The Ringer NBA Show - What Is the Nuggets’ Offensive Solution to the Heat’s Zone Defense? | The Answer
Episode Date: June 6, 2023Seerat and Michael start the pod by sharing their reactions to and insights from Miami’s victory over Denver in Game 2 of the NBA Finals. They then preview Game 3 by talking about their expectations... of Jimmy Butler going forward, and what the Nuggets can do to combat the Heat’s complex defensive scheme (20:16). Hosts: Seerat Sohi and Michael Pina Associate Producer: Chris Sutton Production Supervision: Benjamin Cruz Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
Transcript
Discussion (0)
Bill finally gave the ringers Philly crew a podcast. I'm Ben Solac.
And I'm Shiel Capadia. That's right, just a couple of Philly guys with a new space to fire off some Eagles takes, get caught up in the Sixers, chaos, and more.
We'll be coming to you twice a week on Sundays and Thursdays, plus bonus episodes whenever we get breaking news or Philly drama.
Plus when Hardin and Embed somehow convince you suckers that this year's going to be different, our fellow Philly stands at the Ringer will have you covered on the Sixers and all your other favorite teams in town.
It's Philly Sports, Shield. What could possibly go wrong?
Join the fun and follow the Ringer's Philly special now on Spotify.
So, welcome to The Answer.
I'm Sir Ritz-Sohi, joined as usual by Michael Pina, who is in a hotel room in Miami, from what I can tell in the background.
We're going to be breaking down game two of the NBA finals and then talking about game three.
But you, you Michael, you're actually, you spent a couple days in the belly of the beast.
You were in Denver for two days, and you're going to be at game three.
So I'm going to open the four to you a little bit here.
Any like, what's your, what's your takeaway from the ground?
Fun finals so far, competitive.
I'm personally, it's weird talking about the Miami Heat
because what they do is, it's like this whole run is stunning, right?
Like they're the number eight seed.
And for them to go in to Denver and like I was talking on Media Row in the second quarter,
I was just saying to people that I thought the game was going to be a blowout once they started to make their run with Yokic on the bench.
It just had that vibe.
They obviously won game won pretty convincingly, I thought.
And it's just like this team in the three point line is a huge factor.
This team's poise offensively with their execution.
The two-man game with Jimmy and Bam is amazing.
All the different ways that they're able to execute on defense, the way they shape-shift.
with the zone really had it going in the second half.
And I mean, they cut the lead to six or the deficit to six at the end of the second quarter.
And they just keep playing and fighting and churning through possessions.
You know, Aaron Gordon today at Media Day said that the Miami Heat make you play all 24 for all 48.
And there's like no team in the NBA that does that.
And it's just they're so unique.
So you expect competitive basketball when they take the floor.
But at the same time, it's just like, it's just amazing.
to watch. It's like this huge
dichotomy trying to
analyze them where
I'm surprised but I'm not
I guess is the best way to put it. Yeah
it's incredible right so like pretty
much this reminds me a lot of what we
were talking about before they played
Boston going up against a team that
is deeper, more talented
more versatile,
has home court advantage
should on paper
have pretty much every tactical
advantage over my
possible.
But then through some measure of,
first of all,
I think their effort in game two
was just so much better
than it wasn't game one.
Their physicality was better.
The zone in the fourth quarter,
which I'm sure we'll talk about at some point.
Just flummoxed and confused Denver,
really cut them off from their main supply.
Over two games now,
Jamal Murray has more touches than Nicola Yokich does.
So I don't want to say,
we'll obviously probably talk about the idea of, hey, can you stop the Joker?
Eric Spolstra answering a question by Ramona Shelburne basically said,
like, you know, that's something that people with an untrained I think is possible.
I think he was just trying to throw off the scent a little bit
because they've done some really smart things against Yokic.
So real quick, that was my angle for my column.
That's what I wrote about after game two.
noticed that he had four assists, which is a playoff low, 28 shots, which was tied for the third most in the postseason.
They have some, I don't know what their record is off the time.
I think it's 7 and 13 when he has eight or fewer assists during the regular season, something like that.
They're obviously better and borderline unbeatable when he gets everybody else involved and is also able to score.
And I am fortunate that I asked my, you know, Yokic trying to make Yokic to score a question.
to Malone and Yokic and people in Deadbrown.
I'm glad that I was not the person who asked Derek Spolster this question,
but it's like when you go back and watch the film,
yeah, like a lot of his baskets,
Yokic's baskets and their possessions are single coverage.
He had one where he started the post up like at 30 feet on Cody Zeller
and backed him down and scored.
And it's like no double comes.
Okay, so that means you're trying to coax shots.
I might have an untrained eye,
but I think that when no double team comes
and there's no digging or anything,
that you are okay with him shooting
as opposed to finding a cutter
or someone in the dunker spot
or an open corner three shooter.
So that's just what I saw
and what I thought from all that.
And I think that that is,
when you talk to people around the league,
and I think Mike Brown said this on a podcast recently,
but that's your strategy.
Trained eye.
Yeah, he has a trained eye.
Coach of the year, unanimous decision.
The strategy when you're trying to defend this team,
and it's so much easier said than done,
but it's like, yeah, we would love for Yokic
to get his and not get anyone else involved.
And so I think that that is a fair,
that was a fair question and a fair read on what transpired in game two.
Yeah, I mean, it's kind of exactly what happened.
Denver can win games like this.
they had 23 assists as a team.
That's on the lower end for them.
41% of their field goals were unassisted.
Also on the lower end for them,
but it's not impossible for them to win games like this.
I think the big factor for them on offense.
And I don't think their problems really were on offense, to be honest.
