Under the Influence with Terry O'Reilly - S3E02 - The Psychology of Price
Episode Date: January 12, 2014In this episode, we explore how we're all influenced by pricing. Like how the price of a bottle of wine has an enormous affect on how much you enjoy that wine. We’ll analyze how restaurants design m...enus to steer you toward the most profitable dishes, and how retail stores use psychology to persuade you to spend more. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
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Hi, it's Terry O'Reilly.
As you may know, we've been producing a lot of bonus episodes while under the influences on hiatus.
They're called the Beatleology Interviews, where I talk to people who knew the Beatles, work with them, love them, and the authors who write about them.
Well, the Beatleology Interviews have become a hit, so we are spinning it out to be a standalone podcast series. You've already
heard conversations with people like actors Mark Hamill, Malcolm McDowell, and Beatles confidant
Astrid Kershaw. But coming up, I talk to May Pang, who dated John Lennon in the mid-70s.
I talk to double fantasy guitarist Earl Slick, Apple Records creative director John Kosh.
I'll be talking to Jan Hayworth,
who designed the Sgt. Pepper album cover. Very cool. And I'll talk to singer Dion,
who is one of only five people still alive who were on the Sgt. Pepper cover. And two of those
people were Beatles. The stories they tell are amazing. So thank you for making this series such
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From the Under the Influence digital box set, this episode is from Season 3, 2014. You're not you when you're hungry.
You're in good hands with us.
You're under the influence with Terry O'Reilly.
One day, a married couple named Mel and Patricia Ziegler decided to travel the world.
There was only one thing stopping them.
Money.
They both worked for a newspaper, but their salaries were small.
So, they decided to start a business on the side to earn more cash.
When Mel came back from an assignment in Australia
wearing an interesting safari jacket he had bought for $5,
the couple decided to start a clothing company.
They had no business experience, no retail fashion experience, no backers, and only had $1,500 in the bank.
The good news was it was 1978.
The disco era was in full swing and it wasn't a great time for fashion.
It was a Saturday night Fever polyester world. So, the Zieglers went to a surplus store in town
and spent most of their savings on a shipment of paratrooper shirts
that cost $1.75 each.
They sewed elbow patches on them, changed the buttons,
and figured the shirts could sell for a profit at a local flea market.
They charged $6.75 and sold four,
which wasn't good.
So, the next weekend,
Patricia decided to wear one of the shirts.
She belted it, rolled up the sleeves,
and put a sign on the table that said,
Short-Armed Paratrooper Shirts.
Then the Zieglers did one more thing.
They doubled the price
and immediately sold out.
That was a big business lesson for the Zieglers.
They learned the power of presentation,
but more importantly,
the concept of perceived value based on price.
Doubling the price of their shirts at a flea market
was an outrageous decision.
Who doubles the price of anything at a flea market?
But that new price point made people suddenly value the shirts more than they did the day before.
With that success, the Zieglers decided to open a small store.
And they called it Banana Republic.
Pricing is one of the most influential aspects of marketing.
Virtually every purchase decision you make is based on price.
It tells you if the product is quality, if it's luxury, if it's a commodity,
if it's overpriced, or if it's a bargain and a half.
But what's easy to forget is that most prices are determined not by cost, but by psychology.
Prices are very carefully designed to influence our purchases,
to steer us to specific items, and persuade us to spend much more than we planned on.
It's one of the most fascinating aspects of marketing.
And it's a numbers game.
You're under the influence. The subject of price is usually the most important factor when it comes to deciding on a purchase.
You may like what the item does, like how it looks,
you may even lust after it,
but if you don't like the price, you won't buy it.
Prices are a fact of life.
From the food we eat, to the clothes we wear to
the cars we drive to the homes we live in to the vacations we take price
ultimately determines every single decision most people believe the price
of a product is made up of three factors one what it cost to make to a reasonable
markup or profit and three what What the competitive market will bear.
But there is so much more to prices than that
because there is enormous psychology at work.
There are many pricing strategies marketers use
to subtly influence your shopping decisions.
One of the most popular is called anchoring.
Anchoring is based on first impressions.
If you are shown a high price for an item, your expectations for the value of that item will shift upwards.
