we think Derek White in particular is to,
small to guard Luca. If we think Drew Holiday
might be too small to guard Luca and either
of those guys regarding Kyrie, you use
Kyrie as the screener for Luca and then
one of two things is going to happen, you're going to get a switch
with Luca against a smaller player he can attack
or the two guys trapping him are going to leave
Kyrie one pass away and he gets to make all the decisions
against a tilted defense. I think it could
go a long way towards breaking down
one of the best defensive teams in the league.
I think some of this has to do with whether or not Porzingas
is there to deter the inside and some of the
role guys, but we'll get to that.
a bit. Before that, we have our next question. So, Isaiah, hit it. Jesus Christ.
It's also got a daft punk vibe to it, too. I just thought about that. Like, the strobe
lights made me think of the robots. So daft punk, deep space nine, it's all happening right now.
I'm into it. I'm sorry about you guys. Clearly, you're definitely the type where I could see you
having an alternate DJ persona where you wear some giant like animal head, like a mascot type head,
You know, as part of your bit.
Is that be a segment at the live show?
If you would like it to be, we'll go full furry with you, Justin.
DJJV while you spoon soup into my mouth.
Yeah, it should be fun.
DJV for short.
Let's just, let's tighten that up, editor.
I like it.
I like it.
All right.
Next question.
Did the East Finals ease your anxieties about the Celtics decision making?
Wads, I feel like this is a question for you.
I mean, I don't feel worse.
Like, I'm not like, oh, the Celtics are a worst decision-making.
team than I thought. I just think the Celtics talent-wise, like they're good enough talent-wise
to win the championship. They just don't always, like when it's time to stray from whatever
their rigid-ass philosophy of basketball, which is jack a bunch of threes, right? On offense,
particularly. Whenever it's time to deviate from that, it feels like they struggle. Maybe they will find
it in this series, and there will be a time where it's just like, look, man, we can't just keep jacking up
threes. We need to deviate from that. We need to let Drew Holiday stick his shoulder into somebody's
chest and get to the rack or get to the free throw line. We need to let Jalen Brown, you know,
pursue his instinct to attack the basket. Like, are they going to be able to deviate from the plan?
That's my question about the Celtics. Now, did they ever really have to in the Eastern Conference
finals? That's the thing. They did not. Again, I'm not going to be like, oh, they're even worse than I
thought I don't feel that way, but I need to see them actually do that.
They did look good in crunch time.
And sometimes it took crazy shot making from Jalen Brown or Jason Tatum to get there.
But that's what life in the NBA is, especially life in the playoffs.
You need crazy shot making from your best players.
And Boston did the thing.
We've been kind of waiting for them to do all season, which is be good down the stretch
of some of those games and in those moments.
And look, God knows if you're playing against Kyrie Irving and Luca Donchich, you're going
to have to be able to match those guys.
at some point in a series like this one,
especially if the game is in any kind of balance.
I think there's two sub-questions within this, Justin,
about the Celtics decision-making.
There's the clutch part of that,
where we saw them do well against the Pacers.
And then there's kind of what you're alluding to,
which is the second and third quarters of these games,
when things can kind of go off the rails for them at times,
and they do get a little too much into their process.
And I am reassured by the fact that they find a way.
Like this is a team that is so talented
that they don't even have to play well to win
and I think there's a really realistic chance
they win the title without really having played
a great game in these NBA finals
and maybe a great game at any point in these playoffs
like they have that in them
and so that might be what ends up happening
I still wonder at some of those wayward points
like how hard and fast do you want to stick
to what does you think you want to do
and in particular the Mavs are a really good rotation team
that have been able to chase shooters
off the line in all of these series.
And in a way that feeds into the way the Celtics want to play for better and worse,
like if they just get into that, like that blender for the entirety of the shot clock
and keep looking for the better shot, I think that could actually wind up playing
to Dallas's advantage.
But ultimately, I kind of fall back on the fact that their decision making just doesn't
have to be perfect.
It doesn't have to be great.
It can just be pretty good.
And they're so talented, especially if Porzingis is healthy enough to play, that they
could win the series anyway. So the Celtics and the playoffs were four and no in clutch situations.
Now, one of those happened to be game one of the Eastern Conference finals where they're practically
gifted that win. And does three and one look as good as four or no? Definitely not. But
Matt, six and three, you got to take a gift, you know? A hundred percent. You got to receive it.
Much like my artistry to you, Rob, you have to receive this gift that I'm giving to you.
Are we not going to acknowledge though? Like the clutch situation,
the competition, like, it's, they're levels.
They're levels to be in clutch.
I'll say this, though, in the regular season.
So the Mavs were second in clutch winning percentage.
The Celtics were four.
Wow, that surprises me.
It does, yeah.