Like there were definitely moments.
And if they had, you know,
if they had one of their more blistering offensive nights,
and maybe we don't really focus on their defensive issues
and total lack of effort.
And the fact that Jeff Green came out at the end of game two
and was like, it's a fucking NBA finals.
I don't know why we need to be like,
like we need to be hammering the point of effort.
Malone was pretty pissed too.
And I think that's,
you know,
I think that that's kind of been like the one thing with Denver
is just they have moments like this.
But, you know,
I think on,
on offense,
their half court offense wasn't great,
but their transition offense was good.
But the thing really is that they not only,
made Yokic into a score.
It's that no one else really got going.
Murray got it going a little bit in the fourth,
but he didn't have one of those like blistering,
Jamal Murray is not going to miss a single mid-range jumper games, right?
So that happening at the same time, I think, is a big factor into why the heat
were able to steal this game.
They also made that lineup change, putting Kevin Love back in the starting lineup.
Jimmy Butler ends up guarding Jamal Murray instead.
And he, through the series, is held, uh, held, uh,
held Murray to 0.6 points per direct, per direct actions per per second spectrum. So, I mean,
that's, that's obviously very good. And Spoh didn't call it an adjustment. I think he,
he called it basically just readjusting the starting lineup back to, to what it was.
So I think that makes a huge difference, too. But yeah, I don't know. It just, it was a flood of
things, really. Like, you mentioned the shooting as well, right? Miami shot 50% from the, from the,
from the three point line, but you can't even necessarily call that unsustainable.
Like you said, like this is a team that now, you know, it's done these things.
I was looking at it.
And like throughout the playoffs, they've hit 153s on 40 plus percent shooting five other times
since postseason.
It's not something to do regularly, but it's not the type of thing that I'm going to look at
the rest of this series and be like, oh, that's never going to happen again.
It very well could.
Yes.
The three point shooting is it's come to define them in a lot of ways.
they can't, well, I don't want to say they can't win if they don't shoot wild from behind the three point line.
But when they do, their odds to win are just like, I don't even like almost, it's almost like a guarantee.
It's very, very, very difficult.
You need like a miracle Derek White put back with point at the buzzer or whatever.
Like that's how you can beat them when they're shooting the ball like that.
So real quick, before, I want to talk about the defense, Denver's defense.
but I want to make a point that a lot of people have said
that the whole turn Yowcich into a score thing
is whatever because they still ended up generating
124.1 points per 100 possessions or whatever it was
which is just like great offense.
But when Yokic was on the floor in 42 minutes,
their offensive rating was 110.7, which is not good.
And when he was off for those six minutes,
It was 192.3, which is just I'd like literally never seen that number before.
Thank you, Christian Braun.
Yeah, exactly. So I just want to point that out real quick before we move on,
because I actually was not in my column because they didn't have those on-off numbers as I was writing it.
But that's just like incredible.
Like even though Yokish was super efficient and kind of got any shot that he wanted, really,
their team's offense wasn't great.
It just kind of reminds me of the Steph Curry warriors
and the sort of philosophical debate
that usually happens in the playoffs
when a team finds a way to turn
or wants to force Steph into being a scorer
and wants him to run a bunch of pick and roll
and make it kind of a more traditional offense
that doesn't have as much movement,
doesn't have as much screening.
The thing with the Warriors
is that they've always been able
to find their way back to their philosophy.
And I think at times Steve Curry has been stubborn about this.
I think Curry genuinely believes in it.
I think that that team believes in what they do, right?
And I think now, like Miami has kind of brought Denver to this point now
where I'm going to be really curious what happens in game three.
Like, you know, let's maybe get into some of that fourth quarter zone stuff.
Like I'm looking back at it now, I think I see a lot of moments where I'm like, oh, like,
they could have attacked it this way, they could have attacked it that way.
But I'm just going to be really curious to see, like, if Miami comes out with the same game plan,
are the nuggets going to kind of succumb to it and make it into a, like,
you can go in both directions, right?
Like, I think you can go with, okay, we're just going to try to spam Yokic in the post
and try to do a better job of getting the ball to him,
even though the heat make it exceptionally difficult to, you know, even just get the ball to
especially when Bamatabio was on the floor.
Or are we going to find a way to grease the wheels and try to get back to the style that we normally play?
Yeah, I think that the zone, it's really fascinating because coming into this series, everyone who watches NBA basketball thought that the best zone breaker who's ever lived was Nicola Yokic.
and that is to a point
kind of fair and accurate.
You put him at the free throw line.
You let him pick apart,
fine cutters, find open shooters,
et cetera.
And I just think that
it's, and Spose says this all the time,
like, it's less about the scheme
than how you execute it, what you're doing.
And their physicality, I thought,
was just like on 10,
gave Vincent meeting him at the nail
and just like driving his knee
into Yokic's backside,
never letting him forget that there's someone right there on him.
They don't give him space to do anything.
He's always being hit.
There was one play where Kevin Love,
could have been a foul, I don't know,
but poke the ball away right at the free throw line
with just such aggressive ball pressure
and the heat went the other way.
I don't think they got any points out of it,
but still, like creating turnovers like that.
Yokish finished with five turnovers and four assists in game too.
which is like, I don't know when he's had more turnovers than assists in a game when the last time that is, to be honest.
I think that the zone is, it's like really fascinating how, like you look at the numbers and some of the numbers aren't even,
they don't say that it's had this great success, but when you're just watching it unfold,
the timely stops, the awkwardness of how.
Denver is operating offensively.
That's really tangible.
And even when they score,
it's like, oh, they got a little fortunate on that one.