It gives you a frame of reference, especially if you are a little uncertain about what you should be paying so many retailers use an anchor price to influence your
purchase decision essentially they will offer you a highly priced product then
they will offer you a slightly lower priced option suddenly the lower priced
item seems like a bargain it may not be a low price but compared to the high priced option
the anchor in other words the lower price is instantly desirable but had you not seen the
anchor price you might have thought the second price was high see how the concept works the
retailer was using the high priced anchor as a way to steer you to the real price they were hoping for all along.
I've mentioned this concept before with charities.
You sometimes get a form in the mail asking you to donate to a worthy cause.
There are three boxes you can check off.
One says $150, one says $50, and the other says $10.
The $150 box is an anchor.
It's meant to scare you a little and set a high threshold.
The $10 box is too small a donation to be worth the effort.
So, $50 seems the most reasonable,
which is what the charity was hoping for all along.
Williams-Sonoma, a high-end houseware store,
once used the concept of anchoring to solve
an interesting problem when they introduced their bread machines sales were slow and sluggish
so they added a deluxe version that was priced 50 higher suddenly the original bread machine started flying off the shelves. Now, it felt like a bargain.
Anchoring can also affect how you value something.
In his book, Predictably Irrational,
psychology professor Dan Ariely
tells the story of a fascinating experiment
he carried out with his students.
First, he asked each of them to write down
the last two digits
of their social security numbers
on a piece of paper.
Next, he showed them a bottle of wine
and described the flavor,
the winery,
and read a positive review
from a wine publication.
Then, he asked the students
to guess the price of the wine.
That's when the most interesting thing happened.
Students who had the highest-ending Social Security digits,
from 80 to 99,
guessed the highest prices for the wine.
The students with the lowest Social Security numbers,
from 11 to 20,
guessed the lowest prices.
Look at what just happened there.
By asking the students to write down a number just prior to making a price guess,
influenced that guess.
Their social security numbers had acted as an anchor.
The bigger numbers influenced high guesses,
the smaller numbers influenced the low guesses.
That's how powerful anchoring can be.
Not even juries are immune from this concept.
It has been proven time and again that when lawyers ask for astronomical financial settlements,
juries may not give the lawyer exactly what he's asking for,
but they will almost always award a higher settlement than if the lawyer had begun with a lower amount.
The astronomical ask was the anchor.
Restaurants use the concept of anchoring very effectively.
In his book, Priceless, The Myth of Fair Value, author William Poundstone analyzes a typical
menu,
showing how they are
carefully constructed
to steer you
to certain dishes.
As a rule,
the upper right-hand corner
is the first place
your eyes go to
on a menu.
Knowing that,
restaurants put their
most expensive dish
in that spot.
It's an anchor.
It's designed to make
your eyebrows shoot up a little.
Its purpose is to make everything else look like a relative bargain.
Right next to that dish will be the restaurant's most profitable items.
Those are the dishes the menu is really trying to steer you to.
The order of items usually has less to do with how popular the dishes are and more to do with how profitable the dishes are,
with the least lucrative at the bottom often in smaller type.
Speaking of restaurants,
recent studies have shown that diners will spend more
if prices on the menus don't have dollar signs.
In a recent experiment,
diners were split into three groups and given three different menus.
One was given a menu that had dollar signs in front of the numbers. The second group was given
a menu where the dollar amounts were spelled out in full words. And the third group was given menus
with numbers but no dollar signs. As it turned out, there was no difference in spending between the menus with dollar signs and the ones with words.
But diners ordering from the menu without dollar signs all spent more money.
As pricing expert Lee Caldwell says,
people experience the act of paying for something almost as if it is a physical pain.
Clearly, the psychological removal of the dollar signs eased that pain.
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Go to terryoreilly.ca for a master episode list. How a product is presented affects how you value it.
Again, pricing expert Caldwell gives us this example.
If a new drink was poured into a wine glass, you'd compare it to wine prices.
If it was poured into a champagne glass you compare it to champagne prices
which are double wine prices if it were presented to you in a shot glass you'd
compare it to fine whiskeys and consider paying 11 times the price of wine in
each case you would make price assumptions based on the context in
which the new drink was presented. The wine category is always an interesting price study.
Most people can't distinguish a more expensive wine from a cheaper wine when the labels are
removed, and that includes top wine experts.
When people are given a glass of wine and told the wine is expensive, it triggers a
specific part of the brain that registers pleasure.
This effect has even been observed in an experiment when the wines were sipped inside an MRI machine that recorded brain activity.
People were given five wines to taste
and told the wines ranged from $5 a bottle up to $90 a bottle.