But I think the whole thing just feeds into your general perception,
everyone's general perception of the Celtics,
which is like, on paper, they are incredible,
which when you watch it in practice,
it's just not as seamless,
and it doesn't reflect what you're seeing on the data readout.
So, just to be clear,
My thought of the Celtics is not that they can't be clutch.
It's that I'd like to see them do it against real teams consistently.
I just want to see it happen.
I'm not saying they're incapable, right?
So this question ultimately, like, when I think of teams from the past,
I think of, like, the Warriors when they won it in 2015,
when they came up, they went down to 1 to the Memphis Grizzlies,
and it's like, holy shit, was this whole thing of,
fucking fraud and is not going to actually work and like what the hell's going to happen.
And then they was like, hold up, man, we don't got to guard Tony Allen.
We're going to do this.
We're going to blah, blah, blah.
Keep going.
Like they found an answer for a problem that they had not previously faced.
Or in the Celtics case, they faced this problem.
They just haven't done anything about it.
But you know what I mean?
Like, just problem solving on the fly.
I just wonder if they're going to have it in them to do that.
That's it.
Yeah.
They sure had the cable.
ability in the pieces to do that. Come on.
There are a historically great regular season team that we believe in enough to want
them to play that way. And I think what works about the Celtics is by having so many
shooters and guys who operated a high level and do make baseline smart decisions, they put
other teams in so many binds that they just win out in the aggregate, right? If you have to
guard all these guys driving and attacking and dishing and shooting, eventually that wears you
down. And I think that's going to be a big part of the series, too, the mental fatigue of both
of these teams runs. The Mavs have been through a lot to get through this point. That team is like
emotionally speaking, mentally speaking, worn down in a way that the Celtics by level of competition
are probably not. And how that may pay off, again, when you get into these blender situations,
when you're getting into game three and game four of the series and you have to deal with everything that
Boston puts out there, that takes a lot out of anybody. Even a team that's like as good and as
plucky and as great in the clutch as the mavs are.
They may not make it to the clutch in some of these games because the Celtics just beat you
outright in the interim.
Yeah, I also wonder how much the Celtics abundance of options and guys that you have to guard
puts Miles on Kyrie and Luca on the defensive end.
They really didn't have to do a ton.
Luca has been great defensively at times.
Kyrie has been active in a way that I think we overlooked because so much has changed in
the NBA that we forgot that superstars tend to lock in on defense in the playoffs.
And so a pretty bad defender like Luca in the regular season just kind of leverages his advantages in the postseason.
All of a sudden, it's not as much of a sore spot.
But you're going to have to get out on a lot of shooters in this series.
I mean, this is probably a backdoor Christop's conversation.
But just like there's going to be a lot to get after.
And I think they did a good job Dallas did of limiting OKC shooters in that series.
That was like one of the best three-point shooting teams in the regular season.
and they had like just an okay game.
But the Thunder don't have as many sure shooters as I think the Celtics do.
I think like the Thunder, because of their lineup, Jenga, put out guys like Giddy and whatnot,
who you would expect to miss some of the shots that were left open to them.
I don't think you're going to get that advantage with the Celtics.
And so I almost wonder if this question is as much about the MAV's defense as it is about the Celtics offense.
Well, if you want to backdoor that conversation, Justin, and the larger Chris Saps-Pors-Zingis conversation,
Do you want to cue us up with the drop for question three?
I appreciate that.
And yes, I do.
It's an abbreviated version.
I appreciate it.
I don't want the full sting every time.
That was actually Isaiah's gift to you guys.
I was like, just two, 25 seconds every time.
Question number three.
Who has the big advantage in this series
Dallas's bouncy rim protectors or Boston spacers?
Rob?
Yeah.
So I think not to sort of divert the question right out of
the gate, but this has as much to do with the other Mavericks defenders too and how they chase
guys off the line. Because on its face, I kind of lean toward Boston spacers and they're spacing
bigs in particular having a bigger effect on this series. Just because in the other ones, as you mentioned
with Josh Giddy and the other matchups the Mazz have had, there's been somewhere to put Gaffert
or lively, right? You can put him on Rudy Gobert and Gobert's not going to score outside of basically
the length of his arm, give or take, an occasional Jordan fade away.
you can put them on Josh Giddy and get away with,
you know,
whatever Giddy is going to take from three
or whatever cuts he tries to make.
Where do you put Gafferden Lively in this matchup?
You know,
I'm sure they will at times challenge Al Horford
and say like,
you know what,
tonight we're going to see if you can hit
the better part of 10 threes.
I'm sure that that game is coming.
But as far as like non-traditional matchups
in the starting lineup or really in the top six,
Waz like I still see like a safe place to put the bigs.