It's not like they're solving this defense.
So I think that it'll be a huge part of this entire series,
to be honest.
And that is, that's a stunner.
Like, I thought Yokic would be able to obliterate this thing.
And they got some good shots in game one against it
that they just didn't knock down.
and maybe going forward they will get those shots again
and they'll knock them down and everything will be fine
and Spoke can't go to the zone as much as he wants to
but so far I think that it has served its purpose for sure.
Yeah, I thought that love play is a great one to bring up.
That was actually, they were playing man still then.
I think that was like that was a play in the third quarter
and that's a great example of just how difficult
they make the catch for Yokic too.
Like ideally love is.
there before you can even make the past.
But the way that Butler and Adabio have been icing the Jamal Murray Yokic pick and roll,
and I'm not sure if that play came from a Jamal Murray action, I don't remember.
But there were a couple of plays right after that one where the thing that I noticed most
was just how big of a past deterrent Bam Adabio was.
Like there were like, I think it was a five minute mark in the third and then like the play
right after as well.
They ran a,
they ran pick and roll on both sides
of the floor and on both possessions.
Bam and Jimmy basically
forced Jamal into the corner.
He's also like,
Jamal Murray is not like a behind the back
passer. He's not often going to
give you the quick release. He usually
needs to like kind of stop and go.
Like kind of stop and pass in a way too, right?
Like he's not like, he doesn't have like the
the Trey Young passing package.
Not to say he's a great playmaker,
but that's just like one thing in his game
that I think the heat of kind of exploded
because they can force him to over dribble just a tad.
I'm not saying he's like holding onto it
for an egregiously long time,
but we have to remember this is one of
the fastest rotational defenses in the NBA.
And on the first play,
one of the wings came up to help on Yokic on the pop.
So you don't have that,
pass. And then I think it was Bruce Brown who cut. But Vincent was there and he gets a steal on the first one. And then and then on the other one, it's like, it was like a, he, he drove, Jamal drove baseline. He escaped the, the trap. But he had to jump past it to KCP. And Bruce Brown ends up, ends up getting a three out of it. But you'll kind of live with that in a possession where, and like, honestly, the biggest point in all of this is Nicola Yo,
Yokich does not touch the ball.
Yeah.
Like that,
that is the W,
right?
And that is like the best way to essentially stop him too.
And that is,
that's what the zone did a really good job of in the fourth.
Like then it,
because after,
after those string of possessions,
Cody Zeller got into the game and Yokic was like,
it's Nicolaiyokic type.
And that's when you kind of felt the game really slowed down.
That's,
it's a beauty of post-ups too,
right?
Like,
when you have a guy that can post up like that,
like you can really just,
you know,
you can,
you can muck the game up a little bit, right?
Like, it started to slow down.
It starts to feel like Denver was starting to get command of the game again.
But then, yeah, I don't know.
The zone comes out.
And yeah.
It's almost time to crown an NBA champion.
And Fandul wants you to be part of the excitement
because right now, new customers can get a no-swept first bet
up to $2,500.
That's $2,500 back in bonus bets
if your first bet doesn't win.
Now, the Miami Heat have turned,
Nikola Yokic into a score. That might not be the most nuanced way of putting it. I think maybe
Eric Spolstra would take some level of offense to that characterization of things, but I think
it's pretty well accurate. Yokish had 41 points in game two, and if you bet for Yokic to score
over 45 points in game three, let's say you put that entire $2,500 bet into that. Just put all of your
your eggs in one basket, you're going to win $75,000.
That's a lot of money.
You could probably put a down payment on a home in Denver,
at least in like a suburban part of Denver,
maybe not Aurora, but somewhere else,
down for that and just really ride out this Nuggets dynasty
that seems to be forming in front of our eyes if you want to.
One thing I love about betting on fan duel is just how they have,
I mean, they have great promotions like this one.
It's safe, it's secure, and you get paid.
right well instantly. So like you could, I mean, you might as well just book a U-Haul with that.
You know, it's a great city. They get more sun shine than pretty much anywhere else in the
United States. Everyone's really nice. You can go hiking, very progressive. Love Denver.
And, you know, they got the Nuggets. They got the Joker. So I don't know. No complaints.
There's no better place to bet all the finals action in America's number one sportsbook.
Visit Fandul.com slash Ringer NBA and get a no sweat first bet up to $2,500.
That's Fandul.com slash ringer NBA.
Fanduel, official sports betting partner of the NBA.
21 plus in select states, first online real money wager only, $10 deposit required.
Refund issued as non-withdrawable bonus bets that expire in 14 days.
Restrictions apply.
See full terms at fandual.com slash sportsbook.
Fan dual is offering online sports wagering in Kansas under an agreement with Kansas Star Casino LLC.
gambling problem?
Call 1-800 gambler or visit
Fanduel.com slash RG in Colorado, Iowa, Michigan, New
Jersey, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Illinois, Tennessee, Virginia.
1-800-next-Next Step to 533-4-2 in Arizona,
1-8-889-7-7-7-7-7-7 or visit
CCPG dot-org slash chat in Connecticut.
1-800-9 with it in Indiana, 1-800-5-22-470
or visit KSgamblinghelp.com in Kansas.
18777-7-70.
Stop in Louisiana.
Helpline, MA.org, or call 800, 327, 50-50 for 24-7 support in Massachusetts.
Visit www.mdgamblinghelp.org in Maryland, 18778-8-Hope-N-Y, or text Hope & Y to 467-369 in New York,
1-8-800-5-2-470 in Wyoming, or visit www.1-800-gambler.net in West Virginia.