All the subjects unanimously agreed the expensive wine was better,
even when they were given the $5 bottle
and were told it was the $90 wine.
They still experienced more pleasure
and the MRI brain activity proved it.
The same effect was observed
in a pharmaceutical drug test.
One group was given a drug to relieve pain
and told that it was expensive.
The other group was given the same drug
but told it was cheaply priced.
The group who thought they had the more expensive drug
claimed it worked faster and relieved pain longer
than the group with the supposed cheaper alternative.
It raises an interesting point.
All pleasure is subjective so how
do you argue price isn't as important as the ingredients higher pricing creates
higher expectations but it also creates higher fulfillment so if a highly priced
wine stimulates that part of your brain that registers pleasure, then you've experienced pleasure.
Plain and simple.
Another fascinating aspect of pricing is bundling.
In categories where competition is stiff and the actual product is a commodity, companies
have to reframe their offers.
If mobile phone companies only charged by the minute, for example,
you'd easily pick the cheapest one,
and the phone companies would be locked in a death race to the bottom
with no profit in sight.
So, what they do is bundle services.
The per-minute call rate will be bundled with text,
picture and video messaging, mailbox quotas,
browsing options, data plans,
favorite number discounts, unlimited long-distance calling, and even internet and cable options.
One of the biggest reasons for bundling is to make sure the packages can never really be compared.
You won't find the same bundling at any two companies,
all of which prevents you from
making direct price comparisons.
In a past episode, we talked about the left-digit effect, that quirk we collectively share of
looking at a price like $19.99 and seeing it as $19 instead of a penny shy of $20.
We judge prices by the left digit.
This method of not pricing items in round numbers is also called odd pricing,
referring to the resulting odd price numbers like $0.69 or $0.99.
The practice of odd pricing has been used for more than a century.
I could track it back as far as 1875.
At that time, a paper called the Chicago Daily News was founded.
It sold for one cent.
The problem was there weren't enough pennies in circulation.
So the owner of the newspaper went to the retail stores who advertised in his paper
and asked them to lower the prices on their goods by one cent.
The merchants agreed to help the paper out.
Then the newspaper owner had barrels of pennies shipped in from Philadelphia
to provide the circulation of change.
At the same time, distant merchants began shipping their products to the Windy City
via the new railroads, giving the local stores competition.
But those Chicago store owners noticed that the odd pricing
helped them undercut these new competitors.
The odd pricing actually increased sales.
Over 60% of all prices in all stores end in the number 9. Prices ending in 99 cents are powerful
because we are conditioned to think 99 cents is a bargain,
no matter how small the saving.
It's interesting that people don't perceive much difference in value
between items priced at $20 and $25,
but drop the price by one penny
and they perceive great difference between $19.99 and $24.99.
The power of the number 9 isn't confined to the cents column either.
One American clothing retailer experimented
by changing the price of a dress from $34 to $39
and increased sales by over 30%,
meaning higher prices ending in a 9
will actually outperform lower prices
on the very same product.
The alluring thing about 99-cent pricing
is that it feels like a sale price.
It's a game stores have played with us for decades.
And the CEO of one major retailer felt it was time that game was stopped.
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Ron Johnson's claim to fame was that he had created Apple's retail stores for Steve Jobs.
He spent 12 years at Apple, revolutionized what a computer store could be,
and generated a billion dollars of revenue in only two years.
With those stunning credentials, he was lured away to run an ailing JCPenney, a long-established discount retailer that was in need of a makeover. Johnson had a vision
for the store. He wanted to eliminate the game of retail pricing. He felt that shoppers,
namely women, were confused by the almost 600 sales JCPenney was offering every year.
He felt sales prices were just a tired scheme where regular prices were artificially inflated
just so they could be slashed down to sale prices.
He believed couponing didn't just discount the product, it discounted the brand.
Johnson felt there was a disease in the pricing
and that disease was spreading.
And that's why JCPenney was ailing.
He wanted to reinvent retail
with a brand new kind of pricing.
So, he introduced a new JCPenney pricing strategy
called Fair and Square.
The store would drop prices by about 40%
and offer those low prices every day in round figures.
They would also eliminate coupons
and only have 12 sales a year instead of 600.
Here is Johnson unveiling that thinking
at JCPenney's investor conference in New York.
And so the most important thing I want to start with is the pricing strategy.