And if you can't put them anywhere,
are safe, how do they stay near the basket to protect it?
So I wanted to come out here and say the Mavs, bigs, have the big advantage.
But it's hard for me to be like Gafford and a rookie are better than Chris Stabs and Al
Horford.
Again, I get it.
Al Horford's a little longer in the tooth.
But like, Porzengis literally took the top off of this offense and turned it into a
goddamn sports car convertible.
Like, that actually happened.
I mean, Gafford and Lively did just outplay an All-Star and the defensive player of the year.
For sure.
And those guys, and the reason why I was tempted to go that way, just for clarity, is like, because they do play big.
Like, these guys are huge.
They make it very hard to score in the paint.
They, when teams did put little guys on them throughout these playoffs, Lively took a minute
before he could make a freaking layup.
Like, he had the first two rounds where he just bricked layup after layup.
But, like, they've made people.
pay. They've played like big guys aggressively and hunting those matchups. But I think Chris
Stavs, if he can, you know, still provide coming off of the calf situation, still provide some
resistance at the cup. And of course, it's not just that he spaces like Al, it's that he spaces
out to like 28 feet. You know, that's the big deal right there. And so, yeah, I'll give the Celtics
the slight advantage, particularly when you consider injuries and things like that. But also,
I'm not going to be surprised if Jason Kidd schemes up a way to keep his bigs closer to the basket
than we think. I know we're doing like this geometry problem where it's like, well, there are five guys
around the perimeter and where the hell is the guy going to go? Like if he's going to guard people.
Like Jason Kidd has been really, really creative, man. And so I wouldn't be surprised if he finds a way
to make sure, you know, there's a big over there at some point. Yeah, that was the other thing
that jumped out to me watching the game from March
is just how good Christops is
and how much he fuels the rest of everything that they do.
And I think that harkens back to the decision-making conversation.
It does felt like the natural order of the Celtics
with Christops in there is that Christops takes the first half
or the first quarter and then it gives way to that other stuff
so that they might have an advantage just in points,
but also maybe Jalen and Jason are freer or a little bit more spry.
And then they kind of come in.
And it's almost like a two-prong attack.
in the way that the maps have had Luca giving way to Kyrie.
And so having Christops is a completely different scenario
than what we've seen for the Celtics.
There's also just the part of that
where everyone looks so much more brilliant
when they have even more space to work with.
And the difference between the Al Horford space
and the Chris Staps for Zingas space is pretty profound.
I feel like the defenses feel like they can get out to Al.
Al is hugging the three point line.
Hugging the three point line.
He'll also, he will have games where he goes three for 12.
Like he does have those games.
Now, by percentage, still a really good three-point shooter.
But sometimes with playoff series, you want to see if like, can we get the variance on this one night?
And can we get, can we steal this one by challenging the lesser of our bad options to hit threes?
And oftentimes that's Al Horford.
Like you don't want Jason Tatum and Jalen Brown and Derek White and Drew Holiday, who's now hitting 40% of his threes.
You don't want those guys taking those shots necessarily.
Yeah.
I mean, I wonder if the Mavs and Kid will.
see someone who's struggling.
Like, Christops can be streaky at time.
The percentages have been sterling the past two seasons.
But, you know, like, if he's not hitting, maybe all of a sudden you park a guy in the lane
make him beat you that way.
But it's just a completely different team.
I have the Celtics down as 46 and 15 with a 75% winning percentage with Christops.
It's including the however many games he played in the playoffs.
The one wrinkle to all of this, though, is it seemed like Missoula, when things got
tight would default to a double big situation.
And even saw this earlier in the regular season.
The playoffs in particular, he did that.
I wonder if that impulse is going to be there, but I almost wonder again if that plays
into the map's hand, because I think your advantage is having the shooters out there in order
to spread them out and cover so much ground.
But Missoula will ultimately be like, oh, we're losing the rebounding battle.
We need to get Tillman in there.
And it's just like, don't do that.
Actually, this is the series where I almost want Joe to be default Joe.
not ambitious, non-micke Boodenholzer style joke.
Yeah, I don't think the answer to anything at this point is to get Tillman in there.
He hasn't looked good.
Really, very few of Boston's bench players have.
And this is a part of the Chris Hussinger's conversation, too.
If he's not healthy, they really only had five guys who had any kind of positive impact
on the Eastern Conference finals.
That can change quickly.
You know, Payton Pritcher can go off and have a great series.
We did see some good minutes here and there from O'Shea Bresset.
a little late, but some good stints in small, like small amounts of time, I just don't know how many
Celtics beyond those top guys I really trust. And maybe that doesn't matter in the NBA finals.
Maybe you can ride six, even if one of them is coming off of an injury, pretty hard and get as far
as you need to go and just kind of grit and bear it with whoever you need to plug into the lineup.