What are you feeling going into game three after what we've seen in the first two games?
To me, Jimmy is like, he's like wing Yokic.
And what I mean by that is, however the defense is playing it,
he'll just read what it is.
He'll make the simple pass, find the open man.
Yokish had a quote today that was like amazing that I've never heard before.
That was the open man wins the game.
And I was like, that sentence just sums up your whole basketball philosophy.
and why you're a great player.
And I asked Jimmy about
today how
Denver is defending him
versus how he was guarded
by Boston and New York and Milwaukee.
And
he basically, his response
was very similar. It was
I can't win alone. I need
to, I've tried to win alone in previous
stops. I need to involve
everyone. I need to make the right pass, the right
read. And he does pretty much
every possession
I would say.
And when his teammates aren't knocking down those threes,
their offense looks a little worse.
But when they are, as they did in game two,
they look unbeatable.
And so even his,
I know I'm rambling and I apologize,
but even his field goal percentage in the series is like,
it's terrible.
And it doesn't matter.
It just seems like he's still able to control
the rhythm of the whole game.
And so I just,
off of what you've seen from Jimmy,
what are you thinking for,
Game three going forward.
Yeah, I mean, I'm mostly with you.
And I'm glad you asked this.
I was actually going to ask you this too.
It was like, if you're Miami,
are you happy you got a game on Denver
without a Jimmy explosion or concerned that the Jimmy explosion
hasn't happened yet?
But, like, I mean, to answer your question,
he's also averaging eight assists in the finals.
So, you know,
so I think the only place of contention I have with Jimmy
is I don't think that he has attacked the,
He hasn't attacked the Okach on the drop with as much aggression as I think he could.
I think maybe it's his play style too.
He's just like he's kind of been maybe his ankle is bothering him.
Maybe his foot's bothering him.
He has been playing with a level of hesitation.
He's kind of like been employing a bit of an old man game.
He's trying to read the pick and roll a little bit too much.
I think you actually wrote about this after game one where he's like,
you know, he's coming off these picks and he's looking to see who's behind.
him. And I think the best thing that you can do against Joker is just make a quick decision
because, I mean, Joker's a, he's a good enough defender and he's smart that if you give him
some time, he will get where he needs to go. There was a play in the first quarter where, you know,
Jimmy kind of turned a drive into a post-up and then he ended up clanking the layup and it was
contested when I thought if he either just, you know, pop for a middy or just went straight to the
rim, he would have had a lot more success.
But I think that might also be a personnel thing too, where, like, if that's how Jimmy's got
to play, and by the way, so he's generating like 0.7 points per chance against Yokic as
a secondary defender in this series.
But his teammates, especially in game two, his teammates have absolutely crushed that
action.
Lowry 1.769 points gave Vincent 1.4.4.
points, Duncan Robinson, 1.25.
Robinson on the handoff, Lowry and Vincent on pick and rolls.
And I think that kind of speaks to how Miami's guard play is so jumper oriented.
And I don't think that they'll make as many mid-range jumpers as they did.
This is one thing that's kind of hilarious too.
Miami took 11 shots at the rim in game in game two.
It's wild.
But they shot 40, like, yeah, they shot 44% from mid-
range though. So it's like, it's fine. And they got, you know, they got BAMs. Like they, and they
end up scoring fine in the paint. Like, you know, Bam hit like every short mid-range jumper. He's like,
that shot abandoned him in the postseason, but it's kind of right back to where it was for him in
the regular season. So, I mean, that's, that is well-timed. But yeah, I think him setting up
shooters is obviously that, that is Miami's game plan. They want to get a lot of three-point shots up.
And I also think the nuggets are kind of,
they're overhelping a little bit.
They really don't want to give up switches on Butler,
which is understandable.
Like he's also like,
he's been really efficient post up in isolation in this series.
It's just that he hasn't gotten that many attempts.
So yeah, on one to one degree,
it's like, yes,
the nuggets are executing their game plan.
On the other hand,
that game plan,
when they don't execute it perfectly,
or when they kind of have the effort,
miscues that they had ends up in Max Struth slipping multiple times and getting wide open
corner threes and you don't necessarily want to be doing that either especially to me when I haven't
seen Jimmy actually be like himy in a bit right like I kind of want to see what he's going to do
if you make him do that I'd be I'd be curious to see how the Nuggets choose to defend him in game
three. Yeah, so this is what
I'm writing about for tomorrow.
It is, because basically
the fascinating contrast
to me through the first two games
and particularly game two is
Miami's defense
trying to turn Yokic into
a score, right?
But Denver's defense
trying to turn
Jimmy Butler into a passer
and a playmaker. And
really packing the paint.
And as you said,
I couldn't agree more with the
overhelping.
Like, there's, either they're screwing up a switch.
Max Drew's got like two open threes because of screwed up switches.
You add contavius Caldwell Pope on,
like towards the strong side of the nail,
defending on an isolate,
a wing isolation where
Jimmy is being defended by Aaron Gordon
and what are you so afraid of
that I asked basically everyone I could on the Nuggets
if they thought that they were overhelping
and some said yes
Michael Porter Jr., who has been
probably the biggest culprit, I would say honestly,
in the overhelping department said that he admitted
that they were probably overhelping a little bit
in his response to my question.
But I feel like
the smart defense there in general is to do exactly
tilt yourself a little bit more towards exactly what
Miami is doing on defense with Yokic, which is
a lot more single coverage.
Obviously, you don't want to just let him
cook Jamal Murray one on one.
But I just feel fundamentally that if you're playing
the percentages, tough contested mid-range shots
against a guy who
I think you're really smart
to bring up the ankle thing.