Straightforward, fair and square, everyday prices.
No 99 cent endings, even price points, as if a penny matters to anybody today.
You know, fair and square.
It was a radical change of direction, not just for the
111-year-old J.C. Penney,
but for any major discount
retailer. Johnson
then hired Ellen DeGeneres
to be their spokesperson.
$6.99, $9.99.
What's with the $99? Has it always been this way?
Cheerio, my fair lady. Pray tell the price of this fine hat. It's 14 pounds 99 pence.
Okay, so 15 pounds. 14 pounds 99 pence. Are you trying to trick me? No. So 15 pounds. The commercial ended with the words, No games, just great prices.
That's fair and square.
JCPenney.
There was just one thing wrong with the plan.
It didn't work.
While there were many reasons why Johnson's new plan didn't succeed,
it did reveal some truisms about retail pricing.
By removing the context for low prices,
shoppers didn't know how to evaluate the new price tags.
Put another way, by removing the original price
and not showing the markdown price,
shoppers couldn't determine whether the everyday low price was a good value.
So, if they saw a $14 shirt, they might assume it was cheaply manufactured.
But had they seen a $50 price tag marked down to $14, they would have seen that as a huge bargain.
As Time magazine noted, it also showed how irrational shoppers can be.
An end table that was priced at 150 dollars
under Johnson's tenure didn't sell later the table was priced at two hundred and
forty five dollars then marked down to a hundred and fifty dollars and it sold
out within one year under Johnson's new plan JC penny sales fell 28venues even dropped 40% during the critically important Christmas shopping season.
JCPenney stock dropped 55%, cutting the retailer's market value in half.
In the middle of all the bad news, the JCPenney board of directors sent a signal to Johnson
and cut his salary by 96%. The sales results
didn't get any better. After only 15 months, Ron Johnson was fired as CEO. It was clear
that shoppers loved the urgency of sales. They loved coupons, they loved prices that
end in a nine, and they love the hunt for bargains.
So JCPenney went back to being a traditional discount retailer
and ran this commercial as an apology to their shoppers.
It's no secret.
Recently, JCPenney changed.
Some changes he liked, and some he didn't.
But what matters with mistakes is what we learned.
We learned a very simple thing.
To listen to you.
To hear what you need to make your life more beautiful.
Come back to JCPenney.
We heard you.
Now, we'd love to see you.
What Ron Johnson had been trying to do was eliminate the game of retail pricing.
His intention was admirable.
But in the end, shoppers wanted the game.
Every marketing category has competitors.
And those competitors fight every day to gain as much market share as they can.
The easiest way is to offer the lowest price.
But if that were the only basis the battle was fought on,
most companies would find themselves drained of profit at the end of the day.
The job of marketing is to make sure that never happens.
Marketing adds value to brands.
It creates an identity, differentiates that identity from the competition,
infuses it with personality, makes it highly desirable,
and when you add all that up,
marketing makes a product worth more than the cost to manufacture it.
That's why there is so much influence exerted through prices.
Just look at the magic of nines.
We are transfixed by that number,
to the point where we're more willing to spend $39 for a product instead of $34.
We part with our hard-earned money more easily if a menu has no dollar signs.
And we're steered to the most profitable dishes without even knowing it.
We like sale prices.
We're addicted to the thrill of bargains.
We love coupons.
We love the game.
And when it comes to price anchoring, not even juries are immune to its power.
Then there's the enjoyment that price itself can stimulate.
If a more expensive wine gives you greater pleasure than a less expensive wine,
even though those wines are identical,
could you not argue that the price is not just as important as the ingredients,
it might even be more important.
It's the secret sauce
of marketing
when you're under the influence.
I'm Terry O'Reilly. Yes, hello.
I noticed that if listeners subscribe to your podcasts, they're free.
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You're a wily marketer, Terry O'Reilly.
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Research, James Gangle.
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See you next week.
In case nobody's told you,
weight loss goes beyond the old
just eat less and move more narrative,
and that's where Felix comes in.
Felix is redefining weight loss for Canadians
with a smarter, more personalized approach
to help you crush your health goals this year. Losing weight is about more than diet and exercise. It can also
be about our genetics, hormones, metabolism. Felix connects you with online licensed healthcare
practitioners who understand that everybody is different and can pair your healthy lifestyle
with the right support to reach your goals. Start your visit today at felix.ca.
That's F-E-L-I-X dot C-A.