But if we're looking for release points for any kind of Mavs defender, some of it may come down to
like, I don't know, is Luke Cornett on the floor? You know, it's like, who can we exploit that's not one
of their core guys and how much will those players actually play?
I will say I think lively will get enough off of activity just because if he's healthy,
we'll say that first and foremost.
He had the next train he did play in that last game.
And obviously we're still awaiting the specific diagnosis on Christops or his availability
for the series.
We're kind of operating under the assumption that he is going to play because everything
is kind of going in that direction, but we're recording this on Saturday afternoon.
It's still up in the air there.
But I think lively has shown enough that he can just be bouncy and has the motor and whatnot to do
so did you guys realize that he didn't miss a shot the entire western conference finals?
14 to 15 something shots.
16 for 16.
Layups and dunks.
I get it.
But just catching as we saw on the other end of things with the wolves.
Yeah.
It could be half the battle.
Also, I don't know if you guys knew this.
Lively has played now 16 playoff games in his first year.
Chris Dops throughout his entire career, 14 games.
Wow.
So Lifeley is actually.
That's a wild step.
Maybe something to consider, folks.
Yeah.
All right.
Next question.
Wait, hold on.
Do we have to hold on?
Hell yeah.
The finger guns just killed me, man.
You're doing four different visual bits at once on a podcast.
I know.
I'm like the Celtics offense.
There's just a lot going on here.
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So we have game one of the NBA finals coming up on Thursday.
I got to say, I like the Celtics at home minus six and a half.
That's kind of a pretty high spread considering the way that the maps have been playing.
know at this point right now if Chris Stops is going to be playing how much he's going to be playing
what does his rotation look like but I still think if he's in there the Celtics win that one
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Number four,
who's the most intriguing figure in this series?
Was, do you want to go first?
Yeah, he's come up a lot,
but I think it's Drew Holiday.
I think if he's,
if he is a,
factor on both ends, meaning we don't get wild and crazy and mysterious Drew Holiday offense
where he's completely taking him out of their stuff, shooting stepbacks that are contested
and generally playing wild. If he's contributing on offense and he's contributing, meaning
he's making life harder for Luca or Kyrie or both when he draws the assignment, I feel
like that's the key to Boston winning the series. If they, if they, if they, if they, if
They don't meaning, if they're not meaningfully able to bother Luca or Kyrie, I don't think
they can win.
And I think Drew Holiday has to be one of, if not two of the people that is performing
that task.
So to me, he holds the key to the series, to be honest.
I'm going to take that and go even broader and say that Kyrie is one of the most intriguing
figures, if not the most intriguing figure in the series.
For exactly the reasons you mentioned, was like you got to take him out.
stepping on the Celtic head.
That was fun.
Stepped on the Celtic head.
He saged up that building.
He is the narrative focal point of this series.
At the point where an opposing fan base is chanting that they want you.
You become the main character.
And in a lot of ways, he will be the main character of these NBA finals.
He also is the player with probably the most to say about what the Mavs do if and when
Luca gets trapped.
If the ball is forced out of his hands, he's going to have to do a lot.
He's going to be critical in breaking down one of the best defensive teams.
in the league if that can be done.
And he's also going to be doing something that he hasn't been doing a lot of lately,
which is play basketball in the city of Boston.
It's been five years since he was a Celtic.
During that time, he has played in Boston all of four times.
There's been...
In B-level ducking.
You know, some of those are real injuries.
Some of those are mysterious absences.
As you mentioned, Justin, the last time they were in Boston,
he played with the Mavs this season.
There's some interesting stuff in that game to pull.
pull up, although it's, you know, both teams at very different points relative to where they are now.
But Kyrie did not shoe well, one for seven from three in that game.
Clearly there's a lot to exercise here for the Celtics and Kyrie both.
And I look forward to watching him attempt to do it.
I look forward to them trying to quash his dreams.
Just seeing these two old friends on both sides of it, I think is going to make for great basketball.
Here's the question.
Do you think all of the Celtics young players rush over to Kyrie and hug him before tip off of game one?
Do you think we'll see that?
Or have been enough?
Tatum definitely shows him some love off the Duke shit.
Well, their relationship is reportedly much better than the Kyrie, Jalen Brown relationship, for example,
which may have improved somewhat over time, but you don't get the impression those two
were quite fast friends during his Celtics time.
I thought Jalen and Kyrie were closer now.
That may be true now.
Yeah.
I mean, they don't call Jalen Brown peach tree Kyrie for no reason, y'all.
I'll just say that.
Yeah, there's some.
There's some synergies there that would make me think that they could piss each other off, honestly.
I think I think Jalen has at times worn Kyrie's shoes and like kind of backed him during
Kyrie's like pushback against Nike.