If you look at his numbers
since the ankle injury,
they're not great.
I think you're shooting 41%
from the floor,
31% from behind the three point line.
You look at unassisted opportunities.
I have a whole bunch of stats
because again, like I said,
I'm writing about this,
but on unassisted opportunities
since his ankle injury,
he's 33.7% on jump shots,
45.3% on layups.
26.3% on floaters and 38.4% on shots out of the post.
Those are all terrible, terrible numbers.
But the other side of the coin is, it's Jimmy Butler, and it's the finals.
And we're working with a small sample.
So if you were to just really lax your coverage and he goes off one-on-one,
you could easily lose the game. Who knows?
So I kind of go back and forth on this mentally with what I feel about it.
like three at the end of the day is more than two.
So I would be more concerned with letting Duncan Robinson, Max Strews,
Gabe Vincent, Caleb Martin, these guys get open threes.
I think that if you limit that, you have a better chance of winning
than giving up, you know, a 35 ball, a 40 ball to Jimmy Butler personally.
Yeah, and you also got, he's just like, I think you got to test it.
You got to test it to see if he has that in him right now,
especially like now that you've said those numbers,
I feel even more strongly about that.
because like right now
Denver is letting Miami play
I mean these are both teams that move the ball
really well they're really unselfish they have great
chemistry but Denver is basically letting Miami
play like their style of basketball
a lot of that I think is credited to Bamatabio too
he's just been he's been he's been hitting
all the right notes he's making all the right decisions
he's generating a ton of points
for them on screen assists
like almost Yokish level
on screen assist he's actually leading Miami
and touches over
two games.
Yeah, and like, you know, back-to-back 20-point games.
Yeah, he's been, he's been really good.
And you never want to compare anybody's decision-making to Yokic, but at the same time,
it's like, oh, okay, like, he's kind of doing some of those things that we expect to see
from Yokage.
And Miami has pretty much successfully taken Denver outside of their style.
So, yeah, I mean, I think it only makes sense to muck it up for them, too.
And then just kind of see what happens with, like, is Jimmy going to hit him?
hit a bunch of floaters or is he going to get to the rim?
I think that would be a big question for me too when you talk about the three is more
than two part of it as well.
Because if you can cut off Miami's three points apply, then I think they have to deal with
a similar math problem to like what the Phoenix Suns were dealing with as well.
So yeah, I mean, I'm actually, I'm really excited to read that now.
Is that going to be up like before the game tomorrow?
Yes, it will.
It will.
I'm going to finish it as soon as we finish this conversation.
We have the same day.
What is your prediction?
Do you have a game three prediction?
Do you have like a feel for this series at all?
I do not have a feel for this series.
I do not have a feel for the series.
I picked Denver and Seven originally.
I saw that.
Can you can you can you?
I know you're about to answer the question I'm about to ask,
but like I saw that and I was a little surprised, honestly.
So I kept going back and forth on the heat and the intangibles and spolstra
and BAM's individual defense against Yokic,
which by the way, like,
honestly, like, I keep citing second spectrum numbers,
but then like when you watch the clips,
it's a little, I don't know,
it's a little iffy, especially in this series.
For some reason, I think probably because of the amount of zone
that's being played and just a way that the heater defending pick and roll.
But I also think the eye test kind of backs it up.
like,
Yokic simultaneously,
while getting a lot of what he wants,
Bam has made his life very difficult.
I think he's tired him out.
He's really strong.
Yokic can still back him down.
He can back anybody down.
But that is also,
like, the best strategy for him, too.
Like, he's had a lot of success
against Bam in the post and not a lot of success against him
in pretty much every other area.
Like,
he's quick enough on the faceups and the drives.
The quickness with which Yokic has turned his potential face-up opportunities with BAM into dribble handoffs is a little bit staggering to me.
And I was kind of curious how that would go for an entire seven-game series.
I also, a little bit of heat culture, a little bit of Spolstra's zone, a little bit of like, you know, all of the things that at a certain point, you just got to give a team credit for punching above its way.
and assuming that some of these things are going to hold.
Jimmy, like, just all of these factors,
like the fact that for some reason,
some role player always comes up clutch for them.
Like, Martin was sick, came off the bench, did not play well,
and it ends up being like Gabe Vincent that goes off.
And, yeah, I just, I thought that I also,
the other thing I thought, too, was just that, like,
Miami has a lot of quick guards,
and they are,
smarter mathematically than a lot of teams.
They're going to get like the most they can.
And I was also curious.
I don't know.
It was just like all of all of the things that we've been talking about with
with the heat,
I'll stop rambling.
But basically just like at a certain point,
I decided to believe what I was seeing as opposed to just looking at the
matchup on paper.
Because like I kept thinking Denver in five or Denver and six.
And it's just my gut was like,
this doesn't sit right.
This just doesn't sit right.
I still think Denver's going to win the series.
but it's just like a game like that shows you
like Miami is not a team
that's just going to go quietly into the night.
No, not at all.
I think that like everybody has a game plan
until they get punched in the face, right?
Like you can't know what it's like to play the heat
until you're in a playoff series against them.
They are unlike anybody else
and just how discipline they are,
how locked into the game plan they are.
It's just like they're very San Antonio,
purrs-esque and that they never beat themselves, it seems,
which a lot of teams that they face do.
And I don't know, like, I still think that the Nuggets are going to win this series.
I would not be stunned if the Nuggets won three games in a row.
But at the same time, the whole, oh, Miami's shooters will suddenly stop making open shots
or ridiculous contested shots.
I just don't think you can fundamentally think that anymore.