Like they're aligned.
They says Kyrie and Brown are not friends.
Are now friends.
Yeah.
Gotcha.
I think we've had meaningful progress.
You know, over time, anyone can mend fences, you know, we can make irresponsible bets
regarding the Denver Nuggets,
we can feed each other soup,
and then all is forgiven.
And they'll both show up
on a New York City sidewalk
yelling about the true chosen people of God.
It'll be fantastic, guys.
That's certainly a possibility.
Just get some gazpacho going,
and everything will be fine.
I will say this.
During these playoffs,
you know, Kyrie has asked constantly
about Luca's exploits
and especially coming out of the Western Conference Finals.
There's a lot of talk about Luca and Anthony Edwards,
these two young stars in the league.
He would go out of his way,
to kind of list out the tier of young stars,
always including Tatum and Brown.
So he's certainly doffing the cap,
and when he's been given the bait of what is playing
against the Celtics mean to you,
man,
he is ducking and dodging.
He's weaving around that question.
He's dancing, just like he's dribbling a basketball.
Yes, the man knows how to deek, that's for sure.
Well, I want to go back to Waz's point about Drew Holiday
because maybe these are all kind of connected.
I think this gets back to my point.
about the Mavs having to guard the Celtics.
I do think that Luca will probably be tasked with guarding Drew.
And so what Drew can do offensively,
in addition to what he can do defensively against Luca,
I think might be a sneaky key to this series,
if only because, like, if you're going to slouch off of somebody,
if Drew's not hitting, which he tends to do at times,
like, obviously that's someone you could pick.
I also think, like, the Celtics have done an awesome job
with getting Drew involved, both early in the game
when he has, like, a bad game and making sure that he has the reps early,
almost like you want to feed the big in certain situations
just to get his hands on the ball
because Drew does so much else for this team,
but also late just attacking mismatches in the post.
Drew can post up Kyrie for one,
but I also think he could have some success against Aluka.
I know Luke was bigger than him,
but like Drew's like a fucking rock solid dude at this point.
I don't know.
If the Celtics offense is redounding to Drew Holiday postups
against Luca Donchich,
they're having major problems.
It's not.
It's just one of the options that I don't know.
So to me, to me why you got to put Luca on Drew Holiday, because it's like on screens,
you can just go under.
You know what I mean?
And Luca's been, has been doing a good, a better job than has previously ever been in his
freaking life.
I think, I think Van McMahon brought this up where like one of the Mavs assistant coaches
used to always yell at him 450 because he was the 450 ranked defensive player in the NBA,
right?
Like, I think the cool thing about professional guys and having professional pride,
once you're starting three plus plus plus defenders,
Kyrie and Luca now have so much pride.
They're like, bro, I can't just be the obvious weakest link.
And I have to rise up my level.
I think Drew Holliday is a fine matchup for Luca Donchage.
The backdoor Drew Slander is noted and just rebuked.
Well, I'll say this.
Drew's been off in this postseason.
He's like one of the best postseason.
Yeah.
And it's been a popular strategy throughout the regular season.
Start is shaky, but he's on track now.
Teams have tried to get away with the like put your center on Drew and leverage that
matchup and dare him to shoot.
And he's burned some people along the way all throughout the regular season and
hearing these playoffs when they've attempted to do that.
I think his shot has been good enough.
And I do think Luca or otherwise, the mads will try to go under on some of his ball
screens and dare him to take those shots.
though the catch and shoots are obviously kind of a different matter for him.
What I like about Luca in that matchup is not to do the full Nicola Yoakish is Akema Lajuan bit,
and I don't want to overstate Luca's defensive value.
Someone could put together a pretty sizzling reel of Luca Donchage closeouts in these playoffs,
where he is hard charging, flying out at people in a way that, frankly, I did not expect him to do,
and I don't think I've ever seen him do before.
So the fact that he's been able to make up ground
and actually get two guys in the corner,
that makes me think, one, I feel okay with him
on a borderline shooter like Drew
and playing off it and trying to help
and gum up things inside too.
I also feel good about him at his size
guarding a smaller player and flying out at them
and what kind of disruption that could cause.
There's a real Hulk quality to Luca,
especially during the playoffs,
where it's almost like his rage fits
just to allow him to be more precise
and just active than he typically is.
Do not antagonize.
him. That is clearly the lesson we've learned, but also,
you know, not to marvelize this podcast.
Or don't antagonize him and he's just going to
make up and, you know,
antagonist anyway. Like, you don't
have to actually do it. He's going to
invent one. But how is he going to cope
if Kyrie is the primary antagonist and no one really
bothers heckling Luca anymore?
You know, apparently he loves Kyrie to death.