Like, this is the fourth round of this.
I don't foresee them falling into the same slump that they had against the Knicks from behind the three-point line.
I just feel like these guys are so locked in.
I don't really know.
That's such a reductive term, I guess.
but like when you watch Gabe Vincent or Caleb Martin or
Struz or Duncan Robinson like every time they miss a three
it just feels like a mistake or a glitch.
Like I expect all their shots to go in, frankly.
And like even going back to everything you're saying about Bam,
I honestly feel like Bam is still super underrated
because he's not a big point score.
He's amazing.
I think he's been their best player in the series so far.
He impacts both sides of the ball at such a high level.
He's asked to do so much defending Yokic.
He's asked to do so much triggering the DHOs that leverage Yokic's greatest weaknesses in space as a defender.
And he's just been on point.
And when he's making those like paint jump shots that nobody else even attempts in the NBA because it's 2023, but he does.
when he's making those,
like it's just such a bonus.
It's such gravy on top of how they want to play.
And that said,
I'm still sticking with my nuggets and five prediction like an idiot.
And we'll see how that turns out.
I feel like if the nuggets win two straight games,
which I honestly don't think they will.
I think Miami will at least win one home game.
But I feel like if they do,
I don't see Miami,
even though they'll be back in Denver
for it. I don't see Miami
losing their third game
in an elimination game.
I just don't like I
they're from everything I've seen from
this team so far
my brain, my
heart
like it cannot
conceptualize that
actually happening.
But I do think this is Denver
is serious to lose still
and I think
a lot of that is because of their
total just
complete shocking lack of effort on defense in game two.
Just horrible execution errors, bad closeouts,
really bad help.
Those two KCP fouls on three-point shooters,
the MPJ foul on Batman Abio when he was going to get a clear
dunk and he's Batman at a bio.
And you're so far away.
So why do you even bother?
And not to single him.
out because he's been a lot better on defense
and I think a lot of people expected him
to be throughout the course of the playoffs, but just not
not a good MPJ look.
Honestly, not a good MPJ night. Not a good
MPJ series so far actually
now that I think about it.
But yeah, I just
I feel like as much as we've
talked about the offense
and the half court offense was, I mean,
they held the half court offense to 100
points per play,
which is incredible for when you consider
like Denver is just
a flamethrower.
But if they just play a little better defense,
they probably win that game.
They don't make like just the type of regular season,
how the hell are you even doing this in the NBA finals,
execution errors,
which I don't think they'll,
I could see them doing it again for another game.
I'm surprised,
honestly,
because I thought that,
I thought that this was something that this team had completely grown out of
throughout the course of the playoffs.
But their margin for error,
like we have to remember is very thin on defense,
despite how many good parameter defenders that they have,
if they are not completely tied in scheme-wise,
like they don't have a BAM at a bio,
they don't have a guy that you can just have at the rim
to clean everything up.
So yeah, they got to pick it up on defense.
I feel like they will, honestly.
Yeah.
So many of their mistakes are, like you said,
they're just so elementary, like easy stuff
that you screwed up,
that the other team really didn't do anything
to make you screw up, just don't do it again.
And the concern there is like, okay, well, not only did they make those mistakes in game
one, but then the first quarter of game two, when their head coach is probably like
drilling the film into them of their mistakes from game one, like the same exact mistakes
are made right out the jump.
Max Cruz hits three-threes, all-off mistakes.
Like, that's just a little worrisome, I'm not going to lie.
And then being in their locker room after the game,
I just want to say like the contrast of being in the heat locker room after a loss
and the Nuggets locker room after a loss.
Heat locker room after a loss.
They got cans of Pacifico.
Just everyone's drinking beers.
Everyone's having a good time.
No one looks stressed at all.
The exact opposite vibes, I would say, are true for the Denver Nuggets after game
too. They just seemed really down in the dumps.
And like, it's the finals. I get it. They probably should feel that way.
They were up double digits in the second half. They had a commanding lead.
Or, I mean, eight points, whatever. But like, at home, going to the fourth quarter,
should have won that game, frankly. Like, there was really no reason why they shouldn't have.
And I feel like them feeling like they let one slip away. I don't know if mentally they'll get over it or if they
already over it or whatever. We'll see.
I think Yokic said at the end of his presser, like,
yeah, we'll see if we have the effort level that we need at the start of game three.
It's like, okay, cool. I guess we'll all find out when that game starts.
But yeah, it's just a really weird finals.
And it's fun. I'm enjoying it.
I still think that like
betting against Yokic versus whatever
is not smart and so I'm going down with Yokic
at the end of the day. There is something to having been here
before but also I think
I look at Yokic and
the way that he is mentally
he lives in the moment
you know I think that's something that's really helpful to have
at this stage like I don't think that he's a player who is
going to be like this is a team that made two three one comebacks in the bubble um so i think
they know how to simultaneously be down on themselves and disappointed in their effort while also
being able to shake it off so i don't i'm not necessarily too worried about that part of it but it's
it also does kind of bring up a strange like a strange dynamic that i think has existed in that
locker room pretty much since Michael Malone has been trying to shape them into a contender,
which is that like he is oftentimes the loudest voice for accountability in these situations.
And I think that's shifted somewhat.
I think Yokic has become that guy through the course of this season.
But there's a reason they signed so many veterans, right?
Like there's a reason that Jeff Green is in that locker room, DeAndre Jordan,
who are like Jeff Green would look really pissed and Michael Malone was really pissed.
And none of it really matters.
unless that energy transfers to the players
who are going to be playing
the majority of the minutes in this series.
I mean, that's kind of always been the story for them.