So if you, if you heckle Kyrie,
he's going to turn that into a personal
heckle of himself. Like,
I don't know. I think Luke is going to be
pissed, play pissed off no matter what. And before we get off of this, I just want to say one thing,
because this has been rolling through social media and getting on my goddamn nerves. Oh,
let's hear it. I'm somebody who has given a lot of love to what Kyrie's been doing this postseason.
Basically, his whole stint in Dallas, he's obviously been mega positive, both on and off the floor.
He's endeared himself to the team. He's been a model citizen. And as a fan of the game, is dope to see
one of our stars no longer soaking around like a baby.
I'm happy to see Kyrie happy.
He seems that be in a great place.
He seems very contented.
However, we don't owe that Negro an apology.
I'm sorry, bro.
Like, the contempt and ire that he drew in the past few years was deserved.
No, but he was not wrong.
We don't have to go back and change the course of his.
No, he was being a jerk at times.
He was being ridiculous.
And even if you want to say, yo, I defended his right to not get the Vax.
All right, cool.
Whatever.
Like, that still doesn't mean like all this other stuff that he participated in in Brooklyn was not ridiculous.
I'm sorry.
You don't got, like, we can give him praise for finding himself and doing this thing and, like, being one of the most fun guys to watch our whole season without doing the...
The praise better be as loud as the whole season.
to be as loud as the apology or whatever
people say on so. I'm just like
nobody owes Kyrie an apology
bro. I 100% agree.
If you're interested in this subject
I would implore you to visit
the ringer.com later this week.
Two,
maybe sometimes it's possible
that the entirety
or the majority of the basketball or
NBA world is not wrong.
And in fact,
Kyrie Irving has changed a lot about the way
he operates as a teammate, as a
in the world as an adult human being.
I believe in that capacity and I believe in his personal growth.
And genuinely, he's spoken to it.
So I don't know why we would be like we'd be going out of our way.
But I'm not crazy.
You guys have seen this redemption art for Kyrie.
Like he was persecuted like the Lord and Savior himself.
People want to conflate it with like the Daniel Gafford trade where the Mavs unlocked
this like better version of him as a human.
No, he's just like he did something.
something bad in the past.
He's gotten better as a teammate and a basketball player.
And it's okay to say both things.
By the way, one more thing to that.
I want to give props to Nico Harrison and the entire Mab's front office for
cultivating a structural environment where it's not just these guys come in and we kiss
their asses all up and down the place and give them the run of the place and be shocked
that they're not good at managing an entire organization by themselves as Hoopers.
That was the opposite of what happened in Brooklyn.
And I think you see what those folks kind of reap what they sowed.
I think that's part of it too.
In Dallas, like, it's professionalism, man.
Like, they're not just saying, like, Kyrie can't just show up and be like,
do we need Jason Kidd as a coach?
Do we even need a coach?
That's Lucas job.
Like, stop it.
I will say the Mavs do bend over backward for Luca, but you're right.
It's different when Kyrie comes in as the clear-cut number two.
We maybe don't need as much as the guy who's operating everything.
Yeah.
It's also like this whole conversation, however you want to enter into the Kyrie revisionist history, like battleground,
it's not just people like us.
It's not just other journalists.
It's not just people on Twitter.
you can tell what the NBA and other teams and other general managers thought of Kyrie Irving
by the minimal return he fetched in trade.
Exactly.
People were extremely worried about his long-term prospects as a player.
And he did a lot and he has done a lot to change that impression and to change that image
and rather than relitigating give him credit for doing that.
Yeah.
That's what I want to celebrate what he's doing now.
It's fun.
Absolutely.
Totally.
Just to wrap this question up,
I have Joe Missoula
written down
for the reasons
I've kind of been insinuating
along the way.
I do think the most interesting
matchup might be Luca
versus Joe Mazza.
Is it because of this letterboxed account
or is it his coach?
Wait, is he actually on letterbox
or is it just the town?
I doubt it.
His four favorites are just the town,
the town,
the town,
the town.
Yeah, period.
One of them's the departed,
actually.
It's when he's feeling a little spicy.
No,
although,
did you guys catch the,
the quote of him
the other day
when a reporter asked him about Kyrie being perceived as a villain in the series.
And his response is, we're all villains in someone's eyes.
Wow.
So maybe he's watching Batman now, too.
Whose eyes are we villains?
Wait, whose eyes in are we villains of?
Or however you would have construct that sentence?
The Rollins.
Podcast.
Logan Murdoch, we're calling you out.
Howard, come on.
No, but I do think like the cat and mouse game between Missoula and Luca is going to be interesting
because Luca puts so much stress on an entire structure and just watching the way he's able to
manipulate literally anything that someone throws against him is one of the most fascinating things
and doing so in such like a slow motion but yet like super thread the needle precise sort of
way is one of my favorite things. And so seeing how much Missoula is going to counter how much
she's going to stick to the plan.