I think they will figure it out,
but it just kind of,
like this is the central tension of their defense
and has been for most of their tenure.
Like, it's just there are nights
when they think that they can just win a game with offense.
And they came very close.
And they believe a lot in their offense.
And, you know, also at the same,
time. Like they were a, they were a Jamal Murray step back three over Jimmy Butler. Like,
the same shot that he made like a few minutes earlier away from going to overtime. So there's a
reason they do, but like you just can't live and die with that stuff. And yeah, I mean,
like this, it's probably a good wake up call, if anything, right? You would hope. You would hope.
Aaron Gordon said today, you know, one of the things, if you rewatched the film, like,
he let Jimmy Butler reject the screen and go away from the help.
multiple times and a few threes were wide open because of that.
And that's just like a simple, I don't know if it's simple because I don't play in the NBA,
but I feel like letting a guy reject a screen multiple times is not what you want.
Like he should be able, he's big and strong and long enough to direct the ball a little bit better.
And that was something that he specifically cited as something that I was not locked into our game plan.
I did not execute what we were supposed to be doing.
So I just feel like they will correct a lot of that stuff.
To your point, their mentality as an organization for a long time has been,
okay, the other team scored, whatever.
We're going to get two or three points on this possession, so it doesn't matter.
And I feel like throughout this playoff run that has not been their mentality at all.
And if they were to drift back into that, that would be very problematic against this Miami Heat team.
because they will grind out victory.
The pace of these games even is so slow,
and Miami does such a good job of limiting transition opportunities
and just easy stuff in the open floor,
and they don't turn it over, and all that stuff.
So I think your offensive execution has to be on point,
and you've got to make it hard on defense.
You can't give up backcut layups to Duncan Robinson.
You can't give up wide open corner three.
to Max Struce or
you will lose or you'll put yourself
in a position to lose, I should say.
I just think the Nuggets are like a lot better
and they should be up to O
and it's wild that they've played as poorly as they have.
I also don't understand why they weren't just switching that action
in the fourth with like it's Vincent
and Christian Braun that were
the primary defenders on that action.
Just switch.
It doesn't matter if Duncan Robinson is on
whichever of these guys he's on.
It was Christian Braun and I can't remember.
It was two, man, it was two perimeter guys that were basically like, who cares which one of
these guys is on Duncan Robinson, which one of these guys is on Game Vincent?
And you figure out the switch after if you really need to.
Especially, that was a moment where Yokic wasn't even on the court.
So you don't really have to be that.
It seems like maybe their game plan is just to not give up the switch overall.
They just don't want Jimmy attacking it.
But then I think like when you get deep into a series, like you look at those little intricacies and say,
well, this one will switch and this one we won't, you know.
The last thing I want to talk about is some of the ways that I think Denver could approach attacking the zone.
First of all, I think, so I think overall we love how fast Yokic plays within just one possession.
Like, it's great that he goes from trying to post up to running up to the top of the key and initiating a pick and roll.
to like popping and then facing up and whatever.
Like that is the beauty of Nuggets basketball.
It can be really confusing.
I think there were times in that fourth quarter
where I wish that Yokic would have just settled in the post
and seen what happened.
Like made Miami's defense bend a little bit.
And then you can have a playmaker at the top,
whether it's Jamal Murray or Bruce Brown or Aaron Gordon
who's really improved as a playmaker.
Try to make a decision based on if, like, I don't know.
I feel like if Yonautch,
just hangs out there for three seconds.
Miami's kind of going to be like, oh, what do we do here?
Either you're going to find a way to get an entry pass to him,
or you're going to find somebody else that's potentially open.
Jamal did a good job of attacking the paint down the line too.
Again, I think that kind of goes back into that.
Like, do you really want this to turn into like the Jamal Murray show
and everybody else gets cut off?
But I think that's one thing that they can just do is like leverage Yokic off the ball.
and if you can't get the ball into him
just see what else you can get.
There were a lot of moments
that were non-kevin-love minutes.
There was one in particular in the fourth
where he just had Kyle Lowry at the basket
tried to post up for like one second
and then didn't get the ball and then like didn't try.
He just like backed up and went to the dunker spot.
Like just keep posting up there.
Like there are some sore spots for Miami in their zone.
I think there are times that they could have spaced out better.
Like there was a MPJ,
miss three from Yokic that was a contested.
Like it was kind of, it was a contested three from Butler just because he was one pass away.
I think there's another one with KCP where if he spaced out to the corner, it's a much easier,
much more open shot.
So yeah, like there are, there are fixes.
I also think like obviously I think Miami will make some adjustments to their zone if they,
if they go to it again, which I mean, they will.
But yeah, just, yeah, I don't.
Did you like, what else?
Like, did you notice anything about the zone that could be exploited or do you have any
thoughts on that. What I will say about the zone is like the much lotted Jamal Murray, Nikolio
pick and roll. It's a lot harder to run against a zone. And I think that that is a huge benefit
for Miami because, I mean, that action is, you know, I'm working on a story about it after a
thousand people have already written stories about it. Like their two-man game is amazing. It's
seven, eight years in the making.
They have great chemistry, all that.
Not sure how you guard it.
And it's like, I don't think that the zone is a be-all, end-all,
stopper of Jamal, Marie, Nicole Yocch pick and roll.
But it just doesn't make sense to run it at a high volume.
So, like, what you want to attack a zone in a different way.
So I think that that is just like this weird byproduct, positive byproduct,
for Miami.
And then even when they're been in man in game two,
I thought they defended the Murray Yokic pick and roll.
They did a really good job against it
in a way that I haven't really seen a defense execute
in this entire postseason run.