Honestly, I think might determine the series.
I do feel like the deliberate way that Luca breaks people down
makes it so much more painful and hard to play against
than if he were an explosive athlete.
There is something to the fact that it's like you see it coming.
You know, like it's not that you can't stay in front of him
because he's quicker than you.
It's that you can't stay in front of him
because he's outthinking you.
And he's beating your defense basically on the fundamentals of your own scheme.
He knows what you're running in and out,
almost better than you do.
And that creates all kinds of problems.
And as we've seen it,
it's led to basically tearing some teams apart.
All right.
Two more questions.
Hit it, Isaiah.
I know you're going for Star Trek and really the future,
but it is more of a Doc Brown,
like where we're going,
we don't need roads kind of visor that you found.
Is that Back to the Future three?
That's the end of Back to the Future One.
So I guess you are going to the future in a way.
Great.
I love it.
I don't know most of what you're,
saying right now, but we'll go with it.
This is a two-parter.
First one, Dallas wins if.
Rob, you want to go first?
The games are close.
Hmm. That's spicy.
I mean, we talked about the most intriguing factors and figures in this series.
Big series for the clutch gene.
Big series for clutch play.
I know Boston has been better, but as we've said, there are levels to that and levels
to the kind of clutch competition they're going to see.
I would not want to be in a close game with Luca and
Kyrie. I would not want to be in a close game with this rim protection and this offensive
rebounding and all of these role players for the Mavs that have been stepping up and hitting huge
shots. But I think there's obviously kind of layered and you can bullet point this out. It's if the
games are close, if the Mavs win some of that shooting variance with Boston's Biggs and Al Horford
or Chris Daps have bad shooting nights and are dared to shoot and can't convert, I think Dallas
could easily steal this series away from them. If the Mavs can keep the flow of their offense
against another elite defensive opponent
and it doesn't devolve into
isolation your turn, my turn,
offense, which Dallas is so careful
to avoid, but sometimes you can't avoid it.
If they can stay out of that,
I think they win this series.
I also think they win this series
that Chris Epsborzingis is not a full participant in it.
And that could be he plays
but isn't fully right.
That could mean he starts the series
but doesn't finish it.
Boston needs him.
And Justin, you already spoke to how much
that unlocks for them,
but like they also just need.
the bodies and the quality players in the rotation to get through this against the team like Dallas.
Yeah. So I would take it one step beyond Luca and just say if Luca gets enough help,
they'll win this series, because I think Luca's going to get his regardless. I think we've
kind of outlined that. I think he's going to have like a 30 point triple double or thereabouts,
pretty much damn every game. But if he's able to activate the livelihoods and the Gaffords,
the PJ Washington's, then it's just an overwhelming amount of offense that even a historic
best in class offense like the Celtics
just can't keep up with.
Wise, what do you have?
I think the Mavericks win
if the Celtics don't singe their eyeballs
and eyelashes off from three point lines.
So if they get decent three point luck
from the Celtics,
I think they're going to win this
because I just don't know
why I should think the Celtics
are going to take them out
of what they want to do.
Like, they couldn't take the Pacers
out of what they wanted to do.
Like, I feel like the Mavs are harder to guard
than the Pacers.
Is that crazy?
crazy to me like that seems reasonable right and so you know and again to me the mabs are going to be
the ones getting the most like what we call easy buckets right like a bigger guy on a cross
match pins a guy down you know on a transition gets too easy free throws lobs which are basically
like 85% field goal attempts like corner threes it's a generating corner threes like i think
they're going to get the better, they're going to generate the better offense throughout the course
of the series. But, you know, if Chris Staps is making 28 footers with regularity and that just
jumbles up the way you want to guard these guys, if Al Horford is shooting at a 40-something percent
clip, like, you know, if Jason Tatum is making a nice percent of his off-the-drible jump shots,
like, then yeah, I think Boston's going to win, but I think Dallas is going to generally get
the more system, the more, you know, quality looks, if you will.
Let's through the flip side now.
Boston wins if.
I'm going to go first here.
Porzingis shows up.
Now, again, we don't know how much he's going to play in this series,
if he's going to play in this series.
But if we get a reasonably healthy Porzingis,
I do think it changes the calculus of everything that the Celtics do.
I'm both glad and also kind of disappointed in myself
for going back and watching that old regular season game,
because I almost feel like I got lulled into this alternate timeline
before the Mavs really clicked into place
and are the version that we've seen throughout this postseason.
But good God, the Celtics with Porzenges are a completely different team.
I know he's not exactly nailed.