So if that keeps up,
that's also something to just keep an eye on
because that combination has been just the driving force
of Denver's success in a lot of ways.
I mean, their offense is mostly random in space,
but that pick and roll is, like, it's been unstoppable.
So that's definitely something to just watch and monitor
as the series goes on, I think.
Yeah, they did a really good job of switching it
and switching it with non-BAM guys,
keeping BAM at the rim to kind of,
I think they were trying to force a two-man game
to play in the mid-range.
And I think Joker kind of resisted that a little bit
in a way that I kind of I look at it
I'm like no just you're a little far out
but yeah take the hook shot over Gabe Vincent
I think that's fine
I'll live with that like
nine times out of 10 you know
but yeah it'll be really interesting
it's a really good point
because they ran that action
quite a bit during like
when the heat were playing in the zone
and it was honestly the action
that they probably had the most success
out of probably because
of Murray just being relentless about
going to the rim.
But yeah, it just didn't, it didn't, it wasn't the same.
Like, it's, I think it kind of goes back to what we were talking about at the start of
the podcast.
Like, they just cut those two guys out from the rest of their teammates.
And yeah, I'm, I'm very excited for, for game three now.
I'm just really curious to see Denver's response and Miami's response to that response.
Very well put.
this conversation, this tactical conversation that Spoh and Malone seemed to be having.
Cool.
Well, what else do you want to talk about?
So many of us lay awake at night going through a list of what ifs.
What if I get into an accident?
What if I need to change my home or auto policy?
But State Farm knows you would rather worry about anything else.
So they're always available to answer any question person over the phone or on the State Farm mobile app.
So now you can spend your time pondering other things.
like what if the playoffs shaped up differently
Pina do you have any
what if set that you've been ruminating on
that you've been losing sleepover lately?
You know, I probably will be losing sleep over
what I'm about to say for
maybe the rest of my life.
It's my what if is
what if Jason Tatum
never sprained his ankle
26 seconds into game seven
of the Eastern Conference finals.
I was at that game
and I'll say that
I've been to a lot of playoff games,
a lot of finals games,
a lot of games at TD Garden,
big games,
and 10 minutes before the game started,
the energy in that building was basically as loud
as,
as vibrant as any event that I've ever experienced.
You had,
like, Rondo dapping up Isaiah Thomas
on the court just,
the crowd going absolutely bananas.
Paul Pierce was there, so many former Celtics.
They were showing Red Sox highlights from their 4-0 down 03.
Come back against the Yankees in 04.
It was ear-splitting.
And then the game begins and Tatum goes down.
And I've also never felt or heard an audience or crowd just
just a total 180 in an instant.
Like I've never, it was I still right now, I'm just like speechless and trying to describe it.
That is like as I'm complaining about this and wondering and pontificating, like I don't want to take anything away against the Miami Heat who played tremendously in that game.
Coming off a what would have been a devastating, it was a devastating game six loss at home.
they're mentally strong as hell
and Caleb Martin is
just he was Steph Curry that night
but when you have your best player
who in my opinion is the best player in the series
go down like that
Tatum finished with 14 points
in 42 minutes
and he was like hobbling around the entire game
couldn't defend anybody
couldn't move laterally
and you contrast that with his 31 point
performance in game six where he's just dusting Jimmy Butler in isolation,
totally unstoppable, getting into the free throw line at will.
Yeah, it was a kind of a bummer for Boston, for Celtics fans everywhere.
But yeah, so that's my big what-if of these playoffs.
Yeah, you got to remember too, Jason Tatum is one of the best elimination game scores
in the NBA.
I think we're all pretty excited for that one.
But you in particular, thank you for sharing.
Yeah, no, I appreciate you bringing that up.
Yeah, I know, just to add some context.
I don't know if it's, I don't know if it makes you feel better that I complimented Jason Tatum
or if it's like just salt on the wound in this particular situation.
But we can, we can move on.
I don't want to make you dwell on the past too much,
except to say that the ripple effects of that are going to be huge.
You know, the Celtics have a huge offseason.
Is Jalen Brown going to be a part of the future of this team?
Would they have stolen a game in Denver as well?
If they were the team that was in the finals,
I tend to think no.
But I would have been curious what the Robert Williams,
Yokic thing looked like.
And I can just tell by the pain on your face that I should stop right out.
No, you know, it's fine.
We're in the Sam Cassell, big ball era now.
We're going to enjoy that.
Good times are ahead.
We will see what happens with Jalen.
I would assume that they will bring him back, but who knows,
just from everything, all that Brad Stevens has said since the season ended.
But yeah, that one hurts, and that is something that the Celtics are going to regret for a very long time losing that series.
and even more so game seven,
just the first two at home,
just blowing those two.
It's just, yeah, you know,
this is really going to dark places for me,
and maybe we should wrap this segment up as quickly as possible.
How about that?
Well, thanks for leaning into the pain.
I appreciate it.
You might never stop wondering,
what if my team wasn't eliminated from the playoffs,
but you can at least find certainty
in your insurance policy with State Farm.
I hope that makes you feel better.
They're always able to answer your what-if questions
or anything else about your policy that you want to know.
File a claim on the State Farm mobile app
or if you prefer to talk to a real person,
including your agent, call anytime.
It's what they do.
Like a good neighbor, State Farm is there.
Call or go to StateFarm.com for a quote today.
Well, Michael, this has been a great tactical conversation with you.
I look forward to doing it again soon.
Thank you for joining.
Thank you, Chris.
Sutton for producing.
Thank you, Ben Cruz.
Thank you all for listening. We'll talk to you guys next week.