I know he's not exactly the physical presence that they probably need at times,
but like the room protection, which we haven't talked a lot about,
but also like the offensive, just rounding out everything that you're doing there,
I realize why this team, when you watch.
this team with Porzingis had historic numbers
pretty much across the board in the regular season.
So if Porzingis shows up and is Porzingis,
I'm having a hard time picking them
in anything less than six, honestly.
And that certainly ties into some of the easy offense
that you were walking through was, right?
It's neither the Mavs nor the Celtics
get to the rim a ton.
It's really just the lobs for the Mavs
and the occasional transition buckets.
The Celtics, as we said,
have a healthy three-point shooting diet
and also get into the mid-range.
So they're not getting to the rim a ton either.
but it's not about what they want to do in volume.
It's about the easy stuff you take away.
And if you can deny a team, through Chrisaps, Morgings, for example,
six or eight points off of lobs because he's able to protect the rim.
That's a huge difference in a series like this.
That's a huge difference in any one of these games.
I think if the Celtics can mix up their coverages and execute them at a high level,
they will win.
It's not about how you guard Luca Dantzsche or Kyrie Irving.
It's about all of the ways that you could.
potentially do it to try to keep those guys off balance.
And Luca in particular, part of the reason why we walk through, do you guard him with
this guy or that guy or this guy or that guy, it can't be one option.
It has to be everybody.
And it has to be different guys thrown in at different times to try to just change up what
he does.
I think we saw Kyle Anderson do a great job of that, for example.
And who is the Celtics Kyle Anderson going to be?
I think there's lots of candidates as a team with a lot of great defenders.
Can they execute a variety of coverages at a really high level?
and then the other thing is like, can Boston keep their heads?
And if they do that, and I think we have lots of reason to think that they will
based on these playoffs, they will win.
They should win this series.
The Celtics should win this series.
Yeah, to me the Celtics win.
One, Chris Stabs has to play.
That's the one, but two, like, they have to bother the Mavs offense.
I just, I can't see them winning the NBA championship because they shot 53s a game.
Like that, like, I don't think they can actually win that way.
I think, though, but, you know, they might actually try to play that way, so whatever.
But I do think if they can guard these guys and bother them in ways that at certain points we saw OKC do, if not the Mavs at all, I think that they do have a truly fantastic job of, excuse me, a shot of beating these guys.
They got to do it on defense to me.
I just don't think it's going to be they jump shoot their way into the championship.
All right.
one last question
it's almost like a sandstorm sort of thing going on now
I feel in my bones
yeah who wins how many games
Rob I think Boston wins in six
I don't feel good about it
I wouldn't feel good about any pick in this series
I've waffled so many times
I think I have to go with Boston
I think they do have every reason
to win this series on paper
I do think they've played well enough
I wish they would play great.
They may not, but I think that might be enough.
Was.
So typically Boston is like played down to their competition,
which in this case means they have to play really well
against the team that they're up against, right?
And so that's encouraging if you're rooting for the Celtics.
But come on, man.
Come on, man.
The Maver's got the best player in the series by far.
Okay.
And I just think they're on a role right now.
Like they just have it.
They just have whatever that it is right now.
And yeah, I think the Mavs are going to win the six games.
And I do feel pretty confident about it.
That's bold.
Well, you've been right a bunch this postseason.
So what can go wrong?
I live to take another day.
That's all that matters.
I respect that.
You dust yourself off.
You take again.
I have the Celtics and 6 as well.
I have to say picking the Celtics or any team in five now feels disrespectful if you think that the series is going to be like even decently competitive because five is basically, oh, this isn't a matchup because you don't want to do four, four is too bold. So I'm going with six. Like I said, I almost talked myself into the Celtics so much. I have to like douse myself in water because like I'm completely discrediting everything that's happened in the postseason for both sides of things. So, but I think six is right. I think the Celtics win it though.
And more importantly, I will be right yet again.
I guess we'll see.
Isn't it funny how that works, though, with like the picking in five thing?
I think Minnesota is such a weird example of that where if they had lost in four
all close games, the narrative around that team would be totally different, the way that they
would be talking about and thinking about their season.
But walking into a game five and getting walloped, changed everything about the way we think
about that series.
Carl Towns isn't getting traded, like Rudy's like, I just fine.
Rudy thing and all of that.
Like, yeah, I hear you.
All right.
Well, that's our playoff preview.
We'll be back on Wednesday.
We have one more pod before game one.
I think we're going to do a little bit more of a big picture look at the playoffs in the finals and some of the teams we've been watching.
But thank you to Isaiah Blakely.
First and foremost, my Mark Ronson on this podcast for coming up with some new jams for us for the variables.
So thank you to Isaiah.
Thank you to Eddie Ocampo.
Thank you to Ben Cruz.
We'll be back on Wednesday, probably afternoonish.
We'll see you then.
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